Alert archive / Mississippi / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 28, NWS Jackson, MS

March 9, 2015Leake County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this river flood warning at Mar 9, 2015, 10:37 AM CDT for Leake County, Mississippi. It took effect at Mar 14, 2015, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 7 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2015, 10:37 AM CDT (15:37 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 14, 2015, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
Mar 21, 2015, 1:00 PM CDT
In force
7 days
Issued by
NWS Jackson, MS
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Leake County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 63 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:37 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Yockanookany River near Ofahoma (OFAM6). The gauge peaked at 16.92 ft at Mar 15, 2015, 10:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate10152003/1103/1203/1303/1403/1503/1603/1703/1803/1903/2003/2103/22
Action stage
18 ft
Minor stage
19 ft
Moderate stage
23 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02484500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

657 
WGUS44 KJAN 091537
FLWJAN
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1037 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015


...The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in Mississippi... 

  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County


SYNOPSIS...

A stagnant weather pattern is expected this week...with several 
waves of low pressure expected to move through an unusually moist 
airmass across the region. This will result in several rounds of 
moderate to heavy rain with embedded thunderstorms through the 
work week.

Rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches over the next 5 days are expected 
to be common...somewhat heavier localized totals are possible
in narrow stripes where training thunderstorms occur.

The first significant rainfall event will be from Monday night into 
Tuesday night where 1 to 3 inches of rainfall will be common across 
the area. The next wave of precipitation will begin Wednesday night 
and will end early Friday morning. There is a possibility of another 
2 to 4 inches during this time frame with the heaviest rainfall 
setting up across East and Northeast Mississippi. Significant flash 
flooding could occur where storms with intense rainfall rates train 
across the same areas. 

The current river forecasts contain only 48 hour of additional rainfall.
Forecsts could go higher later in the week if current projects of
rainfall remain in place.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for Pearl River
Forecast today.

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-102137-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150315T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from late Saturday night until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday morning. This forecast only includes rainfall for the next 2 days.
  Additional rainfall could produce a higher crest.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  12.4 Mon 10 AM  12.9  16.0  17.0  20.0 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-102136-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150315T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150315T1200Z.150315T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Sunday morning until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Monday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Sunday
  morning. This forecast only includes rainfall for the next 2 days.
  Additional rainfall could produce a higher crest.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  12.3 Mon 10 AM  12.0  13.8  15.7  17.0 07 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-102136-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150311T1942Z-150314T1400Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150311T1942Z.150312T1200Z.150313T2300Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from Wednesday afternoon to Saturday morning.
* At 10:00 AM Monday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Wednesday
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Thursday 
  morning. This forecast only includes rainfall for the next 2 days.
  Additional rainfall could produce a higher crest.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  14.4 Mon 10 AM  14.6  23.3  26.0  26.0 07 AM 03/12


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-102136-
/O.NEW.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150314T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150314T1800Z.150314T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1037 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

The National Weather Service in Jackson has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Saturday afternoon until further notice.
* At  8:30 AM Monday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Saturday afternoon. This forecast only includes rainfall for the next 2 days.
  Additional rainfall could produce a higher crest.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  13.7 Mon 08 AM  15.1  15.8  16.2  19.0 01 PM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
8 follow-up statements
719 
WGUS84 KJAN 100124
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
824 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. The current river forecasts contain only 48 hours of
additional rainfall. Forecsts could go higher later in the week if current
projects of rainfall remain in place.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC079-110724-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150311T1738Z-150314T1400Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150311T1738Z.150312T1200Z.150313T2300Z.NO/
824 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from Wednesday afternoon to Saturday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Monday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Wednesday
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Thursday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  14.2 Mon 08 PM  14.5  23.4  26.0  26.0 07 AM 03/12


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-110723-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150314T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150314T1800Z.150314T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 PM CDT MON MAR 9 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Saturday afternoon until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Monday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Tue   Wed   Thu Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  14.0 Mon 08 PM  14.1  14.7  15.3  19.0 01 PM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
820 
WGUS84 KJAN 101521
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties 
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the 
Pearl River Basin.

