Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

August 23, 2015Oconee County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this special weather statement at Aug 23, 2015, 1:09 AM EDT for Oconee County, Georgia. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 23, 2015, 1:09 AM EDT (05:09 UTC)
Expired
Aug 23, 2015, 1:45 AM EDT
In force
36 min
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA

County Oconee County, GA

The radar

The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 118 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 5.2 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2015-08-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 962 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2015-08-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -6 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
962 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-22 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1418 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
32 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 22, 9:50 PM EDT, 3 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 22, 9:50 PM EDT, 3 hours 19 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
950 PM EDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.UPDATE...
UPPER SHORT WAVE MOVING INTO THE TN VALLEY OVERNIGHT SHOULD HELP
KEEP SOME CONVECTION GOING THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH THE FAVORED AREA
ACROSS FAR NORTH GA. HAVE RAISED POPS FROM ATLANTA TO ATHENS NORTH
FOR A FEW HOURS BASED ON CURRENT RADAR.

41

.PREVIOUS
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS STILL SHOWS THE REMNANTS OF AN OLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY NEAR A LA GRANGE TO MILLEDGEVILLE LINE...WHERE DEWPOINTS
NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY ARE MOSTLY IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S...
AND MID TO UPPER 70S SOUTH. IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A STRONG RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE WAS ANCHORED OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF REGION AND PROVIDING
AN ACTIVE WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE SHORT RANGE MODELS
REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT AND SHOW A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN
THIS WESTERLY FLOW TRAVERSING THE FORECAST AREA FROM THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS COUPLED WITH WEAK WIND
SHEAR AND MODEST CAPE VALUES IN THE 1500-2500 J/KG RANGE SUGGEST
MOST STORMS WILL REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. HOWEVER...MODEL SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING SOME MID LEVEL DRY AIR
THAT COULD SUPPORT STRONG DOWNDRAFTS...INDICATING THE POTENTIAL FOR A
FEW STRONG TO POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IF AFTERNOON STORMS CAN
GET STRONG ENOUGH

OTHERWISE... A MAV AND MET BLEND WITH A LEAN TOWARD PERSISTENCE
LOOKED REASONABLE FOR TEMPS AND POPS THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

16

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
MAINLY ONLY TWEAKS TO THE LONG TERM BASED ON THE LASTEST GUIDANCE.

BDL

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION... THE EXTENDED FORECAST START OFF WITH
WEAKENING SHORTWAVE MOVING SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA AS THE NEXT
FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES NW GA. THIS FRONT MOVES INTO N GA MONDAY
MORNING BUT THERE IS NOT MUCH MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT. THIS
BOUNDARY WILL ACT AS A CATALYST FOR STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE
AREA MONDAY BUT DRIER AIR MOVES IN RIGHT BEHIND IT MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO STAY ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY. THE FRONT DOES STALL ACROSS NORTHERN FL
WED AND THU BEFORE MOVING EAST OUT INTO THE ATLANTIC FRIDAY. WITH
THIS FRONT STALLING IT DOES HELP INCREASE MOISTURE ACROSS EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE STATE THU AND FRIDAY BUT SHOULD JUST SEE MAINLY
INCREASED CLOUD COVER. TEMPS REMAIN IN THE 80S TO MID 90S THROUGH
THE EXTENDED.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z UPDATE...

WITH AN UPPER SHORT WAVE EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE TN VALLEY
OVERNIGHT THERE MAY BE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE NIGHT. WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE IF THEY WILL AFFECT THE TAF
SITES. SOME MVFR POSSIBLE TOWARD MORNING WITH GRADUAL
IMPROVEMENT. WINDS LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT BECOMING NORTHWEST 5
TO 8KT AFTER 14Z.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON ALL ELEMENTS.

