Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 88, NWS St. Louis, MO
NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Jun 25, 2015, 9:19 AM CDT for Monroe County, Missouri. It took effect at Jun 25, 2015, 12:36 PM CDT. It was in force for 59 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 25, 2015, 9:19 AM CDT (14:19 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jun 25, 2015, 12:36 PM CDT
- Expired
- Jun 27, 2015, 11:46 PM CDT
- In force
- 59 hr
- Issued by
- NWS St. Louis, MO
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Monroe County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 158 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 14:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Middle Fork Salt River near Holliday (PMZM7). The gauge peaked at 19.15 ft at Jun 26, 2015, 7:00 PM CDT.
- Action stage
- 15 ft
- Minor stage
- 17 ft
- Moderate stage
- 22 ft
- Major stage
- 26 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05506350, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
594
WGUS43 KLSX 251420
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
919 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015
...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood
warning for the following river in Missouri...
Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday affecting Monroe County
.This flood warning is a result of 1 to 1.50 inches of rain late
yesterday and overnight...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC137-261419-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0088.150625T1736Z-150627T2152Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150625T1736Z.150626T0600Z.150626T1952Z.UU/
919 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015
The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* from this afternoon to Friday.
* At 9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
rise to near 18.9 feet by early tomorrow morning. The river will
fall below flood stage early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at
about this height. Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact: At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the
State Highway A bridge. Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact: At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
State Highway A bridge.
* Impact: At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State
Highway A bridge north of Holliday.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/26 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30
Salt River
Holliday 17.0 14.25 18.6 12.6 9.7 8.1 7.0
&&
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
3952 9221
$$8 follow-up statements
431
WGUS43 KLSX 260327
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1027 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in Missouri...
Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
.This Flood Warning is a result of recent heavy rainfall and 1 to 2
inches forecast in the next 24 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than
predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts
change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC137-270327-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T0617Z/
/PMZM7.2.ER.150626T0329Z.150626T1200Z.150628T0417Z.UU/
1027 PM CDT THU JUN 25 2015
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday until Sunday morning.
* At 10 PM Thursday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 23.5 feet Friday morning
and should fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Near this height, water will begin flowing
over north Main Street (Business U.S. Highway 24 or Highway 15)
just north of Paris. In July 2008, the water was 7+ ft deep at
this location.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet...House and trailer home below bridge on
Bridge Street floods. Water was 6-8 ft deep at this house in July
2008. Bridge Street likely floods at this height.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet...Waste water lift station begins flooding at
about this height. Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact: At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the
State Highway A bridge. Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact: At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
State Highway A bridge.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/26 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30
Salt River
Holliday 17.0 16.61 23.5 20.1 14.0 9.4 7.4
&&
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221
$$447
WGUS83 KLSX 260909
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
409 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...
North River at Palmyra
Middle Fork of the Salt River near Holliday
.This Flood Warning is a result of recent heavy rainfall and 0.5 to 1
inch forecast in the next 24 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Rainfall heavier than currently forecast could cause river levels to rise
even higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC127-270909-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150629T1609Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.150625T0924Z.150626T0115Z.150628T1609Z.NO/
409 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the North River at Palmyra
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 3:30 AM Friday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river crested at 20.7 feet this evening and is forecast
to fall below flood stage Sunday.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
North River
Palmyra 13.0 20.14 19.8 16.0 13.9 8.4 5.7
&&
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
$$
MOC137-270909-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T0415Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0836Z.150627T0600Z.150628T0215Z.UU/
409 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Sunday morning.
* At 3:30 AM Friday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 19.8 feet tonight and
should fall below flood stage Saturday evening.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet...Waste water lift station begins flooding at
about this height. Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact: At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the
State Highway A bridge. Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact: At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
State Highway A bridge.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
Salt River
Holliday 17.0 16.99 17.3 19.6 13.6 8.8 7.3
&&
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221
$$831
WGUS83 KLSX 261604
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...
Cuivre River near Troy
Old Monroe
North Fabius River near Ewing
Middle Fabius River near Ewing
South Fabius River near Taylor
North River at Palmyra
Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
.Excessive rain was reported in east central Missouri, from 4.00 to
7.00 inches, fell across the Cuivre River basin. Across northeast Missouri
2.00 to 2.50 inches was common overnight and this morning...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC113-271604-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-150629T0224Z/
/TRYM7.3.ER.150626T0219Z.150627T0000Z.150628T0224Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River near Troy
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 29.8 feet by
later this afternoon/early evening. The river will fall below flood
stage tomorrow late afternoon.
