Alert archive / Georgia / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 86, NWS Atlanta, GA

November 7, 2015Clarke County, Greene County, Oconee County, Georgia

NWS Atlanta, GA issued this river flood warning at Nov 7, 2015, 3:48 PM EST for Clarke County, Greene County, Oconee County, Georgia. It took effect at Nov 8, 2015, 3:10 AM EST. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 7, 2015, 3:48 PM EST (20:48 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 8, 2015, 3:10 AM EST
Expired
Nov 11, 2015, 5:06 PM EST
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Atlanta, GA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Clarke County, GA, Greene County, GA, Oconee County, GA

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Oconee River near Penfield (PNFG1). The gauge peaked at 14.80 ft at Nov 10, 2015, 3:00 AM EST.

actionminormoderate101511/0711/0811/0911/1011/1111/12
Action stage
11 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
27 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02218300, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

187 
WGUS42 KFFC 072048
FLWFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
348 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2015

...The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties


.Recent heavy rainfall has caused significant runoff into streams and
rivers which will cause flooding in some areas.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor the latest
forecasts...and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect
life and property.


&&

GAC059-133-219-081048-
/O.NEW.KFFC.FL.W.0086.151108T1200Z-151110T0925Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T1200Z.151109T0600Z.151110T0325Z.NO/
348 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2015

The National Weather Service in Peachtree City has issued a
* Flood Warning for 
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* From Sunday morning until late Monday night.
* At 300 PM Saturday the stage was 9.7 feet...and 
  rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage Sunday morning and continue
  to rise to near 14.6 feet early Monday morning.The river will 
  fall below flood stage Monday before midnight.
* At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 
  bridge.

  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
16 follow-up statements
219 
WGUS82 KFFC 080126
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
826 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

 
GAC059-133-219-081526-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0086.151108T0810Z-151110T1227Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0810Z.151109T0600Z.151110T0627Z.NO/
826 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* From early Sunday until Tuesday morning.
* At 800 PM Saturday the stage was 11.5 feet...and 
  rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage early Sunday and continue 
  to rise to near 15.0 feet early Monday morning.The river will 
  fall below flood stage Tuesday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 
  bridge.

  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
422 
WGUS82 KFFC 080549
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1249 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

GAC117-121-081930-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-151108T1930Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.151107T1245Z.151108T0300Z.151108T1330Z.NO/
1249 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until this afternoon.
* At midnight the stage was 7.5 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  morning.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the creek from near Cumming in south 
  Forsyth County to Alpharetta and Roswell in north Fulton County. 
  Additional portions of The Big Creek Greenway have minor flooding 
  with 1 to 2 feet of water. Most of the walking and biking paths 
  will be closed...especially upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Hill Park. Portions of the 
  YMCA Campground off Preston Ridge Road will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC059-133-219-081949-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0086.151108T0810Z-151110T1227Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0810Z.151109T0600Z.151110T0627Z.NO/
1249 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* From early this morning until Tuesday morning.
* At midnight the stage was 12.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by early this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 15 feet early Monday morning.The 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* At 15 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 
  bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
385 
WGUS82 KFFC 081018
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
518 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

GAC117-121-081930-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-151108T1930Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.151107T1245Z.151108T0300Z.151108T1330Z.NO/
518 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* Until this afternoon.
* At 500 Sunday the stage was 7.4 feet...and falling slowly.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* The creek will continue to fall to below flood stage later this 
  morning.
* At 7 feet...Flood Stage is reached.  Minor flooding of woodlands 
  and fields begin along the creek between Cumming in Forsyth 
  County...to Alpharetta and Roswell in North Fulton County.  
  Flooding starts to effect portions of The Big Creek Greenway near 
  Alpharetta and some portions may become closed with around one foot
  of water...especially upstream and downstream from the gage on 
  Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Hill Park. Portions of the YMCA 
  Campground off Preston Ridge Road will begin to flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC059-133-219-090018-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151110T1227Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151109T0600Z.151110T0627Z.NO/
518 AM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 500 AM Sunday the stage was 13.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15 feet by midnight.
  The river will fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* At 15 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 
  bridge.
 