41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          71  88  71  92 /  30  30  10  30
ATLANTA         72  88  73  89 /  30  30  10  30
BLAIRSVILLE     65  83  66  83 /  40  30  10  20
CARTERSVILLE    70  88  70  88 /  30  30  10  20
COLUMBUS        75  91  74  93 /  30  20  10  30
GAINESVILLE     71  86  72  88 /  40  30  10  20
MACON           73  91  73  93 /  30  30  10  30
ROME            70  89  71  88 /  30  20  10  20
PEACHTREE CITY  71  89  71  90 /  30  30  10  30
VIDALIA         74  91  73  94 /  30  40  20  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....BDL
AVIATION...41
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 23, 12:41 AM EDT, 28 minutes before
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In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 23, 12:15 AM EDT, 54 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 23, 12:22 AM EDT, 47 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 23, 12:27 AM EDT, 42 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 23, 12:29 AM EDT, 40 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 23, 1:01 AM EDT, 8 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Aug 23, 1:09 AM EDT, 0 minutes before
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 22, 9:52 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCForsyth38 min
Aug 22, 10:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCForsyth37 min
Aug 22, 10:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCChattooga44 min
Aug 22, 10:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCForsyth36 min
Aug 22, 10:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCFloyd44 min
Aug 22, 11:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCPickens45 min
Aug 22, 11:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCForsyth, Gwinnett36 min
Aug 22, 11:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWhite42 min
Aug 22, 11:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCFloyd38 min
Aug 22, 11:35 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHall40 min
Aug 22, 11:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBarrow, Walton37 min
Aug 22, 11:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCForsyth41 min
Aug 22, 11:59 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBartow31 min
Aug 23, 12:06 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWhite24 min
Aug 23, 12:13 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCJackson32 min
Aug 23, 12:15 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCOconee, Walton45 min
Aug 23, 12:22 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGwinnett38 min
Aug 23, 12:27 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBanks33 min
Aug 23, 12:29 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCForsyth, Hall31 min
Aug 23, 1:01 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDeKalb, Rockdale, Walton29 min
Aug 23, 1:30 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMorgan, Rockdale, Walton30 min
Aug 23, 1:54 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningFFCWalton4 hr
Aug 23, 1:57 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCMorgan, Oconee, Walton33 min
Aug 23, 2:41 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGreene34 min
Aug 23, 3:20 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGreene, Taliaferro, Warren, Wilkes40 min
Aug 23, 4:15 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth7 days
Aug 23, 5:44 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHaralson, Polk31 min
Aug 23, 6:07 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCTroup23 min
Aug 23, 6:14 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett, Walton7 days
Aug 23, 6:23 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCHeard37 min
Aug 23, 6:44 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCoweta31 min
Aug 23, 6:59 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll, Haralson, Polk31 min
Aug 23, 7:15 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDouglas30 min
Aug 23, 7:21 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCPaulding39 min
Aug 23, 7:44 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDouglas, Fulton31 min
Aug 23, 7:56 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll, Heard49 min
Aug 23, 8:12 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCClayton, Cobb, Fayette, Fulton33 min
Aug 23, 8:37 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDeKalb, Henry23 min
Aug 23, 8:41 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll, Coweta, Heard, Meriwether, Troup49 min
Aug 23, 8:53 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCFayette37 min
Aug 23, 8:55 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth, Fulton33 hr
Aug 23, 9:02 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCLamar, Upson28 min
Aug 23, 9:07 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDawson, Forsyth, Gwinnett, Henry, Lumpkin, Rockdale38 min
Aug 23, 9:26 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCrawford, Lamar, Monroe, Taylor49 min
Aug 23, 9:43 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBanks, Barrow, Butts, Clarke, Clayton, DeKalb and 12 more47 min
Aug 23, 10:03 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCrawford, Macon, Peach42 min
Aug 23, 10:18 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBibb, Crawford, Houston, Macon, Peach42 min
Aug 23, 10:26 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBaldwin, Clarke, Greene, Jackson, Jasper, Jones and 5 more49 min
Aug 23, 10:37 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBibb, Houston, Jones, Peach, Twiggs53 min
Aug 23, 11:05 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCBaldwin, Bibb, Bleckley, Houston, Jones, Pulaski and 2 more40 min
Aug 23, 11:12 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBaldwin, Greene, Hancock, Oconee, Putnam48 min
Aug 23, 11:21 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDooly39 min
Aug 23, 11:41 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBleckley, Laurens, Wilkinson49 min
Aug 23, 11:52 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGlascock, Taliaferro, Warren, Wilkes38 min
Aug 23, 12:03 PM EDTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett9 hr
Aug 23, 12:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDodge, Pulaski42 min
Aug 23, 12:15 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCEmanuel, Jefferson, Johnson, Treutlen, Washington60 min
Aug 23, 12:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCGlascock, Warren41 min
Aug 23, 12:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFFCEmanuel, Jefferson, Johnson, Washington46 min
Aug 23, 12:49 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCDodge, Montgomery, Telfair, Wheeler, Wilcox41 min
Aug 23, 1:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCEmanuel, Montgomery, Telfair, Toombs, Treutlen, Wheeler45 min
Aug 23, 2:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCToombs24 min
Aug 23, 3:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCrisp42 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2015Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.