* Impact: At 29.0 feet...Water begins surrounding several homes along
Tobago Court in Tropicana Village Mobile Home Park in Moscow Mills.
* Impact: At 28.5 feet...Vehicle storage lot starts flooding on the
north end of Tropicana Village Mobile Home Park in Moscow Mills.
* Impact: At 28.0 feet...Near this height, MoDoT will consider
closing U.S. Highway 61 at the Cuivre River bridge north of Troy in
both directions.
* Impact: At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant
agricultural land is inundated.
* Impact: At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow
Mills begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact: At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the
West Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact: At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of
Highway C.
* Impact: At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road
(County Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded
between Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact: At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Flood Stage. Left bank overflows. Minor
flooding begins.
* Impact: At 18.0 feet...From Highway 61 east to Frenchmans Bluff...
low lying agricultural land is inundated.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
Cuivre River
Troy 21.0 28.29 27.6 16.1 10.8 9.3 8.5
&&
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090
$$
MOC113-271603-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150623T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At 7:00 AM Friday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 32.2 feet by
tomorrow evening then begin falling.
* Impact: At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
Highway 79.
* Impact: At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is
reached.
* Impact: At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street
is flooded.
* Impact: At 30.0 feet...Major flooding begins. Residential flooding
in Old Monroe.
* Impact: At 29.1 feet...Streets in Old Monroe begin flooding.
* Impact: At 28.1 feet...Dyer Road upstream from the gage begins
flooding just downstream of the new Highway 79 bridge.
* Impact: At 27.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact: At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding
develops upstream of the gage. A utility road is flooded along the
Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact: At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
Cuivre River
Old Monroe 24.0 27.50 31.0 31.7 30.2 29.0 27.2
&&
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
3876 9062
$$
MOC111-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-150630T0800Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.150621T0426Z.150627T0600Z.150629T0800Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the North Fabius River near Ewing
* At 9:46 AM Friday the stage was 18.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 21.8 feet
overnight. The river will fall below flood stage
Monday morning.
* Impact: At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins
flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).
* Impact: At 18.0 feet...Juniper Avenue (Lewis County Road 513) will
be flooded at this height.
* Impact: At 17.6 feet...Left bank overflows at the gage.
* Impact: At 17.3 feet...195th Street (County Road 516) just east of
Monticello will be flooded at this height.
* Impact: At 17.1 feet...Right bank begins flooding at the gage.
* Impact: At 16.5 feet...Crop damage begins near Monticello.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
be flooded at this height.
* Impact: At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins
to flood.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
North Fabius River
Ewing 11.0 18.10 21.7 15.8 10.2 7.4 5.9
&&
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154
$$
MOC111-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-150630T1851Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.150623T0312Z.150628T0000Z.150629T1851Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 21.6 feet by
tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday
early afternoon.
* Impact: At 19.2 feet...Lewis County Road Monterey Street near Lemon
Street will begin flooding near this height.
* Impact: At 18.7 feet...Lewis County Road 504 will begin flooding
near this height.
* Impact: At 18.5 feet...Yards begin flooding in Maywood.
* Impact: At 18.3 feet...Oak Avenue (Lewis County Road 582) begins
flooding.
* Impact: At 17.8 feet...Olive Avenue (Lewis County Road 587) north
of Maywood begins flooding.
* Impact: At 17.7 feet...Lewis County Road 508 will begin flooding
near this height.
* Impact: At 16.6 feet...Left bank overflows downstream of bridge
near the gage.
* Impact: At 15.7 feet...Right bank overflows upstream of bridge near
the gage.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
Middle Fabius River
Ewing 12.0 20.45 21.0 20.8 13.9 9.1 6.7
* until Monday afternoon.
&&
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162
$$
MOC127-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150630T0615Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.150624T1404Z.150627T1800Z.150629T0615Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the South Fabius River near Taylor
* At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by
tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage
early Monday morning.
* Impact: At 15.1 feet...Small levee immediately downstream of the
gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.
* Impact: At 14.7 feet...Cornfield just south and downstream of the
County Road 315 bridge at the gage begins to flood.