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-112121-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T1200Z.150314T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Thursday morning until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  11.7 Tue 10 AM  12.1  13.0  13.6  14.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-112121-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150316T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150316T1200Z.150316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  12.0 Tue 10 AM  12.5  13.1  15.2  20.0 07 AM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-112121-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150317T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150317T0600Z.150317T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Tuesday March 17 until further notice.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  12.0 Tue 10 AM  12.0  12.2  13.3  17.0 01 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150313T0130Z-150315T2125Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150313T0130Z.150314T0000Z.150315T0625Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from Thursday evening to Sunday afternoon.
* At 10:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  evening and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Friday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  14.2 Tue 10 AM  15.2  19.8  26.0  26.0 07 AM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150315T0600Z-150315T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Saturday night to Sunday afternoon.
* At  9:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  14.1 Tue 10 AM  14.0  13.6  14.5  19.0 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC029-127-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150313T1200Z-150315T0000Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150313T1200Z.150313T1200Z.150313T1800Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Friday morning to Saturday evening.
* Estimated stage for 7am today was at 17.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The River will rise and crest at 25 feet on Friday.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and 
  bottomland is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25     M M          20.1  22.7  25.0  25.0 07 AM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$

MSC077-112120-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150313T0200Z-150315T1500Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150313T0200Z.150313T1800Z.150315T0000Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Thursday evening to Sunday morning.
* At  9:15 AM Tuesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday before
  midnight and will continue to rise to near 23.0 feet by early 
  Friday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and 
  agricultural land near the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  15.6 Tue 09 AM  17.3  20.0  22.8  23.0 01 PM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$
922 
WGUS84 KJAN 110210
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall has been used for the
Pearl River tonight. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-120810-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T1200Z.150314T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Thursday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  11.7 Tue 09 PM  12.2  13.0  13.6  14.0 07 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-120809-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150316T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150316T1200Z.150316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  12.0 Tue 09 PM  12.5  13.9  15.9  20.0 07 AM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-120809-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150317T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150317T0600Z.150317T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Tuesday March 17 until further notice.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  12.0 Tue 09 PM  12.2  12.8  14.0  17.0 01 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-120809-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150312T0824Z-150316T1259Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150312T0824Z.150313T0600Z.150315T2159Z.NO/
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from late Wednesday night to Monday morning.
* At  8:00 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Thursday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Friday 
  morning. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  15.5 Tue 08 PM  19.2  25.3  26.0  26.0 07 AM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-120809-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150315T0600Z-150315T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
910 PM CDT TUE MAR 10 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Saturday night to Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:45 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Wed   Thu   Fri Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  14.2 Tue 09 PM  14.2  14.3  16.2  19.0 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
327 
WGUS84 KJAN 111516
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Rockport affecting Copiah and Simpson Counties 
  Pearl River Near Monticello affecting Lawrence County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the Pearl River
today.

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-122116-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150312T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150312T1800Z.150314T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from Thursday afternoon until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  afternoon and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by early 
  Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  11.9 Wed 09 AM  12.8  13.5  13.9  14.0 01 PM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-122115-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150316T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150316T1200Z.150316T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Monday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
  morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  12.4 Wed 09 AM  13.5  15.7  17.3  20.0 07 AM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150317T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Tuesday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  12.3 Wed 09 AM  12.8  13.7  15.3  17.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150313T1048Z-150315T0951Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150313T1048Z.150314T0000Z.150314T1851Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from late Thursday night to late Saturday night.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Friday morning 
  and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by Friday evening. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  17.6 Wed 09 AM  21.3  25.4  25.7  26.0 07 PM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-122115-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150315T0600Z-150315T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Saturday night to Sunday afternoon.
* At  8:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.0 Wed 09 AM  15.3  15.6  18.4  19.0 01 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

MSC029-127-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0029.150314T0000Z-150315T1200Z/
/ROCM6.1.ER.150314T0000Z.150314T0000Z.150314T0600Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Rockport
* from Friday evening to Sunday morning.
* At  7:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Friday
  evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Widespread flooding of low pastureland and 
  bottomland is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Rockport       25  19.5 Wed 07 AM  21.9  24.4  24.8  25.0 07 PM 03/13


&&


LAT...LON 3168 9019 3178 9019 3193 9025 3198 9012
      3182 9005 3169 9005             



$$

MSC077-122115-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0030.150313T1621Z-150316T0900Z/
/MTCM6.1.ER.150313T1621Z.150314T0600Z.150315T1800Z.NO/
1016 AM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Monticello
* from Friday morning to late Sunday night.
* At  9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 22.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late Friday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 23.0 feet by early 
  Saturday morning. 
* Impact...At 22.0 feet...Water inundates some lowland and 
  agricultural land near the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Middle Pearl River 
Monticello     22  16.7 Wed 09 AM  18.1  21.2  23.0  23.0 01 AM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3140 9008 3155 9017 3168 9019 3169 9005
      3155 9002 3140 8992             



$$
190 
WGUS84 KJAN 120152
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
852 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi..

