Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 87, NWS St. Louis, MO

June 25, 2015Marion County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jun 25, 2015, 3:20 AM CDT for Marion County, Missouri. It took effect at Jun 25, 2015, 5:55 AM CDT. It was in force for 49 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 25, 2015, 3:20 AM CDT (08:20 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 25, 2015, 5:55 AM CDT
Expired
Jun 27, 2015, 7:00 AM CDT
In force
49 hr
Issued by
NWS St. Louis, MO
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Marion County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 146 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point North River (MO) at Palmyra (PALM7). The gauge peaked at 20.68 ft at Jun 25, 2015, 8:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor10152006/2506/2606/2706/28
Action stage
11 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
16 ft
Major stage
22 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05501000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

841 
WGUS43 KLSX 250820
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
320 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following river in Missouri... 


  North River at Palmyra


.This Flood Warning is a result of recent heavy rainfall including
1 to 3 inches of precipitation in the past 3 hours and an additional
1 to 2 inches forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than currently forecast could cause river levels to
rise even higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will
monitor this developing situation and issue follow up statements as
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-260820-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0087.150625T1055Z-150627T1200Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.150625T1055Z.150625T1800Z.150626T1200Z.NO/
320 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Friday.
* At 3 AM Thursday the stage was 9.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 18.3 feet this afternoon
  and should fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact: At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gauge.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gauge.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact: At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

North River
  Palmyra         13.0    8.98      14.5   13.0    8.6    6.5    5.3

&&

LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
7 follow-up statements
851 
WGUS83 KLSX 251430
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
930 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  South Fabius River near Taylor affecting Marion County 

  North River at Palmyra affecting Marion County 

.This flood warning is a result of 2.00 to 4.00 inches of rain across the 
basin last night and earlier this morning...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-261429-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-150630T0532Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.150621T0426Z.150627T1200Z.150629T0532Z.NO/
930 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 20.5 feet by 
  Saturday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins 
  flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Juniper Avenue (Lewis County Road 513) will 
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.6 feet...Left bank overflows at the gage.
* Impact:  At 17.3 feet...195th Street (County Road 516) just east of 
  Monticello will be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Right bank begins flooding at the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.5 feet...Crop damage begins near Monticello.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   16.66      17.3   20.5   15.5    9.5    6.9


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-261429-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-150630T1317Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.150623T0312Z.150627T1800Z.150629T1317Z.NO/
930 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 20.4 feet by 
  Saturday early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...Lewis County Road Monterey Street near Lemon
  Street will begin flooding near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.7 feet...Lewis County Road 504 will begin flooding 
  near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.5 feet...Yards begin flooding in Maywood.
* Impact:  At 18.3 feet...Oak Avenue (Lewis County Road 582) begins 
  flooding.
* Impact:  At 17.8 feet...Olive Avenue (Lewis County Road 587) north 
  of Maywood begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 17.7 feet...Lewis County Road 508 will begin flooding 
  near this height.
* Impact:  At 16.6 feet...Left bank overflows downstream of bridge 
  near the gage.
* Impact:  At 15.7 feet...Right bank overflows upstream of bridge near
  the gage.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   18.39      19.6   20.2   19.4   12.3    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-261429-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150629T1652Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.150624T1404Z.150626T1800Z.150628T1652Z.NO/
930 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 13.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 18.5 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  late Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.1 feet...Small levee immediately downstream of the 
  gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Cornfield just south and downstream of the 
  County Road 315 bridge at the gage begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.7 feet...County Road 319 just north of the gage 
  begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.6 feet...Missouri State Route M west of Route D 
  begins flooding near this height.  This road closed during South 
  Fabius River flood of September 11, 2014.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded north
  of County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact:  At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   13.82      18.2   16.4   10.8    5.8    4.0


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC127-261429-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150627T1800Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.150625T0924Z.150625T1800Z.150626T1800Z.NO/
930 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* At  8:30 AM Thursday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 19.1 feet by this
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow early 
  afternoon.
* Impact:  At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads 
  along North River are impassable:  230, 324, 329, and 335.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   17.10      13.9    9.8    7.4    5.8    5.4


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$
172 
WGUS43 KLSX 252027
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
327 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity for the 
following rivers in Missouri...