* Impact: At 13.7 feet...County Road 319 just north of the gage
begins to flood.
* Impact: At 13.6 feet...Missouri State Route M west of Route D
begins flooding near this height. This road closed during South
Fabius River flood of September 11, 2014.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded north
of County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact: At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near
this height.
* Impact: At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level
farmlands.
* Impact: At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia
floods.
* Impact: At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank
just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact: At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just
west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
365.
* Impact: At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage. Minor flooding begins.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
South Fabius River
Taylor 9.5 15.02 17.1 15.1 7.3 4.4 3.7
&&
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
3989 9176
$$
MOC127-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150629T0600Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.150625T0924Z.150626T0115Z.150628T0600Z.NO/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the North River at Palmyra
* At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 19.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is past crest and will continue to fall to
below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact: At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads
along North River are impassable: 230, 324, 329, and 335.
* Impact: At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
flooding near the gage.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra
inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact: At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to
flood.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE. Minor flooding begins.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
North River
Palmyra 13.0 19.72 16.3 11.5 7.4 5.7 5.3
&&
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
$$
MOC137-271603-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T2018Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0900Z.150627T1200Z.150628T1818Z.UU/
1104 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 21.0 feet by
tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Sunday
early afternoon.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at
about this height. Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact: At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the
State Highway A bridge. Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact: At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
State Highway A bridge.
* Impact: At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State
Highway A bridge north of Holliday.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
Salt River
Holliday 17.0 18.41 21.0 18.0 11.0 8.2 7.0
&&
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
3952 9221
$$340
WGUS83 KLSX 270151
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in
Missouri...
Cuivre River near Troy and at Old Monroe
North Fabius River near Ewing
Middle Fabius River near Ewing
South Fabius River near Taylor
North River at Palmyra
Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
.This Flood Warning is a result of 2 to 6 inches of precipitation the
past 24 hours and little rainfall forecast in the next 24 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than
predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts
change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC113-280151-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-150628T1123Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.150626T0219Z.150626T1845Z.150627T1123Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River near Troy
* until Sunday morning.
* At 8:00 PM Friday the stage was 27.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tomorrow morning.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
Cuivre River
Troy 21.0 27.54 20.6 12.6 9.8 8.8 8.4
&&
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090
$$
MOC113-280150-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150623T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At 12:00 PM Friday the stage was 28.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 31.7 feet by
tomorrow early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact: At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
Highway 79.
* Impact: At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is
reached.
* Impact: At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street
is flooded.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
Cuivre River
Old Monroe 24.0 28.40 31.4 30.9 29.5 28.5 27.2
&&
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
3876 9062
$$
MOC111-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-150630T1541Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.150621T0426Z.150627T1200Z.150629T1541Z.NR/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:30 PM Friday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 23.4 feet by
tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage late Monday
morning.
* Impact: At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins
flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
North Fabius River
Ewing 11.0 21.83 23.4 17.2 11.8 8.2 6.4
&&
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154
$$
MOC111-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-150630T2034Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.150623T0312Z.150627T1200Z.150629T2034Z.NR/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 24.6 feet by
tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday
afternoon.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Basements in Maywood begin flooding near
this level.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
Middle Fabius River
Ewing 12.0 23.70 24.6 22.1 14.5 9.3 6.8
&&
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162
$$
MOC127-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150630T0700Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.150624T1404Z.150627T1800Z.150629T0700Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until late Monday night.
* At 7:30 PM Friday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by
tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage
early Monday morning.
* Impact: At 15.1 feet...Small levee immediately downstream of the
gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
South Fabius River
Taylor 9.5 15.44 16.9 15.7 7.5 4.4 3.7
&&
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
3989 9176
$$
MOC127-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-150629T0208Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.150625T0924Z.150626T0115Z.150628T0208Z.NO/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the North River at Palmyra
* until Sunday evening.
* At 7:30 PM Friday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tomorrow late evening.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
North River
Palmyra 13.0 18.71 16.3 10.6 7.0 5.5 5.1
&&
LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170
$$
MOC137-280150-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T0800Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0900Z.150627T0600Z.150628T0600Z.UU/
851 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until late Sunday night.
* At 8:00 PM Friday the stage was 19.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by
after midnight tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage
early Sunday morning.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at
about this height. Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/27 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01
Salt River
Holliday 17.0 19.13 19.2 15.9 10.2 7.9 6.9
&&
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
3952 9221
$$267
WGUS83 KLSX 270940
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
440 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri..
