Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 30, NWS Jackson, MS
NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Mar 9, 2015, 10:58 AM CDT for Lawrence County, Mississippi. It took effect at Mar 11, 2015, 9:24 PM CDT. It was in force for 7 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 9, 2015, 10:58 AM CDT (15:58 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 11, 2015, 9:24 PM CDT
- Expired
- Mar 18, 2015, 9:24 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 days
- Issued by
- NWS Jackson, MS
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Lawrence County, MS
The radar
The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Pearl River near Monticello (MTCM6).
- Action stage
- 21 ft
- Minor stage
- 22 ft
- Moderate stage
- 25 ft
- Major stage
- 33 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02488500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
712
WGUS44 KJAN 091558
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1058 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015
...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi...
Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County
SYNOPSIS...
A stagnant weather pattern is expected this week...with several
waves of low pressure expected to move through an unusually moist
airmass across the region. This will result in several rounds of
moderate to heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms through the
work week.
Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches over the next 5 days are expected
to be common...somewhat heavier localized totals are possible
in narrow stripes where training thunderstorms occur.
The first significant rainfall event will be from Monday night into
Tuesday night where 1 to 3 inches of rainfall will be common across
the area. The next wave of precipitation will begin Wednesday night
and will end early Friday morning. There is a possibility of another
2 to 4 inches during this time frame with the heaviest rainfall
setting up across East and Northeast Mississippi. Significant flash
flooding could occur where storms with intense rainfall rates train
across the same areas.
The current river forecasts contain only 48 hour of additional rainfall.
Forecsts could go higher later in the week if current projects of
rainfall remain in place.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 48 hours of additional rainfall is included in
the Pearl River forecast today.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC029-127-102158-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150312T1200Z-150314T0600Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150312T1200Z.150312T1200Z.150313T0000Z.NO/
1058 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Thursday morning to late Friday night.
* The 7am estimated stage is 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest at 25.0 feet on Thursday.
This forecast only includes rainfall for the next 2 days.
Additional rainfall could produce a higher crest.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and
bottomland is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Rockport 25 M M 17.7 22.1 25.0 25.0 07 AM 03/12
&&
LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
3182 9005 3169 9005
$$
MSC077-102158-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150312T0224Z-000000T0000Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150312T0224Z.150313T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1058 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015
The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Wednesday evening until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM Monday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Wednesday
before midnight and will continue to rise to near 23.0 feet by
Thursday evening. This forecast only includes rainfall for the
next 2 days. Additional rainfall could produce a higher crest.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and
agricultural land near the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Monticello 22 17.6 Mon 10 AM 16.7 19.8 22.7 23.0 07 PM 03/12
&&
LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
3155 9002 3140 8992
$$10 follow-up statements
088
WGUS84 KJAN 100130
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
830 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County
Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. The current river forecasts contain only 48 hours of
additional rainfall. Forecsts could go higher later in the week if current
projects of rainfall remain in place.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC029-127-110730-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150312T1200Z-150314T0600Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150312T1200Z.150312T1200Z.150313T0000Z.NO/
830 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River near Rockport
* from Thursday morning to late Friday night.
* The 7 pm estimated stage is 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and
bottomland is occurring.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor flooding of bottomlands is occurring
in the immediate proximity of the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Rockport 25 M M 17.6 22.3 25.0 25.0 07 AM 03/12
&&
LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
3182 9005 3169 9005
$$
MSC077-110729-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150312T0200Z-150315T1200Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150312T0200Z.150313T0000Z.150314T2100Z.NO/
830 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Wednesday evening to Sunday morning.
* At 8:15 PM Monday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Wednesday
before midnight and will continue to rise to near 23.0 feet by
Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and
agricultural land near the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water begins to enter some lowland pasture
land in the vicinity of Monticello .