  North River at Palmyra
  

.This Flood Warning is a result of 2 to 5 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours and 1 to 2 inches forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

rainfall heavier than currently forecast could cause river levels to
rise even higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will
monitor this developing situation and issue follow up statements as
conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-262027-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150629T0342Z/
/PALM7.3.ER.150625T0924Z.150626T1200Z.150628T0342Z.NR/
327 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The North River at Palmyra
* At 2:30 PM Thursday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 22.0 feet Friday morning
  and should fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact:  At 22.1 feet...Agricultural levee along the right bank near
  the gauge is over topped.
* Impact:  At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads 
  along North River are impassable:  230, 324, 329, and 335.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   19.10      22.0   17.0   10.2    7.1    5.8

&&

LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
942 
WGUS83 KLSX 260318
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1018 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...


  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

  North River at Palmyra
  
  
.This Flood Warning is a result of very heavy rainfall from last night
and 1 to 2 inches forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than currently forecast could cause river levels to rise
even higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor
this situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-270318-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-150630T0830Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.150621T0426Z.150627T0600Z.150629T0830Z.NO/
1018 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Monday morning.
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 16.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 21.9 feet Friday night
  and should fall below flood stage Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins 
  flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Juniper Avenue (Lewis County Road 513) will 
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.6 feet...Left bank overflows at the gauge.
* Impact:  At 17.3 feet...195th Street (County Road 516) just east of 
  Monticello will be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Right bank begins flooding at the gauge.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   16.82      17.6   21.8   15.9   10.3    7.4

&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154

$$

MOC111-270318-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-150630T1800Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.150623T0312Z.150628T0000Z.150629T1800Z.NO/
1018 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Monday evening
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 21.4 feet Saturday evening
  and should fall below flood stage Monday.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...Lewis County Road Monterey Street near Lemon
  Street will begin flooding near this height.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   19.24      19.5   20.6   20.7   13.8    8.7

&&

LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162

$$


MOC127-270318-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150630T0051Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.150624T1404Z.150627T0000Z.150629T0051Z.NO/
1018 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Monday morning.
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 17.9 feet Friday evening
  and should fall below flood stage Sunday evening.
* Impact:  At 15.1 feet...Small levee immediately downstream of the 
  gauge is over topped, flooding agricultural fields.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Cornfield just south and downstream of the 
  County Road 315 bridge at the gauge begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   14.63      15.8   17.5   12.7    6.3    4.4

&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176

$$

MOC127-270318-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150629T0342Z/
/PALM7.3.ER.150625T0924Z.150626T1200Z.150628T0342Z.NR/
1018 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Sunday morning.
* At 9:30 PM Thursday the stage was 20.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 22.0 feet Saturday morning
  and should fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact:  At 22.1 feet...Agricultural levee along the right bank near
  the gauge is over topped.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/26  06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   20.61      22.0   16.8   10.2    7.1    5.8

&&

LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170

$$
447 
WGUS83 KLSX 260909
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
409 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...


  North River at Palmyra 

  Middle Fork of the Salt River near Holliday
  

.This Flood Warning is a result of recent heavy rainfall and 0.5 to 1
inch forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Rainfall heavier than currently forecast could cause river levels to rise
even higher than predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-270909-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150629T1609Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.150625T0924Z.150626T0115Z.150628T1609Z.NO/
409 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 3:30 AM Friday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river crested at 20.7 feet this evening and is forecast
  to fall below flood stage Sunday.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   20.14      19.8   16.0   13.9    8.4    5.7

&&

LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170

$$

MOC137-270909-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T0415Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0836Z.150627T0600Z.150628T0215Z.UU/
409 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Sunday morning.
* At 3:30 AM Friday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 19.8 feet tonight and 
  should fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Waste water lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge.  Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact:  At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   16.99      17.3   19.6   13.6    8.8    7.3

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221                       

$$
831 
WGUS83 KLSX 261604
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...
 
  Cuivre River near Troy 
  Old Monroe

  North Fabius River near Ewing  

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing  

  South Fabius River near Taylor  

  North River at Palmyra 

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday 

.Excessive rain was reported in east central Missouri, from 4.00 to
7.00 inches, fell across the Cuivre River basin. Across northeast Missouri
2.00 to 2.50 inches was common overnight and this morning...