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
413 
WGUS82 KFFC 082012
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
312 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

 
GAC059-133-219-091012-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T1415Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151111T0600Z.151112T0815Z.NO/
312 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 300 PM Sunday the stage was 14.3 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 14.9 feet after midnight 
  Monday. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 
  bridge.

  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
530 
WGUS82 KFFC 090144
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
844 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

 
GAC059-133-219-091544-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151111T0600Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151109T0045Z.151111T0000Z.NO/
844 PM EST SUN NOV 8 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 815 PM Sunday the stage was 14.4 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will fall to below flood stage Tuesday evening.
* At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 
  bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
985 
WGUS82 KFFC 090820
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
320 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

 
GAC059-133-219-092220-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T1200Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151111T0600Z.151112T0600Z.NO/
320 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 3AM Monday the stage was 14.4 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river is expected to rise to near 15.6 feet by early 
  Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood stage early
  Thursday morning.
* At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 
  bridge.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.3 feet on Dec 27 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

DJN
040 
WGUS82 KFFC 091253
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
753 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Big Creek near Alpharetta affecting Forsyth and Fulton Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 


GAC117-121-100253-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0088.000000T0000Z-151110T1200Z/
/APHG1.1.ER.151109T1438Z.151109T1800Z.151110T0600Z.NO/
753 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Big Creek near Alpharetta.
* From late this morning until Tuesday morning.
* At 7 AM Monday the stage was 6.4 feet...and rising slowly.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 7 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by late this morning and 
  continue to rise to near 7.7 feet by this afternoon.The creek will 
  fall below flood stage by midnight.
* At 8 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand further into the 
  woodlands and fields along the creek from near Cumming in south 
  Forsyth County to Alpharetta and Roswell in north Fulton County. 
  Additional portions of The Big Creek Greenway have minor flooding 
  with 1 to 2 feet of water. Most of the walking and biking paths 
  will be closed...especially upstream and downstream from the gage 
  on Kimball Bridge Road and near Rock Hill Park. Portions of the 
  YMCA Campground off Preston Ridge Road will flood.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3410 8425 3410 8420 3404 8425 3402 8430
      3404 8433 3407 8427             

$$

GAC021-153-169-207-289-100252-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0087.151109T1243Z-151110T1800Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.151109T1122Z.151109T1130Z.151110T1200Z.NO/
753 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 7 AM Monday the stage was 18 feet... and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will remain steady today and fall below flood stage this evening.
* At 18 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins along 
  the river upstream and downstream from the gage at U.S. Highway 80 
  or Martin Luther King Boulevard. Portions of the Ocmulgee Riverwalk
  and agricultural lands well downstream will be under a foot of 
  water.


&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC059-133-219-100252-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T1200Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151111T0600Z.151112T0600Z.NO/
753 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 7 AM Monday the stage was 14.4 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15.6 feet by early Wednesday
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Thursday 
  morning.
* At 15feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 
  bridge.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
988 
WGUS82 KFFC 091625
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1125 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

 
GAC021-153-169-207-289-100625-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-151113T0945Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.151109T1122Z.151112T0600Z.151113T0345Z.NO/
1125 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 1030 AM Monday the stage was 18 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 19.8 feet by early Thursday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday evening.
* At 20 feet...Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount of the 
  Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be around one 
  foot deep on portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream
  from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands well 
  downstream will be under one to three feet of water.

  

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC059-133-219-100625-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T1720Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151111T0600Z.151112T1120Z.NO/
1125 AM EST MON NOV 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday afternoon...
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 11 AM Monday the stage was 14.5 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16 feet by early Wednesday
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 17 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures near the river. The water level is very 
  close to Ward Road on the right bank. Flood waters will be 
  approaching irrigation systems and they may need to be moved to 
  higher ground.

