River Flood Warning 7, NWS Jackson, MS

247 
WGUS84 KJAN 040311
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
911 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY 
  YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAY! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH IS 
FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE FOLLOWING FORECASTS INCLUDE 12 HOURS OF 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT:  
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-050911-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0005.150105T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150105T1200Z.150106T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY NOON TUESDAY. 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER SOME OF THE BURNSIDE 
  LAKE WATER PARK ROADWAYS AND CAMP AREAS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER 
  PARK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  12.6 SAT 08 PM  13.0  13.4  13.4  13.5 12 PM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-050911-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.150107T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150107T0300Z.150108T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
911 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR OVERBANK FLOODING OF FARMLAND ALONG 
  THE RIVER IS OCCURRING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

YOCKANOOKANY RIVER 
OFAHOMA        19  12.6 SAT 09 PM  16.2  18.2  19.4  19.5 06 PM 01/07


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC077-050911-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0007.150106T0000Z-150106T1500Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150106T0000Z.150106T0000Z.150106T0000Z.NO/
911 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* FROM MONDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE MONDAY
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME LOWLAND PASTURE 
  LAND IN THE VICINITY OF MONTICELLO .

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER 
MONTICELLO     22  14.3 SAT 08 PM  20.7  21.6  20.5  22.0 06 PM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$

064 
WGUS84 KJAN 040313
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
913 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI..

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY 
  YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAY! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH IS 
FORECAST TO OCCUR. THE FORECASTS INCLUDE 12 HOURS OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-050913-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0005.150105T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150105T1200Z.150106T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
913 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:00 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MONDAY MORNING 
  AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 13.5 FEET BY NOON TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER SOME OF THE BURNSIDE 
  LAKE WATER PARK ROADWAYS AND CAMP AREAS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER 
  PARK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  12.6 SAT 08 PM  12.6  13.0  13.4  13.5 12 PM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-050912-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0006.150107T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150107T0300Z.150108T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
913 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA
* FROM TUESDAY EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  8:45 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY TUESDAY BEFORE 
  MIDNIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 19.5 FEET BY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR OVERBANK FLOODING OF FARMLAND ALONG 
  THE RIVER IS OCCURRING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

YOCKANOOKANY RIVER 
OFAHOMA        19  12.6 SAT 09 PM  12.9  16.2  18.2  19.5 06 PM 01/07


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC077-050912-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0007.150106T0000Z-150106T1500Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150106T0000Z.150106T0000Z.150106T0000Z.NO/
913 PM CST SAT JAN 3 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* FROM MONDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT  8:15 PM SATURDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.3 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE MONDAY
  EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME LOWLAND PASTURE 
  LAND IN THE VICINITY OF MONTICELLO .

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   SUN   MON   TUE CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER 
MONTICELLO     22  14.3 SAT 08 PM  15.9  20.7  21.6  22.0 06 PM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$

627 
WGUS84 KJAN 041630
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1030 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY 
  YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAY! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH IS 
FORECAST TO OCCUR. ROUTINE 12 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL IS USED FOR
THESE FORECAST POINTS. 

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT:  
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-052230-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0005.150104T1628Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150104T0940Z.150106T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1030 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* FROM THIS MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT  9:00 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.3 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER SOME OF THE BURNSIDE 
  LAKE WATER PARK ROADWAYS AND CAMP AREAS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER 
  PARK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  13.3 SUN 09 AM  13.8  14.0  13.9  14.0 06 AM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-052229-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.150107T1800Z-150108T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150107T1800Z.150107T1800Z.150108T0600Z.NO/
1030 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA
* FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:45 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.7 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE  
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR OVERBANK FLOODING OF FARMLAND ALONG 
  THE RIVER IS OCCURRING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

YOCKANOOKANY RIVER 
OFAHOMA        19  14.7 SUN 10 AM  16.2  17.9  18.9  19.0 06 PM 01/07


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC077-052229-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.150106T0000Z-150106T2100Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150106T0000Z.150106T0000Z.150106T0600Z.NO/
1030 AM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* FROM MONDAY EVENING TO TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10:15 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 17.5 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME LOWLAND PASTURE 
  LAND IN THE VICINITY OF MONTICELLO .

