Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015
Flash Flood Warning 49, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Dec 29, 2015, 12:17 AM EST for Transylvania County, North Carolina. It was in force for 4 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 29, 2015, 12:17 AM EST (05:17 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 29, 2015, 4:15 AM EST
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Transylvania County, NC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:20 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What was reported inside it
| Time | Report | Where | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 12:30 AM EST | FLASH FLOOD | S Rosman, NC | TEN RESIDENTS WERE EVACUATED ON DEPOT ST. AND U.S. 178 OR PICKENS HWY WAS TEMPORARILY CLOSED DUE TO FLOOD WATERS FROM THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER. |
Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.
Did it verify
Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 13 minutes after it went out.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 5.3 hours before the alert went out and 255 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 9 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -89 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 520 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 560 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 604 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
656
WGUS52 KGSP 290517
FFWGSP
NCC175-290915-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FF.W.0049.151229T0517Z-151229T0915Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1217 AM EST TUE DEC 29 2015
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
* UNTIL 415 AM EST
* AT 1211 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO
TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER THE PAST 4 HOURS AND AN
ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES WILL FALL DURING THE NEXT HOUR.
* FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SHORTLY AT ROSMAN ON THE NORTH
FORK OF THE FRENCH BROAD RIVER AND ALONG THE LITTLE RIVER IN
EASTERN TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
BREVARD...ROSMAN...DUPONT STATE FOREST...LAKE TOXAWAY...GORGES
STATE PARK...CONNESTEE...CEDAR MOUNTAIN AND LITTLE RIVER IN
TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.
MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE
WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER
CAN CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.
PLEASE REPORT FLOOD WATER FLOWING OVER ROADS OR THREATENING
PROPERTY...OR LANDSLIDES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE
SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY
POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR
MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT
OCCURRED.
&&
LAT...LON 3518 8296 3527 8262 3526 8261 3514 8258
3514 8261 3513 8263 3513 8268 3510 8269
3508 8278 3509 8279 3504 8296
$$
KRENTZWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Dec 28, 9:52 PM EST, 2 hours 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 28, 9:52 PM EST, 2 hours 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
952 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015
.SYNOPSIS...
WARM AND MOIST FLOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES THE AREA FROM THE WEST. THE FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE
AREA BY MID WEEK...WITH HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY. AFTER
THE FRONT PASSES...MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL BUILD IN FOR NEW
YEARS DAY AND THE REST OF THE WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
930 PM UPDATE...I CAN/T SAY WE ARE TOTALLY OUT OF THE WOODS AS FAR
AS THE SEVERE THREAT...GIVEN THAT BOTH INSTABILITY AND EFFECTIVE
SHEAR SOUTH OF THE WEDGE BOUNDARY HAVE CHANGED LITTLE SINCE WE
EXPERIENCED THE MINI-SUPERCELL-LIKE STORMS EARLIER. A FEW SQUIGGLY
CELLS ARE SEEN NORTH OF THE WEDGE BOUNDARY BUT THEY DO NOT HAVE
DISCERNIBLE ROTATION...AND OF COURSE THEY ARE SEPARATED FROM THE
SFC ANYWAY. THE RAIN BAND PRIOR TO THE APPROACHING COLD FRONT HAS
NOW ALIGNED WITH THE SW NC MTNS/ESCARPMENT AND UPPER SAVANNAH RIVER
VALLEY. THIS BAND SHOULD CONTINUE TO MAKE SLOW PROGRESS EAST OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MOST GUIDANCE SHOWS THE BAND WEAKENING AS WINDS
VEER AND AS SUPPORTIVE UPPER DIVERGENCE TRANSLATES NORTHWARD. THOUGH
THE WEDGE BOUNDARY IS PROGGED TO RETREAT TO SOME DEGREE OVER WNC
IT WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF ENHANCEMENT TO THE LLVL UPGLIDE. THUS
HEFTY POPS ARE STILL WARRANTED IN THAT AREA...BUT FURTHER SOUTH
SOME SCATTERING OF THE SHOWERS IS ANTICIPATED. NEW POP GRIDS
REFLECT THIS. REVISED QPF SLIGHTLY BASED ON REPORTED HOURLY RATES
UPSTREAM. FFA AND WIND ADVISORY STILL LOOK GOOD...BUT WILL UPDATE
TEXT PRODUCTS SHORTLY.