  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
055 
WGUS82 KFFC 092113
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
413 PM EST MON NOV 9 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-101113-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-151113T0945Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.151109T1122Z.151112T0600Z.151113T0345Z.NO/
413 PM EST MON NOV 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 3 PM Monday the stage was 18.1 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 19.8 feet by early Thursday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday before 
  midnight.
* At 20 feet...Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount of the 
  Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be around one 
  foot deep on portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream
  from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands well 
  downstream will be under one to three feet of water.
  
&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC059-133-219-101113-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T1720Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151111T0600Z.151112T1120Z.NO/
413 PM EST MON NOV 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 4 PM Monday the stage was 14.6 feet...and slowly rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 16 feet by early Wednesday
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 17 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures near the river. The water level is very 
  close to Ward Road on the right bank. Flood waters will be 
  approaching irrigation systems and they may need to be moved to 
  higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
258 
WGUS82 KFFC 100144
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
844 PM EST MON NOV 9 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

 
GAC021-153-169-207-289-101544-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-151112T0112Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.151109T1122Z.151110T1800Z.151111T1912Z.NO/
844 PM EST MON NOV 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 7 PM Monday the stage was 18.4 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 19.3 feet by early 
  afternoon on Tuesday. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday early 
  afternoon.
* At 20 feet...Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount of the 
  Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be around one 
  foot deep on portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream
  from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands well 
  downstream will be under one to three feet of water.

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC059-133-219-101544-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T1240Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151110T1200Z.151112T0640Z.NO/
844 PM EST MON NOV 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 14.7 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding will continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 15 feet by Tuesday 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage early Thursday 
  morning.
* At 17 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures near the river. The water level is very 
  close to Ward Road on the right bank. Flood waters will be 
  approaching irrigation systems and they may need to be moved to 
  higher ground.

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
677 
WGUS82 KFFC 101215
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
715 AM EST TUE NOV 10 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 


GAC059-133-219-110215-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T1240Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151110T1800Z.151112T0640Z.NO/
715 AM EST TUE NOV 10 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 7AM Tuesday the stage was 14.8 feet...and steady.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 
  bridge.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.9 feet on Dec 25 2013.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$
764 
WGUS82 KFFC 101951
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
251 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

 
GAC021-153-169-207-289-110951-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-151112T1415Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.151109T1122Z.151111T0600Z.151112T0815Z.NO/
251 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 2PM Tuesday the stage was 20.1 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 20.3 feet by after midnight 
  tomorrow. The river will fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* At 20.0 feet...Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount of the 
  Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be around one 
  foot deep on portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream
  from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands well 
  downstream will be under one to three feet of water.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.4 feet on Oct 14 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC059-133-219-110951-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T0800Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151110T0845Z.151112T0200Z.NO/
251 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At 2PM Tuesday the stage was 14.6 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 
  bridge.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.7 feet on Dec 20 2009.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

GAC167-303-319-110951-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0090.151111T1200Z-151113T0600Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.151111T1200Z.151112T1200Z.151113T0000Z.NO/
251 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Thursday night...The Flood 
Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* At 2PM Tuesday the stage was 15.9 feet...and rising.
* Nonflood flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue
  to rise to near 17.5 feet by Thursday morning.The river will fall 
  below flood stage by Thursday Night.
* At 18.0 feet...The water level begins to flood portions of the dirt
  parking lot area near the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just 
  upstream and rightbank from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor 
  flooding continues in the woodlands near the river.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.5 feet on Mar 27 2013.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$
831 
WGUS82 KFFC 110156
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
856 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

 
GAC021-153-169-207-289-111556-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-151112T1342Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.151109T1122Z.151111T0600Z.151112T0742Z.NO/
856 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Thursday morning...

  For the Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 830 PM Tuesday the stage was 20.3 feet...and slowly rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and Minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue rising...reaching near 20.5 feet after 
  midnight early Wednesday morning. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage early Thursday morning.
* At 21 feet...Minor flooding expands with an increasing amount of the 
  Macon Greenway Ocmulgee Heritage Trail flooded north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be up to two 
  feet deep on portions of the trail and both banks of the river 
  overflow upstream from the bridge. Large portions of the agricultural 
  lands east of Macon and well downstream will be under 1 to 4 feet of 
  water as well.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC059-133-219-111556-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T0936Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151110T0845Z.151112T0336Z.NO/
856 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...