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER 
MONTICELLO     22  17.5 SUN 10 AM  21.4  21.8  20.3  22.0 06 PM 01/05


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$

501 
WGUS84 KJAN 050227
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
827 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015


...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY 
  YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAY! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-060827-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150111T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150104T0940Z.150106T0000Z.150109T1800Z.NO/
827 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING.
* AT  7:00 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY 
  TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER SOME OF THE BURNSIDE 
  LAKE WATER PARK ROADWAYS AND CAMP AREAS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER 
  PARK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  13.6 SUN 07 PM  13.8  14.0  14.0  14.0 06 AM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-060827-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0006.150108T0000Z-150108T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150108T0000Z.150108T0000Z.150108T0600Z.NO/
827 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  7:45 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.9 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR OVERBANK FLOODING OF FARMLAND ALONG 
  THE RIVER IS OCCURRING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

YOCKANOOKANY RIVER 
OFAHOMA        19  14.9 SUN 08 PM  15.3  17.4  18.7  19.0 06 PM 01/07


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC077-060827-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.150106T0600Z-150107T0300Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150106T0600Z.150106T0600Z.150106T1200Z.NO/
827 PM CST SUN JAN 4 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT TO TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT  8:15 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 18.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE EARLY 
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME LOWLAND PASTURE 
  LAND IN THE VICINITY OF MONTICELLO .

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   MON   TUE   WED CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER 
MONTICELLO     22  18.8 SUN 08 PM  19.8  22.0  21.0  22.0 12 AM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$

778 
WGUS84 KJAN 051701
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1101 AM CST MON JAN 5 2015



...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN 
MISSISSIPPI...

  PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA AFFECTING NESHOBA COUNTY 
  YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA AFFECTING LEAKE COUNTY 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY
  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAY! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AT:  
HTTP://AHPS.SRH.NOAA.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=JAN

THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 AND
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-062301-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-150110T2100Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150104T0940Z.150106T1200Z.150109T1500Z.NO/
1101 AM CST MON JAN 5 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER ABOVE PHILADELPHIA
* UNTIL SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:00 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.7 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 13.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING TO NEAR 14.0 FEET BY 
  EARLY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO COVER SOME OF THE BURNSIDE 
  LAKE WATER PARK ROADWAYS AND CAMP AREAS.
* IMPACT...AT 13.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO AFFECT BURNSIDE LAKE WATER 
  PARK.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

UPPER PEARL RIVER
PHILADELPHIA   13  13.7 MON 09 AM  14.0  14.0  13.6  14.0 12 PM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-062300-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0006.150108T0000Z-150108T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150108T0000Z.150108T0000Z.150108T0600Z.NO/
1101 AM CST MON JAN 5 2015


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE YOCKANOOKANY RIVER NEAR OFAHOMA
* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING TO THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT  9:45 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 15.0 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 19.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 19.0 FEET...MINOR OVERBANK FLOODING OF FARMLAND ALONG 
  THE RIVER IS OCCURRING.

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

YOCKANOOKANY RIVER 
OFAHOMA        19  15.0 MON 10 AM  16.6  18.4  18.9  19.0 06 PM 01/07


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC077-062300-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0007.150106T1200Z-150107T0900Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150106T1200Z.150106T1200Z.150106T1800Z.NO/
1101 AM CST MON JAN 5 2015

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO
* FROM TUESDAY MORNING TO LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10:15 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.6 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE TO NEAR FLOOD STAGE 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 22.0 FEET...WATER INUNDATES SOME LOWLAND AND 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND NEAR THE RIVER.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME LOWLAND PASTURE 
  LAND IN THE VICINITY OF MONTICELLO .

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER 
MONTICELLO     22  19.6 MON 10 AM  22.0  20.2  18.7  22.0 06 AM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$

202 
WGUS84 KJAN 060202
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
802 PM CST MON JAN 5 2015

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS 
IN MISSISSIPPI...
 
  PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO AFFECTING LAWRENCE COUNTY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE OR WALK THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS ROADWAY! THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND, DON'T 
DROWN!

FORECASTS ARE BASED ON RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED AND THAT WHICH IS 
FORECAST TO OCCUR. ROUTINE 12 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL IS USED FOR 
MOST SITES. ROUTINE 48 HOURS OF FORECAST RAINFALL IS USED ON TIBBEE 
CREEK...LUXAPALLILA CREEK...NOXUBEE RIVER...AND THE TOMBIGBEE RIVER.


THE NEXT REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.

&&

MSC077-060232-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0007.000000T0000Z-150107T0900Z/
/MTCM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
802 PM CST MON JAN 5 2015

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE PEARL RIVER NEAR MONTICELLO.
* AT 7:15 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 19.8 FEET.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 22.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 20.0 FEET 
  TOMORROW MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 20.0 FEET...WATER BEGINS TO ENTER SOME LOWLAND PASTURE 
  LAND IN THE VICINITY OF MONTICELLO .

