Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Wilmington, OH

234 
WWUS51 KILN 261923
SVSILN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
323 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

OHC027-047-071-261945-
/O.CON.KILN.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-150626T1945Z/
CLINTON OH-FAYETTE OH-HIGHLAND OH-
323 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN FAYETTE COUNTY IN CENTRAL OHIO...AND NORTHERN HIGHLAND
AND SOUTHEASTERN CLINTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST OHIO...

AT 321 PM EDT...STORM SPOTTERS REPORTED TREES DOWN SIX MILES WEST OF 
NEW VIENNA. RADAR INDICATED THAT THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS 
LOCATED NEAR NEW VIENNA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH...
QUARTER SIZE HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAIN WHICH MAY CAUSE MINOR FLOODING...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LEESBURG AND GREENFIELD.

IN ADDITION...LEES CREEK...HIGHLAND...SAMANTHA...EAST MONROE...NEW
MARTINSBURG...ROCK MILLS AND GOOD HOPE ARE NEAR THE PATH OF THIS
STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS
UNTIL THIS STORM HAS PASSED.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...GO TO OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV/ILN AND
SUBMIT YOUR REPORT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3940 8335 3936 8338 3935 8337 3933 8339
      3932 8338 3923 8342 3926 8383 3944 8376
      3945 8333
TIME...MOT...LOC 1922Z 276DEG 25KT 3935 8367

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
222 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL LIFT
NORTHEAST OF THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL
ALLOW HIGH PRESSURE TO BRIEFLY BUILD INTO THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
REMNANTS OF OVERNIGHT PCPN HAS PUSHED OFF TO OUR EAST WITH OUR
AREA CURRENTLY IN A LULL. BOUNDARY ACROSS OUR SOUTH HAS BECOME
QUITE DIFFUSE BUT IT SHOULD REESTABLISH ITSELF THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE SURFACE WAVE CURRENTLY OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY PUSHES EASTWARD AND DEEPENS THROUGH THE DAY. HIRES
CONVECTIVE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
ACTIVITY MAY DEVELOP IN OUR AREA ALONG THIS BOUNDARY TROUGH EARLY
TO MID AFTERNOON BEFORE MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY PUSHES IN AHEAD OF THE SURFACE LOW LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THIS EVENING.

THERE CONTINUES TO BE SOME MODEL DISCREPANCIES ON THE EXACT TRACK
OF THE SURFACE LOW AND THE DEGREE OF STRENGTHENING THROUGH THIS
EVENING AS IT PUSHES EAST ACROSS THE MID OHIO VALLEY. THIS WILL
ULTIMATELY DICTATE THE SEVERE THREAT LATER TODAY/EVENING BUT GIVEN
THE STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS AHEAD OF THE LOW...IT DOES
APPEAR THAT THERE IS A DECENT CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY/DEVELOPING WARM FRONT. THIS COULD
BEGIN WITH MORE ISOLATED/DISCRETE CELLS ALONG THE BOUNDARY THROUGH
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...BUT WILL LIKELY BE MORE FAVORABLE WITH A
MORE ORGANIZED MCS ASSOCIATED WITH THE APPROACHING SURFACE LOW
HEADING INTO THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...BUT GIVEN THE INCREASING HELICITIES AHEAD OF THE LOW/ALONG
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY/WARM FRONT...THERE WILL ALSO BE AN ISOLATED
TORNADO THREAT. WITH PWATS INTO THE 1.5 TO 2 INCH RANGE...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED AND WILL CONTINUE WITH THE FFA FOR
THE ENTIRE AREA.

HIGHS TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MID 70S NORTH TO THE LOWER 80S
SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
FOR TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THERE REMAINS SOME DEEPENING/TIMING
ISSUES WITH AFOREMENTIONED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND HOW FAST IT
WILL EXIT OUR AREA. DEEPENING LOW WILL BE REFLECTED BY A CLOSING
MID LEVEL CIRCULATION ACRS THE SRN GREAT LAKES. CONVECTIVE PCPN
THIS EVENING WILL BEGIN TO TRANSITION TO MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND EMBEDDED STORMS AS SYNOPTIC SCALE DEFORMATION DEVELOPS TO THE
NW OF THE LOW TRACK. ON SATURDAY...AS THE LOW SLOWLY MOVES
NORTHEAST...WE SHOULD SEE A GRADUALLY DECREASE IN PCPN COVERAGE
FROM SW TO NE THROUGH THE DAY. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 3
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH LOCAL HIGHER AMOUNTS. IT WILL BE
RATHER COOL ON SATURDAY FOR LATE JUNE GIVEN CLOUDS...PCPN AND
INCREASING NORTHERLY WIND FLOW. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER
60S TO THE LOWER 70S.

BY SATURDAY NIGHT...SYNOPTIC SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTHEAST TO THE
EASTERN GREAT LAKES. PCPN IN THE EAST WILL LIFT NORTH AND EAST OF
THE REGION ALONG WITH SOME CLEARING TAKING PLACE FROM WEST TO
EAST.

ON SUNDAY...OUR AREA WILL BE BETWEEN WEATHER PRODUCING SYSTEMS AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVES WEST TO EAST OVER THE REGION. UNDER
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES...HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S
EAST TO THE UPPER 70S WEST.