Mid Fork Salt River near
Holliday
.This Flood Warning is a result of recent heavy rainfall...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC137-280940-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T0800Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0900Z.150627T0045Z.150628T0600Z.UU/
440 AM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until late Sunday night.
* At 4:00 AM Saturday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to fall to below flood stage
after midnight tonight.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01 07/02
Salt River
Holliday 17.0 18.64 16.1 10.2 7.9 6.9 6.4
&&
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
3952 9221
$$747
WGUS83 KLSX 271719
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following river in Missouri...
Cuivre River near Troy affecting Lincoln County
Old Monroe
North Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County
South Fabius River near Taylor affecting Marion County
Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday affecting Monroe County
.This Flood Warning is a result of recent heavy rain, and backwater
from the Mississippi River at Old Monroe...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC113-281719-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-150628T1812Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.150626T0219Z.150626T1845Z.150627T1812Z.NO/
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River near Troy
* At 12:00 PM Saturday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
this afternoon.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Flood Stage. Left bank overflows. Minor
flooding begins.
* Impact: At 18.0 feet...From Highway 61 east to Frenchmans Bluff...
low lying agricultural land is inundated.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01 07/02
Cuivre River
Troy 21.0 21.14 13.5 10.1 8.9 8.4 8.1
&&
LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090
$$
MOC113-281718-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0058.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.150623T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* At 6:30 AM Saturday the stage was 31.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 32.2 feet by this
afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact: At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
Highway 79.
* Impact: At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is
reached.
* Impact: At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street
is flooded.
* Impact: At 30.0 feet...Major flooding begins. Residential flooding
in Old Monroe.
* Impact: At 29.1 feet...Streets in Old Monroe begin flooding.
* Impact: At 28.1 feet...Dyer Road upstream from the gage begins
flooding just downstream of the new Highway 79 bridge.
* Impact: At 27.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact: At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding
develops upstream of the gage. A utility road is flooded along the
Old Monroe levee along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact: At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01 07/02
Cuivre River
Old Monroe 24.0 31.70 31.3 29.5 28.2 27.2 26.3
&&
LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
3876 9062
$$
MOC111-281718-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-150701T0524Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.150621T0426Z.150627T1630Z.150630T0524Z.NR/
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the North Fabius River near Ewing
* At 11:30 AM Saturday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is near crest, then fall below flood stage
by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...State Highway A north of Monticello will
flood near this height. The only two times this road has closed in
recent memory was in 1973 and in 2008. The 1973 flood was
reportedly two feet higher at the highway.
* Impact: At 20.5 feet...Olive Street (Lewis County Road 585) begins
flooding near the intersection with 280th Street (County Road 588).
* Impact: At 18.0 feet...Juniper Avenue (Lewis County Road 513) will
be flooded at this height.
* Impact: At 17.6 feet...Left bank overflows at the gage.
* Impact: At 17.3 feet...195th Street (County Road 516) just east of
Monticello will be flooded at this height.
* Impact: At 17.1 feet...Right bank begins flooding at the gage.
* Impact: At 16.5 feet...Crop damage begins near Monticello.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
be flooded at this height.
* Impact: At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins
to flood.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01 07/02
North Fabius River
Ewing 11.0 24.00 19.7 14.3 10.2 7.8 6.4
&&
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154
$$
MOC127-281718-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150630T1717Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.150624T1404Z.150627T1630Z.150629T1717Z.NO/
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the South Fabius River near Taylor
* At 11:30 AM Saturday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is near crest, then fall flood stage by
early Monday afternoon.
* Impact: At 15.1 feet...Small levee immediately downstream of the
gage is overtopped, flooding agricultural fields.
* Impact: At 14.7 feet...Cornfield just south and downstream of the
County Road 315 bridge at the gage begins to flood.
* Impact: At 13.7 feet...County Road 319 just north of the gage
begins to flood.
* Impact: At 13.6 feet...Missouri State Route M west of Route D
begins flooding near this height. This road closed during South
Fabius River flood of September 11, 2014.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded north
of County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact: At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near
this height.
* Impact: At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level
farmlands.
* Impact: At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia
floods.
* Impact: At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank
just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact: At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just
west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
365.