&&
 
              FLOOD    OBSERVED        FORECAST 7 AM      CREST
LOCATION      STG   STG DAY  TIME   TUE   WED   THU CREST TIME  DATE

MIDDLE PEARL RIVER 
MONTICELLO     22  19.8 MON 07 PM  20.0  19.3  18.5  20.0 06 AM 01/06


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
400 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

..RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOODING FOR TODAY THROUGH THIS
EVENING...
..INCREASING RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT ARCTIC OUTBREAK NEXT WEEK...

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWED OUR CLOSED MID TO UPPER LEVEL LOW SPINNING INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. RADAR AND OBSERVATIONAL DATA SHOW THINGS PRETTY MUCH EVOLVING
AS ANTICIPATED THIS MORNING. A LINE OF SEVERE STORMS WAS DEVELOPING
OVER NW/W LOUISIANA EARLY THIS MORNING...WHICH WAS SHOWN BY HI-RES
MODELS. OTHERWISE SHOWERS AND SOME EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WAS NOTED
ACROSS THE ARKLATEX REGION DEVELOPING TOWARD THE ARKLAMISS...WHILE
SHOWERS WERE PUSHING NORTH OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. THIS WAS
ALSO SHOWN BY HIRES MODELS. A WARM FRONT WAS PUSHING NORTH OVER SOUTH
MISSISSIPPI WITH MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPOINTS BEHIND IT WITH 70
DEWPOINTS ON THE COAST. THERE WAS ALSO HIGH PWATS OF AROUND 1.6
INCHES. THIS STRONG WARM SECTOR WAS PUSHING NORTHWARD.

THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM IS ON INTENSE MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOSED
LOW ...AND ITS NE EJECTION OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. AS THIS
PROCESS BEGINS...LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO BACK AND
STRENGTHEN...RESULTING IN INCREASING MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND STRONG
ISENTROPIC LIFT.

FOR TODAY INTO THIS EVENING STILL LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN WINDOW FOR
HAZARDOUS WEATHER POTENTIAL IN OUR AREA. MODELS CONTINUE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT ON UPPER SYSTEM BECOMING NEGATIVELY TILTED AND EJECTING
OUT THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MS VALLEY. EXPECT THE BEST HEIGHT
FALLS TO THE WELL NORTHWEST OF THE REGION WITH WEAKER FALLS OVER THE
ARKLAMISS THROUGH THIS EVENING. UPPER JET SUPPORT FOR CONVECTION
INCREASES THROUGH THIS TIME AS 250 MB JETMAX STRENGTHENS TO 150+ KT
OVER MID MS VALLEY AND OUR AREA GETS INCREASINGLY INTO THE RIGHT
ENTRANCE REGION. THIS IS NOT A CLASSIC SEVERE SCENARIO WITH SURFACE
PRESSURES BEING A LITTLE HIGH AND SOME WARMER HEIGHTS...BUT THE
SHEAR...MOISTURE TRANSPORT AND INSTABILITY SHOULD MAKE UP FOR IT. EXPECT THE
BEST PRESSURE FALLS TO BE ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY AS THE SURFACE
LOW GRADUALLY DEEPENS AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST ALONG THE BOUNDARY. THIS
WILL SUPPORT PUSHING THE BETTER MARITIME AIRMASS DEEPER INTO THE
REGION. HIRES MODELS SHOWS THE LINE STALLING ALONG THE MISS RIVER
TODAY BEFORE IT THINS OUT AS IT PUSHES ACROSS CENTRAL MISS INTO THE
WARMER HEIGHTS SECTOR. SOME OF THE HIRES HAS A COMPLEX DEVELOPING
OVER SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...WHICH PUSHES ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.  DECENT LAPSE RATES
(FOR JANUARY) WILL COMBINE WITH SFC DEWPOINTS OF 65-70F TO SUPPORT
ML/SB CAPE VALUES OF 750-1500 J/KG BASED ON MODEL SOUNDINGS MODIFIED
FOR ANTICIPATED MAX TEMPS TODAY. THE LOW LEVEL JET OF 40 TO 50 KNOTS
AT 925-850MB WILL BRING SOME GUSTY WINDS ACROSS THE REGION BELOW
WIND ADVISORY CRITERIA. VERY STRONG LOW/DEEP LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT
SEVERE CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP. THE SHEAR WILL BE GENERALLY PARALLEL
TO THE FRONT WHICH WILL SUPPORT QLCS DEVELOPMENT WHICH WILL BECOME
BOWING ECHOES AND LINE SEGMENTS AS IT MOVES FARTHER EAST ACROSS THE
REGION.  AT THIS POINT IT STILL APPEARS AS THOUGH BEST OVERLAY OF
SHEAR...DYNAMICS AND INSTABILITY WILL RUN ALONG AN AXIS FROM HEZ TO
JAN TO CBM...WHERE SOME OF THE HEIGHTS ARE MORE CONDUCIVE FOR SEVERE
WEATHER. WITH THIS IN MIND WILL HOLD ON THE ELEVATED RISK THROUGH
THIS EVENING. SO WITH THE SHEAR IN PLACE...STRONG SHEAR AND DECENT
INSTABILITY WILL KEEP THE RISK OF TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS GOING. HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO A THREAT...AND WILL
DISCUSS MORE IN HYDROLOGY SECTION BELOW.