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Monticello 22 16.5 Mon 08 PM 16.3 19.5 22.8 23.0 07 PM 03/12
&&
LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
3155 9002 3140 8992
$$820
WGUS84 KJAN 101521
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County
Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County
Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the
Pearl River Basin.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC099-112121-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T1200Z.150314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Thursday morning until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday
morning and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by Saturday
morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside
Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water
Park.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia 13 11.7 Tue 10 AM 12.1 13.0 13.6 14.0 07 AM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
3284 8892 3277 8918
$$
MSC079-112121-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150316T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150316T1200Z.150316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south
of the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Edinburg 20 12.0 Tue 10 AM 12.5 13.1 15.2 20.0 07 AM 03/16
&&
LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
3273 8932 3268 8946
$$
MSC079-112121-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150317T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150317T0600Z.150317T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Tuesday March 17 until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along
and near the river is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Carthage 17 12.0 Tue 10 AM 12.0 12.2 13.3 17.0 01 AM 03/17
&&
LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
3266 8952 3263 8960
$$
MSC079-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150313T0130Z-150315T2125Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150313T0130Z.150314T0000Z.150315T0625Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from Thursday evening to Sunday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday
evening and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Friday
morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 14.2 Tue 10 AM 15.2 19.8 26.0 26.0 07 AM 03/13
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$
MSC079-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150315T0600Z-150315T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Saturday night to Sunday afternoon.
* At 9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along
the river is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Yockanookany River
Ofahoma 19 14.1 Tue 10 AM 14.0 13.6 14.5 19.0 01 AM 03/15
&&
LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
3280 8964 3271 8964
$$
MSC029-127-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150313T1200Z-150315T0000Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150313T1200Z.150313T1200Z.150313T1800Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Friday morning to Saturday evening.
* Estimated stage for 7am today was at 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The River will rise and crest at 25 feet on Friday.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and
bottomland is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Rockport 25 M M 20.1 22.7 25.0 25.0 07 AM 03/13
&&
LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
3182 9005 3169 9005
$$
MSC077-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150313T0200Z-150315T1500Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150313T0200Z.150313T1800Z.150315T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Thursday evening to Sunday morning.
* At 9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday before
midnight and will continue to rise to near 23.0 feet by early
Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and
agricultural land near the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Monticello 22 15.6 Tue 09 AM 17.3 20.0 22.8 23.0 01 PM 03/13
&&
LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
3155 9002 3140 8992
$$925
WGUS84 KJAN 110223
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
923 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall has been used for the
Pearl River tonight.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC029-127-120823-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150313T1200Z-150315T0000Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150313T1200Z.150313T1200Z.150313T1800Z.NO/
923 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Friday morning to Saturday evening.
* At 7:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 18.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Friday
morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and
bottomland is occurring.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor flooding of bottomlands is occurring
in the immediate proximity of the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Rockport 25 18.8 Tue 07 AM 20.8 22.4 25.0 25.0 07 AM 03/13
&&
LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
3182 9005 3169 9005
$$
MSC077-120822-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150313T0300Z-150315T2100Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150313T0300Z.150313T1800Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
923 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Thursday evening to Sunday afternoon.
* At 8:15 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday before
midnight and will continue to rise to near 23.0 feet by early
Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and
agricultural land near the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water begins to enter some lowland pasture
land in the vicinity of Monticello .
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Monticello 22 15.7 Tue 08 PM 17.0 20.2 22.8 23.0 01 PM 03/13
&&
LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
3155 9002 3140 8992
$$327
WGUS84 KJAN 111516
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County
Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County
Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the Pearl River
today.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC099-122116-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T1800Z.150314T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Thursday afternoon until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow
afternoon and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by early
Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside
Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia 13 11.9 Wed 09 AM 12.8 13.5 13.9 14.0 01 PM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
3284 8892 3277 8918
$$
MSC079-122115-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150316T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150316T1200Z.150316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south
of the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Edinburg 20 12.4 Wed 09 AM 13.5 15.7 17.3 20.0 07 AM 03/16
&&
LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
3273 8932 3268 8946
$$
MSC079-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150317T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Tuesday morning until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along
and near the river is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Carthage 17 12.3 Wed 09 AM 12.8 13.7 15.3 17.0 07 AM 03/17
&&
LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
3266 8952 3263 8960
$$
MSC079-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150313T1048Z-150315T0951Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150313T1048Z.150314T0000Z.150314T1851Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from late Thursday night to late Saturday night.
* At 9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Friday morning
and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Friday evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 17.6 Wed 09 AM 21.3 25.4 25.7 26.0 07 PM 03/13
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$
MSC079-122115-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150315T0600Z-150315T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Saturday night to Sunday afternoon.
* At 8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along
the river is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Yockanookany River
Ofahoma 19 15.0 Wed 09 AM 15.3 15.6 18.4 19.0 01 AM 03/15
&&
LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
3280 8964 3271 8964
$$
MSC029-127-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150314T0000Z-150315T1200Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150314T0000Z.150314T0000Z.150314T0600Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Friday evening to Sunday morning.