  For the Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At 830 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.4 feet...and slowly falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring...and Minor flooding is forecast to 
  continue.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue falling...dropping below flood stage late 
  tomorrow evening.
* At 15 feet...Minor flooding continues in the fields...woodlands and 
  pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...upstream and 
  downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 bridge.


&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

GAC167-303-319-111556-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0090.151111T1800Z-151114T1900Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.151111T1800Z.151113T0600Z.151114T1300Z.NO/
856 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...

  For the Oconee River near Oconee.
* From early tomorrow afternoon until Saturday afternoon.
* At 830 PM Tuesday the stage was 16.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast to develop.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by early tomorrow 
  afternoon then continue rising...reaching near 18.5 feet by early 
  Friday morning.The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Saturday morning.
* At 17 feet...Flood stage is reached. The water level reaches the 
  top of the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just upstream and 
  rightbank from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor flooding of 
  the woodlands near the river occurs.

  at 18 feet...The water level begins to flood portions of the dirt 
  parking lot area near the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just 
  upstream and rightbank from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor 
  flooding continues to expand into the woodlands near the river.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$
576 
WGUS82 KFFC 110925
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
425 AM EST WED NOV 11 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-112325-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-151112T1342Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.151109T1122Z.151111T1200Z.151112T0742Z.NO/
425 AM EST WED NOV 11 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until Thursday morning.
* At 3 AM Wednesday the stage was 19.7 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* The river will continue falling and is expected to fall below flood stage
  early Thursday morning.
* At 21.0 feet...Minor flooding expands. An increasing amount of the 
  Macon GreenWay Ocmulgee Heritage Trail floods north of the Martin 
  Luther King Boulevard bridge. The flood waters will be up to two 
  feet deep on portions of the trail and both banks overflow upstream
  from the bridge. Large portions of agricultural lands east of Macon
  and well downstream will be under 1 to 4 feet of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC059-133-219-112325-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T0936Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151110T0845Z.151112T0336Z.NO/
425 AM EST WED NOV 11 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until late tonight.
* At 4 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.1 feet...and 
  falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by tonight.
* At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding continues to expand into fields...
  woodlands and pastures...mainly on the right bank of the river...
  upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia Highway 15 
  bridge.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.1 feet on Feb 6 2011.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

GAC167-303-319-112325-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0090.151111T1800Z-151114T1900Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.151111T1800Z.151113T0600Z.151114T1300Z.NO/
425 AM EST WED NOV 11 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* From this afternoon until Saturday afternoon.
* At 4 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.6 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 18.5 feet by early Friday morning.The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* At 19.0 feet...The water level begins to flood the dirt parking lot
  area near the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just upstream and 
  rightbank from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor flooding 
  continues and spreads further into the woodlands near the river.
* This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.4 feet on Mar 14 2010.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$
786 
WGUS82 KFFC 111629
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1129 AM EST WED NOV 11 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...
 
  Ocmulgee River near Macon affecting Bibb...Houston...Jones...
  Monroe and Twiggs Counties 

  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties 

  Oconee River near Oconee affecting Johnson...Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 

 
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Georgia...

  Oconee River near Avant Mine Oconee affecting Washington and 
  Wilkinson Counties 


GAC021-153-169-207-289-120515-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-151112T0515Z/
/MACG1.1.ER.151109T1122Z.151111T0215Z.151111T2315Z.NO/
1129 AM EST WED NOV 11 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Ocmulgee River near Macon.
* Until this evening.
* At 1030 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.8 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by this 
  evening.
* At 19 feet...Minor flooding continues. The Macon Greenway 
  Ocmulgee Heritage Trail will begin to flood in areas just north of 
  the Martin Luther King Boulevard bridge. The public should not use 
  this portion of the trail. In addition...the lowest sections of the
  Charles Jones Gateway Park will flood. Portions of agricultural 
  lands well downstream will be under two feet of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3290 8372 3293 8367 3282 8356 3266 8353
      3263 8359 3274 8363             

$$

GAC059-133-219-120508-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T0508Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151110T0845Z.151111T2308Z.NO/
1129 AM EST WED NOV 11 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* Until this evening.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 13.5 feet...and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* At 13 feet...Flood Stage is reached. Minor flooding occurs along 
  the river upstream and downstream from the gage on the Georgia 
  Highway 15 bridge. The right bank begins to overflow into 
  agricultural land and pastures with a foot or two of water.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