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-271604-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-150629T0224Z/
/TRYM7.3.ER.150626T0219Z.150627T0000Z.150628T0224Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 29.8 feet by 
  later this afternoon/early evening. The river will fall below flood
  stage tomorrow late afternoon. 
* Impact:  At 29.0 feet...Water begins surrounding several homes along
  Tobago Court in Tropicana Village Mobile Home Park in Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 28.5 feet...Vehicle storage lot starts flooding on the 
  north end of Tropicana Village Mobile Home Park in Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 28.0 feet...Near this height, MoDoT will consider 
  closing U.S. Highway 61 at the Cuivre River bridge north of Troy in
  both directions.
* Impact:  At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant 
  agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact:  At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow 
  Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the 
  West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact:  At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of 
  Highway C.
* Impact:  At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road 
  (County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact:  At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded 
  between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact:  At 21.0 feet...Flood Stage.  Left bank overflows.  Minor 
  flooding begins.
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...From Highway 61 east to Frenchmans Bluff...
  low lying agricultural land is inundated.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   28.29      27.6   16.1   10.8    9.3    8.5


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-271603-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150623T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At  7:00 AM Friday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 32.2 feet by 
  tomorrow evening then begin falling.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.
* Impact:  At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is 
  reached.
* Impact:  At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street 
  is flooded.
* Impact:  At 30.0 feet...Major flooding begins.  Residential flooding
  in Old Monroe.
* Impact:  At 29.1 feet...Streets in Old Monroe begin flooding.
* Impact:  At 28.1 feet...Dyer Road upstream from the gage begins 
  flooding just downstream of the new Highway 79 bridge.
* Impact:  At 27.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact:  At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding 
  develops upstream of the gage.  A utility road is flooded along the
  Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact:  At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   27.50      31.0   31.7   30.2   29.0   27.2


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

MOC111-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-150630T0800Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.150621T0426Z.150627T0600Z.150629T0800Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* At  9:46 AM Friday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 21.8 feet 
  overnight. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins 
  flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).
* Impact:  At 18.0 feet...Juniper Avenue (Lewis County Road 513) will 
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.6 feet...Left bank overflows at the gage.
* Impact:  At 17.3 feet...195th Street (County Road 516) just east of 
  Monticello will be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Right bank begins flooding at the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.5 feet...Crop damage begins near Monticello.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   18.10      21.7   15.8   10.2    7.4    5.9


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-150630T1851Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.150623T0312Z.150628T0000Z.150629T1851Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 21.6 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 19.2 feet...Lewis County Road Monterey Street near Lemon
  Street will begin flooding near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.7 feet...Lewis County Road 504 will begin flooding 
  near this height.
* Impact:  At 18.5 feet...Yards begin flooding in Maywood.
* Impact:  At 18.3 feet...Oak Avenue (Lewis County Road 582) begins 
  flooding.
* Impact:  At 17.8 feet...Olive Avenue (Lewis County Road 587) north 
  of Maywood begins flooding.
* Impact:  At 17.7 feet...Lewis County Road 508 will begin flooding 
  near this height.
* Impact:  At 16.6 feet...Left bank overflows downstream of bridge 
  near the gage.
* Impact:  At 15.7 feet...Right bank overflows upstream of bridge near
  the gage.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   20.45      21.0   20.8   13.9    9.1    6.7
* until Monday afternoon.

&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150630T0615Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.150624T1404Z.150627T1800Z.150629T0615Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.1 feet...Small levee immediately downstream of the 
  gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Cornfield just south and downstream of the 
  County Road 315 bridge at the gage begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.7 feet...County Road 319 just north of the gage 
  begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.6 feet...Missouri State Route M west of Route D 
  begins flooding near this height.  This road closed during South 
  Fabius River flood of September 11, 2014.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded north
  of County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact:  At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   15.02      17.1   15.1    7.3    4.4    3.7


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC127-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.150625T0924Z.150626T0115Z.150628T0600Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river is past crest and will continue to fall to
  below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads 
  along North River are impassable:  230, 324, 329, and 335.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   19.72      16.3   11.5    7.4    5.7    5.3


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC137-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T2018Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0900Z.150627T1200Z.150628T1818Z.UU/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 21.0 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday 
  early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge.  Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact:  At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State 
  Highway A bridge north of Holliday.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.41      21.0   18.0   11.0    8.2    7.0


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
340 
WGUS83 KLSX 270151
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  Cuivre River near Troy and at Old Monroe

  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing 

  South Fabius River near Taylor 

  North River at Palmyra 

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 2 to 6 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours and little rainfall forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-280151-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-150628T1123Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.150626T0219Z.150626T1845Z.150627T1123Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* until Sunday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   27.54      20.6   12.6    9.8    8.8    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-280150-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150623T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At 12:00 PM Friday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 31.7 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.
* Impact:  At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is 
  reached.
* Impact:  At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street 
  is flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   28.40      31.4   30.9   29.5   28.5   27.2


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

MOC111-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-150630T1541Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.150621T0426Z.150627T1200Z.150629T1541Z.NR/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 23.4 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday
  morning.
* Impact:  At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins 
  flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   21.83      23.4   17.2   11.8    8.2    6.4