THIS SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE EAST OF AREA BY EARLY MORNING SUNDAY...AND IN
THE WAKE OF IT COLD AIR ADVECTION SHOULD RESULT IN WIDESPREAD LOW
CLOUDS AND SOME PATCHY LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE INTO AT LEAST EARLY
SUNDAY. TEMPS SHOULD BE SOME 20 DEG COOLER SUNDAY THAN SATURDAY.
WITH THE SHORTWAVE PASSING THROUGH THE REGION REGIONAL CROSS
SECTIONS HOLDS ON TO SOME LOW CLOUDS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT. SO HAVE
GENERALLY PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR THAT PERIOD...WHICH WILL HINDER
RADIATIONAL COOLING. SO WENT CLOSER TO A MILDER SOLUTION FOR SUNDAY
NIGHT./17/

.LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THE MAIN FOCUS OF THE LONG TERM
CONTINUES TO BE THE MUCH COLDER AIR THAT IS FORECAST TO AFFECT THE
ARKLAMISS REGION DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. THE FIRST SHOT OF
ARCTIC AIR WILL ARRIVE BEHIND THIS WEEKENDS STORM SYSTEM. A 1040MB
SURFACE HIGH WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION BEHIND THE FRONT BUT WILL
ONLY GIVE A SHORT...GLANCING BLOW AS THIS SFC HIGH WILL BE
PROGRESSIVE AND MOVE ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY BY TUESDAY. THIS SHOT OF
COLDER AIR WILL BRING SUBFREEZING LOWS ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND
COOLER DAYTIME HIGHS FOR MONDAY. THERE WILL BE A SHORT MODERATION IN
TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY BEFORE A DRY COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION. THE AIR BEHIND THIS WILL BE THE COLDEST WE HAVE SEEN YET.
MODELS CONTINUE TO AGREE IN A 1050+ MB SURFACE HIGH DIVING SOUTH
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL SPREAD A COLD AIRMASS DEEP INTO
THE SOUTH WITH SOME POTENTIAL FOR A HARD FREEZE...PARTICULARLY FOR
THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR. THIS WOULD BRING OVERNIGHT LOWS ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THE TEENS AND DAYTIME HIGHS ON THURSDAY NOT
REACHING ABOVE FREEZING. THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA SHOULD SEE LOWS
WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE TEENS AND 20S BUT SHOULD GET ENOUGH WARMTH ON
THURSDAY TO REACH INTO THE UPPER 30S/AROUND 40. GIVEN THE TIGHTENED
PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION LATER WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY
THURSDAY...THIS WILL CREATE WIND CHILL READINGS INTO THE SINGLE
DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS. OVERALL THIS PATTERN WILL LEAD TO AN
EXTREMELY COLD AND RAW PERIOD AS THE SFC HIGH STICKS AROUND OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. /28/

&&

.AVIATION...IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND VIS CONDITIONS WILL EXIST INTO A
GOOD PART OF THIS MORNING. THINGS WILL CHANCE TO WHERE BREEZY SOUTH
WINDS WILL DEVELOP AND IFR/MVFR CEILINGS WILL OCCUR WHILE TSRA
POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE FROM WEST TO EAST AS A STORM COMPLEX TAKES
SHAPE. AS THE STORMS CROSS THE REGION EXPECT IFR CONDITIONS ALONG WITH
GUSTY WINDS. FOR TONIGHT IFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE AS THE RAINS
TAPER OFF FROM THE WEST. EXPECT IFR CEILINGS AND MOSTLY DRIZZLE
CONDITIONS FOR EARLY SUNDAY WITH SOME PATCHY LIGHT RAIN SOUTHEAST.
/17/

