Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 239, NWS St. Louis, MO

December 27, 2015Lewis County, Missouri

NWS St. Louis, MO issued this river flood warning at Dec 27, 2015, 2:06 AM CST for Lewis County, Missouri. It took effect at Dec 27, 2015, 10:54 AM CST. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Dec 27, 2015, 2:06 AM CST (08:06 UTC)
In effect from: Dec 27, 2015, 10:54 AM CST
Expired: Dec 31, 2015, 10:12 PM CST
In force: 4 days
Issued by: NWS St. Louis, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Moderate

County Lewis County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 172 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point North Fabius River near Ewing (EWNM7). The gauge peaked at 11.06 ft at Dec 29, 2015, 2:00 AM CST.

Action stage: 9 ft
Minor stage: 11 ft
Moderate stage: 17 ft
Major stage: 20 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 05497150, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

497 
WGUS43 KLSX 270806
FLWLSX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
206 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a flood 
warning for the following rivers in Missouri... 

  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

  North River at Palmyra

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

.This Flood Warning is a result of up to 2 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours and up to another 2 inches forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-280806-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0239.151227T1654Z-160101T0412Z/
/EWNM7.2.ER.151227T1654Z.151228T1200Z.151231T0412Z.NO/
206 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* from this morning to Thursday evening.
* At  1:30 AM Sunday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  morning and continue to rise to near 16.5 feet by tomorrow morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday before midnight.
* Impact:  At 16.5 feet...Crop damage begins near Monticello.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Lewis County Road 532 (or 230th Street) will
  be flooded at this height.
* Impact:  At 15.0 feet...State Highway E west of Williamstown begins 
  to flood.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0    7.55       9.2   16.5   15.9   13.4    9.7


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC127-280805-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0240.151227T1251Z-151231T0048Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.151227T1251Z.151229T0600Z.151230T0048Z.NO/
206 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the North River at Palmyra
* from this morning to Wednesday evening.
* At  1:30 AM Sunday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and
  continue to rise to near 16.7 feet by this evening. The river will 
  remain steady...then rise and crest near 19.0 feet by Monday evening.
* Impact:  At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads 
  along North River are impassable:  230, 324, 329, and 335.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   11.55      12.5   13.7   17.0   10.3    7.1


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC111-280805-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0241.151228T1200Z-160101T1305Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.151228T1200Z.151230T1800Z.151231T1305Z.UU/
206 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* from Monday morning to Friday morning.
* At  1:30 AM Sunday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning
  and continue to rise to near 15.4 feet by Wednesday early 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday 
  morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0    6.98       9.2   12.0   14.1   15.3   12.4


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-280805-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0242.151227T1737Z-160101T1054Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.151227T1737Z.151230T0600Z.151231T1054Z.NO/
206 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* from this morning to late Thursday night.
* At  1:30 AM Sunday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  morning and continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by early Wednesday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact:  At 13.7 feet...County Road 319 just north of the gage 
  begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.6 feet...Missouri State Route M west of Route D 
  begins flooding near this height.  This road closed during South 
  Fabius River flood of September 11, 2014.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded north
  of County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact:  At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    6.25       8.0   10.6   12.4   13.0    9.3


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC137-280805-
/O.NEW.KLSX.FL.W.0243.151227T1500Z-160101T1400Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.151227T1500Z.151230T0600Z.151231T1200Z.UU/
206 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The National Weather Service in St. Louis has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* from this morning to Friday morning.
* At  1:30 AM Sunday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  morning and continue to rise to near 18.1 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will remain steady...then rise and crest near 20.1
  feet by Tuesday evening.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge.  Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact:  At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State 
  Highway A bridge north of Holliday.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   13.69      16.3   18.1   19.1   19.9   17.0


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

5 follow-up statements

433 
WGUS83 KLSX 271809
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1209 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...
  

