Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 89, NWS St. Louis, MO

June 25, 2015Lincoln County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jun 25, 2015, 3:21 PM CDT for Lincoln County, Missouri. It took effect at Jun 25, 2015, 9:53 PM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2015, 3:21 PM CDT (20:21 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 25, 2015, 9:53 PM CDT
Expired
Jun 29, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Lincoln County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Cuivre River at Troy (TRYM7). The gauge peaked at 28.63 ft at Jun 26, 2015, 2:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor10203006/2506/2606/2706/2806/2906/30
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
21 ft
Moderate stage
25 ft
Major stage
29 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05514500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

649 
WGUS43 KLSX 252021
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
321 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following river in Missouri... 


  Cuivre River near Troy


.This Flood Warning is a result of less than 0.25 inches of precipitation
the past 24 hours and 1.5 to 3 inches forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than currently forecast could cause river levels to rise
even higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-262021-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0089.150626T1532Z-150629T0600Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.150626T1532Z.150627T1200Z.150628T0600Z.NO/
321 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* from Friday morning to Sunday morning.
* At 3 PM Thursday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to rise above flood stage Friday
  morning, crest near 27.4 feet Saturday morning and fall below flood
  stage Saturday night.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant 
  agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact:  At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow 
  Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the 
  West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact:  At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of 
  Highway C.
* Impact:  At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road 
  (County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded 
  between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact:  At 21.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Left bank overflows.  Minor 
  flooding begins.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...From Highway 61 east to Frenchmans Bluff...
  low lying agricultural land is inundated.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0    9.16      16.8   27.4   16.8   11.0    9.2

&&

LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090
6 follow-up statements
269 
WGUS43 KLSX 260300
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1000 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Moderate to Major Severity for the 
following rivers in Missouri...


  Cuivre River 
  
    near Troy
    at Old Monroe
    

.This Flood Warning is a result of 3 to 6 inches of precipitation the 
past 12 hours and 1 to 3 inches forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than currently forecast could cause river levels to
rise even higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will
monitor this situation and issue follow up statements as conditions
or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-270300-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.150626T0253Z-150628T2000Z/
/TRYM7.3.ER.150626T0219Z.150626T1200Z.150627T2000Z.NO/
1000 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Cuivre River near Troy
* until Saturday evening.
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 21.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 30.0 feet Friday morning 
  and should fall below flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact:  At 29.0 feet...Water begins surrounding several homes along
  Tobago Court in Tropicana Village Mobile Home Park in Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 28.5 feet...Vehicle storage lot starts flooding on the 
  north end of Tropicana Village Mobile Home Park in Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 28.0 feet...Near this height, MoDoT will consider 
  closing U.S. Highway 61 at the Cuivre River bridge north of Troy in
  both directions.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant 
  agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact:  At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow 
  Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the 
  West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact:  At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of 
  Highway C.
* Impact:  At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road 
  (County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded 
  between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   21.58      30.0   24.7   14.0   10.4    9.1

&&

LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090

$$

MOC113-270259-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150623T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1000 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Cuivre River at Old Monroe until further notice
* At 9:30 AM Thursday the stage was 25.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 31.5 feet Saturday
  evening.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.
* Impact:  At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is 
  reached.
* Impact:  At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street 
  is flooded.
* Impact:  At 30.0 feet...Major flooding begins.  Residential flooding
  in Old Monroe.
* Impact:  At 29.1 feet...Streets in Old Monroe begin flooding.
* Impact:  At 28.1 feet...Dyer Road upstream from the gauge begins 
  flooding just downstream of the new Highway 79 bridge.
* Impact:  At 27.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gauge.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   25.80      27.0   30.4   31.2   29.8   28.3

&&

LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061 3876 9062                       

$$
831 
WGUS83 KLSX 261604
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...
 