  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur over the next 12 hours.

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC079-130752-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150315T0600Z-150315T2100Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.150315T0600Z.NO/
852 PM CDT WED MAR 11 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from late Saturday night to Sunday afternoon.
* At 7:45 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.8 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 19 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest near flood stage 
  late Saturday or early Sunday.
* Impact...At 19 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Thu   Fri   Sat Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.8 Wed  8 PM  15.3  15.6  18.4  19.0  1 AM  3/15


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

DL
364 
WGUS84 KJAN 121439
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015




...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County 
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 

SYNOPSIS...

Do not expect much rainfall today. However...a surface low will 
move out of the Gulf of Mexico this morning and into eastern
Texas and up into southwest Arkansas by tomorrow. As this
occurs, Very moist air over the Gulf of Mexico southeast of 
New Orleans will begin to push northward into our County Warning
Area (CWA) tonight. Rainfall amounts are expected to 
be between 2 and 4 inches across all but our eastern counties. 
There is good potential for bands of very heavy rainfall where 
storms train over the same location tonight into Friday morning. 
Rainfall amounts could be higher than 4 inches in these bands. 
The location of these heavier rainfall bands is uncertain. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the Pearl
River today. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC099-132039-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150314T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150314T0600Z.150315T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from late Friday night until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Saturday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.1 Thu 09 AM  12.4  13.2  14.0  14.0 07 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-132038-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150317T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Tuesday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  13.2 Thu 09 AM  14.2  15.9  16.6  20.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-132038-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150318T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150318T1200Z.150318T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  13.1 Thu 09 AM  13.7  14.8  15.3  17.0 07 AM 03/18


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-132038-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150314T0546Z-150316T1620Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150314T0546Z.150314T1800Z.150316T0120Z.NO/
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from late Friday night to Monday morning.
* At  8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by early Saturday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by early 
  Saturday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  18.4 Thu 08 AM  19.1  25.9  25.9  26.0 01 PM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-132038-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150317T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150317T0000Z.150317T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
939 AM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Monday evening until further notice.
* At  8:45 AM Thursday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.8 Thu 09 AM  16.2  17.9  17.9  19.0 07 PM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
014 
WGUS84 KJAN 130053
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Mississippi...

  Pearl River Above Philadelphia affecting Neshoba County 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County 
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
  Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove affecting Leake County 
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. 48 hours of forecast rainfall is used for the Pearl
River today. 

The next regularly scheduled update is expected between 8 and 10 AM.

&&

MSC099-140653-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0022.150314T0900Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLAM6.1.ER.150314T0900Z.150315T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Above Philadelphia
* from late Friday night until further notice.
* At  6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by Saturday 
  morning and will continue to rise to near 14.0 feet by Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water begins to cover some of the Burnside 
  Lake Water Park roadways and camp areas.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Water begins to affect Burnside Lake Water 
  Park.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Philadelphia   13  12.2 Thu 07 PM  12.3  13.2  14.0  14.0 07 AM 03/15


&&


LAT...LON 3289 8922 3291 8915 3293 8902 3292 8893
      3284 8892 3277 8918             



$$

MSC079-140652-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0025.150317T1200Z-150318T0900Z/
/ENBM6.1.ER.150317T1200Z.150317T1200Z.150317T1800Z.NO/
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg
* from Tuesday morning to late Tuesday night.
* At  6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 13.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding is occurring south 
  of the river.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  13.3 Thu 07 PM  14.1  16.4  16.9  20.0 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-140652-
/O.CON.KJAN.FL.W.0026.150318T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/CARM6.1.ER.150318T1200Z.150318T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage
* from Wednesday morning until further notice.
* At  6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of low areas along 
  and near the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  13.1 Thu 07 PM  13.5  15.2  15.8  17.0 07 AM 03/18