  North Fabius River near Ewing

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing

  South Fabius River near Taylor

  North River at Palmyra

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday

  Cuivre River
  
    near Troy
    Old Monroe
    
    
.This Flood Warning is a result of a wide range of past precipitation that
varies from virtually no rain in the upper portion of the Fabius River basins
to 4 to 5 inches in the lower portion of the Cuirve River basin forecast in
the next 36 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than predicted.
The National Weather Service will monitor this developing situation and
issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC111-281808-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0239.000000T0000Z-151231T0834Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.151228T2147Z.151229T1200Z.151230T0834Z.NO/
1209 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* from Monday afternoon until Wednesday.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 7.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage Monday afternoon...crest
  near 13.1 feet Tuesday morning and fall below flood stage Tuesday night.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0    7.36       7.8   13.1   10.6    8.3    6.1

&&

LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154

$$

MOC111-281808-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0241.151228T1738Z-151231T0400Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.151228T1738Z.151229T0600Z.151230T0400Z.UU/
1209 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* from Monday morning to Wednesday.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage Monday morning...crest
  near 14.6 feet Monday night and fall below flood stage by Tuesday night.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0    8.07       8.9   14.6   10.9    7.9    5.7

&&

LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162

$$

MOC127-281808-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0242.151228T0600Z-160101T1430Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.151228T0600Z.151230T0600Z.151231T1430Z.NO/
1209 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* from tonight to Thursday.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 8.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage tonight...crest near
  13.4 feet Tuesday night and fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact: At 13.7 feet...County Road 319 just north of the gage begins to
  flood.
* Impact: At 13.6 feet...Missouri State Route M west of Route D 
  begins flooding near this height.  This road closed during South Fabius
  River flood of September 11, 2014.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded north of
  County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact: At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near this
  height.
* Impact: At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level farmlands.
* Impact: At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia floods.
* Impact: At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact: At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just west
  of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road 365.
* Impact: At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage. Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    8.63       9.8   12.2   13.1   10.0    5.4

&&

LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172 3989 9176                       

$$

MOC127-281808-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0240.000000T0000Z-151231T0352Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.151227T0816Z.151229T0600Z.151230T0352Z.NO/
1209 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Wednesday.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is currently cresting and is forecast to fall to near flood
  stage by tonight and then have a secondary crest near 19.7 feet Monday
  night and fall below flood stage by Tuesday night.
* Impact: At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads 
  along North River are impassable:  230, 324, 329, and 335.
* Impact: At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact: At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact: At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to flood.
* Impact: At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   16.32      13.2   18.1   10.3    7.1    6.0

&&

LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170

$$

MOC137-281808-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0243.000000T0000Z-160101T1508Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.151227T1158Z.151230T0600Z.151231T1308Z.UU/
1209 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Thursday.
* At 11 AM Sunday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is currently cresting and is forecast to fall below flood stage
  tonight and then have a secondary crest near 19.9 feet Tuesday night. The
  river is forecast to fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact: At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height. Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact: At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge. Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact: At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.
* Impact: At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State 
  Highway A bridge north of Holliday.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   17.66      18.1   19.1   19.7   17.4   10.5

&&

LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199 3952 9221                       

$$

MOC113-281809-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0229.000000T0000Z-151231T0324Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.151227T0542Z.151228T0600Z.151230T0324Z.NO/
1209 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy
* until Wednesday.
* At 11 AM Sunday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 26.7 feet tonight and then fall
  to near 25 feet Monday and then have a secondary crest near 25.9 feet
  Monday night. The river is forecast to fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  before midnight.
* Impact: At 25.0 feet...Moderate flooding begins...significant agricultural
  land is inundated.
* Impact: At 24.8 feet...Near this height...Second Street in Moscow Mills
  begins flooding near the Byrd Street intersection.
* Impact: At 23.5 feet...Near this height, State Highway H near the West
  Fork Cuivre River bridge will be closed due to flooding.
* Impact: At 23.2 feet...Gravens Road begins flooding north of Highway C.
* Impact: At 23.1 feet...Water begins covering Frenchman Bluff Road (County
  Road 658) just west of the Cuivre River bridge.
* Impact: At 23.0 feet...Considerable agricultural land is flooded between
  Troy and Moscow Mills.
* Impact: At 22.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact: At 21.0 feet...Flood Stage. Left bank overflows. Minor flooding
  begins.
* Impact: At 18.0 feet...From Highway 61 east to Frenchmans Bluff...low
  lying agricultural land is inundated.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   25.97      25.6   25.8   16.5   12.0   10.2