  Cuivre River near Troy 
  Old Monroe

  North Fabius River near Ewing  

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing  

  South Fabius River near Taylor  

  North River at Palmyra 

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday 

.Excessive rain was reported in east central Missouri, from 4.00 to
7.00 inches, fell across the Cuivre River basin. Across northeast Missouri
2.00 to 2.50 inches was common overnight and this morning...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-271604-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-150629T0224Z/
/TRYM7.3.ER.150626T0219Z.150627T0000Z.150628T0224Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 29.8 feet by 
  later this afternoon/early evening. The river will fall below flood
  stage tomorrow late afternoon. 
* Impact:  At 29.0 feet...Water begins surrounding several homes along
  Tobago Court in Tropicana Village Mobile Home Park in Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 28.5 feet...Vehicle storage lot starts flooding on the 
  north end of Tropicana Village Mobile Home Park in Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 28.0 feet...Near this height, MoDoT will consider 
  closing U.S. Highway 61 at the Cuivre River bridge north of Troy in
  both directions.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant 
  agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact:  At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow 
  Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the 
  West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact:  At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of 
  Highway C.
* Impact:  At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road 
  (County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded 
  between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact:  At 21.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Left bank overflows.  Minor 
  flooding begins.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...From Highway 61 east to Frenchmans Bluff...
  low lying agricultural land is inundated.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   28.29      27.6   16.1   10.8    9.3    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-271603-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150623T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 AM Friday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 32.2 feet by 
  tomorrow evening then begin falling.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.
* Impact:  At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is 
  reached.
* Impact:  At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street 
  is flooded.
* Impact:  At 30.0 feet...Major flooding begins.  Residential flooding
  in Old Monroe.
* Impact:  At 29.1 feet...Streets in Old Monroe begin flooding.
* Impact:  At 28.1 feet...Dyer Road upstream from the gage begins 
  flooding just downstream of the new Highway 79 bridge.
* Impact:  At 27.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   27.50      31.0   31.7   30.2   29.0   27.2


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

MOC111-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-150630T0800Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.150621T0426Z.150627T0600Z.150629T0800Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* At  9:46 AM Friday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 21.8 feet 
  overnight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins 
  flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Juniper Avenue (Lewis County Road 513) will 
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.6 feet...Left bank overflows at the gage.
* Impact:  At 17.3 feet...195th Street (County Road 516) just east of 
  Monticello will be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Right bank begins flooding at the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.5 feet...Crop damage begins near Monticello.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   18.10      21.7   15.8   10.2    7.4    5.9


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-150630T1851Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.150623T0312Z.150628T0000Z.150629T1851Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 21.6 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...Lewis County Road Monterey Street near Lemon
  Street will begin flooding near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.7 feet...Lewis County Road 504 will begin flooding 
  near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.5 feet...Yards begin flooding in Maywood.
* Impact:  At 18.3 feet...Oak Avenue (Lewis County Road 582) begins 
  flooding.
* Impact:  At 17.8 feet...Olive Avenue (Lewis County Road 587) north 
  of Maywood begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 17.7 feet...Lewis County Road 508 will begin flooding 
  near this height.
* Impact:  At 16.6 feet...Left bank overflows downstream of bridge 
  near the gage.
* Impact:  At 15.7 feet...Right bank overflows upstream of bridge near
  the gage.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   20.45      21.0   20.8   13.9    9.1    6.7
* until Monday afternoon.

&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150630T0615Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.150624T1404Z.150627T1800Z.150629T0615Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.1 feet...Small levee immediately downstream of the 
  gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Cornfield just south and downstream of the 
  County Road 315 bridge at the gage begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.7 feet...County Road 319 just north of the gage 
  begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.6 feet...Missouri State Route M west of Route D 
  begins flooding near this height.  This road closed during South 
  Fabius River flood of September 11, 2014.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded north
  of County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact:  At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   15.02      17.1   15.1    7.3    4.4    3.7


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC127-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.150625T0924Z.150626T0115Z.150628T0600Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is past crest and will continue to fall to
  below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads 
  along North River are impassable:  230, 324, 329, and 335.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   19.72      16.3   11.5    7.4    5.7    5.3


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC137-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T2018Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0900Z.150627T1200Z.150628T1818Z.UU/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 21.0 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge.  Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact:  At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State 
  Highway A bridge north of Holliday.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.41      21.0   18.0   11.0    8.2    7.0


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
340 
WGUS83 KLSX 270151
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Cuivre River near Troy and at Old Monroe