GAC303-319-120629-
/O.CON.KFFC.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCOG1.1.ER.151111T0706Z.151111T0715Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1129 AM EST WED NOV 11 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Oconee River near Avant Mine Oconee.
* Until further notice.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 18.2 feet...and rising.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 18 feet.
* At 18 feet...Flood stage is reached. Minor flooding begins in the
  woodlands and wetlands along the river upstream and downstream from
  a gage located by a dirt boat ramp on the west side of Avant Mine 
  off Adams Road in Washington County. The water level will be at the
  top of the boat ramp.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3297 8316 3302 8313 3296 8304 3288 8298
      3284 8303 3292 8311             

$$

GAC167-303-319-120629-
/O.EXT.KFFC.FL.W.0090.151111T1800Z-151115T0000Z/
/OCNG1.1.ER.151111T1800Z.151113T0600Z.151114T1800Z.NO/
1129 AM EST WED NOV 11 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Oconee River near Oconee.
* From this afternoon until Saturday evening.
* At 11 AM Wednesday the stage was 16.9 feet...and rising.
* Nonflood flooding is occurring and forecast.
* Flood stage is 17 feet.
* Forecast to rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 18.5 feet by early Friday morning.The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Saturday evening.
* At 19 feet...The water level begins to flood the dirt parking lot
  area near the Old Balls Ferry Road boat ramp...just upstream and 
  rightbank from the Georgia Highway 57 bridge. Minor flooding 
  continues and spreads further into the woodlands near the river.
  

&&

LAT...LON 3284 8303 3288 8298 3279 8292 3267 8289
      3265 8298 3278 8300             

$$
666 
WGUS82 KFFC 112206
FLSFFC
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
506 PM EST WED NOV 11 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Georgia...
 
  Oconee River near Penfield affecting Clarke...Greene and Oconee 
  Counties

 
GAC059-133-219-112236-
/O.CAN.KFFC.FL.W.0086.000000T0000Z-151112T0508Z/
/PNFG1.1.ER.151108T0830Z.151110T0845Z.151111T2045Z.NO/
506 PM EST WED NOV 11 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Oconee River near Penfield.
* This takes affect immediately.
* Until late tonight.
* At 5 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.9 feet...and falling.
* Flood stage is 13 feet.
* The river will continue to fall.
* The river rose above flood stage between 300 AM and 330 AM 
  Sunday morning...November 8th and crested at 14.81 feet 
  around 345 AM Tuesday morning...November 10th. The river fell 
  below flood stage around 400 PM this afternoon...Wednesday  
  November 11th. 
  

&&

LAT...LON 3364 8325 3364 8333 3383 8333 3384 8327


$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Atlanta, GA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Nov 7, 2:09 PM EST, 1 hour 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 7, 2:09 PM EST, 1 hour 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
209 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2015

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...

FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH ALL OF NORTH GEORGIA AND A GOOD PORTION OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA BUT RAIN SHIELD HAS BEEN PAINFULLY SLOW IN ITS
MOVEMENT AND STILL RESIDES OVER FAR NORTH GEORGIA AT THIS HOUR.
FORTUNATELY THE I85 CORRIDOR IS GETTING A MUCH NEEDED BREAK WHERE
EARLIER SOME 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN FELL DURING THE OVERNIGHT
PERIOD CREATING FLOOD CONCERNS. EVENTUALLY...SHORT TERM MODELS TO
BRING RAIN SHIELD INTO THE REMAINDER OF NORTH GA AND THEN CENTRAL
GEORGIA BY LATE THIS EVENING AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD. STILL
ENOUGH INSTABILITY IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER WHERE BREAKS IN
THE CLOUDS HAVE OCCURRED TO WARRANT CONTINUED MENTION OF ISOLATED
THUNDER.