&&

LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090

$$

MOC113-281808-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0211.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.151229T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1209 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe
* until further notice.
* At 9:15 AM Sunday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to crest near 30.8 feet Monday evening.
* Impact: At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is reached.
* Impact: At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street is
  flooded.
* Impact: At 30.0 feet...Major flooding begins. Residential flooding in
  Old Monroe.
* Impact: At 29.1 feet...Streets in Old Monroe begin flooding.
* Impact: At 28.1 feet...Dyer Road upstream from the gage begins flooding
  just downstream of the new Highway 79 bridge.
* Impact: At 27.0 feet...Right bank overflows.
* Impact: At 24.5 feet...Extensive left bank agricultural flooding develops
  upstream of the gage. A utility road is flooded along the Old Monroe levee
  along the left bank upstream of the gage.
* Impact: At 24.0 feet...Initial flooding upstream.
* Impact: At 23.5 feet...Minor agricultural land begins to flood.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   28.30      30.6   30.6   29.6   29.2   27.5

&&

LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061 3876 9062                       

$$

712 
WGUS83 KLSX 280153
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
753 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County 

  South Fabius River near Taylor affecting Marion County 

  North River at Palmyra affecting Marion County 

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday affecting Monroe County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 1 to 3 inches of precipitation the 
past 24 hours and 1 to 2 inches forecast in the next 24 hours...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-290153-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0240.000000T0000Z-151231T0407Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.151227T0816Z.151229T0600Z.151230T0407Z.NO/
753 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  6:30 PM Sunday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning
  and crest near 19.4 feet by early Tuesday morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday before midnight.
* Impact:  At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads 
  along North River are impassable:  230, 324, 329, and 335.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   10.18      12.5   18.3   10.4    7.1    6.0


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC111-290152-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0239.000000T0000Z-151231T1200Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.151228T2100Z.151229T0600Z.151230T1200Z.NO/
753 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* until Thursday morning.
* At  6:30 PM Sunday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow 
  afternoon and crest near 12.7 feet by early Tuesday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Wednesday 
  morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0    7.22       7.8   12.7   11.0    8.4    6.2


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-290152-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0241.151228T2036Z-151231T0142Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.151228T2036Z.151229T1200Z.151230T0142Z.UU/
753 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* from Monday afternoon to Wednesday evening.
* At  6:30 PM Sunday the stage was 6.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow early 
  afternoon and crest near 14.3 feet by Tuesday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage by Tuesday evening.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0    6.52       7.5   14.3   10.9    8.4    5.9


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-290152-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0242.151228T1708Z-160101T1516Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.151228T1708Z.151230T0600Z.151231T1516Z.NO/
753 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* from Monday morning to Friday morning.
* At  6:30 PM Sunday the stage was 8.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow late 
  morning and crest near 13.6 feet by early Wednesday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage by late Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact:  At 13.7 feet...County Road 319 just north of the gage 
  begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.6 feet...Missouri State Route M west of Route D 
  begins flooding near this height.  This road closed during South 
  Fabius River flood of September 11, 2014.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded north
  of County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact:  At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    8.18       8.9   11.2   13.3   10.1    5.3


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC137-290152-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0243.000000T0000Z-160101T1700Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.151227T1158Z.151230T0600Z.151231T1500Z.UU/
753 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* until Friday morning.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 16.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening
  and crest near 20.1 feet by early Wednesday morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage by late Thursday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge.  Adjacent fields begin to flood.
* Impact:  At 17.5 feet...Water exits the right bank downstream of the
  State Highway A bridge.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Water begins leaving the banks at the State 
  Highway A bridge north of Holliday.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/28  12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   16.18      15.4   18.8   20.1   17.7   10.4


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

303 
WGUS83 KLSX 281524
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
924 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing 

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing  

  South Fabius River near Taylor  

  North River at Palmyra  

  Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday  

.This Flood Warning is a result of 2.00 to 4.00 inches of observed rainfall
and an additional 1.00 to 2.00 inches today...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-291524-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0242.151228T1800Z-160101T1848Z/
/TAYM7.2.ER.151228T1800Z.151230T1200Z.151231T1848Z.NO/
924 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* At 8:30 AM Monday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon 
  and continue to rise to near 14.7 feet by Wednesday morning. The 
  river will fall below flood stage by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 14.7 feet...Cornfield just south and downstream of the 
  County Road 315 bridge at the gage begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.7 feet...County Road 319 just north of the gage 
  begins to flood.
* Impact:  At 13.6 feet...Missouri State Route M west of Route D 
  begins flooding near this height.  This road closed during South 
  Fabius River flood of September 11, 2014.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...Marion County Road 301 will be flooded north
  of County Road 150 near this height.
* Impact:  At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded near 
  this height.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low level 
  farmlands.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.
* Impact:  At 9.5 feet...Flood Stage.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5    9.22      11.5   14.7   11.1    5.6    3.6