* Impact: At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage. Minor flooding begins.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01 07/02
South Fabius River
Taylor 9.5 18.32 16.8 11.0 4.9 3.7 3.4
&&
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
3989 9176
$$
MOC137-281718-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T0851Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0900Z.150627T0045Z.150628T0651Z.UU/
1219 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until late Sunday night.
* At 11:30 AM Saturday the stage was 18.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is past crest and will to continue to fall.
* Impact: At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the
State Highway A bridge. Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact: At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
State Highway A bridge.
* Impact: At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State
Highway A bridge north of Holliday.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01 07/02
Salt River
Holliday 17.0 18.05 16.4 10.4 8.0 6.9 6.4
&&
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
3952 9221
$$848
WGUS83 KLSX 280057
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
757 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...
North Fabius River near Ewing
Middle Fabius River near Ewing
South Fabius River near Taylor
Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
.This Flood Warning is a result of recent heavy rainfall and around 0.25
inches forecast in the next 24 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Rainfall heavier than currently forecast could cause river levels to rise
even higher than predicted. The National Weather Service will monitor this
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC111-290056-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-150701T1851Z/
/EWNM7.3.ER.150621T0426Z.150628T0600Z.150630T1851Z.NR/
757 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 24.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 25 feet tonight and should
fall below flood stage Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...State Highway A north of Monticello will
flood near this height. The only two times this road has closed in
recent memory was in 1973 and in 2008. The 1973 flood was
reportedly two feet higher at the highway.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01 07/02
North Fabius River
Ewing 11.0 24.75 24.5 17.2 11.9 9.2 7.5
&&
LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154
$$
MOC111-290057-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-150701T0414Z/
/EWMM7.3.ER.150623T0312Z.150628T0030Z.150630T0414Z.NR/
757 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 26.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest this evening near 26.5 feet and
should fall below flood stage Monday evening.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Basements in Maywood begin flooding near
this level.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01 07/02
Middle Fabius River
Ewing 12.0 26.38 25.1 18.2 10.3 7.6 5.6
&&
LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162
$$
MOC127-290056-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150701T0112Z/
/TAYM7.3.ER.150624T1404Z.150628T0030Z.150630T0112Z.NO/
757 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 19.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to crest near 19.3 feet this evening and
should fall below flood stage Monday evening.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01 07/02
South Fabius River
Taylor 9.5 19.20 18.9 13.6 6.1 4.2 3.6
&&
LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176
$$
MOC137-290056-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T0440Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0900Z.150627T0045Z.150628T0240Z.UU/
757 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until tonight.
* At 7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 17.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to fall below flood stage this evening.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01 07/02
Salt River
Holliday 17.0 17.13 16.1 10.6 8.1 7.0 6.4
&&
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221
$$062
WGUS83 KLSX 280446
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1146 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following river in Missouri...
Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
.This will be the last statement for this event...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message: Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles
through flooded areas. The water may be too deep to allow for safe
passage.
This product, along with additional weather and stream information,
is available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.
&&
MOC137-280516-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-150629T0440Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.150626T0900Z.150627T0045Z.150628T0133Z.UU/
1146 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday.
* At 11:30 PM Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 8:30 PM Saturday.
* Forecast: The river is forecast to fall to near 8 feet by Tuesday.
&&
Fld Latest 7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION Stg Obs Stg 06/28 06/29 06/30 07/01 07/02
Salt River
Holliday 17.0 16.62 16.1 10.6 8.1 7.0 6.4
&&
LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jun 25, 7:23 AM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 7:23 AM CDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
723 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2015
.SHORT TERM: (Today through Friday)
Issued at 350 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2015
Primary concern through Friday is obviously the continuing threat
for heavy rain. Issued a "shoot from the hip" flash flood watch
through 12Z this morning earlier in the shift for northern portions
of the area, and this still looks reasonable. Am concerned that the
line of convection over south central Iowa will hold together long
enough to cause problems past 12Z, but the RAP and HRRR have been
pretty insistent that storms will weaken between 11-13Z as the low
level jet continues to veer which should cause the isentropic lift
to weaken across the low level baroclinic zone. Have a couple of
hours to monitor before the flash flood watch expires, so will make
the call as to whether to extend in time/space around 11Z.