  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing 

  South Fabius River near Taylor 

  North River at Palmyra 

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 2 to 6 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours and little rainfall forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-280151-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-150628T1123Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.150626T0219Z.150626T1845Z.150627T1123Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* until Sunday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   27.54      20.6   12.6    9.8    8.8    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-280150-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150623T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At 12:00 PM Friday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 31.7 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.
* Impact:  At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is 
  reached.
* Impact:  At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street 
  is flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   28.40      31.4   30.9   29.5   28.5   27.2


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

MOC111-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-150630T1541Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.150621T0426Z.150627T1200Z.150629T1541Z.NR/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 23.4 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday
  morning.
* Impact:  At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins 
  flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   21.83      23.4   17.2   11.8    8.2    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-150630T2034Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.150623T0312Z.150627T1200Z.150629T2034Z.NR/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 24.6 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  afternoon.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Basements in Maywood begin flooding near 
  this level.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   23.70      24.6   22.1   14.5    9.3    6.8


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150630T0700Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.150624T1404Z.150627T1800Z.150629T0700Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until late Monday night.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.1 feet...Small levee immediately downstream of the 
  gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   15.44      16.9   15.7    7.5    4.4    3.7


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC127-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150629T0208Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.150625T0924Z.150626T0115Z.150628T0208Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Sunday evening.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late evening.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   18.71      16.3   10.6    7.0    5.5    5.1


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC137-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T0800Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0900Z.150627T0600Z.150628T0600Z.UU/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until late Sunday night.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   19.13      19.2   15.9   10.2    7.9    6.9


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
471 
WGUS83 KLSX 270953
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
453 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
       Cuivre River near
       
              Troy  
              Old Monroe

.This Flood Warning is a result of 2 to 6 inches of precipitation the 
past 36 hours and little rainfall forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-280953-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-150628T1812Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.150626T0219Z.150626T1845Z.150627T1812Z.NO/
453 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 4:30 AM Saturday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to fall below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   24.60      23.8   13.5   10.0    8.9    8.3


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-280952-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150623T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
453 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM Friday the stage was 30.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to continue rising to near 32.5 feet by this
  afternoon and then begin falling.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   30.70      32.1   31.3   29.5   28.2   27.2


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$
747 
WGUS83 KLSX 271719
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
 
  Cuivre River near Troy affecting Lincoln County 
  Old Monroe
  
  North Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  South Fabius River near Taylor affecting Marion County 

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday affecting Monroe County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of recent heavy rain, and backwater
from the Mississippi River at Old Monroe...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-281719-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-150628T1812Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.150626T0219Z.150626T1845Z.150627T1812Z.NO/
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* At 12:00 PM Saturday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this afternoon.
* Impact:  At 21.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Left bank overflows.  Minor 
  flooding begins.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...From Highway 61 east to Frenchmans Bluff...
  low lying agricultural land is inundated.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   21.14      13.5   10.1    8.9    8.4    8.1


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-281718-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150623T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* At  6:30 AM Saturday the stage was 31.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 32.2 feet by this
  afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.
* Impact:  At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is 
  reached.
* Impact:  At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street 
  is flooded.
* Impact:  At 30.0 feet...Major flooding begins.  Residential flooding
  in Old Monroe.
* Impact:  At 29.1 feet...Streets in Old Monroe begin flooding.
* Impact:  At 28.1 feet...Dyer Road upstream from the gage begins 
  flooding just downstream of the new Highway 79 bridge.
* Impact:  At 27.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   31.70      31.3   29.5   28.2   27.2   26.3