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC127-291523-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0240.000000T0000Z-151231T0628Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.151227T0816Z.151229T0600Z.151230T0628Z.NO/
924 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra
* At 8:30 AM Monday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 20.6 feet by after
  midnight. The river will fall below flood stage early 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.5 feet...At this height, the following county roads 
  along North River are impassable:  230, 324, 329, and 335.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Marion County Rd 341 north of Palmyra 
  inundated. Significant agricultural land flooding...right bank.
* Impact:  At 13.5 feet...County Road 333, east of Palmyra, begins to 
  flood.
* Impact:  At 13.0 feet...FLOOD STAGE.  Minor flooding begins.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   13.32      19.7   10.7    7.1    5.9    5.5


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC111-291523-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0239.000000T0000Z-160101T0300Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.151228T1746Z.151229T0600Z.151231T0300Z.NO/
924 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing
* At  8:30 AM Monday the stage was 8.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late this 
  morning and continue to rise to near 13.6 feet after midnight.
  The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday before midnight.
* Impact:  At 14.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near Monticello.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0    8.15      13.5   12.2   10.2    8.0    6.3


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-291523-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0241.151228T1742Z-160101T1845Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.151228T1742Z.151230T1800Z.151231T1845Z.UU/
924 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing
* At 8:30 AM Monday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage late this 
  morning and continue to rise to near 15.5 feet by tomorrow morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact:  At 16.6 feet...Left bank overflows downstream of bridge 
  near the gage.
* Impact:  At 15.7 feet...Right bank overflows upstream of bridge near
  the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0    7.60      15.5   16.3   14.7    6.7    5.2


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC137-291523-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0243.000000T0000Z-160101T1520Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.151227T1158Z.151229T1800Z.151231T1320Z.UU/
924 AM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday
* At 9:00 AM Monday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue rising to near 21.1 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.
* Impact:  At 18.1 feet...Water exits the left bank downstream of the 
  State Highway A bridge.  Adjacent fields begin to flood.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.40      21.0   19.9   17.4    9.9    8.4


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

623 
WGUS83 KLSX 290124
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
724 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Missouri...
 
             Cuivre River
              ...Troy
              ...Old Monroe
              
             North Fabius River
              ...Ewing
              
             Middle Fabius River
              ...Ewing
              
             South Fabius River
              ...Taylor affecting Marion County 

             North River
              ...Palmyra
              
             Mid Fork Salt River
              ...Holliday 



.This Flood Warning is a result of excessive heavy rainfall...



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains can cause river levels to rise even higher than predicted.

The National Weather Service will monitor this situation and issue follow
up statements as conditions or forecasts change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC113-300124-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0229.000000T0000Z-151231T0816Z/
/TRYM7.2.ER.151227T0542Z.151229T0600Z.151230T0816Z.NO/
724 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River near Troy.
* At 7:00 PM Monday the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The water level will rise to near 28.0 feet by after midnight tomorrow.
  The water level will fall below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* Impact:  At 28.5 feet...Vehicle storage lot starts flooding on the 
  north end of Tropicana Village Mobile Home Park in Moscow Mills.
* Impact:  At 28.0 feet...Near this height, MoDoT will consider 
  closing U.S. Highway 61 at the Cuivre River bridge north of Troy in
  both directions.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

Cuivre River
  Troy            21.0   27.33      27.9   19.2   12.1   10.2    9.4


&&


LAT...LON 3901 9100 3903 9095 3895 9089 3893 9090




$$

MOC113-300123-
/O.CON.KLSX.FL.W.0211.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OMNM7.3.ER.000000T0000Z.151230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
724 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cuivre River at Old Monroe.
* At 4:33 PM Monday the stage was 33.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* The water level will rise to near 34.2 feet by Wednesday morning.
* Impact:  At 33.8 feet...Low Steel Elevation on Old 79 Highway Bridge
  is reached.
* Impact:  At 31.8 feet...Old Highway 79 floods between Old Monroe and
  Highway 79.
* Impact:  At 31.2 feet...Low steel on the BNSF railroad bridge is 
  reached.
* Impact:  At 30.8 feet...The Corner of Sycamore St. and First Street 
  is flooded.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