AS OF 230 PM EST...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG LOW CENTER
LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHEAST MO. THE NEAR TERM MODELS
HAVE THIS FEATURE LIFTING INTO THE GREAT LAKES THIS EVENING.
MEANWHILE...SFC OBSERVATIONS SHOW A BACK DOOR COLD FRONT DRAPED
ALONG THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR AND SLOWLY SETTLING SOUTHWARD.
MODEL CONSENSUS BRINGS THIS BOUNDARY SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE NC/SC
LINE THROUGH LATE EVENING...BEFORE STALLING IT OUT AND RETURNING
IT NORHTWARD AS A WARM FRONT OVERNIGHT. RADAR COVERAGE CONTINUES TO
IMPROVE FROM THE VARIOUS MECHANISMS...WITH UPGLIDE OVER THE BOUNDARY
ACROSS THE NRN TIER...SHOWERS MOVING NW FROM THE MIDLANDS IN THE
MORE UNSTABLE AIR...UPSLOPE ALONG THE SRN/ERN ESCARPMENTS...AND
HEAVIER SHOWERS APPROACHING IN THE DEEPER MOISTURE FROM THE WEST.
THE COMBINATION OF THESE FORCING FEATURES SHOULD COME TOGETHER THIS
EVENING AND EARLY OVERNIGHT WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS
EXPECTED AT TIMES FOR MOST LOCATIONS. GIVEN THE HIGH VALUES OF
PRECIPITABLE WATER AND THE UPSLOPE FOCUS TO THE PRECIPITATION...THE
CURRENT FFA STILL APPEARS WELL PLACED. THE STOUT SRLY JET SHOULD
ALSO CONTINUE TO PRODUCE ADVISORY LEVEL GUSTS ALONG THE HIGHER
RIDGE TOPS...SO NO CHANGES TO THE WIND ADVISORY ARE PLANNED.
UPGLIDE SHOULD SLOWLY SHUT OFF FROM 09Z ONWARD AS THE 850 MB FLOW
VEERS MORE SWLY AND THE SFC BOUNDARY LIFTS BACK NORTH OF THE REGION.
THE TRAILING COLD FRONT SHOULD THEN CROSS THE AREA SLOWLY ON
TUE...BUT THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON WHEN IT WILL MAKE
IT THROUGH THE REGION AS THE UPPER FLOW BECOMES PARALLEL TO THE
BOUNDARY. THE FASTER GFS HAS LITTLE INSTABILITY FOR TUE AFTN...WHILE
THE SLOWER NAM HAS 500 TO 1000 J/KG OF LATE AFTN CAPE. A BLENDED
SOLUTION WILL KEEP SCHC TO CHC SHOWERS GOING IN SE SECTIONS THROUGH
LATE DAY. TEMPS REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR ANOTHER DAY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM MONDAY...THE SECOND ROUND OF RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP FROM SW TO NE LATE OVERNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH PEAK POPS
AND RAIN RATES AROUND MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN FORCING MECHANISMS
WILL BE LLVL ISENT LIFT AND RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION JET DIVERGENCE
ALOFT. THE MODELS SEEM A BIT MORE MUTED ON QPF RESPONSE THAN WHAT I
SAW AT THIS TIME YESTERDAY. AND THE LATEST WPC QPF IS SIGNIFICANTLY
REDUCED. I BLENDED IN SOME OF THE OLD FCST AND CONSALL FOR QPF. THIS
STILL RESULTS IN AN ADDITIONAL 1-2" ACRS THE SOUTHERN BLUE RIDGE AND
SW NC MTNS. THESE AMOUNTS WILL BE ENUF TO AGGRAVATE THE HYDRO
CONDITIONS (SEE HYDRO SECTION BELOW).
