Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2015
River Flood Warning 80, NWS Atlanta, GA
NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Nov 7, 2015, 6:57 AM EST for DeKalb County, Fulton County, Georgia. It took effect at Nov 7, 2015, 7:34 AM EST. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 7, 2015, 6:57 AM EST (11:57 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 7, 2015, 7:34 AM EST
- Expired
- Nov 7, 2015, 3:10 PM EST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Atlanta, GA
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
Counties DeKalb County, GA, Fulton County, GA
The radar
The Atlanta radar (KFFC), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point North Fork Peachtree Creek at Buford Highway at Atlanta (NPBG1). The gauge peaked at 12.47 ft at Nov 7, 2015, 8:00 AM EST.
- Action stage
- 11 ft
- Minor stage
- 13 ft
- Moderate stage
- 15 ft
- Major stage
- 17 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02336120, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
877 WGUS42 KFFC 071157 FLWFFC BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 657 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 ...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in Georgia... North Fork Peachtree Creek near Atlanta affecting De Kalb and Fulton Counties .Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and rivers which will cause flooding in some areas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect life and property. The latest stage data was furnished in cooperation with the United States Geological Survey. && GAC089-121-072010- /O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0080.151107T1234Z-151107T2010Z/ /NPBG1.1.ER.151107T1234Z.151107T1300Z.151107T1410Z.NO/ 657 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a * Flood Warning for The North Fork Peachtree Creek near Atlanta. * From this morning until this afternoon. * At 6 AM Saturday the stage was 11.6 feet...and rising. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 13 feet. * Forecast to rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to rise to near 13.2 feet this morning.The river will fall below flood stage by late this morning. * At 13 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding of the natural flood plain begins upstream and downstream from the gage on Buford Highway or Georgia Highway 13. This includes low portions of the backyards of residential homes on Victory Drive...Dunwoody Place and Converse Drive. This height combined with the flow on South Fork Peachtree Creek may also produce flooding further downstream on Peachtree Creek in Fulton County. && LAT...LON 3389 8429 3385 8425 3379 8435 3385 8438 $$
1 follow-up statement
021 WGUS82 KFFC 071436 FLSFFC BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 936 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 ...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Georgia... North Fork Peachtree Creek near Atlanta affecting De Kalb and Fulton Counties GAC089-121-071506- /O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0080.000000T0000Z-151107T2010Z/ /NPBG1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/ 936 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 The Flood Warning is cancelled for The North Fork Peachtree Creek near Atlanta. * This takes effect immediately. * At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 12.2 feet...and falling. * Flood stage is 13 feet. * The creek will continue to fall. && LAT...LON 3389 8429 3385 8425 3379 8435 3385 8438 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 7, 6:32 AM EST, 25 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 7, 6:32 AM EST, 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
632 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 410 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015/
SHORT TERM /TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTH GA AND
BACK INTO AL AND MS. THIS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH GA THROUGH THIS
MORNING...SLOWLY SHIFTING SOUTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON INTO CENTRAL GA.
THIS AREA WILL CONTINUE TO SINK SOUTH AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER
THE OHIO VALLEY. THE COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE CWA TODAY
BUT IT WILL BE SLOW AS THE UPPER FLOW IS VERY NEARLY PARALLEL WITH
THE FRONT. A MID LEVEL WAVE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT BRINGING A
SECOND WAVE OF RAIN TO CENTRAL GA LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...SOME OF
THIS WILL SPREAD INTO THE ATL/AHN SUNDAY AFTERNOON. AS FOR TEMPS...A
SLIGHT COOLER DAY ACROSS NORTH GA WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS ACROSS
CENTRAL GA TODAY. HOWEVER A STRONG NORTHEAST WIND WILL BRING MUCH
COOLER TEMPS ON SUNDAY WITH MOST AREAS NOT GETTING OUT OF THE 50S.
17
CLIMATE...