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-150630T2034Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.150623T0312Z.150627T1200Z.150629T2034Z.NR/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 24.6 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  afternoon.
* Impact:  At 24.0 feet...Basements in Maywood begin flooding near 
  this level.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   23.70      24.6   22.1   14.5    9.3    6.8


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150630T0700Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.150624T1404Z.150627T1800Z.150629T0700Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until late Monday night.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact:  At 15.1 feet...Small levee immediately downstream of the 
  gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   15.44      16.9   15.7    7.5    4.4    3.7


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC127-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150629T0208Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.150625T0924Z.150626T0115Z.150628T0208Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Sunday evening.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late evening.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   18.71      16.3   10.6    7.0    5.5    5.1


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC137-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T0800Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0900Z.150627T0600Z.150628T0600Z.UU/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until late Sunday night.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast:  The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage 
  early Sunday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/27  06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   19.13      19.2   15.9   10.2    7.9    6.9


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$
501 
WGUS83 KLSX 270932
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
432 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
    North River at
    
          Palmyra

.This will be the last statement for this event...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-271002-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150629T0208Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.150625T0924Z.150626T0115Z.150627T0815Z.NO/
432 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the North River at Palmyra.
* At 3:30 AM Saturday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 3:15 AM Saturday.
* Forecast:  The river is forecast to continue to fall to 7.6 feet by Sunday 
  morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     06/28  06/29  06/30  07/01  07/02

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   12.73      11.2    7.6    6.1    5.4    5.1


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 25, 12:48 AM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 12:48 AM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1248 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2015

.UPDATE:
Issued at 1012 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2015

Severe bow echo across south central IA will track southeastward
into portions of northeast MO and west central IL late tonight.
Severe thunderstorm watch is in effect for late tonight across
this area with damaging winds being the primary threat with these
storms. There will also be the potential for heavy rainfall which
could lead to flash flooding across northeast MO and west central
IL as well late tonight. The convection will likely weaken as it
drops southeastward towards the St Louis metro area towards
morning.

GKS

&&

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Late Tonight)
Issued at 343 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2015

Weak frontal boundary is slowly lifting north through forecast area
this afternoon. Main question is where will the boundary be by
tonight as this determines where the best chances of precipitation
are for the forecast area. Both 12z NAM and GFS have frontal
boundary extending from surface low over southwestern Iowa by 00z
this evening extending to the east then curve to the southeast along
the Mississippi River. With decent low level jet and moisture
pooling along front, will see MCS develop north of boundary and
track along it. Corfdi vectors have complex slide south southeast
through northeast MO/west central IL late tonight. Will advise
evening shift that pops may need to be raised further south if
complex turns sooner. Will see a sharp gradient on qpf with this
system, ranging from a quarter of an inch to near an inch in west
central Illinois. Creeks and streams in this area are running
bankful in some locations due to the heavy rain, between 1 and 3
inches, that fell overnight and this morning. As for severe chances,
with decent instability, lapse rates and shear, could see severe
storms develop with main threats being large hail, damaging winds,
as well as a few tornadoes. SPC has put northeast MO/west central
IL in a slight risk with a smaller portion of this area on the
southern periphery of an enhanced risk. Otherwise, a mild night on
hand with lows only in the low to mid 70s.

Byrd

.LONG TERM:  (Thursday through Next Wednesday)
Issued at 343 PM CDT Wed Jun 24 2015

Frontal boundary to begin moving slowly south into forecast area
on Thursday. Will see several shortwaves move along boundary
through Friday night. Best chances of rain will be Thursday night
through Friday. Some concern about rainfall amounts with this
system, could see an inch or two with locally higher amounts
possible, will just depend on how fast or slow system moves
through. It appears to be a fairly progressive system onces in
starts moving through.

Precipitation will taper off Friday night and will see cooler and
drier weather for the weekend. Next chance for rain will be Sunday
night through Wednesday with several rounds expected once again on
active northwest flow aloft. Highs during the weekend will be in the
mid to upper 70s, then moderate a bit by Tuesday.

Byrd

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 06z TAFs through 06z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1228 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2015

The leading edge of a large NW-SE elonagated complex of thunderstorms
has moved out of Iowa into northeast MO and will continue tracking
southeast impacting KUIN for a good portion of the overnight hours.
Heavy rain and gusty winds and IFR conditions can be expected periodically
at the terminal. Present indications are that thunderstorms should
weaken and move to the east of the terminal between 12-14z. How
far south the storms may get is difficult to gage. Think they will
remain northeast of KCOU but the St. Louis area may be a close
call with the fringes and thus have added a VCTS in the 11-15z
time frame. After the morning activity, I am anticipating a lull
with VFR flight conditions until late this afternoon and early
this evening. At that time, new thunderstorms are expected to
develop along an east-west front located across northern MO into
central IL. A very stormy night is expected in the vicinity of
this front with potential for significant impacts at many of the
terminals.