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

MOC111-281718-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-150701T0524Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.150621T0426Z.150627T1630Z.150630T0524Z.NR/
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* At 11:30 AM Saturday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is near crest, then fall below flood stage
  by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...State Highway A north of Monticello will 
  flood near this height.  The only two times this road has closed in
  recent memory was in 1973 and in 2008.  The 1973 flood was 
  reportedly two feet higher at the highway.
* Impact:  At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins 
  flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Juniper Avenue (Lewis County Road 513) will 
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.6 feet...Left bank overflows at the gage.
* Impact:  At 17.3 feet...195th Street (County Road 516) just east of 
  Monticello will be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Right bank begins flooding at the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.5 feet...Crop damage begins near Monticello.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   24.00      19.7   14.3   10.2    7.8    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC127-281718-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150630T1717Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.150624T1404Z.150627T1630Z.150629T1717Z.NO/
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* At 11:30 AM Saturday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is near crest, then fall flood stage by 
  early Monday afternoon.
* Impact:  At 15.1 feet...Small levee immediately downstream of the 
  gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Cornfield just south and downstream of the 
  County Road 315 bridge at the gage begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.7 feet...County Road 319 just north of the gage 
  begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.6 feet...Missouri State Route M west of Route D 
  begins flooding near this height.  This road closed during South 
  Fabius River flood of September 11, 2014.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded north
  of County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact:  At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   18.32      16.8   11.0    4.9    3.7    3.4


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC137-281718-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T0851Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0900Z.150627T0045Z.150628T0651Z.UU/
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until late Sunday night.
* At 11:30 AM Saturday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is past crest and will to continue to fall.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge.  Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact:  At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State 
  Highway A bridge north of Holliday.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.05      16.4   10.4    8.0    6.9    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
777 
WGUS83 KLSX 271908
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
208 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Missouri...
 
  Cuivre River near Troy 

.This will be the last flood statement for this high water event...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-271938-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-150628T1812Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.150626T0219Z.150626T1845Z.150627T1712Z.NO/
208 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Cuivre River near Troy.
* At  1:30 PM Saturday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Crested at 28.64 feet yesterday afternoon.
* Fell below flood stage at 12:12 PM Saturday.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to 13.5 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...From Highway 61 east to Frenchmans Bluff...
  low lying agricultural land is inundated.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   20.10      13.5   10.1    8.9    8.4    8.1


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 25, 12:46 PM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 12:46 PM CDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1246 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2015

.SHORT TERM: (Today through Friday)
Issued at 350 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2015

Primary concern through Friday is obviously the continuing threat
for heavy rain.  Issued a "shoot from the hip" flash flood watch
through 12Z this morning earlier in the shift for northern portions
of the area, and this still looks reasonable.  Am concerned that the
line of convection over south central Iowa will hold together long
enough to cause problems past 12Z, but the RAP and HRRR have been
pretty insistent that storms will weaken between 11-13Z as the low
level jet continues to veer which should cause the isentropic lift
to weaken across the low level baroclinic zone.  Have a couple of
hours to monitor before the flash flood watch expires, so will make
the call as to whether to extend in time/space around 11Z.

Should see the convection weaken and dissipate this morning with the
residual outflow boundaries merging with the synoptic warm front
which extends across eastern Missouri into southwest Illinois at
this time.  Don't think the front will move much today, and it
should become unstable enough today for scattered thunderstorms to
develop in the afternoon...primarily along and north of I-70, but
just about anywhere could see rain.

Guidance is in pretty good agreement that there will be another
couple of rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms tonight and
Friday ahead of a shortwave which will move across the area.  GFS,
NAM, and SREF are showing P-WATs in excess of 2 inches draped across
the region through Friday ahead of the shortwave and attendant cold
front, any convection to affect the area should be very efficient at
producing rain.  Given antecedent soil conditions and the rain we've
already received from this morning's storms, will go ahead and issue
another flash flood watch for tonight and Friday morning across
central and northeast Missouri into west central Illinois.  This may
be a bit too far north as the signals for the heaviest rainfall for
tonight and Friday look to be primarily in central Missouri, but I
don't want to cut things too fine given what's going on up north
right now and the inherent uncertainty in convective forecasting.
The watch may need to be extended in time and/or space for Friday
afternoon as the cold front moves through, but I will let the day
shift take another look at the heavy rain potential today.

Carney

.LONG TERM: (Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 428 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2015

Shortwave will dig into the Ohio Valley Friday night and the
surface front will sweep through the area finally bringing an end
to the rain. GFS and ECMWF seem to be in good agreement with
ending the precip across the area between 03-09Z Saturday (with
perhaps some lingering sprinkles as a vortmax or two moves across
the area). Saturday and Sunday still look cool and dry for the
most part...although guidance is now printing out some very light
QPF each afternoon as a couple of more shortwaves move across the
area into the base of the longwave trof. Gut feeling is that there
won't be enough low level moisture to fuel precipitation, but it's
something to keep an eye on. More substantial chances for
precipitation develop Sunday night as the low level jet turns back
to the southwest ahead of a clipper-type low allowing moisture
back in from the southeastern Plains. The trof over the eastern
CONUS remains entrenched through the medium range which hints a
temperatures near or a bit below normal into next week and
continuing chances for precipitation as shortwaves move across the
area in the northwest flow aloft.

