Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 69, NWS Hastings, NE

May 6, 2015Jewell County, Kansas

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 6, 2015, 5:29 PM CDT for Jewell County, Kansas. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 6, 2015, 5:29 PM CDT (22:29 UTC)
Expired: May 6, 2015, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 46 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 50.0 mph

County Jewell County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 6, 1:41 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 879 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 247 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 222 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

147 
WUUS53 KGID 062229
SVRGID
KSC089-062315-
/O.NEW.KGID.SV.W.0069.150506T2229Z-150506T2315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
529 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN JEWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 529 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER JEWELL...OR
  15 MILES NORTH OF BELOIT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  JEWELL...FORMOSO...RANDALL AND MONTROSE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A WELL-BUILT STRUCTURE. STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3957 9807 3958 9828 3972 9828 3988 9795
      3957 9794
TIME...MOT...LOC 2229Z 246DEG 26KT 3968 9818 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...<50MPH
 
$$

FAY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 6, 2:39 PM CDT, 2 hours 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 6, 2:39 PM CDT, 2 hours 50 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
239 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 219 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015

PLENTY OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR TO WORK WITH THIS AFTERNOON...SO
RAPID THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED...WITH ROUGHLY THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA
NOW IN A TORNADO WATCH THROUGH 9 PM. LARGE HAIL...WINDS GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH...AND TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE.

EXPECT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND SEVERE WEATHER TO DIMINISH
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE RESPONSIBLE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
TRACKS NORTHEASTWARD. COULD SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT TOMORROW
AFTERNOON...BUT FOCUS OF THE STRONGER ACTIVITY TOMORROW SHOULD BE
MORE ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND NOT ENCOMPASS AS MUCH OF THE
LOCAL AREA AS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENINGS ACTIVITY.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 219 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015

WILL BE BRIEF DUE TO ONGOING CONVECTION...BUT PRIMARY FORECAST
CONCERN WILL CONTINUE TO REVOLVE AROUND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THIS
WEEKEND.

MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE PERIOD SHOWING SWRLY
FLOW IN PLACE IN THE UPPER LEVELS...AS A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
HAS SHIFTED SOUTH ALONG THE WEST COAST INTO SRN CALIFORNIA.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT ARE DRIVEN
PRIMARILY BY SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCES EJECTED OUT AHEAD OF THE MAIN
UPPER LOW...WHICH BY SUNRISE SATURDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE OVER THE
FOUR CORNERS REGION.

MAIN CONCERN INTO THIS WEEKEND WILL BE AS THAT LOW CONTINUES TO PUSH
EAST...EVENTUALLY ONTO THE PLAINS...WITH THE 12Z GFS/ECMWF TAKING
THE LOW ON A N/NE PATH THROUGH WRN NEBRASKA ON SUNDAY. INCREASED
LARGER SCALE LIFT...SFC BOUNDARIES AND OTHER PARAMETERS CONTINUE TO
SUGGEST THAT SATURDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT WILL BRING ANOTHER SHOT AT
SEVERE WEATHER. SUNDAY...THE MAIN INSTABILITY AXIS/SFC FRONT LOOKS
TO PUSH E/SE...BUT THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE IN CLOSE
PROXIMITY TO THE CWA. LOT OF DETAILS YET TO WORK OUT.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY
AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 219 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015

MVFR OR LOWER CIGS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ACROSS THE LOCAL AREA. SOME OF
THESE STORMS COULD HAVE WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 35KTS...ESPECIALLY
NEAR KGRI WHERE THE SEVERE PROBABILITIES ARE HIGHER. EXPECT
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL TO DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS
THURSDAY...WITH VFR CONDITIONS RETURNING TO BOTH TERMINALS BY
DAYBREAK.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...ROSSI
LONG TERM...ADP
AVIATION...ROSSI