* At 7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Friday
evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and
bottomland is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Rockport 25 19.5 Wed 07 AM 21.9 24.4 24.8 25.0 07 PM 03/13
&&
LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
3182 9005 3169 9005
$$
MSC077-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150313T1621Z-150316T0900Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150313T1621Z.150314T0600Z.150315T1800Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015
...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Friday morning to late Sunday night.
* At 9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Friday
morning and will continue to rise to near 23.0 feet by early
Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and
agricultural land near the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Monticello 22 16.7 Wed 09 AM 18.1 21.2 23.0 23.0 01 AM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
3155 9002 3140 8992
$$470
WGUS84 KJAN 120155
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
855 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur over the next 12 hours.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC029-127-130755-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150314T0600Z-150315T1800Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150314T0600Z.150314T0600Z.150314T1200Z.NO/
855 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from late Friday night to Sunday afternoon.
* At 7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 25 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest near flood stage
late Friday or early Saturday.
* Impact...At 25 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and
bottomland is occurring.
* Impact...At 21 feet...Minor flooding of bottomlands is occurring
in the immediate proximity of the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Rockport 25 19.5 Wed 7 AM 20.5 23.3 25.0 25.0 1 AM 3/14
&&
LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
3182 9005 3169 9005
$$
MSC077-130754-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150313T1621Z-150316T0900Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150313T1621Z.150314T0600Z.150315T1800Z.NO/
855 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Friday morning to late Sunday night.
* At 8:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 17.5 feet and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Friday
morning and will crest near 23 feet by early Saturday.
* Impact...At 22 feet...Water inundates some lowland and
agricultural land near the river.
* Impact...At 20 feet...Water begins to enter some lowland pasture
land in the vicinity of Monticello .
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Monticello 22 17.5 Wed 8 PM 18.1 21.2 23.0 23.0 1 AM 3/14
&&
LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
3155 9002 3140 8992
$$
DL057
WGUS84 KJAN 121442
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
942 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 24 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the Pearl
River today
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC029-127-132042-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150315T0000Z-150316T1200Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150315T0000Z.150315T0000Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
942 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Saturday evening to Monday morning.
* At 7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and
bottomland is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Rockport 25 19.5 Wed 07 AM 20.3 24.2 24.7 25.0 07 PM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
3182 9005 3169 9005
$$
MSC077-132042-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150314T1115Z-150317T0600Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150314T1115Z.150315T0600Z.150316T1500Z.NO/
942 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015
...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Saturday morning to late Monday night.
* At 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Saturday
morning and will continue to rise to near 23.0 feet by early Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and
agricultural land near the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water begins to enter some lowland pasture
land in the vicinity of Monticello .
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Monticello 22 18.2 Thu 09 AM 18.9 22.1 22.9 23.0 01 AM 03/15
&&
LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
3155 9002 3140 8992
$$691
WGUS84 KJAN 130102
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
802 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall has been used for the
Pearl River tonight.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC029-127-140702-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150315T0600Z-150316T1800Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T1200Z.NO/
802 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from late Saturday night to Monday afternoon.
* At 9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 21.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and
bottomland is occurring.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor flooding of bottomlands is occurring
in the immediate proximity of the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Rockport 25 21.2 Thu 09 AM 21.8 24.1 25.0 25.0 01 AM 03/15
&&
LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
3182 9005 3169 9005
$$
MSC077-140702-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150314T1300Z-150317T1200Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150314T1300Z.150315T0600Z.150316T2100Z.NO/
802 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Saturday morning to Tuesday morning.
* At 7:15 PM Thursday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Saturday
morning and will continue to rise to near 23.0 feet by early Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and
agricultural land near the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water begins to enter some lowland pasture
land in the vicinity of Monticello .
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Monticello 22 18.5 Thu 07 PM 19.0 21.9 23.0 23.0 01 AM 03/15
&&
LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
3155 9002 3140 8992
$$466
WGUS84 KJAN 131509
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1009 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC099-142109-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150314T0000Z-150317T1500Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150314T0000Z.150315T0000Z.150316T0900Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from this evening to Tuesday morning.
