Alert archive / North Carolina / Tornado Warnings in 2015

Tornado Warning 5, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

December 28, 2015McDowell County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this tornado warning at Dec 28, 2015, 7:21 PM EST for McDowell County, North Carolina. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 28, 2015, 7:21 PM EST (00:21 UTC)
Expired
Dec 28, 2015, 7:45 PM EST
In force
24 min
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

County McDowell County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:24 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2015-12-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 00:00Z on 2015-12-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 636 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
504 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
72 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
636 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
699 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

409 
WFUS52 KGSP 290021
TORGSP
NCC111-290045-
/O.NEW.KGSP.TO.W.0005.151229T0021Z-151229T0045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
721 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL MCDOWELL COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 745 PM EST
    
* AT 721 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 7
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARION...OR NEAR OLD FORT...AND MOVING NORTH AT
  30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  OLD FORT...PLEASANT GARDENS...WOODLAWN...MARION...
  BUSICK AND B.R. PARKWAY-CRAGGY TO LITTLE SWITZERLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO IS LIKELY DEVELOPING. SEEK SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON
THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A HOUSE OR OFFICE BUILDING. PLACE AS MANY FLOORS
AND WALLS BETWEEN YOU AND THE OUTSIDE AS POSSIBLE.

TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION...NIGHT TIME TORNADOES ARE ESPECIALLY
DANGEROUS. SEEK SHELTER IN AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A
HOUSE OR OFFICE BUILDING. PLACE AS MANY FLOORS AND WALLS BETWEEN YOU
AND THE OUTSIDE AS POSSIBLE.

PLEASE REPORT DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...
800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET
IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND
THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3580 8198 3580 8197 3556 8205 3558 8218
      3576 8218 3579 8217 3580 8216 3580 8215
      3581 8215 3582 8214
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 187DEG 26KT 3562 8211 

$$

MOORE
1 follow-up statement
806 
WWUS52 KGSP 290042
SVSGSP

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
742 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

NCC111-290052-
/O.EXP.KGSP.TO.W.0005.000000T0000Z-151229T0045Z/
MCDOWELL NC-
742 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL MCDOWELL COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 745
PM EST...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER APPEARS TO BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3580 8198 3580 8197 3556 8205 3558 8218
      3576 8218 3579 8217 3580 8216 3580 8215
      3581 8215 3582 8214
TIME...MOT...LOC 0040Z 187DEG 26KT 3562 8211 

$$

MOORE

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Dec 28, 5:14 PM EST, 2 hours 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 28, 5:14 PM EST, 2 hours 7 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
514 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL LAY OVER ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND LIKELY STALL
JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING. MOISTURE WILL RETURN OVER
THE FRONT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...WITH HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT MOVES BACK NORTH. DRYING IS
LIKELY FROM THE WEST LATE IN THE WEEK...WITH COOLER AND DRIER AIR
BUILDING IN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 10 AM EST TUESDAY...THE STALLED WEDGE FRONTAL ZONE REMAINS
DRAPED ALONG THE NC/SC BORDER ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT. LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE IN THE SHALLOW CAD WILL KEEP COOLER TEMPS AND LOW
CLOUDS IN PLACE ACROSS WRN NC BEFORE BETTER INSOLATION ALLOWS SLOW
SCATTERING AS THE WEDGE BOUNDARY MOVES BACK NORTH.
OTHERWISE...SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL INCREASE ONCE AGAIN BUT WITH MUCH
LESS MOISTURE THAN IN PREVIOUS DAYS AND LITTLE TO NO TRIGGERING FOR
SHOWERS THROUGH LATE DAY. PIEDMONT SECTIONS SE OF CHARLOTTE WILL SEE
THE BEST AFTERNOON INSTABILITY BUT AGAIN WITH LITTLE TO NO FORCING
MECHANISMS FOR CONVECTION. WILL MAINTAIN MAINLY ISOLD TO SCT SHOWER
CHANCES THERE WITH PROFILES TOO WARM FOR ROBUST CONVECTION.

ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN FROM THE SOUTH
LATE IN THE PERIOD...LIKELY TOWARDS DAYBREAK ON WEDNESDAY. THE
LATEST GUIDANCE FAVORS THE HEAVIEST QPF MAXIMA OVER THE SRN
TIER...IN AREAS LESS HARD HIT THAN OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. NO
CHANGES WILL BE MADE TO THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH BUT THIS WILL BE
REVISTED THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 230 AM TUESDAY...AS WE HAVE BEEN ADVERTISING FOR THE PAST
FEW DAYS...WE EXPECT THAT AS WE BEGIN THE SHORT TERM THE COLD
FRONT THAT IS CAUSING THE IMMEDIATE RAINFALL PROBLEMS THIS
MORNING WILL BEGIN TO LIFT BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT AS A
SECONDARY SLUG OF MOISTURE GETS PULLED INTO THE DEEP SOUTH AND
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS FROM THE GULF. THIS ALL IN RESPONSE TO
DEEPENING SHORTWAVE OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST. STRONG UPPER RIDGE
REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC AND WITH THE MIDWEST
SHORTWAVE...FLOW OVER THE OHIO/TENNESSEE VALLEYS AND SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS WILL STRENGTHEN BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY WITH PLENTY OF
SYNOPTIC LIFT. CONTINUED SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AT THE LOW LEVELS...UP
TO AROUND 40KT AT 850MB...WILL KEEP THE UPSLOPE COMPONENT TO THE
FLOW AS WELL. MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THE SHORT TERM CONTINUES TO
BE THE HEAVY RAIN...THOUGH WITH THE LATEST MODEL RUNS IT DOES
SEEM LIKE THE HEAVY RAIN AXIS IS SHIFTING SOUTH. SEE MORE IN THE
HYDROLOGY SECTION BELOW.

UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE AS WE REMAIN IN THE
WARM SECTOR...HOWEVER SOME MODERATION IS EXPECTED WITH TEMPERATURES
ONLY 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL INSTEAD OF 20+. WITH THE WARM AND
MOIST AIRMASS COMES THE POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER ROUND OF MAINLY
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY...BUT GIVEN THE PROXIMITY
OF THE FRONT AND ADDITIONAL FORCING MECHANISMS...CONCERN FOR
WEDNESDAY A LITTLE HIGHER. BOTH NAM AND GFS HAVE SBCAPE BETWEEN
500-750 J/KG ACROSS THE UPSTATE...WITH BETWEEN 40-45KT DEEP LAYER
SHEAR AND 0-3KM HELICITY SOMEWHERE BETWEEN 100-300M2/S2 /GFS IS
ON THE LOWER END/. WITH ALL THIS...DEFINITELY A NON-ZERO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THREAT...EVEN THOUGH THE SWODY2 ONLY HAS GENERAL
THUNDER ACROSS THE AREA.

FRONT GETS HUNG UP BRIEFLY IN THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BUT SHOULD
BE PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA TOWARD THE END OF THE PERIOD. NEW ECMWF
A LITTLE MORE STUBBORN HANGING ON TO MOISTURE THROUGH THE END OF
THE SHORT TERM BUT WILL LET THE DAY SHIFT TAKE ANOTHER LOOK AT THAT.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM MONDAY.../NO MID SHIFT UPDATE TO THE EXTENDED DUE
TO ONGOING HYDRO ISSUES/...THE EXTENDED PERIOD BEGINS 00Z FRIDAY
WITH A RATHER DRAMATIC SHIFT IN THE OVERALL PATTERN. THE SURFACE
COLD FRONT WILL HAVE JUST PASSED THROUGH THE AREA BY SUNDOWN ON
NEW YEARS EVE...WITH A DEEP UPPER TROUGH DIGGING DOWN INTO THE
REGION RIGHT ON ITS HEELS. THE INITIAL UPPER TROUGH BASE WILL PASS
ON SATURDAY...WITH A SECONDARY TROUGH ARRIVING AS A SHORTWAVE
AMPLIFIES OVER THE APPALACHIANS ON MONDAY. A DRY SURFACE RIDGE
CENTERED OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BUILD IN AS THE SECOND UPPER
TROUGH PASSES MONDAY AND TUESDAY OF NEXT WEEK.

THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THURSDAY NIGHT APPEARS TO BE CLEAN...WITH
MUCH DRIER AND COOLER AIR ARRIVING IN TIME FOR NEW YEARS DAY. BOTH
MAX AND MIN TEMPS WILL DROP TO AVERAGE ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS
THE FIRST UPPER TROUGH PASSES...WITH MUCH OF THE AREA DROPPING TO
FREEZING OVERNIGHT AND HIGHER TERRAIN POSSIBLY DIPPING INTO THE
UPPER TEENS. AS THE SECONDARY TROUGH DIPS DOWN ON MONDAY...MAX AND
MIN TEMPERATURES COULD EVEN DROP TO ABOUT 5 DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE
EARLY NEXT WEEK. POPS REMAIN VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD ENDING
TUESDAY MORNING...PROVIDING A MUCH-NEEDED BREAK FROM THE VERY WET
PATTERN FEATURED THE PAST FEW WEEKS.