Hazardous weather outlook, May 6, 2:25 PM CDT, 3 hours 4 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
225 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
071930-
PHILLIPS-SMITH-JEWELL-ROOKS-OSBORNE-MITCHELL-VALLEY-GREELEY-NANCE-
SHERMAN-HOWARD-MERRICK-POLK-DAWSON-BUFFALO-HALL-HAMILTON-YORK-
GOSPER-PHELPS-KEARNEY-ADAMS-CLAY-FILLMORE-FURNAS-HARLAN-FRANKLIN-
WEBSTER-NUCKOLLS-THAYER-
225 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT...SOME
OF WHICH ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME SEVERE. HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
GOLFBALLS...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH OR GREATER AS WELL AS
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE THROUGH 9 PM CDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA
THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE THE CHANCE FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOCAL
AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING WEB PAGE:
   HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/HASTINGS  (ALL LOWERCASE)

ROSSI

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 6, 5:04 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
504 PM CDT WED MAY 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0456 PM     TORNADO          3 SW HARDY              39.98N 97.96W
05/06/2015                   JEWELL             KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR 300 ROAD AND BIRCH ROAD IN FAR
            NORTHEAST JEWELL COUNTY.

&&

PFANNKUCH

Local storm report, May 6, 5:06 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
506 PM CDT WED MAY 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0503 PM     TORNADO          3 E FORMOSO             39.78N 97.94W
05/06/2015                   JEWELL             KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORNADO STILL ON GROUND.

&&

ADP

Local storm report, May 6, 5:08 PM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
508 PM CDT WED MAY 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0456 PM     TORNADO          3 SW HARDY              39.98N 97.96W
05/06/2015                   JEWELL             KS   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TORNADO ON GROUND NEAR 300 ROAD AND BIRCH ROAD IN FAR
            NORTHEAST JEWELL COUNTY. ROOF OFF OF HOUSE AND GRAIN BINS
            DESTROYED.

&&

PFANNKUCH

Local storm report, May 6, 5:11 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
511 PM CDT WED MAY 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     TORNADO          1 N SCOTTSVILLE         39.56N 97.95W
05/06/2015                   MITCHELL           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

ADP

Local storm report, May 6, 5:12 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
512 PM CDT WED MAY 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     HAIL             7 NNE LURAY             39.20N 98.63W
05/06/2015  E0.88 INCH       OSBORNE            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PFANNKUCH

Local storm report, May 6, 5:16 PM CDT, 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
516 PM CDT WED MAY 06 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     TORNADO          2 SE RUSKIN             40.12N 97.84W
05/06/2015                   NUCKOLLS           NE   STORM CHASER

            LARGE TORNADO ON GROUND...POWER FLASHES

&&

PFANNKUCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 6, 1:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Osborne	33 min
May 6, 2:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Osborne	37 min
May 6, 2:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Mitchell	25 min
May 6, 2:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Osborne, Rooks, Smith	43 min
May 6, 2:48 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	GID	Mitchell	27 min
May 6, 3:07 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Osborne, Smith	23 min
May 6, 3:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell, Smith	30 min
May 6, 3:34 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	GID	Osborne, Smith	6 hr
May 6, 3:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	GID	Jewell	12 min
May 6, 3:37 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	GID	Jewell	23 min
May 6, 3:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	GID	Osborne	32 min
May 6, 3:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Osborne, Rooks	38 min
May 6, 3:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Smith	49 min
May 6, 3:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Jewell	32 min
May 6, 4:19 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Jewell	26 min
May 6, 4:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell, Mitchell	34 min
May 6, 4:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Osborne	48 min
May 6, 4:34 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Jewell	26 min
May 6, 4:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell	41 min
May 6, 4:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne	36 min
May 6, 4:57 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Jewell	33 min
May 6, 5:03 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Jewell, Mitchell	27 min
May 6, 5:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Mitchell, Osborne	35 min
May 6, 5:17 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Mitchell	28 min
May 6, 5:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Osborne, Smith	51 min
May 6, 5:28 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	GID	Jewell, Smith	3 hr
May 6, 5:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Jewell, Mitchell	32 min
May 6, 5:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith	45 min
May 6, 6:14 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Jewell, Mitchell	31 min
May 6, 6:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell, Smith	44 min
May 6, 6:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell	46 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.