THE OTHER ISSUE WILL BE SOME INSTBY ACRS THE PIEDMONT...AS MODELS
ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT. I WILL KEEP A MENTION OF CHC OF THUNDER. THE
SEVERE THREAT LOOKS LOW...HOWEVER...AS LLVL FLOW WILL BE VEERED AND
NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL. WE ARE CURRENTLY IN A GENERAL THUNDER AREA
FOR WEDNESDAY. TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO BE 20-30 DEG ABOVE NORMAL.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...THE UPPER JET AXIS WILL SHIFT
EAST...AND A VERY GRADUAL DRYING FROM THE BOTTOM UP IN THE PROFILES
IS EXPECTED. MODELS HOLD ONTO TO MOIST ISENT LIFT IN THE MID LVLS
THRU MOST OF THE DAY...SO CLOUDS WILL LINGER...AND POPS WILL ONLY
SLOWLY TAPER OFF. TEMPS WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER ON THURSDAY...BUT
STILL 10-20 DEG ABOVE NORMAL.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM MONDAY...THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS 00Z FRIDAY WITH A
RATHER DRAMATIC SHIFT IN THE OVERALL PATTERN. THE SURFACE COLD FRONT
WILL HAVE JUST PASSED THROUGH THE AREA BY SUNDOWN ON NEW YEARS
EVE...WITH A DEEP UPPER TROUGH DIGGING DOWN INTO THE REGION RIGHT ON
ITS HEELS. THE INITIAL UPPER TROUGH BASE WILL PASS ON
SATURDAY...WITH A SECONDARY TROUGH ARRIVING AS A SHORTWAVE AMPLIFIES
OVER THE APPALACHIANS ON MONDAY. A DRY SURFACE RIDGE CENTERED OVER
THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BUILD IN AS THE SECOND UPPER TROUGH PASSES
MONDAY AND TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY NIGHT APPEARS TO BE CLEAN...WITH MUCH
DRIER AND COOLER AIR ARRIVING IN TIME FOR NEW YEARS DAY. BOTH MAX
AND MIN TEMPS WILL DROP TO AVERAGE ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS THE
FIRST UPPER TROUGH PASSES...WITH MUCH OF THE AREA DROPPING TO
FREEZING OVERNIGHT AND HIGHER TERRAIN POSSIBLY DIPPING INTO THE
UPPER TEENS. AS THE SECONDARY TROUGH DIPS DOWN ON MONDAY...MAX AND
MIN TEMPERATURES COULD EVEN DROP TO ABOUT 5 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE
EARLY NEXT WEEK. POPS REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD ENDING
TUESDAY MORNING...PROVIDING A MUCH-NEEDED BREAK FROM THE VERY WET
PATTERN FEATURED THE PAST FEW WEEKS.
&&
.AVIATION /03Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...WEDGE COLD FRONT HAS SAGGED SOUTH JUST PAST THE
AIRFIELD...BRINGING CIGS INTO THE NE QUADRANT AND CIGS DOWN TO
IFR. HOWEVER AS DEEP LOW PRESSURE TRACKS NWD THRU THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY ITS GRADIENT FLOW IS PROGGED TO OVERPOWER THE WEDGE EFFECT
AND VEER WINDS TO SE AGAIN. LOW CIGS ARE LIKELY TO PERSIST OVERNIGHT
NONETHELESS AS LOW LEVEL UPGLIDE CONTINUES. SHRA WILL CONTINUE TO
BE POSSIBLE IN THIS SETUP...WITH PRECIP BAND PRECEDING COLD FRONT
LIKELY TO MOVE THRU IN THE WEE HOURS OF THE MRNG. BRIEF DRYING
WILL OCCUR ALOFT AS COLD FRONT PASSES LATE IN THE PERIOD...ALLOWING
CIGS TO IMPROVE TO VFR.