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-140652-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0027.150314T0406Z-150316T2008Z/
/WTGM6.1.ER.150314T0406Z.150314T1800Z.150316T0508Z.NO/
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tuscolameta Creek At Walnut Grove
* from Friday evening to Monday afternoon.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 17.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late tomorrow 
  evening  and will continue to rise to near 26.0 feet by early 
  Saturday afternoon. 
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Agricultural land and low areas along and 
  near the river begin to flood.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Tuscolameta Creek
Walnut Grove   25  17.7 Thu 07 PM  18.3  25.9  25.9  26.0 01 PM 03/14


&&


LAT...LON 3266 8953 3261 8945 3257 8935 3250 8942
      3258 8953 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-140652-
/O.EXT.KJAN.FL.W.0028.150317T0000Z-150318T0300Z/
/OFAM6.1.ER.150317T0000Z.150317T0000Z.150317T1200Z.NO/
753 PM CDT THU MAR 12 2015


The Flood Warning continues for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma
* from Monday evening to Tuesday evening.
* At  6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage Monday
  evening.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Minor overbank flooding of farmland along 
  the river is occurring.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Fri   Sat   Sun Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.3 Thu 07 PM  16.0  17.9  18.0  19.0 07 PM 03/16


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$
728 
WGUS84 KJAN 131506
FLSJAN
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON, MS
1006 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers 
in Mississippi...
 
  Pearl River At Edinburg affecting Leake County
  Pearl River Near Carthage affecting Leake County
  Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma affecting Leake County


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive or walk through areas where water covers roadway! The 
water may be deeper than it appears. Remember...Turn around, don't 
drown!

Forecasts are based on rainfall that has occurred and that which is 
forecast to occur. Routine 12 hours of forecast rainfall is used for 
most sites. 

Additional information is available at:  
http://ahps.srh.noaa.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=jan

The next regularly scheduled update is expected tonight between 8 and
10 PM.

&&

MSC079-131536-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-150318T0900Z/
/ENBM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pearl River At Edinburg.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 13.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 18.0 feet 
  early Monday afternoon.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Edinburg       20  13.4 Fri 10 AM  15.7  16.7  17.8     M M          


&&


LAT...LON 3280 8951 3285 8935 3289 8922 3277 8918
      3273 8932 3268 8946             



$$

MSC079-131536-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-150313T1506Z/
/CARM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Pearl River Near Carthage.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 16.0 feet 
  Tuesday evening.

&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Upper Pearl River
Carthage       17  13.2 Fri 10 AM  14.1  15.1  15.6  16.0 07 PM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3271 8964 3277 8956 3280 8951 3268 8946
      3266 8952 3263 8960             



$$

MSC079-131536-
/O.CAN.KJAN.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-150318T0300Z/
/OFAM6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1006 AM CDT FRI MAR 13 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Yockanookany River Near Ofahoma.
* At  9:45 AM Friday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 19.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 18.5 feet 
  Tuesday morning.


&&
 
              Flood    Observed        Forecast 7 AM      Crest
Location      Stg   Stg Day  Time   Sat   Sun   Mon Crest Time  Date

Yockanookany River 
Ofahoma        19  15.0 Fri 10 AM  16.4  17.0  17.8  18.5 07 AM 03/17


&&


LAT...LON 3267 8975 3280 8976 3295 8972 3293 8958
      3280 8964 3271 8964             



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 9, 10:33 AM CDT, 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 10:33 AM CDT, 4 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1033 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

.UPDATE...TEMPS WILL BE SLOW TO WARM TODAY WITH EXTENSIVE CLOUD
COVER...EASTERLY WINDS...AND WIDESPREAD RAINFALL. AS A RESULT...HAVE
ADJUSTED MAX TEMPS DOWN A FEW DEGREES. SOME CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
NOTED ON RADAR THIS MORNING OFF COASTAL MS. HRRR AND RADAR TRENDS
INDICATE THIS ACTIVITY WILL STREAM NORTHWARD INTO SE SECTIONS THIS
AFTERNOON. MAY SEE SOME ISOLATED THUNDER WITH THIS...BUT FOR THE MOST
PART JUST SHOWERS WITH LAPSE RATES NEAR MOIST ADIABATIC./26/