NEXT ROUND OF S/WV ENERGY WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. WILL CONTINUE WITH A LOW CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS THIS SYSTEM GETS CLOSER.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE FA WILL BE IN BETWEEN SYSTEMS ON SUNDAY.  HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.  AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BEGIN TO
APPROACH THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.  AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY.  A
BRIEF BREAK IN THE PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY MORNING
BEFORE ADDITIONAL DISTURBANCES BRING A RETURN OF PRECIPITATION
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

WITH TROUGH IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE LONG TERM TIME
PERIOD EXPECT HIGH TEMPERATURES TO BE BELOW NORMAL.  LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW TO NEAR NORMAL FOR THE LONG TERM.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE
BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL INDIANA DOWN INTO SOUTHEAST
OHIO. THIS BOUNDARY HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY BUT MAY BEGIN TO
LIFT SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH MID AFTERNOON AS SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL
FLOW BEGINS TO INCREASE. THUS EXPECT OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT KDAY/KILN IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS...POSSIBLY
LIFTING UP AS FAR NORTH AS KCMH/KLCK.

MEANWHILE...A STRENGTHENING SURFACE LOW OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY WILL PUSH EAST ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. AHEAD OF THIS ...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO FILL IN OFF TO OUR SOUTHWEST AND PIVOT UP INTO OUR AREA LATE
THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A
FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...TRENDING
MOE TO JUST SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE
TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW....WOULD EXPECT SOME IFR CIGS TO DEVELOP
LATER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

OUTLOOK...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES SATURDAY...WITH
MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ON
MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR OHZ026-034-
     035-042>046-051>056-060>065-070>074-077>082-088.
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR KYZ089>100.
IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR INZ050-058-
     059-066-073>075-080.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HICKMAN
NEAR TERM...JGL
SHORT TERM...HICKMAN
LONG TERM...NOVAK
AVIATION...JGL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1016 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-064-065-074-271100-
HARDIN-MERCER-AUGLAIZE-DARKE-SHELBY-LOGAN-UNION OH-DELAWARE-MIAMI-
CHAMPAIGN-CLARK-MADISON-FRANKLIN OH-LICKING-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-
HOCKING-
1016 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY
OF OHIO AND WEST CENTRAL OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAIN AND FLOODING...A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL
HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RAINFALL AMOUNTS LATER TODAY AND
SATURDAY.

INZ050-058-059-066-OHZ060>063-070>073-080-082-271100-
WAYNE-FAYETTE IN-UNION IN-FRANKLIN IN-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-
FAYETTE OH-BUTLER-WARREN-CLINTON-ROSS-HIGHLAND-PIKE-
1016 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL
INDIANA...SOUTHEAST INDIANA...CENTRAL OHIO...MIAMI VALLEY OF
OHIO...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAIN AND FLOODING...SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME SEVERE. THE
MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...WITH A LESSER CHANCE OF LARGE
HAIL OR A TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SPOTTERS ARE ALSO ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS LATER TODAY AND SATURDAY.

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ077>079-081-088-271100-
RIPLEY-DEARBORN-OHIO-SWITZERLAND-CARROLL-GALLATIN-BOONE-KENTON-
CAMPBELL-OWEN-GRANT-PENDLETON-BRACKEN-ROBERTSON-MASON-LEWIS-HAMILTON-
CLERMONT-BROWN-ADAMS-SCIOTO-
1016 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST INDIANA...NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...NORTHERN KENTUCKY...SOUTH CENTRAL OHIO AND SOUTHWEST
OHIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAIN AND FLOODING...SOME OF THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
SEVERE. THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING
WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...AND SOME STORMS MAY ALSO BECOME CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SPOTTERS ARE ALSO ENCOURAGED TO REPORT
RAINFALL AMOUNTS LATER TODAY AND SATURDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
136 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

OHZ070-071-261800-
BUTLER OH-WARREN OH-
136 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHERN WARREN AND NORTHEASTERN
BUTLER COUNTIES THROUGH 200 PM EDT...

AT 134 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
FRANKLIN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 40 MPH...
PEA SIZE HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...SPRINGBORO...LEBANON
AND WAYNESVILLE.

ALSO...PEKIN...LYTLE...GENNTOWN...FORT ANCIENT...CAESAR CREEK STATE
PARK...OREGONIA...MOUNT HOLLY...HARVEYSBURG AND CORWIN ARE NEAR THE
PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

LAT...LON 3959 8438 3959 8429 3957 8399 3934 8401
      3948 8443

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
241 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0125 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 N MIDDLETOWN          39.53N 84.37W
06/26/2015                   BUTLER             OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL TREES ARE DOWN IN A TWO MILE PATH. IN ADDITION
            SOME TREES HAVE DAMAGED TRAILERS IN A TRAILER PARK.

&&

ANOVAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
243 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     FLOOD            2 N MIDDLETOWN          39.53N 84.37W
06/26/2015                   BUTLER             OH   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TWO FEET OF WATER WAS REPORTED IN A TRAILER PARK.

&&

ANOVAK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
254 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

OHZ072-261930-
CLINTON OH-
254 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN CLINTON COUNTY THROUGH
330 PM EDT...

AT 252 PM EDT...RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR COWAN LAKE
STATE PARK...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

STORM HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WINDS TO 50 MPH...
PEA SIZE HAIL...
VERY HEAVY RAIN...

SOME LOCATIONS THAT MAY BE AFFECTED INCLUDE...NEW VIENNA.

ALSO...COWAN LAKE STATE PARK...MIDLAND...WESTBORO...CUBA...
BURTONVILLE...MORRISVILLE...MARTINSVILLE AND NEW ANTIOCH ARE NEAR THE
PATH OF THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM.

WATER WILL POND ON ROADS AND MAY QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND
SMALL STREAMS.

LAT...LON 3928 8400 3946 8399 3941 8359 3938 8359
      3924 8381