* At 9:45 AM Friday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by this evening
and will continue to rise to near 13.5 feet by early Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside
Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water
Park.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia 13 12.6 Fri 10 AM 13.3 13.5 12.9 13.5 01 AM 03/15
&&
LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
3284 8892 3277 8918
$$
MSC079-142109-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150315T1800Z-150316T1500Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150315T1800Z.150315T1800Z.150316T0000Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from Sunday afternoon to Monday morning.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and
near the river begin to flood.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove 25 16.5 Fri 09 AM 22.5 24.9 24.6 25.0 01 PM 03/15
&&
LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
3258 8953 3263 8960
$$
MSC029-127-142109-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150315T0000Z-150316T1200Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150315T0000Z.150315T0000Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Saturday evening to Monday morning.
* At 9:00 AM Thursday the stage was 21.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage
tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and
bottomland is occurring.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Rockport 25 21.2 Thu 09 AM 24.2 24.9 24.0 25.0 07 PM 03/14
&&
LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
3182 9005 3169 9005
$$
MSC077-142109-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150315T0600Z-150316T0900Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T1800Z.NO/
1009 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from late Saturday night to late Sunday night.
* At 9:15 AM Friday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early
Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and
agricultural land near the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Monticello 22 18.5 Fri 09 AM 20.4 22.0 21.5 22.0 01 AM 03/15
&&
LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
3155 9002 3140 8992
$$587
WGUS84 KJAN 140210
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
910 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in
Mississippi...
Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.
&&
MSC029-127-150810-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150315T1200Z-150316T1800Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150315T1200Z.150315T1200Z.150315T1200Z.NO/
910 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Sunday morning to Monday afternoon.
* At 1:00 PM Friday the stage was 20.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday
morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and
bottomland is occurring.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor flooding of bottomlands is occurring
in the immediate proximity of the river.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Rockport 25 20.7 Fri 01 PM 22.1 25.0 24.1 25.0 07 AM 03/15
&&
LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
3182 9005 3169 9005
$$
MSC077-150810-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150316T0000Z-150317T0300Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150316T0000Z.150316T0000Z.150316T1200Z.NO/
910 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015
...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Sunday evening to Monday evening.
* At 8:15 PM Friday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday
evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and
agricultural land near the river.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water begins to enter some lowland pasture
land in the vicinity of Monticello .
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Monticello 22 18.5 Fri 08 PM 19.1 21.3 22.0 22.0 07 PM 03/15
&&
LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
3155 9002 3140 8992
$$511
WGUS84 KJAN 141515
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1015 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Mississippi...
Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County
Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties
Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't
drown!
Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for
most sites. Routine 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used on Tibbee
Creek...Luxapallila Creek...Noxubee River...and the Tombigbee River.
Additional information is available at:
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan
The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.
&&
MSC099-141545-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-150317T2100Z/
/PLAM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Pearl River Above Philadelphia.
* At 9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 12.8 feet this
afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water
Park.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia 13 12.8 Sat 10 AM 12.7 12.5 12.2 Cresting
&&
LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
3284 8892 3277 8918
$$
MSC029-127-141545-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-150316T1800Z/
/ROCM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Pearl River Near Rockport.
* At 1:00 PM Friday the stage was 20.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 22.3 feet
tomorrow morning.
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Rockport 25 20.7 Fri 01 PM 22.3 21.9 21.5 22.3 07 AM 3/15
&&
LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
3182 9005 3169 9005
$$
MSC077-141545-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-150317T0300Z/
/MTCM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1015 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2015
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Pearl River Near Monticello.
* At 9:15 AM Saturday the stage was 19.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 20.4 feet
tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water begins to enter some lowland pasture
land in the vicinity of Monticello .