REMAINDER OF THE SHORT TERM COULD BE QUITE INTERESTING DEPENDING
ON THE MODEL THAT ENDS OF VERIFYING. WHAT WE KNOW IS THAT A WEDGE
WILL BUILD IN THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK LOW DEVELOPS
ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. MAIN DIFFERENCES
ARE THE GFS KEEPS MAIN UPPER ENERGY OVER NORTH FLORIDA AND EXTREME
SOUTH GEORGIA WHILE THE NAM SHOWS A VERY STRONG DIFFLUENT PATTERN
ALOFT ALL THE WAY INTO NORTH GA. REGARDLESS...EVEN USING A
BLEND... I GET LIKELY POPS FOR ALL OF CENTRAL GA WITH CATEGORICAL
FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TIER. USUALLY IN THESE PATTERNS THE
FURTHER NORTH SOLUTION VERIFIES AND WILL LEAN SLIGHTLY TOWARD THE
NAMS PLACEMENT OF PRECIP SHIELD.

WILL LET MID SHIFT TAKE A LOOK AT THE NEXT FEW ROUNDS OF MODELS
BECAUSE IF NORTHERN SOLUTION VERIFIES AND WE DO INDEED SEE SOME
BANDED PRECIPITATION...A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NECESSARY GIVEN THE
RECENT HEAVY RAINS. OTHERWISE...IT WILL BE RAW ACROSS THE REGION
WITH CLOUDY NE FLOW IN COOL CONDITIONS AND WILL TREND FORECAST ON
THE COOLER SIDE OF GUIDANCE WITH ONLY A 5 DEGREE DEPARTURE FROM
LOWS AND HIGHS EACH DAY.

DEESE

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE EXTENDED AS LONG RANGE MODELS
CONTINUE TO SHOW SIMILAR TRENDS. THE PERIOD STARTS OUT WITH A WEDGE
OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BEING OVERRUN BY GULF MOISTURE TO PRODUCE
CLOUDS AND AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS ON MONDAY. THE DRIVING
UPPER DISTURBANCE LIFTS NORTHEAST MONDAY NIGHT... LEAVING COOL/DRY
HIGH PRESSURE TO DOMINATE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. ECMWF AND GFS SHOW
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A COLD FRONT PUSHING ACROSS THE AREA ON
THURSDAY. A MOIST/SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL WARRANT
CONTINUED MENTION FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE THURSDAY...
HOWEVER BOTH MODELS ARE HOLDING THE GREATER INSTABILITIES WELL SOUTH
OF THE AREA AT THIS TIME. BEHIND THIS FRONT... A COOL DOME OF HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN OVER THE DEEP SOUTH AND DOMINATES FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.

AS FOR TEMPS... THE INITIAL WEDGE CONDITIONS ON MONDAY... THEN COOL
HIGH PRESSURE FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY SHOULD RESULT IN NEAR NORMAL
TEMPS THROUGH MID WEEK. EXPECT A WARM UP AHEAD OF THURSDAYS FRONT...
THEN POSSIBLY SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN NORMAL NUMBERS FOR FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY UNDER COOL HIGH PRESSURE INFLUENCE.

39

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
ANOTHER CHALLENGING FORECAST AS COLD FRONT HAS MOVED PAST THE ATL
TAF SITES BUT A HODGEPODGE OF FLIGHT CATEGORIES CONTINUE OVER THE
AREA WITH IFR AT RYY AND PDK TO VFR AT ATL. TRENDS SEEM TO
INDICATE MAINLY ISOLATED IFR WITH SUSTAINED LOWER CIGS NOT COMING
UNTIL MAIN RAIN BAND ARRIVES LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL START
ATL AT MVFR THEN AROUND 22Z. WINDS SHOULD START PICKING UP DURING
THIS TIMEFRAME SO KEPT MVFR THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT
ALTHOUGH CERTAINLY POSSIBLE TO SEE SOME IFR. HAVE KEPT TEMPO TSRA
IN PLACE FOR THE SOUTHERN TIER ALTHOUGH CHANCES SEEM TO BE
DETERIORATING FOR THIS AND WILL EVALUATE NEED FOR NEXT FEW HOURS.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM ON CIGS THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGH ON REMAINING ELEMENTS.