ELSEWHERE...WEDGE BOUNDARY DOES NOT LOOK TO PUSH SOUTH OF NC/SC
BORDER...BUT WEDGE CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT KHKY UNTIL
NEARLY MIDDAY TUE. THE PREFRONTAL RAIN BAND NOW ENTERING WRN NC
AND UPSTATE SC WILL PROGRESS ACRS THE AREA OVERNIGHT. WHILE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ABUNDANT EVEN AFTER THE BAND PASSES
DRIER AIR WILL WORK IN ALOFT WHICH ALONG WITH VEERING /LESS
UPSLOPING-UPGLIDING/ WINDS SHOULD ALLOW CIGS TO LIFT OVER MOST OF
THE AREA. THIS APPEARS LEAST LIKELY OVER THE UPSTATE.
OUTLOOK...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY THROUGH THE REGION FROM
THE WEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH A BRIEF LULL IN PRECIPITATION
ACROSS THE AREA. DEEP MOISTURE WILL RETURN TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED
AS THE FRONT MOVES BACK NORTHWARD. DRYING IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY.
CONFIDENCE TABLE...
03-09Z 09-15Z 15-21Z 21-00Z
KCLT HIGH 82% MED 75% HIGH 90% HIGH 95%
KGSP MED 76% LOW 57% LOW 54% MED 65%
KAVL MED 67% MED 71% MED 77% HIGH 100%
KHKY LOW 51% MED 77% MED 66% MED 61%
KGMU MED 61% MED 60% LOW 51% HIGH 87%
KAND HIGH 81% MED 72% HIGH 94% HIGH 80%
THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
HEAVY RAIN REMAINS THE FOCUS OF THE FORECAST THROUGH WED NIGHT.
THE FIRST WAVE OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE OVER WESTERN
NC...NORTHEAST GA...AND THE WESTERN SC UPSTATE THROUGH TONIGHT AS
DEEP MOISTURE ARRIVES FROM THE WEST AND SOUTHERLY FLOW INCREASES.
PRECIPITABLE WATER ANOMALIES SHOULD BE 2 TO 3+ STD DEV ABOVE NORMAL
LATE THIS EVENING THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT. THIS MOISTURE WILL
COMBINE WITH AMPLE UPSLOPING POTENTIAL TO SET THE STAGE FOR THE
FLOODING THREAT THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. FORECAST RAINFALL
AMOUNTS APPROACHING 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING IN THE FAR SRN APPALACHIANS...TAPERING DOWN TO THE EAST WITH
JUST A HALF TO THREE QUARTER INCH AMOUNTS IN MOST PIEDMONT AREAS. NO
EXPANSION OF THE FLOOD WATCH IS WARRANTED AT THIS POINT.
THE SECOND WAVE WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE SECONDARY SLUG OF
MOISTURE EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF INTO THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. WITH SATURATED SOILS IN
PLACE FROM THE FIRST WAVE OF HEAVY RAIN...THIS SECOND WAVE COULD
RESULT IN MORE SERIOUS IMPACTS...ESPECIALLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE
LATEST WPC QPF VALUES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWN...AS MODELS HAVE
TRENDED A LITTLE LOWER. BUT STILL AN ADDITIONAL 1-2" OF RAIN THRU
WEDNESDAY AFTN MAY BE ENUF TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOOD ISSUES.