Cuivre River
  Old Monroe      24.0   33.10      33.8   34.1   31.2   29.4   28.0


&&


LAT...LON 3875 9063 3879 9066 3883 9063 3882 9061
      3876 9062                       



$$

MOC127-300123-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0240.000000T0000Z-151231T0103Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.151227T0816Z.151229T0600Z.151230T0103Z.NO/
724 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North River at Palmyra.
* At 6:30 PM Monday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* The river water level wil rise to near 17 feet by after midnight tomorrow.
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow evening.
* Impact:  At 17.1 feet...Agricultural land along the left bank begins
  flooding near the gage.
* Impact:  At 16.0 feet...Left bank begins to flood near the gage.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   16.65      16.3   10.2    7.1    6.0    5.5


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

MOC111-300123-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0239.000000T0000Z-151231T1200Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.151229T1200Z.151229T1800Z.151230T1200Z.NO/
724 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing.
* At 6:30 PM Monday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The water level will rise to near 11.1 feet by tomorrow early afternoon.
  The water level will fall below flood stage by Wednesday morning.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   10.22      11.0   11.0    9.5    7.5    6.0


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-300123-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0241.000000T0000Z-151231T2015Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.151229T0220Z.151230T0000Z.151230T2015Z.UU/
724 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing.
* until Thursday afternoon.
* At  6:30 PM Monday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by this evening and
  continue to rise to near 13.3 feet by tomorrow evening. The river 
  will fall below flood stage by Wednesday early afternoon.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   11.80      12.5   13.0    9.5    6.2    5.0


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-300123-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0242.000000T0000Z-160101T0336Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.151228T1528Z.151230T0000Z.151231T0336Z.NO/
724 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor.
* At 6:30 PM Monday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The water level will rise to near 12.3 feet by tomorrow evening.
  The water level will fall below flood stage Wednesday before midnight.
* Impact:  At 12.5 feet...Marion County Road 150 will be flooded.
* Impact:  At 11.0 feet...Both banks begin to overflow low levelfarmlands.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   11.09      11.4   11.8    8.1    4.8    3.6


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC137-300123-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0243.000000T0000Z-160101T0236Z/
/PMZM7.1.ER.151227T1158Z.151229T0600Z.151231T0036Z.UU/
724 PM CST MON DEC 28 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Mid Fork Salt River near Holliday.
* At 7:00 PM Monday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The water level will rise to near 19.2 feet by after midnight tomorrow.
  The water level will fall below flood stage Wednesday evening.
* Impact:  At 19.0 feet...Wastewater lift station begins flooding at 
  about this height.  Water was 16 ft deep in July 2008.

&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/29  12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02

Salt River
  Holliday        17.0   18.98      19.2   18.0   14.0    9.5    8.2


&&


LAT...LON 3957 9229 3959 9225 3950 9197 3947 9199
      3952 9221                       



$$

283 
WGUS83 KLSX 291531
FLSLSX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
931 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  North Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County

  Middle Fabius River near Ewing affecting Lewis County

  North River at Palmyra affecting Marion County

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Missouri...
 
  South Fabius River near Taylor affecting Marion County 

.This Flood Warning is a result of 1 to 3 inches of rainfall over
the weekend...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rains could cause river levels to rise even higher than 
predicted.  The National Weather Service will monitor this developing
situation and issue follow up statements as conditions or forecasts 
change.

Safety message:  Never drive cars, trucks, or sport utility vehicles 
through flooded areas.  The water may be too deep to allow for safe 
passage.

This product, along with additional weather and stream information, 
is available at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=lsx.