Specifics for KSTL:

Watching an elongated complex of thunderstorms currently stretching
from northeast MO into central IA, and tracking southeast. Whether
they impact KSTL is difficult to gage and think it will be a close
call with the fringes skirting the area, and thus have added a
VCTS in the 11-15z time frame. After the morning activity, I am
anticipating a lull with VFR flight conditions until early this
evening. At that time, new thunderstorms are expected to develop
along an east-west front located across northern MO into central
IL. The storms should move east-southeast and there is potential
for a very stormy night with significant impacts at the terminal.

Glass

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 7 AM CDT this morning FOR Audrain MO-
     Knox MO-Lewis MO-Lincoln MO-Marion MO-Monroe MO-Pike MO-
     Ralls MO-Shelby MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 7 AM CDT this morning FOR Adams IL-Brown
     IL-Calhoun IL-Greene IL-Jersey IL-Pike IL.

&&

WFO LSX
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 24, 4:05 PM CDT, 11 hours 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
405 PM CDT WED JUN 24 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-251230-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
405 PM CDT WED JUN 24 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. SOME SEVERE STORMS WITH
LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AS WELL AS A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
MAINLY ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST MISSOURI INTO EAST CENTRAL
ILLINOIS.

POINTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER ARE CURRENTLY IN MAJOR FLOOD
STAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

POINTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
EXCEED MAJOR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
SOME SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA.

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AND
CONTINUES INTO TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

BYRD

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 25, 12:06 AM CDT, 3 hours 14 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1206 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1204 AM     HAIL             HURDLAND                40.15N  92.30W
06/25/2015  E0.25 INCH       KNOX               MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MILLER
Special weather statement, Jun 25, 1:13 AM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
113 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

ILZ095-097-MOZ019-026-027-034-035-250715-
ADAMS IL-LEWIS MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-PIKE IL-RALLS MO-SHELBY MO-
113 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ADAMS AND WESTERN
PIKE COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...AND SHELBY...RALLS...
MONROE...MARION AND SOUTHEASTERN LEWIS COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST MISSOURI
UNTIL 215 AM CDT...

AT 111 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM MAYWOOD TO
PHILADELPHIA TO 7 MILES NORTH OF CLARENCE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH
HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  QUINCY...
  PALMYRA...
  SHELBINA...
  HANNIBAL...
  MONROE CITY...
  PARIS...
  SHELBYVILLE...
  CLARENCE...
  EMDEN...
  WARREN...

THIS STORM WILL AFFECT MARK TWAIN LAKE RECREATIONAL AREA...UNION
COVERED BRIDGE HISTORIC SITE AND WAKONDA STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL IMPACT...
INTERSTATE 172 FROM EXIT 2 TO EXIT 15.
INTERSTATE 72 FROM EXIT 4 TO EXIT 10.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...AND A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THIS AREA. BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND TV
STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY.

TRUETT
Local storm report, Jun 25, 2:42 AM CDT, 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
242 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ENE NOVELTY           40.02N  92.19W
06/25/2015  M2.71 INCH       KNOX               MO   MESONET

            RAINFALL SINCE MIDNIGHT. FROM MISSOURI MESONET SITE

&&

TRUETT

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 11:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis64 min
Jun 24, 11:31 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSXAudrain, Knox, Lewis, Lincoln, Marion, Monroe and 3 more7 hr
Jun 25, 12:07 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXKnox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby38 min
Jun 25, 1:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis6 hr
Jun 25, 2:39 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXMarion, Shelby7 hr
Jun 25, 4:06 AM CDTFlash Flood WatchLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade and 17 more39 hr
Jun 25, 7:03 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis4 hr
Jun 25, 9:19 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXMonroe62 hr
Jun 25, 9:26 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXLewis, Marion, Shelby4 hr
Jun 25, 10:54 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis4 hr
Jun 25, 1:28 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXMarion, Shelby7 hr
Jun 25, 2:51 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningLSXKnox, Lewis6 hr
Jun 25, 3:21 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningLSXLincoln3 days
Jun 25, 5:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln60 min
Jun 25, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis54 min
Jun 25, 5:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXSaint Charles19 min
Jun 25, 6:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXLincoln, Saint Charles14 hr
Jun 25, 6:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln66 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.