STORM TOTAL QPF VALUES FOR THE TWO WAVES ARE WIDESPREAD 2.5 TO 3+
INCHES ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS...WITH TOTALS OF 4 TO 5+
INCHES ACROSS THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE FAR SRN MOUNTAINS. A FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT EVERYWHERE THAT IS EXPECTED TO RECEIVE >2.5
INCHES THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY. WPC EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FORECASTS HAVE
THE SW MOUNTAINS IN MODERATE RISK AND MOST OF THE AREA IN SLIGHT
RISK FOR DAY 1...THE SW NC MOUNTAINS ALONG WITH THE GA AND MOST OF
THE SC COUNTIES IN SLIGHT RISK FOR DAY 2...AND JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE
FLOOD WATCH AREA IN SLIGHT RISK FOR DAY 3.
&&
.CLIMATE...
DAILY MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR TUESDAY DECEMBER 29...
AVL 74 1984 CLT 74 1984 GSP 72 1984
DAILY HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR TUESDAY DEC 29...
AVL 56 1954 CLT 61 1954 GSP 54 1996
&&
.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-
028-029.
NC...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR NCZ033-048>053-058-
059-062>065-501>510.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR NCZ033-048>053-058-
059-062>065.
SC...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR SCZ001>007-010-011.
&&
SYNOPSIS...LEV
NEAR TERM...HG/WIMBERLEY
SHORT TERM...ARK
LONG TERM...LEV
AVIATION...WIMBERLEY
HYDROLOGY...ARK/HG
CLIMATE...GSPHazardous weather outlook, Dec 28, 4:48 PM EST, 7 hours 29 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-292200- AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM- NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON- 448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. WIND ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ..TUESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY. A COUPLE MORE ROUNDS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED...ONE TONIGHT AND ANOTHER ON WEDNESDAY. DUE TO NEARLY SATURATED SOILS AND HIGH RIVER LEVELS...SOME FLOODING IS EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS. ..WEDNESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ035>037-056-057-292200- ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN- 448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS MAY IMPACT THE PIEDMONT THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS ALONG A FRONT SAGGING IN FROM THE NORTH. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS MAY IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT FROM THE WEST. ISOLATED FLOODING COULD RESULT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ..TUESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN CHANCES ARE GREATEST IN THE MORNING. ..WEDNESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ501>507-509-292200- CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE- MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS- POLK MOUNTAINS- 448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ..TUESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY. A COUPLE MORE ROUNDS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED...ONE TONIGHT AND ANOTHER ON WEDNESDAY. DUE TO NEARLY SATURATED SOILS AND HIGH RIVER LEVELS...SOME FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. ..WEDNESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ508-510-SCZ001>007-010-011-292200- RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-GREATER RUTHERFORD- EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS- GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG- ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE- 448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ..TUESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY. A COUPLE MORE ROUNDS OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED...ONE TONIGHT AND ANOTHER ON WEDNESDAY. DUE TO NEARLY SATURATED SOILS AND HIGH RIVER LEVELS...SOME FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE. ..WEDNESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. NCZ068>072-082-SCZ008-009-012>014-019-292200- CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-CHEROKEE-YORK- LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD- 448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. WEAK INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL PRESENT A NON ZERO CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. ..TUESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN CHANCES ARE GREATEST IN THE MORNING. ..WEDNESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE. ..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. ..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... NONE. ARK
In the hours before
Local storm report, Dec 28, 6:27 PM EST, 5 hours 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
627 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0458 PM TORNADO 3 NNE TRINITY 34.89N 80.52W
12/28/2015 UNION NC EMERGENCY MNGR
TREES BLOWN DOWN ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO A SHED AND VEHICLES
ON JUGG BROOME ROAD.
&&
KRENTZLocal storm report, Dec 28, 6:29 PM EST, 5 hours 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
629 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0459 PM TORNADO 3 NNE TRINITY 34.89N 80.52W
12/28/2015 UNION NC EMERGENCY MNGR
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE REPORTED ON SANDY RIDGE ROAD.
&&
KRENTZSpecial weather statement, Dec 28, 6:54 PM EST, 5 hours 23 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
654 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015
NCZ507-508-510-290030-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS NC-GREATER RUTHERFORD NC-EASTERN POLK NC-
654 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015
...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
RUTHERFORD AND NORTH CENTRAL POLK COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM EST...