&&

MOC127-301531-
/O.EXT.KLSX.FL.W.0242.000000T0000Z-151231T0400Z/
/TAYM7.1.ER.151228T1528Z.151229T0415Z.151230T0400Z.NO/
931 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Fabius River near Taylor
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to continue falling to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact:  At 10.5 feet...County Road 117 northwest of Philadelphia 
  floods.
* Impact:  At 10.2 feet...The river begins flooding the right bank 
  just downstream of the County Road 319 bridge at the gage.
* Impact:  At 10.1 feet...Marion County Road 310 begins flooding just 
  west of the east end of the road, the intersection with County Road
  365.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02  01/03

South Fabius River
  Taylor           9.5   10.33       8.9    5.7    4.1    3.4    3.2


&&


LAT...LON 3993 9160 3990 9152 3984 9160 3984 9172
      3989 9176                       



$$

MOC111-291601-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0239.000000T0000Z-151231T1200Z/
/EWNM7.1.ER.151229T0657Z.151229T0915Z.151229T1148Z.NO/
931 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the North Fabius River near Ewing.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 10.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  5:48 AM Tuesday.
* The river will continue to fall to 10.8 feet by tomorrow morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02  01/03

North Fabius River
  Ewing           11.0   10.78      10.8    9.6    7.6    6.1    5.5


&&


LAT...LON 4012 9175 4014 9169 3995 9152 3991 9154




$$

MOC111-291601-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0241.000000T0000Z-151231T2015Z/
/EWMM7.1.ER.000000T0000Z.151229T0715Z.151229T0937Z.UU/
931 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Middle Fabius River near Ewing.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  3:37 AM Tuesday.
* The river will continue to fall to 11.4 feet by tomorrow morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02  01/03

Middle Fabius River
  Ewing           12.0   11.62      11.4    8.7    6.0    4.9    4.7


&&


LAT...LON 4010 9179 4012 9175 3995 9158 3994 9162




$$

MOC127-291601-
/O.CAN.KLSX.FL.W.0240.000000T0000Z-151231T0103Z/
/PALM7.2.ER.151227T0816Z.151229T0330Z.151229T1122Z.NO/
931 AM CST TUE DEC 29 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the North River at Palmyra.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  5:22 AM Tuesday.
* The river will continue to fall to 7.9 feet by tomorrow morning.


&&
                   Fld   Latest              7 a.m. Forecast
LOCATION           Stg  Obs Stg     12/30  12/31  01/01  01/02  01/03

North River
  Palmyra         13.0   11.07       7.9    6.5    5.9    5.4    5.3


&&


LAT...LON 3984 9150 3981 9150 3976 9170 3979 9170




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS St. Louis, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Dec 27, 2:06 AM CST, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 27, 2:06 AM CST, 0 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
206 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

.SHORT TERM:  (Through Late This Afternoon)
Issued at 201 AM CST Sun Dec 27 2015

First phase of this event is starting to come to an end with the
heaviest rainfall rates associated with convection moving south of
the CWA. Rain will continue today along and south of I-70 but
rainfall rates will be lower than the last 24 hours. Currently
have about another half inch to inch of rain forecast along and
south of I-70 today with lighter amounts to the north. Will
likely be converting the flash flood warnings to areal flood
warnings to account for ongoing road closures and rising creeks,
streams and rivers. In total rainfall amounts have ranged from 3
to 6 inches in a 50 mile wide swath centered along a line from
Springfield, Missouri through the western St. Louis Metro to
Litchfield, Illinois. The rainfall tapers to around an inch to our
southern CWA and half inch across far northeast Missouri. Flash
flooding was widespread within the 50 mile wide swath with
numerous road closures and water rescues reported yesterday and
overnight.

CVKING

.LONG TERM:  (Tonight through Saturday)
Issued at 201 AM CST Sun Dec 27 2015

...ADDITIONAL FLASH FLOODING LIKELY TONIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING...

Second wave of heavy rainfall will take shape tonight and Monday
morning as the deep occluding stacked low pressure system
approaches and lifts overhead. Have conservatively forecast
another 1.5 to 2.0 inches of rainfall from this evening through
Monday afternoon. Convection could lead to locally higher amounts.
This second wave will certainly renew the flash flooding threat
and will therefore keep the Flash Flood Watch in place with this
forecast package. By the time all is said and done expect that 50
mile wide corridor to have somewhere on the order of 6 to 9 inches
of rainfall with amounts tapering off north to 2 inches and south
to 4 inches in the CWA.

...MAJOR AND IN SOME CASES HISTORIC RIVER FLOODING EXPECTED...

