Severe Thunderstorm Warning 49, NWS Green Bay, WI

284 
WWUS53 KGRB 022204
SVSGRB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
504 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

WIC015-139-022214-
/O.CAN.KGRB.SV.W.0049.000000T0000Z-150802T2230Z/
WINNEBAGO WI-CALUMET WI-
504 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN WINNEBAGO AND
SOUTHERN CALUMET COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND EXITED THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE
WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 4390 8889 4392 8889 4393 8861 4412 8829
      4405 8804 4389 8804 4389 8816 4394 8816
      4394 8840 4389 8840
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 298DEG 34KT 4406 8831 4391 8856 4391 8902 

$$

RDM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
358 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR ROUTINE AFTERNOON FORECAST ISSUANCE

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT AND MONDAY
ISSUED AT 358 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL END THIS EVENING AS
COLD FRONT EXITS THE AREA. CLEARING EXPECTED TONIGHT THAT LASTS
INTO EARLY MONDAY. CYCLONIC UPPER FLOW AND WEAK DISTURBANCE SHOULD
PRODUCE SOME AFTERNOON SHOWERS IN THE NORTH MONDAY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD RETURN TO NORMAL TONIGHT AND BE A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN USUAL MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
ISSUED AT 358 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK
BEFORE GOING THEIR OWN WAYS.

CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT WILL BRING CLOUDS TO THE AREA...ESPECIALLY
NEAR THE UPPER MICHIGAN BORDER...EARLY IN THE FORECAST PERIOD THERE
COULD EVEN BE A FEW SHOWERS DURING THAT TIME BUT HAVE TRIMMED
POPS TO FIT ADJACENT GRIDS AND HAVE LOW OR NO POPS FOR THE EARLY
PART OF THE WEEK. BLENDED MODEL SOLUTION FOR MID TO LATE IN THE
WEEK WAS LEFT AS IS...RESULTING IN SOME SHOWER/THUNDER CHANCES
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE BELOW NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE WORK WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR 18Z TAF ISSUANCE
ISSUED AT 1243 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
ACROSS WISCONSIN. THE STORMS COULD PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
LARGE HAIL. VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED OTHERWISE. SKIES SHOULD CLEAR
OVERNIGHT AND REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH 15Z MONDAY. AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND CLOUDS
BETWEEN 3000 AND 4000 FEET MONDAY AFTERNOON.
&&

.GRB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM.....RDM
LONG TERM......MG
AVIATION.......RDM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
346 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

WIZ005-010>013-018>022-030-031-035>040-045-048>050-073-074-032100-
VILAS-ONEIDA-FOREST-FLORENCE-NORTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-LINCOLN-
LANGLADE-MENOMINEE-NORTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-DOOR-MARATHON-SHAWANO-
WOOD-PORTAGE-WAUPACA-OUTAGAMIE-BROWN-KEWAUNEE-WAUSHARA-WINNEBAGO-
CALUMET-MANITOWOC-SOUTHERN MARINETTE COUNTY-
SOUTHERN OCONTO COUNTY-
346 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST
WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...AND ISOLATED
TORNADOES...ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 29.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST
CENTRAL WISCONSIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THESE STORMS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO REPORT HAIL AND PEAK WIND GUSTS TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREEN BAY.

LMZ521-522-541>543-032100-
THE BAY OF GREEN BAY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM CEDAR RIVER MI TO ROCK
ISLAND PASSAGE-LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WASHINGTON ISLAND TO SHEBOYGAN-
346 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST LAKE
MICHIGAN AND THE WATERS OF GREEN BAY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THIS EVENING AS A
COLD FRONT SWEEPS ACROSS THE REGION. SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING
WINDS OF 50 TO 60 KNOTS AND LARGE HAIL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE...MAINLY SOUTH OF STURGEON BAY. TORNADOES CANNOT BE
RULED OUT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

RDM/MG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
402 PM CDT SUN AUG 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0401 PM     HAIL             KING                    44.33N 89.13W
08/02/2015  M1.00 INCH       WAUPACA            WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED 50MPH WIND GUSTS.

&&

AA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
408 PM CDT SUN AUG 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0407 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WILD ROSE               44.18N 89.25W
08/02/2015                   WAUSHARA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            COUPLE OF MEDIUM SIZE TREES DOWN

&&

AA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
421 PM CDT SUN AUG 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0409 PM     HAIL             MOSINEE                 44.78N 89.69W
08/02/2015  E1.00 INCH       MARATHON           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            OBSERVED AT CENTRAL WISCONSIN AIRPORT

&&

LUCHS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
432 PM CDT SUN AUG 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0432 PM     HAIL             AURORAVILLE             44.04N 89.00W
08/02/2015  M1.75 INCH       WAUSHARA           WI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
439 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

WIZ048-049-022230-
WINNEBAGO WI-CALUMET WI-
439 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

AT 439 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTH OF MENASHA
TO OSHKOSH TO NEAR RUSH LAKE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OSHKOSH...LAKE POYGAN...ST ANNA...NEENAH...OMRO...NEW HOLSTEIN...
WINNECONNE...BROTHERTOWN...STOCKBRIDGE...BOOM BAY...RIVERMOOR...
EAA...MIKESVILLE...BUTTE DES MORTS...REIGHMOOR...HARBOR SPRINGS...
KLOTEN...LAKE BUTTE DES MORTS...HIGHLAND SHORE AND FORD FESTIVAL
GROUNDS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
EAST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

LAT...LON 4414 8889 4417 8889 4424 8862 4392 8805
      4389 8804 4389 8816 4394 8816 4394 8840
      4389 8840 4389 8855
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 311DEG 36KT 4410 8844 4400 8858 4395 8879

RDM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREEN BAY WI
441 PM CDT SUN AUG 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HAIL             3 S POY SIPPI           44.09N 89.00W
08/02/2015  M1.50 INCH       WAUSHARA           WI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            1 3/8 INCH HAIL MEASURED

&&

LUCHS