RECORDS FOR 11-07
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 80 2005 41 1951 65 1975 26 1967
2003 1884
1921
KATL 79 2005 42 1951 65 1996 27 1967
1938
KMCN 85 2003 52 1951 66 1975 28 1991
1986 1903 1938
KCSG 85 1986 49 1951 67 1975 30 1959
RECORDS FOR 11-08
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 83 2005 49 1991 64 1975 24 1884
KATL 83 1986 47 1976 68 1986 25 1976
1941
1933
KMCN 85 2005 54 1933 68 1986 24 1967
1986 1903
KCSG 84 2005 52 1991 67 2000 27 1952
1986
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE GFS/ECMWF MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE LOCATION OF
THE COLD FRONT IN NORTH FL ON SUNDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE IN THE NORTHEAST GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MOVE OVER THE
FRONT PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS. THIS OCCURS AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES DOWN THE APPALACHIAN MOUNTAINS TO SET
UP A WEDGE OVER NORTH GA AGAIN. THESE COMBINED SYNOPTIC FEATURES
WILL HOLD THE WET WEATHER PATTERN IN PLACE OVER THE STATE WITH
AREAS OF RAIN SPREADING NORTH ON SUNDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING OVER
THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT SHOULD RANGE FROM 0.35 TO 0.75 INCH.
THE MODEL BLEND METHOD WORKED WELL WITH POPS IN THE 30 TO 50
PERCENT RANGE.
REMAINING OPTIMISTIC THAT BOTH MODELS WANT TO BREAK THE WEDGE
DOWN ON TUESDAY WITH PRECIPITATION ENDING AND A GOOD CHANCE FOR
SOME SUNSHINE ON WEDNESDAY. PLEASANT MAX TEMPS IN THE 60S AND 70S
CAN BE EXPECTED. HOWEVER...IT WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS ANOTHER
STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE CENTRAL U.S. WITH A TRAILING COLD
FRONT APPROACHING GA ON THURSDAY. THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE SIMILAR
SOLUTIONS WITH THIS SYNOPTIC EVENT...BUT SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES
STILL REMAIN. THE GFS MOVES THE SYSTEM THROUGH THE OHIO AND
TENNESSEE VALLEYS WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH THE COLD FRONT ENTERING
NORTHWEST GA THURSDAY MORNING. THE ECMWF IS NOW ONLY 6 HOURS
SLOWER COMPARED TO PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS WHERE IT WAS 18 TO 24 HOURS
BEHIND. WITH THIS BEING A DAY 6 FORECAST HAVE CHOSEN TO BLEND THE
TWO MODELS FOR NOW WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW TSTMS ON
THURSDAY THAT COULD LINGER IN CENTRAL GA THURSDAY NIGHT.
OTHERWISE...NORTH GA WILL BE TURNING COOLER WITH BREEZY NORTHWEST
WINDS AND COLD AIR STRATOCUMULUS. A MODEL BLEND WAS GENERALLY USED
FOR MOST WEATHER ELEMENTS AND ACCEPTED.
16
&&
.AVIATION...
12Z UPDATE...
AREA OF SHOWERS/TSRA MOVING ACROSS NORTH GA WILL MOVE INTO THE AHN
IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. ANOTHER WAVE OF SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE TSRA
WILL MOVE IN FROM AL AND ACROSS ATL/AHN LATER THIS MORNING. WITH
THE COLD FRONT ALREADY THROUGH THE ATL AREA...EXPECT THE RISK OF
THUNDER TO LESSEN THRU THE DAY ACROSS NORTH GA AND BY AFTERNOON
EXPECT ONLY SHOWERS. FROM CSG-MCN...SHOWERS AND TSRA WILL INCREASE
THIS MORNING AND HOLD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WHILE THE RISK OF
THUNDER SHOULD END IN CSG/MCN BY 00Z...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE WELL
INTO THE NIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT
WHICH SHOULD MOVE THROUGH AHN/CSG/MCN BY NOON. WINDS WILL BECOME
NORTHEAST ALL AREAS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON CIGS
MEDIUM ON TIMING OF TSRA
HIGH ON REMAINING ELEMENTS
17
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS 71 53 57 47 / 90 90 50 40
ATLANTA 68 53 57 48 / 100 90 30 50
BLAIRSVILLE 64 45 61 43 / 100 60 10 30
CARTERSVILLE 66 51 59 47 / 100 70 20 40
COLUMBUS 75 58 58 52 / 80 90 70 50
GAINESVILLE 68 51 57 46 / 100 90 20 30
MACON 77 57 57 49 / 80 90 70 40
ROME 65 48 61 48 / 100 60 10 30
PEACHTREE CITY 69 55 57 47 / 90 90 50 50
VIDALIA 82 61 63 51 / 40 70 70 50
&&
.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....16
AVIATION...17Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 7, 5:00 AM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA 500 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086- 089>098-102>113-081100- BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA- CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-CRAWFORD- CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-FANNIN-FAYETTE- FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK- HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON- JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE- MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE- OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE- SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR- TELFAIR-TOOMBS-TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON- WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES- WILKINSON- 500 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA... DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE TODAY. THIS WILL BRING SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTH GEORGIA THIS MORNING...AND BOTH NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON...CONTINUING INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS EVENING. INSTABILITY WILL BE MINIMAL AND THEREFORE NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED... OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS YOU CAN NOT RULE OUT A STRONG THUNDERSTORM. HOWEVER SOME OF THE RAIN COULD BE HEAVY WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE ACROSS MAINLY NORTH GEORGIA. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS AND RIVERS AS WELL AS LOW LYING SPOTS ON ROADS. WITH THE FALLING LEAVES...SOME DRAINS COULD BE BLOCKED CAUSING TEMPORARY STREET FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO GEORGIA ON THURSDAY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. 16
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Nov 7, 2:15 AM EST, 4 hours 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
215 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015
GAZ019-030-041-070745-
HARALSON GA-POLK GA-FLOYD GA-
215 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN HARALSON...POLK AND
SOUTHERN FLOYD COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM EST...