&&

.HYDROLOGY...HPC HAS MOST OF THE REGION UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL FOR TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. LARGE SWATH OF 1-3" OF RAIN
ACROSS NORTHERN HALF OF AREA LAST 24-36 HOURS HAS RESULTED IN QUITE
LOW FFG VALUES OF 1-2"/3 HOURS IN THIS AREA. VALUES ARE A BIT HIGHER
IN THE SOUTH...BUT GIVEN HEAVIER RAINS OVER LAST 7-10 DAYS ARE STILL
SOMEWHAT LOW. PWATS WILL BE INCREASE TO AROUND 1.6 TO 1.8 INCHES
WHICH IS THE 90TH PERCENTILE OF PWATS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR FOR VERY
EFFICIENT RAINFALL. THIS COMBINED WITH SATURATED SOILS FROM RECENT
RAINS AND EXPECTED RAINFALL OF IN EXCESS OF 3 INCHES...WILL CONTINUE
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH...BUT EXTEND IT IN THE EAST UNTIL 06Z SUNDAY.
CONTINGENCY FORECASTS FROM LMRFC INDICATE THAT CURRENT QPF VALUES
WOULD GENERALLY RESULT IN MINOR RIVER FLOODING. HOWEVER...IF TRAINING
OF CONVECTION SETS UP OVER A PARTICULAR BASIN...OBVIOUSLY MORE
SIGNIFICANT FLOODING COULD RESULT IN A FEW SPECIFIC RIVER BASINS./17/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       74  47  54  31 /  91  77  12   5
MERIDIAN      74  52  58  32 /  82  91  19   5
VICKSBURG     72  45  53  30 /  96  52  11   5
HATTIESBURG   75  55  60  37 /  83  90  22   5
NATCHEZ       73  46  53  31 /  93  56  10   4
GREENVILLE    67  43  48  28 / 100  38  10   4
GREENWOOD     73  44  50  28 /  98  64  11   6

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR MSZ030-031-033-038-
     039-045-046-051-052-056>058-064>066-072>074.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR MSZ018-019-025>029-
     032-034>037-040>044-047>050-053>055-059>063.

LA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR LAZ007>009-015-016-
     023>026.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR ARZ074-075.

&&

17/28

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1000 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-023-024-MSZ018-034-040000-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-BOLIVAR-WASHINGTON-
1000 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY.

LAZ016-025-026-MSZ019-025>027-035-040>042-047-053-060-040000-
MADISON LA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-
HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-WARREN-CLAIBORNE-ADAMS-
1000 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

TORNADOES
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...TODAY

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

THERE IS A LIMITED THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES OVER THE OUTLOOK
AREA TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO AND
THROUGH THE AREA THROUGH THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS.

IN ADDITION...INTENSE RAINFALL RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORMS WILL
PRODUCE LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE OUTLOOK AREA.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY.

MSZ028-029-032-036-037-043-044-048>050-054>056-059-061>063-040000-
MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CHOCTAW-HOLMES-ATTALA-MADISON MS-LEAKE-HINDS-
RANKIN-SCOTT-COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JEFFERSON-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-
1000 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

TORNADOES
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY

THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES OVER THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK
AREA TODAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO AND
THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

IN ADDITION...INTENSE RAINFALL RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORMS WILL
PRODUCE LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS
IN EFFECT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY.

MSZ030-031-033-038-039-045-046-051-052-057-058-064>066-072>074-
040000-
CLAY-LOWNDES-OKTIBBEHA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-NEWTON-
LAUDERDALE-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-
LAMAR-FORREST-
1000 AM CST SAT JAN 3 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

TORNADOES
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

FLOODING
THREAT...ELEVATED
TIMING...TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT

THERE IS AN ELEVATED THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND TORNADOES OVER THE OUTLOOK AREA
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST INTO
AND THROUGH THE OUTLOOK AREA FROM MID AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

IN ADDITION...INTENSE RAINFALL RATES ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORMS WILL
PRODUCE LOCALIZED AREAS OF FLASH FLOODING. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT.

19

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*TORNADOES*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN STRONG TORNADOES WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
SIGNIFICANT...STRONG TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITH RATINGS EF2 OR
 GREATER.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN TORNADOES.
LIMITED...TORNADOES POSSIBLE.

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

*FLOODING*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SIGNIFICANT FLOODING.
SIGNIFICANT...SIGNIFICANT FLOODING POSSIBLE.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN FLOODING.
LIMITED...FLOODING POSSIBLE.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER RFC HOME PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/LMRFC/
NWS SIGNIFICANT RIVER FLOOD OUTLOOK...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/NATIONALFLOODOUTLOOK/INDEX.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 3 EXCESSIVE RAINFALL...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESS_RAIN.SHTML
WPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFERD.HTML
WPC DAY 1 THROUGH 7 QPF...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
WPC QPF DISCUSSION...
   WWW.HPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/DISCUSSIONS/QPFHSD.HTML
NWS JAN OBSERVED PRECIPITATION IMAGES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=PRECIPMAPS

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!