&&
Flood Observed Forecast 7 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue Crest Time Date
Middle Pearl River
Monticello 22 19.3 Sat 09 AM 20.1 20.2 19.8 20.4 07 PM 3/15
&&
LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
3155 9002 3140 8992
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 9, 10:33 AM CDT, 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 10:33 AM CDT, 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 1033 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015 .UPDATE...TEMPS WILL BE SLOW TO WARM TODAY WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER...EASTERLY WINDS...AND WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. AS A RESULT...HAVE ADJUSTED MAX TEMPS DOWN A FEW DEGREES. SOME CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT NOTED ON RADAR THIS MORNING OFF COASTAL MS. HRRR AND RADAR TRENDS INDICATE THIS ACTIVITY WILL STREAM NORTHWARD INTO SE SECTIONS THIS AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME ISOLATED THUNDER WITH THIS...BUT FOR THE MOST PART JUST SHOWERS WITH LAPSE RATES NEAR MOIST ADIABATIC./26/ && .AVIATION...WHILE RAIN REMAINS RATHER WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE AREA...CIGS AND VSBYS HAVE BEEN VERY SLOW TO RESPOND WITH MOST LOCATIONS STILL VFR AT MID MORNING. MUCH LOWER CIGS EXIST TO THE S AND W OF FORECAST AREA...AND STILL BELIEVE LOWER CIGS WILL GRADUALLY OVERSPREAD THE AREA. HOWEVER...HAVE PUSHED THIS BACK TO LATER IN THE DAY WITH SERIES OF TAF AMDS. EXPECT WIDESPREAD IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SHOWERY IN NATURE WITH TIME...BUT REMAIN RATHER WIDESPREAD WITH COMBO OF BR AND SHRA CAUSING MVFR/IFR VSBYS TONIGHT./8/ && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 414 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015/ SHORT TERM...TODAY THOUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...SIMILAR FORECAST THINKING REMAINS FOR THIS CYCLE AS MODELS CONTINUE TO BE CONSISTENT IN SHOWING THE OVERALL PATTERN EVOLUTION. WHILE THE FOCUS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ON THE WET PATTERN AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS ADDING UP AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS SUCH AS (LOCATION...SPECIFIC TIMING AND AMOUNTS) ARE NOT OVERLY HIGH. MUCH OF THIS HAS TO DO WITH THE GLOBAL MODELS SLOWING DOWN THE MAIN WINDOW FOR THE HEAVIEST RAINS AS WELL AS NOT BEING LOCKED INTO A SPECIFIC AREA. ADDITIONALLY...WE ARE ENTERING THE TIME PERIOD WHERE HI-RES GUIDANCE IS NOW AVAILABLE AND THEY TWO DIFFER IN PLACEMENT OF THE HEAVIEST PRECIP AS WELL. ONE COMMON THEME IS ALL MODELS SHOW THE POTENTIAL FOR THE MOST EFFICIENT AND HEAVIEST PRECIP TO BE LATER AND MORE FOCUSED IN THE TUE-TUE NGT PERIODS. DUE TO THIS...WILL FOCUS THE HWO/GRAPHICS ON THAT WINDOW OF TIME. AS FOR THE AREA...THE MODIFICATION BY THE DAY SHIFT FITS WELL AND WILL LEAVE AS IS. THE THREAT CONTINUES TO BE FOR PRECIP OF 2-4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING. WHAT IS STARTING TO COME INTO PLAY AND BECOMING MORE OF A CONCERN IS FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A FEW STRONG/SVR STORMS TUE. THE REASONING FOR THIS IS HOW MORE CONSENSUS IS SHOWING A CLOSED OFF SFC LOW TO OUR W/NW FOR TUE. WITH A MORE DEVELOPED WAVE...WE WILL SEE WAA INCREASE FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH A MORE PRONOUNCED WARM FRONTAL CIRCULATION DEVELOP. THIS WILL OPEN THE DOOR FOR HIGHER SFC MOISTURE TO MOVE NORTH EARLY ON TUE AND INDICATIONS ARE THAT MID TO UPPER 60S DEWPTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER A LARGER PORTION OF THE CWA DUE TO THE SLOWER TIMING. ADDITIONALLY...THE LATEST HI-RES GUID SHOWS SOME OPPORTUNITY FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION BY TUE AFTERNOON. SFC HEATING WILL BE MAXIMIZED IF THIS SLOWER TREND WORKS OUT WHICH WILL SUPPORT MUCAPE OF 500-1100 J/KG. NOT MANY INGREDIENTS ARE COMING TOGETHER...BUT FOR THE FIRST TIME...A FEW ARE. AT THIS POINT...I WILL NOT MENTION ANY THREAT BUT THE NEXT SHIFT WILL HAVE TO SEE IF THESE TRENDS HOLD AND EVALUATE FURTHER. TOUCHING ON TODAY...A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT PRECIP WILL BE SPREADING OVER THE CWA THIS MORNING. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING DEEP ISENTROPIC LIFT AS A MORE PRONOUNCED WAA PATTERN IS DEVELOPING. MUCH OF THIS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH TODAY. AS THE WARM FRONT DEVELOPS...SOUTHERN AREAS WILL LIKELY SEE A LULL IN THE RAIN ACTIVITY...BUT THEN HAVE WAA SHOWERS/ISO TSRA DEVELOP AND MOVE N FROM SE LA FOR THE AFTERNOON. HOW THE COVERAGE OF PRECIP WILL LOOK TONIGHT IS A CHALLENGE. MY EXPECTATIONS ARE THERE WON'T BE A SOLID RAIN SHIELD...BUT MORE OF A FEW DEVELOPING AREAS OF PRECIP AS THE WAA PATTERN BECOMES MORE ESTABLISHED OVERNIGHT AND DEEP MOISTURE INCREASES. /CME/ LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY...TROUGHING ALOFT DUG IN DEEP ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION'S MID-SECTION AND INTO MEXICO...WILL KEEP DEEP MOISTURE A'PLENTY OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK. THIS...COUPLED WITH SEVERAL DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT...WILL RESULT IN A SERIES OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS FOLLOWING SYNC AND TRAVERSING NORTH INTO AND THROUGH THE CWA THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. BASICALLY THIS ALL EQUATES TO SEVERAL ROUNDS OF RAIN...SOME OF WHICH WILL BE HEAVY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT EITHER. THIS WILL ESPECIALLY BE THE CASE ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF SAID SURFACE LOWS WHERE SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE WILL EXIST...CAUSING DEW POINTS TO CLIMB INTO THE 60S AND ADEQUATE LEVELS OF INSTABILITY TO EXIST. IT'S STILL SKETCHY WHETHER THERE'LL BE A RISK OF ANY SEVERE STORMS AT ANY POINT...AS WIND SHEAR CURRENTLY LOOKS A TAD LOW AND LAPSE RATES MEAGER. THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN RESULTING IN FLOODING CONTINUES TO BE THE GREATER CONCERN WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SUCH A DEEP AND RICHLY MOIST AIRMASS ENCOMPASSING MOST OF THE CWA...PRECIPITABLE H2O VALUES PROGGED FROM 1.50-1.70 INCHES. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGHLIGHTED IN THE HWO. FINALLY...AFTER A WET MID AND LATE WORK WEEK...BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF CUT OFF A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA...WHILE PHASING THE REMAINING ENERGY LEFT BEHIND OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS...WITH A NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH DROPPING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION/OHIO RIVER VALLEY TOWARDS THE EASTERN SEABOARD. THIS CURRENTLY LOOKS TO EQUATE TO A DRIER PERIOD OF WEATHER THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AND INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK. /19/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... JACKSON 58 57 74 58 / 99 99 100 92 MERIDIAN 60 57 75 61 / 99 100 100 91 VICKSBURG 58 57 71 55 / 100 99 100 70 HATTIESBURG 63 61 76 63 / 96 86 100 79 NATCHEZ 60 60 71 55 / 100 93 100 76 GREENVILLE 54 52 67 51 / 100 100 89 50 GREENWOOD 56 54 71 54 / 100 100 100 80 && .JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MS...NONE. LA...NONE. AR...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 5:07 AM CDT, 5 hours 51 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS 507 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015 ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074- 101015- ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND- MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR- SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES- CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON- NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER- WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH- SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN- LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST- 507 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. AFTER PERIODS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT...HEAVIER RAIN WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL TOTALS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY NIGHT...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN SOME FLOODING CONCERNS. A VERY WET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK...AND ADDITIONAL ISSUES WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF MISSISSIPPI. .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT... THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED THIS WEEK. CME && ...HAZARD LEGEND... NO SHORT TERM HAZARDS EXPECTED. ...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)... NWS JAN HOME PAGE... WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE... WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK... WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER... @NWSJACKSONMS PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!
The office that day
Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 8:23 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Clay | 5 days |
| Mar 8, 8:23 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Noxubee | 4 days |
| Mar 9, 10:37 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 13 days |
| Mar 9, 10:37 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 13 days |
| Mar 9, 10:37 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 5 days |
| Mar 9, 10:37 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Leake | 12 days |
| Mar 9, 10:58 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Copiah, Simpson | 5 days |
| Mar 9, 11:22 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | JAN | Carroll, Leflore | 7 days |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.