Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 32, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 4, 2015, 4:00 PM MDT for Eddy County, New Mexico. It was in force for 19 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 4, 2015, 4:00 PM MDT (22:00 UTC)
- Expired
- May 4, 2015, 4:19 PM MDT
- In force
- 19 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Hail
- 1.0 in
- Wind
- 60.0 mph
County Eddy County, NM
The radar
The Holloman AFB radar (KHDX), 129 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 12:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
Santa Teresa, NM (KEPZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 217 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 21 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -157 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2302 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 40 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 10 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 90 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
940
WUUS54 KMAF 042200
SVRMAF
NMC015-042230-
/O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0032.150504T2200Z-150504T2230Z/
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
400 PM MDT MON MAY 4 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN EDDY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...
* UNTIL 430 PM MDT
* AT 358 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 18 MILES WEST OF
ARTESIA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EXTREME NORTHWESTERN EDDY COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIDLAND.
&&
LAT...LON 3297 10484 3297 10457 3296 10457 3277 10474
3283 10485 3296 10485
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 215DEG 28KT 3290 10477
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
$$
JP1 follow-up statement
611
WWUS54 KMAF 042219
SVSMAF
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
519 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015
NMC015-042229-
/O.CAN.KMAF.SV.W.0032.000000T0000Z-150504T2230Z/
EDDY NM-
419 PM MDT MON MAY 4 2015
...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN EDDY COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
ADDITIONAL STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE...AND A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM MDT.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MIDLAND.
LAT...LON 3297 10484 3297 10457 3296 10457 3277 10474
3283 10485 3296 10485
TIME...MOT...LOC 2219Z 215DEG 28KT 3302 10467
$$
JPWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 4, 2:32 PM MDT, 1 hour 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 4, 2:32 PM MDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
332 PM CDT Mon May 4 2015
.DISCUSSION...
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch 128 remains in effect until 8 pm
CDT/7 pm MDT for Eddy and Lea counties in southeastern New
Mexico and Culberson and Jeff Davis counties in west Texas.
* Tornado Watch 129 remains in effect until 8 pm CDT for
Brewster,Crane, Loving, Pecos, Reeves, Terrell, Ward, and
Winkler counties.
* A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect until 7 am CDT/6 am MDT
for Eddy and Lea counties in southeastern New Mexico and for
Andrews, Borden, Dawson, and Gaines counties in west Texas.
Little time for discussion owing to impending heavy rainfall/flash
flooding and convective weather threats. CAMs have suggested for
several runs now that a storm (now apparently over northern Jeff Davis
county) will translate east and then begin to turn to the right as
effective shears increase to above 50 kts. Along and south of the
Pecos, there's enough phasing between instability, CAPE, and shear
to promote discrete supercellular structures until at least 01Z.
If there's enough balance between SR inflow and a supercell's
rear flank downdraft, a tornado or three is not out of the
question.
Farther north, multicellular structures are apparent now and we
should see further upscale growth into a west-east trending MCS by
sunset. With increasing moisture (DRT showed +2SD precip water
values this morning) and a strengthening low level jet, a good supply
of moisture will feed these storms. Aloft, a 110 kt+ jet streak
translating eastward across northern Mexico will become difluent
(with one "f") over eastern New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle.
Deep layer vertical motion profiles will further support deep
layer lift and efficient rain producers. As such, the flash flood
watch has been extended east to cover areas where forecast
rainfall more than 2" (isolated > 4") are possible tonight.
Should see a bit of a break tomorrow under subsidence in the wake
of the MCS. Low level moisture will be slow to move east, and as
soon as sig insolation can be realized, more convective overturning
is forecast, particularly near the mountains tomorrow afternoon and
evening.
High temperatures will stay close to normal through the week while
lows will be somewhat warmer than normal due to higher low level
moisture content. The best chances for thunderstorms will be across
the eastern Permian Basin/lower Trans Pecos each afternoon and
evening; however, wouldn't't be surprised to see PoPs increase
nearer to the mountains as well.
With a focus on the meso-alpha scale today, little changes were
made to the forecast Day 3 and have stayed close to the NAM12 in
the Day 1-3 periods. We did shift PoPs east a bit to marry up
better with HPC guidance.