&&

.AVIATION /22Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AT KCLT...LIFR CIGS AND IFR VSBY IN FOG HAVE ROLLED INTO THE
AIRFIELD...BUT SLOW IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON HOURS AS THE SHALLOW WEDGE LAYER EXPERIENCES HEATING FROM
ABOVE AND S TO SW FLOW RETURNS. WILL PERMIT SLOW IMPROVEMENT THROUGH
IFR INTO MVFR AFTER 18Z BEFORE LIFTING SCATTERING TO VFR OCCURS
LATE. MOISTURE WILL RETURN FROM THE SOUTH OVERNIGHT...BUT WITH ANY
MENTIONABLE PRECIPITATION LIKELY HOLD OFF UNTIL NEAR DAYBREAK.

ELSEWHERE...SLOW SCATTERING AND LIFTING OF THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONTINUES THROUGH MVFR LEVELS LATE THIS MORNING...WITH VFR LIKELY
THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTING POSSIBLE. KHKY WILL BE THE MAIN EXCEPTION IN
THE LINGERING SHALLOW WEDGE...WHERE IFR CIGS COULD PERSIST INTO THE
AFTERNOON HOURS. INTRODUCED THE RETURN OF MVFR/IFR RESTRICTIONS FROM
THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AT ALL SITES AS THE NEXT WAVE OF
PRECIPITATION SLIDES ALONG THE OLD STALLED FRONT INTO NE GA AND THE
WESTERN CAROLINAS.

OUTLOOK...DEEP MOISTURE WILL RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AS THE FRONT MOVES BACK NORTHWARD. DRYING IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            15-21Z        21-03Z        03-09Z        09-12Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH  91%     HIGH  91%     HIGH  84%
KGSP       HIGH  84%     HIGH  98%     HIGH  94%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH  90%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     LOW   36%
KHKY       HIGH  82%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  88%     MED   73%
KGMU       HIGH  85%     HIGH  98%     HIGH 100%     MED   66%
KAND       HIGH  83%     HIGH  88%     HIGH  91%     MED   76%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK: (MUST BE LOWER CASE)

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE NEXT WAVE OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SECONDARY SLUG OF MOISTURE EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF
INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
FORTUNATELY...NEW GUIDANCE IS SHIFTING THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST RAINFALL
FARTHER SOUTH...MORE ACROSS THE UPSTATE AREAS...BUT EVEN SO WITH
SATURATED SOILS IN PLACE FROM THE FIRST WAVE OF HEAVY RAIN...THIS
SECOND WAVE COULD RESULT IN MORE SERIOUS IMPACTS...ESPECIALLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL RAIN FROM THIS SECOND WAVE WILL BE
ANOTHER 1-2 INCHES ACROSS THE UPSTATE AND INTO THE FOOTHILLS...WITH
MUCH LOWER VALUES IN THE RAIN SHADOW BEHIND THE BLUE RIDGE. WPC
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FORECAST CONTINUES WITH SLIGHT RISK ACROSS THESE
AREAS. NO FURTHER CHANGES TO THE FLOOD WATCH ARE PLANNED AT THIS
TIME.

&&

.CLIMATE...
DAILY MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR TUESDAY DECEMBER 29...

 AVL   74    1984
 CLT   74    1984
 GSP   72    1984

DAILY HIGH MINIMUM TEMPERATURE RECORDS FOR TUESDAY DEC 29...

 AVL   56    1954
 CLT   61    1954
 GSP   54    1996

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR GAZ010-017-018-026-
     028-029.
NC...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR NCZ051>053-058-059-
     062>065-507>510.
     FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 5 AM EST TUESDAY FOR NCZ033-048>050-501>506.
SC...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR SCZ001>007-010-011.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...CDG/HG
SHORT TERM...TDP
LONG TERM...LEV
AVIATION...CDG/HG
HYDROLOGY...CDG/HG
CLIMATE...CDG
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 28, 4:48 PM EST, 2 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

NCZ033-048>053-058-059-062>065-292200-
AVERY-MADISON-YANCEY-MITCHELL-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-BUNCOMBE-GRAHAM-
NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY. A COUPLE MORE ROUNDS
OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED...ONE TONIGHT AND ANOTHER ON WEDNESDAY. DUE
TO NEARLY SATURATED SOILS AND HIGH RIVER LEVELS...SOME FLOODING IS
EXPECTED...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS.
..WEDNESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-292200-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-
448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