Should see the convection weaken and dissipate this morning with the
residual outflow boundaries merging with the synoptic warm front
which extends across eastern Missouri into southwest Illinois at
this time. Don't think the front will move much today, and it
should become unstable enough today for scattered thunderstorms to
develop in the afternoon...primarily along and north of I-70, but
just about anywhere could see rain.
Guidance is in pretty good agreement that there will be another
couple of rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms tonight and
Friday ahead of a shortwave which will move across the area. GFS,
NAM, and SREF are showing P-WATs in excess of 2 inches draped across
the region through Friday ahead of the shortwave and attendant cold
front, any convection to affect the area should be very efficient at
producing rain. Given antecedent soil conditions and the rain we've
already received from this morning's storms, will go ahead and issue
another flash flood watch for tonight and Friday morning across
central and northeast Missouri into west central Illinois. This may
be a bit too far north as the signals for the heaviest rainfall for
tonight and Friday look to be primarily in central Missouri, but I
don't want to cut things too fine given what's going on up north
right now and the inherent uncertainty in convective forecasting.
The watch may need to be extended in time and/or space for Friday
afternoon as the cold front moves through, but I will let the day
shift take another look at the heavy rain potential today.
Carney
.LONG TERM: (Friday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 428 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2015
Shortwave will dig into the Ohio Valley Friday night and the
surface front will sweep through the area finally bringing an end
to the rain. GFS and ECMWF seem to be in good agreement with
ending the precip across the area between 03-09Z Saturday (with
perhaps some lingering sprinkles as a vortmax or two moves across
the area). Saturday and Sunday still look cool and dry for the
most part...although guidance is now printing out some very light
QPF each afternoon as a couple of more shortwaves move across the
area into the base of the longwave trof. Gut feeling is that there
won't be enough low level moisture to fuel precipitation, but it's
something to keep an eye on. More substantial chances for
precipitation develop Sunday night as the low level jet turns back
to the southwest ahead of a clipper-type low allowing moisture
back in from the southeastern Plains. The trof over the eastern
CONUS remains entrenched through the medium range which hints a
temperatures near or a bit below normal into next week and
continuing chances for precipitation as shortwaves move across the
area in the northwest flow aloft.
Carney
&&
.AVIATION: (For the 12z TAFs through 12z Friday Morning)
Issued at 720 AM CDT Thu Jun 25 2015
Intense convection that formed on the southwest periphery of the
overnight MCS and pounded parts of northeast MO has weakened
considerably over the past few hours. Only remaining active
elements are in a narrow W-E band from just SW of KUIN to near
MBY, and associated with the remnants of noctural low level jet.
Believe that this band will be dropping southeast at bit over the
next few hours while intensity diminishes with the weakening of
low level jet. Have included VCTS at both KCOU and STL Metro
TAFs for a few hours, but believe main corridor of activity will remain
north of I-70, with almost all of the convection diminishing in
the 15-16z time frame. Outside of the convection, VFR cigs aoa
4kft are expected through mid morning, and by afternoon have gone
with a warm sector "look" to TAF conditions, with scattered high-
based CU and gusty SW winds after morning outflow boundary erodes.
Storm threat should ramp up again late this afternoon near KUIN in
the vicnity of the cold front...with convection becoming much more
widespread during the overnight hours as low level jet once again
intensifies ahead of shortwave dropping through mid-Missouri
Valley. Obviously timing is a very rough first guess at this
point, but did try to emphasize more widespread/robust convection
when forcing of low level jet should be the greatest...primarily
after 06z.
Specifics for KSTL: Expect cigs in the 4-5kft range through mid
morning, with VCTS specified for several hours as the band of
convection currently over mid MO works a bit south and weakens.
Outflow boundary...which has worked its way into eastern Ozarks
and southern Illinois...should erode by mid morning, and set the
stage for fairly gust southwest winds by afternon, along with
scattered hi-based CU. Additional storms likely tonight, expecially
after 06z.
Truett
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS:
Saint Louis 94 74 79 65 / 50 60 70 60
Quincy 87 68 74 61 / 80 60 70 30
Columbia 93 71 79 62 / 50 80 80 20
Jefferson City 95 71 80 63 / 50 80 80 30
Salem 92 72 79 65 / 50 60 70 70
Farmington 95 71 82 63 / 40 50 70 60
&&
.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 7 PM CDT this evening through Friday
afternoon FOR Audrain MO-Boone MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Knox
MO-Lewis MO-Marion MO-Moniteau MO-Monroe MO-Montgomery MO-
Osage MO-Pike MO-Ralls MO-Shelby MO.
IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 7 PM CDT this evening through Friday
afternoon FOR Adams IL-Brown IL-Pike IL.
&&
WFO LSXHazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 4:58 AM CDT, 4 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO 458 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027- 034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-261200- GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL- MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL- CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO- LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO- AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO- LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO- ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO- WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO- MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO- 458 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN TONIGHT. FLASH FLOODING IS A REAL POSSIBILITY AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS. SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. POINTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER ARE CURRENTLY IN MAJOR FLOOD STAGE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY POINTS ALONG THE ILLINOIS RIVER ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO EXCEED MAJOR FLOOD STAGE THROUGH TUESDAY. ADDITIONAL MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST ALONG THE FABIUS RIVER BY FRIDAY MORNING. THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN CONTINUE TO BE LIKELY FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE AREA INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONALLY...SOME OF THE STORMS MAY BE SEVERE ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA.. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE. CARNEY
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 25, 8:29 AM CDT, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
829 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0828 AM HEAVY RAIN STEFFENVILLE 39.97N 91.88W
06/25/2015 M4.02 INCH LEWIS MO CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR REPORT... TAKEN AT 7AM
&&
KARLZLocal storm report, Jun 25, 8:31 AM CDT, 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
831 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM HEAVY RAIN PITTSFIELD 39.61N 90.81W
06/25/2015 M2.90 INCH PIKE IL CO-OP OBSERVER
24 HOUR REPORT... TAKEN AT 700AM
&&
KARLZLocal storm report, Jun 25, 8:33 AM CDT, 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
833 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0831 AM HEAVY RAIN QUINCY 39.93N 91.39W
06/25/2015 M2.36 INCH ADAMS IL CO-OP OBSERVER
L AND D21... 24 HOUR REPORT... TAKEN AT 600AM
&&
KARLZLocal storm report, Jun 25, 8:34 AM CDT, 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
834 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM HEAVY RAIN EDINA 40.17N 92.17W
06/25/2015 M5.08 INCH KNOX MO CO-OP OBSERVER
&&
KARLZLocal storm report, Jun 25, 8:37 AM CDT, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
837 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0600 AM HEAVY RAIN SAVERTON 39.64N 91.27W
06/25/2015 M2.60 INCH RALLS MO CO-OP OBSERVER
L AND D22... 24 HOUR REPORT... TAKEN AT 600AM
&&
KARLZLocal storm report, Jun 25, 8:44 AM CDT, 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
844 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0830 AM HEAVY RAIN NEW LONDON 39.58N 91.40W
06/25/2015 M1.28 INCH RALLS MO EMERGENCY MNGR
24 HOUR STORM TOTAL AT 911 CENTER.
&&
BYRDThe office that day
Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 11:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Knox, Lewis | 64 min |
| Jun 24, 11:31 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LSX | Audrain, Knox, Lewis, Lincoln, Marion, Monroe and 3 more | 7 hr |
| Jun 25, 12:07 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Knox, Lewis, Marion, Shelby | 38 min |
| Jun 25, 1:09 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Knox, Lewis | 6 hr |
| Jun 25, 2:39 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Marion, Shelby | 7 hr |
| Jun 25, 3:20 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | LSX | Marion | 52 hr |
| Jun 25, 4:06 AM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | LSX | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Franklin, Gasconade and 17 more | 39 hr |
| Jun 25, 7:03 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Knox, Lewis | 4 hr |
| Jun 25, 9:26 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Lewis, Marion, Shelby | 4 hr |
| Jun 25, 10:54 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Knox, Lewis | 4 hr |
| Jun 25, 1:28 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | LSX | Marion, Shelby | 7 hr |
| Jun 25, 2:51 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | LSX | Knox, Lewis | 6 hr |
| Jun 25, 3:21 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 3 days |
| Jun 25, 5:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 60 min |
| Jun 25, 5:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Saint Charles, Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 54 min |
| Jun 25, 5:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Saint Charles | 19 min |
| Jun 25, 6:32 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Lincoln, Saint Charles | 14 hr |
| Jun 25, 6:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lincoln | 66 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.