AT 212 AM EST...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE JUST WEST OF
CEDARTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
HAZARD...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES IN AN HOUR CAN BE
EXPECTED.
IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN
EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN
AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO
HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO
TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
ROME...CEDARTOWN...ROCKMART...TALLAPOOSA...ARAGON...CAVE SPRING...
BRASWELL...TAYLORSVILLE...ESOM HILL...ETNA...LINDALE...VAN WERT...
SENEY...EUBANK LAKE...FISH CREEK...FELTON AND ANTIOCH.
LAT...LON 3430 8515 3420 8504 3408 8505 3408 8492
3395 8498 3395 8505 3391 8505 3375 8536
3412 8543
TIME...MOT...LOC 0712Z 229DEG 32KT 3399 8533
16Special weather statement, Nov 7, 3:12 AM EST, 3 hours 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
312 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015
GAZ041-042-070900-
CARROLL GA-HARALSON GA-
312 AM EST SAT NOV 7 2015
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CARROLL AND HARALSON
COUNTIES UNTIL 400 AM EST...
AT 310 AM EST...AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS WERE OVER ABERNATHY...OR 12
MILES EAST OF HEFLIN...MOVING EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.
HAZARD...OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 1.5 INCHES IN AN HOUR CAN BE
EXPECTED.
IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY.
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN
EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY. MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN
AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO
HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO
TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.
SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
CARROLLTON...BUCHANAN...BREMEN...TEMPLE...TALLAPOOSA...BOWDON...MOUNT
ZION...WACO...JOHN TANNER STATE PARK...BOWDON JUNCTION AND ABILENE.
LAT...LON 3386 8506 3359 8497 3352 8531 3378 8536
TIME...MOT...LOC 0810Z 249DEG 23KT 3366 8538
16The office that day
Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 10:39 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | FFC | Coweta | 51 min |
| Nov 6, 11:45 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | FFC | Barrow | 45 min |
| Nov 6, 11:53 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | FFC | Carroll | 37 min |
| Nov 6, 11:56 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | FFC | Banks, Hall | 49 min |
| Nov 7, 12:20 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | FFC | Coweta, Fayette, Heard, Meriwether, Troup | 9 hr |
| Nov 7, 12:43 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | FFC | Carroll | 47 min |
| Nov 7, 2:15 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | FFC | Polk | 30 min |
| Nov 7, 3:12 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | FFC | Carroll, Haralson | 48 min |
| Nov 7, 6:35 AM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Forsyth | 12 hr |
| Nov 7, 6:35 AM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Forsyth, Fulton | 34 hr |
| Nov 7, 7:14 AM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | DeKalb | 24 hr |
| Nov 7, 7:57 AM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Coweta, Fayette, Spalding | 24 hr |
| Nov 7, 11:07 AM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Gwinnett, Walton | 24 hr |
| Nov 7, 11:24 AM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Fayette | 24 hr |
| Nov 7, 3:44 PM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Newton, Rockdale | 26 hr |
| Nov 7, 3:48 PM EST | River Flood Warning | FFC | Clarke, Greene, Oconee | 4 days |
| Nov 7, 4:15 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | FFC | Crisp | 45 min |
| Nov 7, 6:05 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | FFC | Crisp | 55 min |
| Nov 7, 6:55 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | FFC | Wilcox | 50 min |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.