&&

.AVIATION...WHILE RAIN REMAINS RATHER WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE
AREA...CIGS AND VSBYS HAVE BEEN VERY SLOW TO RESPOND WITH MOST
LOCATIONS STILL VFR AT MID MORNING. MUCH LOWER CIGS EXIST TO THE S
AND W OF FORECAST AREA...AND STILL BELIEVE LOWER CIGS WILL GRADUALLY
OVERSPREAD THE AREA. HOWEVER...HAVE PUSHED THIS BACK TO LATER IN THE
DAY WITH SERIES OF TAF AMDS. EXPECT WIDESPREAD IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS
TONIGHT. PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE SHOWERY IN NATURE
WITH TIME...BUT REMAIN RATHER WIDESPREAD WITH COMBO OF BR AND SHRA
CAUSING MVFR/IFR VSBYS TONIGHT./8/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 414 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THOUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...SIMILAR FORECAST THINKING
REMAINS FOR THIS CYCLE AS MODELS CONTINUE TO BE CONSISTENT IN
SHOWING THE OVERALL PATTERN EVOLUTION. WHILE THE FOCUS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE ON THE WET PATTERN AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS ADDING UP AS WE HEAD
THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY...CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS SUCH AS
(LOCATION...SPECIFIC TIMING AND AMOUNTS) ARE NOT OVERLY HIGH. MUCH
OF THIS HAS TO DO WITH THE GLOBAL MODELS SLOWING DOWN THE MAIN
WINDOW FOR THE HEAVIEST RAINS AS WELL AS NOT BEING LOCKED INTO A
SPECIFIC AREA. ADDITIONALLY...WE ARE ENTERING THE TIME PERIOD WHERE
HI-RES GUIDANCE IS NOW AVAILABLE AND THEY TWO DIFFER IN PLACEMENT OF
THE HEAVIEST PRECIP AS WELL. ONE COMMON THEME IS ALL MODELS SHOW THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE MOST EFFICIENT AND HEAVIEST PRECIP TO BE LATER AND
MORE FOCUSED IN THE TUE-TUE NGT PERIODS. DUE TO THIS...WILL FOCUS
THE HWO/GRAPHICS ON THAT WINDOW OF TIME. AS FOR THE AREA...THE
MODIFICATION BY THE DAY SHIFT FITS WELL AND WILL LEAVE AS IS. THE
THREAT CONTINUES TO BE FOR PRECIP OF 2-4 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING.

WHAT IS STARTING TO COME INTO PLAY AND BECOMING MORE OF A CONCERN IS
FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A FEW STRONG/SVR STORMS TUE. THE REASONING FOR
THIS IS HOW MORE CONSENSUS IS SHOWING A CLOSED OFF SFC LOW TO OUR
W/NW FOR TUE. WITH A MORE DEVELOPED WAVE...WE WILL SEE WAA INCREASE
FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WITH A MORE PRONOUNCED WARM FRONTAL
CIRCULATION DEVELOP. THIS WILL OPEN THE DOOR FOR HIGHER SFC MOISTURE
TO MOVE NORTH EARLY ON TUE AND INDICATIONS ARE THAT MID TO UPPER 60S
DEWPTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER A LARGER PORTION OF THE CWA DUE TO THE
SLOWER TIMING. ADDITIONALLY...THE LATEST HI-RES GUID SHOWS SOME
OPPORTUNITY FOR ORGANIZED CONVECTION BY TUE AFTERNOON. SFC HEATING
WILL BE MAXIMIZED IF THIS SLOWER TREND WORKS OUT WHICH WILL SUPPORT
MUCAPE OF 500-1100 J/KG. NOT MANY INGREDIENTS ARE COMING
TOGETHER...BUT FOR THE FIRST TIME...A FEW ARE. AT THIS POINT...I WILL
NOT MENTION ANY THREAT BUT THE NEXT SHIFT WILL HAVE TO SEE IF THESE
TRENDS HOLD AND EVALUATE FURTHER.

TOUCHING ON TODAY...A LARGE AREA OF LIGHT PRECIP WILL BE SPREADING
OVER THE CWA THIS MORNING. THIS IS IN RESPONSE TO INCREASING DEEP
ISENTROPIC LIFT AS A MORE PRONOUNCED WAA PATTERN IS DEVELOPING. MUCH
OF THIS WILL REMAIN LIGHT THROUGH TODAY. AS THE WARM FRONT
DEVELOPS...SOUTHERN AREAS WILL LIKELY SEE A LULL IN THE RAIN
ACTIVITY...BUT THEN HAVE WAA SHOWERS/ISO TSRA DEVELOP AND MOVE N
FROM SE LA FOR THE AFTERNOON. HOW THE COVERAGE OF PRECIP WILL LOOK
TONIGHT IS A CHALLENGE. MY EXPECTATIONS ARE THERE WON'T BE A SOLID
RAIN SHIELD...BUT MORE OF A FEW DEVELOPING AREAS OF PRECIP AS THE WAA
PATTERN BECOMES MORE ESTABLISHED OVERNIGHT AND DEEP MOISTURE
INCREASES. /CME/

LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY...TROUGHING ALOFT DUG IN
DEEP ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATION'S MID-SECTION AND INTO MEXICO...WILL
KEEP DEEP MOISTURE A'PLENTY OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WORK WEEK.  THIS...COUPLED WITH SEVERAL
DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT...WILL RESULT IN
A SERIES OF SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS FOLLOWING SYNC AND
TRAVERSING NORTH INTO AND THROUGH THE CWA THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY.
BASICALLY THIS ALL EQUATES TO SEVERAL ROUNDS OF RAIN...SOME OF WHICH
WILL BE HEAVY.

SOME THUNDERSTORMS CAN'T BE RULED OUT EITHER.  THIS WILL ESPECIALLY
BE THE CASE ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF SAID SURFACE LOWS WHERE
SOUTHERLY FLOW AT THE SURFACE WILL EXIST...CAUSING DEW POINTS TO
CLIMB INTO THE 60S AND ADEQUATE LEVELS OF INSTABILITY TO EXIST. IT'S
STILL SKETCHY WHETHER THERE'LL BE A RISK OF ANY SEVERE STORMS AT ANY
POINT...AS WIND SHEAR CURRENTLY LOOKS A TAD LOW AND LAPSE RATES
MEAGER.  THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN
RESULTING IN FLOODING CONTINUES TO BE THE GREATER CONCERN WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH SUCH A DEEP AND RICHLY MOIST AIRMASS
ENCOMPASSING MOST OF THE CWA...PRECIPITABLE H2O VALUES PROGGED FROM
1.50-1.70 INCHES.  THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGHLIGHTED IN THE HWO.

FINALLY...AFTER A WET MID AND LATE WORK WEEK...BOTH THE GFS AND
ECMWF CUT OFF A MID/UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE BAJA PENINSULA...WHILE
PHASING THE REMAINING ENERGY LEFT BEHIND OVER THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS...WITH A NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH DROPPING THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES REGION/OHIO RIVER VALLEY TOWARDS THE EASTERN SEABOARD.  THIS
CURRENTLY LOOKS TO EQUATE TO A DRIER PERIOD OF WEATHER THROUGH THE
UPCOMING WEEKEND AND INTO THE NEW WORK WEEK. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       58  57  74  58 /  99  99 100  92
MERIDIAN      60  57  75  61 /  99 100 100  91
VICKSBURG     58  57  71  55 / 100  99 100  70
HATTIESBURG   63  61  76  63 /  96  86 100  79
NATCHEZ       60  60  71  55 / 100  93 100  76
GREENVILLE    54  52  67  51 / 100 100  89  50
GREENWOOD     56  54  71  54 / 100 100 100  80

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 5:07 AM CDT, 5 hours 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
507 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
101015-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-
CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-
NOXUBEE-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-KEMPER-
WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-COPIAH-
SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-ADAMS-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
507 AM CDT MON MAR 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

FLOODING IS POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MUCH OF
MISSISSIPPI TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. AFTER PERIODS OF LIGHT TO
MODERATE RAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT...HEAVIER RAIN WITH EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
RAINFALL TOTALS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY NIGHT...WHICH WOULD RESULT IN SOME
FLOODING CONCERNS.

A VERY WET WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK...AND
ADDITIONAL ISSUES WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE DURING
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK...ESPECIALLY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF
MISSISSIPPI.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED THIS WEEK.

CME

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

NO SHORT TERM HAZARDS EXPECTED.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

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   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 8, 8:23 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANClay5 days
Mar 8, 8:23 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANNoxubee4 days
Mar 9, 10:37 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake13 days
Mar 9, 10:37 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake13 days
Mar 9, 10:37 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLeake5 days
Mar 9, 10:58 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANCopiah, Simpson5 days
Mar 9, 10:58 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANLawrence9 days
Mar 9, 11:22 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningJANCarroll, Leflore7 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Mississippi, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.