DEESE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATHENS          53  57  47  54 /  90  50  40  50
ATLANTA         53  57  48  55 /  90  30  50  50
BLAIRSVILLE     45  61  43  56 /  60  10  30  50
CARTERSVILLE    51  59  47  54 /  70  20  40  50
COLUMBUS        58  58  52  60 /  90  70  50  50
GAINESVILLE     51  57  46  53 /  90  20  30  50
MACON           57  57  49  58 /  90  70  40  50
ROME            48  61  48  55 /  60  10  30  50
PEACHTREE CITY  55  57  47  55 /  90  50  50  50
VIDALIA         61  63  51  63 /  70  70  50  50

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DEESE
LONG TERM....39
AVIATION...DEESE
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 7, 12:49 PM EST, 2 hours 59 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1249 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2015

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-081200-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1249 PM EST SAT NOV 7 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA THIS
AFTERNOON...

...POST FRONTAL RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON...

DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SOUTHWARD
THROUGH TONIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD
OF THE FRONT THROUGH THE AFTERNOON... MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
HAMILTON TO WARRENTON LINE. NO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED AS
INSTABILITIES REMAIN MARGINAL OR LESS.

AN ACTIVE WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE AREAS OF
LIGHT TO OCCASIONAL MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS BEHIND THE FRONT.
HOWEVER... RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH THIS EVENING SHOULD BE UNDER ONE
HALF INCH ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA AND GENERALLY AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS
CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS
OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING STRIKES AND BRIEF GUSTY WINDS WITH ANY
THUNDERSTORM THAT DEVELOPS.

ANY TRAINING OF RAIN SHOWERS OVER ALREADY SATURATED GROUNDS COULD
PRODUCE LOCALIZED MINOR FLOODING ALONG LOW LYING... FLOOD PRONE
AREAS... TO INCLUDE SOME CREEKS AND RIVERS. FALLING LEAVES COULD
BLOCK DRAINS AND CAUSE TEMPORARY STREET FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

GULF MOISTURE WILL OVER-RUN A WEDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO
PRODUCE RAIN SHOWERS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH AND MUCH OF CENTRAL
GEORGIA THROUGH MONDAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN MINOR
FLOOD PROBLEMS FOR SOME AREAS THROUGH MONDAY.

ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO GEORGIA ON THURSDAY WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY... WEDNESDAY AND FRIDAY
OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Atlanta, GA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 6, 10:39 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCoweta51 min
Nov 6, 11:45 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBarrow45 min
Nov 6, 11:53 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll37 min
Nov 6, 11:56 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCBanks, Hall49 min
Nov 7, 12:20 AM ESTAreal Flood WarningFFCCoweta, Fayette, Heard, Meriwether, Troup9 hr
Nov 7, 12:43 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll47 min
Nov 7, 2:15 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCPolk30 min
Nov 7, 3:12 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCarroll, Haralson48 min
Nov 7, 6:35 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth12 hr
Nov 7, 6:35 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCForsyth, Fulton34 hr
Nov 7, 6:57 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDeKalb, Fulton8 hr
Nov 7, 7:14 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCDeKalb24 hr
Nov 7, 7:57 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCCoweta, Fayette, Spalding24 hr
Nov 7, 11:07 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCGwinnett, Walton24 hr
Nov 7, 11:24 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCFayette24 hr
Nov 7, 3:44 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningFFCNewton, Rockdale26 hr
Nov 7, 4:15 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCrisp45 min
Nov 7, 6:05 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCCrisp55 min
Nov 7, 6:55 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementFFCWilcox50 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Georgia, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.