OCCASIONAL HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS MAY IMPACT THE PIEDMONT THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS ALONG A FRONT SAGGING IN FROM THE NORTH. ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS MAY IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT FROM THE WEST.
ISOLATED FLOODING COULD RESULT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN
CHANCES ARE GREATEST IN THE MORNING.
..WEDNESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ501>507-509-292200-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-
448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY. A COUPLE MORE ROUNDS
OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED...ONE TONIGHT AND ANOTHER ON WEDNESDAY. DUE
TO NEARLY SATURATED SOILS AND HIGH RIVER LEVELS...SOME FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..WEDNESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ508-510-SCZ001>007-010-011-292200-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY. A COUPLE MORE ROUNDS
OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED...ONE TONIGHT AND ANOTHER ON WEDNESDAY. DUE
TO NEARLY SATURATED SOILS AND HIGH RIVER LEVELS...SOME FLOODING
WILL BE POSSIBLE.
..WEDNESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING LIKELY.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ068>072-082-SCZ008-009-012>014-019-292200-
CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-CHEROKEE-YORK-
LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
448 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEAK INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH STRONG VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL
PRESENT A NON ZERO CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING.
THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH ANY OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

..TUESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN
CHANCES ARE GREATEST IN THE MORNING.
..WEDNESDAY...HEAVY RAIN WITH FLOODING POSSIBLE.
..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

ARK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 28, 6:27 PM EST, 54 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
627 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     TORNADO          3 NNE TRINITY           34.89N 80.52W
12/28/2015                   UNION              NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES BLOWN DOWN ALONG WITH DAMAGE TO A SHED AND VEHICLES
            ON JUGG BROOME ROAD.

&&

KRENTZ
Local storm report, Dec 28, 6:29 PM EST, 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
629 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0459 PM     TORNADO          3 NNE TRINITY           34.89N 80.52W
12/28/2015                   UNION              NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            STRUCTURAL DAMAGE REPORTED ON SANDY RIDGE ROAD.

&&

KRENTZ
Special weather statement, Dec 28, 6:54 PM EST, 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
654 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

NCZ507-508-510-290030-
RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS NC-GREATER RUTHERFORD NC-EASTERN POLK NC-
654 PM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
RUTHERFORD AND NORTH CENTRAL POLK COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM EST...

AT 654 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12
MILES WEST OF RUTHERFORDTON...OR NEAR LAKE LURE...MOVING NORTH AT 30
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAKE LURE...CHIMNEY ROCK STATE PARK...SHINGLE HOLLOW AND LAKE ADGER.

LAT...LON 3554 8201 3533 8210 3534 8223 3536 8223
      3539 8220 3540 8220 3540 8223 3550 8222
      3552 8223 3553 8217 3552 8214 3554 8207
TIME...MOT...LOC 2354Z 186DEG 28KT 3543 8216

MOORE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 28, 7:50 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPPolk55 min
Dec 28, 8:12 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPJackson, Macon3 hr
Dec 28, 8:32 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPBuncombe, McDowell, Mitchell, Rutherford, Yancey3 hr
Dec 28, 9:12 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPJackson, Macon3 hr
Dec 28, 9:18 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPTransylvania3 hr
Dec 29, 12:12 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPPolk3 hr
Dec 29, 12:17 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPTransylvania4 hr
Dec 29, 12:18 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPHenderson, Polk, Rutherford57 min
Dec 29, 12:47 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningGSPJackson, Macon3 hr
Dec 29, 1:03 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGSPBuncombe23 hr
Dec 29, 1:03 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGSPHaywood25 hr
Dec 29, 1:17 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPRutherford3 hr
Dec 29, 2:16 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPBuncombe3 hr
Dec 29, 3:16 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningGSPPolk9 hr
Dec 29, 3:36 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGSPBuncombe17 hr
Dec 29, 3:38 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGSPBuncombe, Henderson21 hr
Dec 29, 4:26 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningGSPTransylvania9 hr
Dec 29, 5:07 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningGSPBuncombe6 hr
Dec 29, 1:23 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPTransylvania4 hr
Dec 29, 1:34 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPGaston12 hr
Dec 29, 1:42 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPCleveland12 hr

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in North Carolina, 2015Every tornado warning in 2015Tornadoes in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.