AT 654 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12
MILES WEST OF RUTHERFORDTON...OR NEAR LAKE LURE...MOVING NORTH AT 30
MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAKE LURE...CHIMNEY ROCK STATE PARK...SHINGLE HOLLOW AND LAKE ADGER.
LAT...LON 3554 8201 3533 8210 3534 8223 3536 8223
3539 8220 3540 8220 3540 8223 3550 8222
3552 8223 3553 8217 3552 8214 3554 8207
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 186DEG 28KT 3543 8216
MOORESpecial weather statement, Dec 28, 7:50 PM EST, 4 hours 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
750 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015
NCZ053-507>510-290145-
BUNCOMBE NC-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS NC-GREATER RUTHERFORD NC-
EASTERN POLK NC-POLK MOUNTAINS NC-
750 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015
...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
RUTHERFORD...SOUTHEASTERN BUNCOMBE AND POLK COUNTIES UNTIL 845 PM
EST...
AT 750 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
COLUMBUS...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLUMBUS...TRYON...LAKE LURE...CHIMNEY ROCK STATE PARK...BAT CAVE...
LAKE ADGER...SHINGLE HOLLOW...MILL SPRING AND GREEN HILL.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
&&
LAT...LON 3552 8216 3554 8202 3519 8211 3520 8231
3534 8230 3539 8226 3540 8227 3557 8227
TIME...MOT...LOC 0050Z 186DEG 25KT 3528 8222
MOORELocal storm report, Dec 28, 10:34 PM EST, 1 hour 43 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1034 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1030 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 ENE DILLARD 34.98N 83.32W
12/28/2015 RABUN GA PUBLIC
PUBLIC REPORTS MUD CREEK IS OUT OF ITS BANKS AND FLOODING
SKY VALLEY WAY. UNABLE TO DRIVE ACROSS THE FLOW OF WATER.
&&
KRENTZThe office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 7:21 PM EST | Tornado Warning | GSP | McDowell | 24 min |
| Dec 28, 7:50 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Polk | 55 min |
| Dec 28, 8:12 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Jackson, Macon | 3 hr |
| Dec 28, 8:32 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Buncombe, McDowell, Mitchell, Rutherford, Yancey | 3 hr |
| Dec 28, 9:12 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Jackson, Macon | 3 hr |
| Dec 28, 9:18 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Transylvania | 3 hr |
| Dec 29, 12:12 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Polk | 3 hr |
| Dec 29, 12:18 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | GSP | Henderson, Polk, Rutherford | 57 min |
| Dec 29, 12:47 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | GSP | Jackson, Macon | 3 hr |
| Dec 29, 1:03 AM EST | River Flood Warning | GSP | Buncombe | 23 hr |
| Dec 29, 1:03 AM EST | River Flood Warning | GSP | Haywood | 25 hr |
| Dec 29, 1:17 AM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Rutherford | 3 hr |
| Dec 29, 2:16 AM EST | Flash Flood Warning | GSP | Buncombe | 3 hr |
| Dec 29, 3:16 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | GSP | Polk | 9 hr |
| Dec 29, 3:36 AM EST | River Flood Warning | GSP | Buncombe | 17 hr |
| Dec 29, 3:38 AM EST | River Flood Warning | GSP | Buncombe, Henderson | 21 hr |
| Dec 29, 4:26 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | GSP | Transylvania | 9 hr |
| Dec 29, 5:07 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | GSP | Buncombe | 6 hr |
| Dec 29, 1:23 PM EST | Areal Flood Advisory | GSP | Transylvania | 4 hr |
| Dec 29, 1:34 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | GSP | Gaston | 12 hr |
| Dec 29, 1:42 PM EST | River Flood Advisory | GSP | Cleveland | 12 hr |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every flash flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.