For graphics on excessive rainfall forecasts from the Weather
Prediction Center, go to http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/94ewbg.gif
and for text http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatchmpd.php
Users can subscribe to the Storm Prediction Center's Twitter feed
using @NWSSPC for latest in Mesoscale Convective Discussions and Watch
Status messages.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX 61 81 58 84 / 60 20 10 10
BIG SPRING TX 63 81 64 84 / 30 30 30 30
CARLSBAD NM 57 82 53 85 / 40 10 10 10
DRYDEN TX 65 84 67 86 / 30 10 20 20
FORT STOCKTON TX 63 84 60 86 / 30 10 20 20
GUADALUPE PASS TX 53 75 53 79 / 20 10 10 10
HOBBS NM 59 79 53 82 / 70 20 10 10
MARFA TX 49 78 43 82 / 20 10 10 10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX 61 80 63 84 / 30 20 20 20
ODESSA TX 62 81 62 84 / 40 20 20 20
WINK TX 65 85 56 87 / 30 10 10 10
&&
.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 6 PM MDT this evening through late
tonight FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Central Lea County...
Eddy County Plains...Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County...
Northern Lea County...Southern Lea County.
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 7 PM CDT this evening through Tuesday
morning FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Andrews...Borden...
Dawson...Gaines.
&&
84/70
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http://weather.gov/midlandHazardous weather outlook, May 4, 12:47 PM MDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 147 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-051900- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 147 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015 /1247 PM MDT MON MAY 4 2015/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THE MAIN THREATS INCLUDE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...MAINLY ACROSS THE LOWER TRANS PECOS. HEAVY RAINFALL LOOKS LIKELY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY... STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND POTENTIALLY WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN THREATS INCLUDE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
In the hours before
Special weather statement, May 4, 1:55 PM MDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 255 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015 TXZ074-042030- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- 255 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015 ...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH 8 PM CDT... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR THE INTERSTATE 10 AND 20 SPLIT. GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS. && LAT...LON 3123 10413 3107 10390 3090 10414 3099 10432 TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 212DEG 7KT 3103 10417
Local storm report, May 4, 2:33 PM MDT, 1 hour 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
333 PM CDT MON MAY 04 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 PM HAIL 7 SE KENT 31.00N 104.14W
05/04/2015 E1.75 INCH JEFF DAVIS TX PUBLIC
STARTED AT 308 PM AND ENDED AT 325 PM.
&&
ANDREW.ARNOLDSpecial weather statement, May 4, 2:50 PM MDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
350 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015
TXZ058-059-067-042115-
LOVING-WARD-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
350 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55
MPH WINDS AFFECTING NORTH CENTRAL REEVES...NORTHWESTERN WARD AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...
TWO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WERE LOCATED
IN REEVES COUNTY AT 347 PM CDT. ONE STRONG STORM WAS LOCATED 17
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MENTONE AT 347 PM CDT. ANOTHER STRONG STORM WAS
25 MILES SOUTH OF ORLA NEAR HIGHWAY 285. BOTH STORMS WERE MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS.
&&
LAT...LON 3164 10402 3176 10403 3189 10401 3187 10364
3165 10336 3136 10382 3152 10393
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 220DEG 10KT 3153 10378Special weather statement, May 4, 2:53 PM MDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 353 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015 TXZ057-058-074-042115- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA- REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- 353 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55 MPH WINDS AFFECTING CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM CDT... A THUNDERSTORM WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED IN OPEN COUNTRY OF CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY...35 MILES NORTHWEST OF KENT AT 352 PM CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS. && LAT...LON 3158 10439 3140 10412 3113 10436 3129 10467 TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 220DEG 10KT 3130 10444
Local storm report, May 4, 3:50 PM MDT, 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
450 PM CDT MON MAY 04 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0447 PM HAIL 1 N SARAGOSA 31.04N 103.66W
05/04/2015 E1.75 INCH REEVES TX LAW ENFORCEMENT
GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL ONGOING
&&
DHSpecial weather statement, May 4, 3:58 PM MDT, 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 458 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015 TXZ045-042230- GAINES- 458 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING NORTH CENTRAL GAINES COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM CDT... A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SEAGRAVES AT 458 PM CDT...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS GUSTING TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND SOUTHWEST TEXAS. && LAT...LON 3295 10278 3295 10238 3282 10249 3286 10274 TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 197DEG 17KT 3292 10262
The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 6:10 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Lea | 50 min |
| May 4, 1:44 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Lea | 31 min |
| May 4, 2:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Lea | 23 min |
| May 4, 4:28 PM MDT | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Eddy | 47 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in New Mexico, 2015Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.