This amount of rainfall, largely becoming runoff, will send most of
our rivers into moderate to major flood. A few may set all time
historic crests. Please refer to the NWS AHPS page for the latest
river stages and forecasts:

http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo-LSX

With the low pressure lifting along the western periphery of the
CWA, through central Missouri, cannot justify any measurable ice or
snow in the CWA. Perhaps we could see a few flurries or snow showers
as the system pulls north into the Great Lakes Monday night, but
again - the message and clear weather story remains the short term
flash flooding threat through Monday afternoon and then the major
and in some cases historic flooding that will be occurring along the
rivers in the CWA.

After a relatively quiet day on Tuesday, another strong shortwave
digs into the Central Plains for midweek. The core of the system and
dynamics look to remain northwest of the CWA, so have only forecast
slight chance PoPs for some light snow on Wednesday.

Cold high pressure dominates the remainder of the forecast with
typical temperatures for the end of December and first days of the
New Year.

CVKING

&&

.AVIATION:  (For the 00z TAFs through 00z Sunday Evening)
Issued at 545 PM CST Sat Dec 26 2015

Strong low pressure system will move from Texas to central MO by
midday Monday. Frontal boundary will waver from eastern to central
mo as the low moves north northeast. Exact position will be
tricky, thus the rain forecast as well. Radar shows a southern
edge lifting north, currently has reached southern
Washnington/northern St. Francois counties in MO and northern
Randolph county in IL. HRRR shows this northward movement but
stops it by 04z and then pushed the rain shield back south with a
strong north wind. If this happens, the thunder chances should go
away by 05/06z. Regardless, IFR ceilings and rain should continue
well into Sunday evening.

Specifics for KSTL: Will keep IFR ceilings rain going into Sunday.
Will have to keep an eye on the southern edge of the rain. It is
forecast to halt and move back south before it gets to STL.
Confidence is not overwhelming at this time so foreast may be
nmore of a nowcast tonight.

JPK

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS:
Saint Louis     44  39  49  36 / 100 100 100  20
Quincy          39  34  40  31 /  90 100 100  40
Columbia        39  35  42  30 / 100 100 100  30
Jefferson City  41  38  44  31 / 100 100 100  20
Salem           50  41  51  37 / 100 100 100  20
Farmington      47  40  51  34 / 100 100 100  20

&&

.LSX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES:
MO...Flash Flood Watch through Monday afternoon FOR Audrain MO-Boone
     MO-Callaway MO-Cole MO-Crawford MO-Franklin MO-Gasconade MO-
     Iron MO-Jefferson MO-Lincoln MO-Madison MO-Moniteau MO-
     Monroe MO-Montgomery MO-Osage MO-Pike MO-Ralls MO-Reynolds
     MO-St. Charles MO-St. Francois MO-St. Louis City MO-St.
     Louis MO-Ste. Genevieve MO-Warren MO-Washington MO.

IL...Flash Flood Watch through Monday afternoon FOR Bond IL-Calhoun
     IL-Clinton IL-Fayette IL-Greene IL-Jersey IL-Macoupin IL-
     Madison IL-Marion IL-Monroe IL-Montgomery IL-Pike IL-
     Randolph IL-St. Clair IL-Washington IL.

&&

WFO LSX

Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 26, 3:51 PM CST, 10 hours 15 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
351 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

ILZ058>060-064-065-069-070-074-079-095>102-MOZ018-019-026-027-
034>036-041-042-047>052-059>065-072>075-084-085-099-271115-
GREENE IL-MACOUPIN IL-MONTGOMERY IL-BOND IL-FAYETTE IL-CLINTON IL-
MARION IL-WASHINGTON IL-RANDOLPH IL-ADAMS IL-BROWN IL-PIKE IL-
CALHOUN IL-JERSEY IL-MADISON IL-ST. CLAIR IL-MONROE IL-KNOX MO-
LEWIS MO-SHELBY MO-MARION MO-MONROE MO-RALLS MO-PIKE MO-BOONE MO-
AUDRAIN MO-MONITEAU MO-COLE MO-OSAGE MO-CALLAWAY MO-MONTGOMERY MO-
LINCOLN MO-GASCONADE MO-WARREN MO-ST. CHARLES MO-FRANKLIN MO-
ST. LOUIS MO-ST. LOUIS CITY MO-JEFFERSON MO-CRAWFORD MO-
WASHINGTON MO-ST. FRANCOIS MO-STE. GENEVIEVE MO-IRON MO-
MADISON MO-REYNOLDS MO-
351 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI AS WELL AS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A VERY SERIOUS AND POTENTIALLY HISTORIC HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING EVENT IS LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE REGION.

HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. A FEW OF THE
STORMS COULD BE SEVERE ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 70. HEAVY
RAIN WILL CAUSE RAPID RISES ALONG CREEKS, STREAMS AND RIVERS.
FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A VERY SERIOUS AND POTENTIALLY HISTORIC HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING EVENT IS LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF THE REGION.

ANOTHER PERIOD OF POTENTIALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE
LIKELY ALONG AND SOUTH OF JEFFERSON CITY MISSOURI TO CARLINVILLE
ILLINOIS LINE, WITH AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES NORTH OF THIS LINE.

THIS HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AND SMALLER CREEKS
AND STREAMS. FLOODING OF MOST RIVERS IS EXPECTED WITH MAJOR AND
POSSIBLY HISTORIC FLOODING ON SOME RIVERS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
HALF OF MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ASKED TO RELAY RAINFALL AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 2 INCHES,
FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN ST. LOUIS.

GLASS

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 27, 12:19 AM CST, 1 hour 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1219 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1217 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WSW DEFIANCE          38.63N  90.80W
12/27/2015                   ST. CHARLES        MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER RESCUE NEAR FRISELLAS NURSERY ON HIGHWAY F IN ST.
            CHARLES COUNTY.

&&

CARNEY

Local storm report, Dec 27, 12:23 AM CST, 1 hour 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1223 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1220 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S MEDORA              39.16N  90.14W
12/27/2015  M3.74 INCH       MACOUPIN           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            STORM TOTAL SINCE 700 AM...STILL RAINING. WIDESPREAD
            FLOODING...MOST SMALL CREEKS OUT OF THEIR BANKS...MANY
            ROADWAYS FLOODED.

&&

CARNEY

Local storm report, Dec 27, 12:28 AM CST, 1 hour 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1228 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1217 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 WNW DEFIANCE          38.64N  90.80W
12/27/2015                   ST. CHARLES        MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER RESCUE NEAR FRISELLAS NURSERY ON HIGHWAY F IN ST.
            CHARLES COUNTY.

&&

CORRECTED LOCATION

BYRD

Local storm report, Dec 27, 12:35 AM CST, 1 hour 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1235 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 S MEDORA              39.16N  90.14W
12/27/2015  M3.74 INCH       MACOUPIN           IL   CO-OP OBSERVER

            1.62 INCHES SINCE 7 PM...STORM TOTAL SO FAR 3.74.

&&

BYRD

Local storm report, Dec 27, 12:45 AM CST, 1 hour 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
1245 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 N FLORISSANT          38.86N  90.32W
12/27/2015  M4.87 INCH       ST. LOUIS          MO   PUBLIC

            STORM TOTAL SO FAR...VIA TWITTER.

&&

BYRD

Local storm report, Dec 27, 1:40 AM CST, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
140 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 ESE GLEN CARBON       38.76N  89.96W
12/27/2015  M2.30 INCH       MADISON            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FELL BETWEEN 7 AM AND MIDNIGHT.

&&

BYRD

The office that day

Everything else NWS St. Louis, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Dec 26, 7:39 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	LSX	Crawford, Franklin, Gasconade	51 min
Dec 26, 7:59 PM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Boone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau	6 days
Dec 26, 7:59 PM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Cole	5 days
Dec 26, 8:29 PM CST	Special Weather Statement	LSX	Jefferson, Saint Charles, Saint Louis	46 min
Dec 26, 10:26 PM CST	Flash Flood Warning	LSX	Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Moniteau, Monroe and 1 more	8 hr
Dec 27, 2:06 AM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Marion	4 days
Dec 27, 2:06 AM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Lewis	5 days
Dec 27, 2:06 AM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Marion	5 days
Dec 27, 2:06 AM CST	River Flood Warning	LSX	Monroe	5 days
Dec 27, 3:17 AM CST	Areal Flood Warning	LSX	Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Franklin and 11 more	12 hr
Dec 27, 3:05 PM CST	Areal Flood Warning	LSX	Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Franklin and 10 more	24 hr
Dec 27, 3:55 PM CST	Wind Advisory	LSX	Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Knox, Lewis, Lincoln and 10 more	23 hr
Dec 27, 3:59 PM CST	Winter Weather Advisory	LSX	Knox, Lewis	16 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2015 Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.