Severe Thunderstorm Warning 30, NWS Goodland, KS

547 
WWUS53 KGLD 182104
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
304 PM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

KSC181-182130-
/O.CON.KGLD.SV.W.0030.000000T0000Z-150418T2130Z/
SHERMAN KS-
304 PM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM MDT
FOR NORTHEASTERN SHERMAN COUNTY...

AT 303 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GOODLAND...
MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GOODLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3937 10156 3937 10174 3957 10189 3957 10151
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 173DEG 21KT 3942 10169 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

024

819 
WWUS53 KGLD 182115
SVSGLD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
315 PM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

KSC181-182125-
/O.CAN.KGLD.SV.W.0030.000000T0000Z-150418T2130Z/
SHERMAN KS-
315 PM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN SHERMAN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL AND
HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR NORTHWESTERN
KANSAS.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
GOODLAND.

LAT...LON 3937 10156 3937 10174 3957 10189 3957 10151
TIME...MOT...LOC 2110Z 166DEG 18KT 3948 10171 

$$

024

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1249 PM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 1221 PM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

UPPER LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF NORTHEAST COLORADO AND ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. DEEP LAYER SHEAR REMAINS VERY GOOD AHEAD OF
THE LOW AND WITH SOME PARTIAL CLEARING EVEN MODEST INSTABILITY
WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR THUNDERSTORM INITIATION IN THE MOIST
ENVIRONMENT. SURFACE DEW POINTS ARE FAIRLY UNIFORM ACROSS THE AREA
SO HARD TO FIND A DRY LINE FEATURE TO FOCUS ON...SO THINK STORMS
WILL BE SCATTERED ABOUT FAIRLY UNIFORMLY AT FIRST. IF SUPERCELLS
DEVELOP EASTERLY SURFACE COMPONENT TO THE WIND FIELD WILL ENHANCE
TORNADO THREAT IN THE STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. SIMILAR TO THE
LAST FEW DAYS...STORMS WILL LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS AS THEY MERGE...BUT WITH UPPER LOW MOVING THROUGH EXPECT
EXTENSIVE WRAPAROUND PRECIPITATION SHIELD WITH TO DEVELOP AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. MUCAPE DOES NOT GO
TO ZERO SO LEFT A MENTION OF ISOLATED THUNDER THROUGH SUNDAY
ALTHOUGH SEVERE THREAT WILL BE DONE BY 06Z TONIGHT. NORTHERLY
WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE
STRONG...WITH MOS GUIDANCE SUGGESTING GUSTS TO NEAR 50 MPH. DONT
THINK WARNING CRITERIA WILL BE REACHED BUT WILL HAVE TO MONITOR.
WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LOWERED MAX
TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY CONSIDERABLY WITH SLOWER DEPARTURE OF
PRECIPITATION AND LINGERING CLOUD COVER.

.LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 225 AM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD STARTS WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDING INTO THE HIGH PLAINS REGION WITH MILD TEMPERATURES IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S AND MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS. THE GFS AND CANADIAN
MODELS INDICATE WEAK MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS THAT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE TRI STATE AREA...WHICH COULD SPARK SOME AFTERNOON
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST PERIOD.
HOWEVER...THE BEST CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION TO RETURN TO THE AREA
IS WHEN ANOTHER LARGE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES THE CENTRAL
PLAINS FROM THE WEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH INCREASING JET LIFT.
SURFACE BASED CAPE BETWEEN 1000 AND 1500 J/KG ARE PRESENT THROUGH
THE VERTICAL PROFILE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD OF A
SURFACE COLD FRONT...WHICH WILL LIKELY BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS TO THE TRI STATE AREA. UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
DIMINISHES ON FRIDAY ONCE THE COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PLAINS...HOWEVER ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AN INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 531 AM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

VFR CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID AFTERNOON AFTER WHICH
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED. SOME STORMS MAY BE
SEVERE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
OVERNIGHT...LIGHT RAIN WILL CONTINUE WITH LOW CEILINGS AND AREAS
OF FOG POSSIBLE. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BOTH KGLD AND KMCK
WITH A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND GUSTS TO 40KTS AROUND SUNRISE.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...024
LONG TERM...MK
AVIATION...024

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
215 PM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-192015-
YUMA-KIT CARSON-CHEYENNE CO-CHEYENNE KS-RAWLINS-DECATUR-NORTON-
SHERMAN-THOMAS-SHERIDAN-GRAHAM-WALLACE-LOGAN-GOVE-GREELEY-WICHITA-
DUNDY-HITCHCOCK-RED WILLOW-
215 PM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...
EXTREME SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA AND NORTHWEST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON AND THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE ENTIRE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT.
A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED UNTIL 9 PM CDT...8 PM MDT. LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH
THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
219 PM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0209 PM     HAIL             1 W EDSON               39.33N 101.56W
04/18/2015  E1.00 INCH       SHERMAN            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BWARREN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
231 PM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

COZ090-KSZ001-NEZ079-182100-
YUMA COUNTY CO-CHEYENNE KS-DUNDY NE-
231 PM MDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL YUMA...NORTHWESTERN
CHEYENNE AND SOUTHWESTERN DUNDY COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM MDT/400 PM
CDT/...

AT 230 PM MDT /330 PM CDT/...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTH OF
HAIGLER TO 14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WRAY...AND MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT/900 PM CDT/ FOR
NORTHEASTERN COLORADO...NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN
NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4015 10200 3984 10183 3981 10241 4010 10262
TIME...MOT...LOC 2030Z 132DEG 18KT 3989 10197 3991 10238

DR