Carney

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 18z TAFs through 18z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1239 PM CDT Thu Jun 25 2015

Primary concern through early Friday will be on convective trends.
Current thinking is that scattered storms will break out by late
this afternoon and could affect KCOU and the metro St. Louis
terminals. The KUIN terminal may end up too far north for this
activity. So included a VCTS group and KCOU and St. Louis sites
with a TEMPO group MVFR visbys with thunderstorms. Probably going
to be some kind of break overnight...though cannot totally rule
out thunderstorms anytime tonight. More widespread convective
activity is anticipated with an MCS which will likely travel
roughly west to east parallel to the I-70 corridor late tonight
and into early Friday morning. Behind this feature...MVFR ceilings
and potentially visibilities will remain along with a wind shift
to the northwest.

Specifics for KSTL:

Primary concern through early Friday will be on convective trends.
Current thinking is that scattered storms will break out by late
this afternoon and may affect the terminal. So included a VCTS
group along with a TEMPO group for MVFR visbys
with thunderstorms. Probably going to be some kind of break
overnight tonight...though cannot totally rule out thunderstorms
anytime. More widespread convective activity is anticipated with
an MCS which will likely travel roughly west to east parallel to
the I-70 corridor late tonight and into early Friday morning. Best
guess of timing of this feature for KSTL is early Friday morning
with lingering showers through about the noon hour. Behind this
feature...MVFR ceilings and potentially visibilities will remain
along with a wind shift to the northwest through Friday afternoon.

Gosselin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS:
Saint Louis     94  73  78  64 /  50  70  80  60
Quincy          87  68  73  60 /  50  60  70  30
Columbia        93  70  76  61 /  50  80  80  20
Jefferson City  95  71  79  62 /  50  80  80  30
Salem           92  71  80  64 /  50  60  80  70
Farmington      95  71  83  62 /  40  70  80  60

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 7 PM CDT this evening through Friday
     afternoon FOR Audrain MO-Boone MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Knox
     MO-Lewis MO-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-Monroe MO-Montgomery MO-
     Osage MO-Pike MO-Ralls MO-Shelby MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 7 PM CDT this evening through Friday
     afternoon FOR Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 9:48 AM CDT, 5 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
948 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-261215-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
948 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA
AGAIN TONIGHT. FLASH FLOODING IS A REAL POSSIBILITY AND A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. SOME OF THE STORMS
COULD BE SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

POINTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER ARE CURRENTLY IN MAJOR FLOOD
STAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

POINTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
EXCEED MAJOR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL MAJOR
FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE NORTH AND MIDDLE FABIUS RIVERS BY
FRIDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN CONTINUE TO BE LIKELY FRIDAY AND
POSSIBLY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR PARTS OF THE AREA INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONALLY...SOME
OF THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI
AND
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA..

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE.

GOSSELIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 11:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis64 min
Jun 24, 11:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSXAudrain, Knox, Lewis, Lincoln, Marion, Monroe and 3 more7 hr
Jun 25, 12:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby38 min
Jun 25, 1:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis6 hr
Jun 25, 2:39 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXMarion, Shelby7 hr
Jun 25, 3:20 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMarion52 hr
Jun 25, 4:06 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade and 17 more39 hr
Jun 25, 7:03 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis4 hr
Jun 25, 9:19 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMonroe62 hr
Jun 25, 9:26 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXLewis, Marion, Shelby4 hr
Jun 25, 10:54 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis4 hr
Jun 25, 1:28 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXMarion, Shelby7 hr
Jun 25, 2:51 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis6 hr
Jun 25, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln60 min
Jun 25, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis54 min
Jun 25, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles19 min
Jun 25, 6:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXLincoln, Saint Charles14 hr
Jun 25, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln66 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.