Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 20, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

May 18, 2015DeWitt County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at May 18, 2015, 8:42 AM CDT for DeWitt County, Texas. It took effect at May 19, 2015, 9:04 AM CDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2015, 8:42 AM CDT (13:42 UTC)
In effect from
May 19, 2015, 9:04 AM CDT
Expired
May 22, 2015, 9:55 AM CDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County DeWitt County, TX

The river

Written for the forecast point Guadalupe River near Cuero (CUET2). The gauge peaked at 28.68 ft at May 21, 2015, 4:00 PM CDT.

actionminormoderate203005/1805/1905/2005/2105/2205/23
Action stage
19 ft
Minor stage
24 ft
Moderate stage
33 ft
Major stage
37 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08175800, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

275 
WGUS44 KEWX 181342
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
842 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Guadalupe River...Sandies Creek 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-190742-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0019.150519T2100Z-150520T1930Z/
/WHOT2.1.ER.150519T2100Z.150520T0000Z.150520T0730Z.NO/
842 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for the Sandies Creek Near Westhoff.
* from Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday afternoon...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:15 AM Monday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The creek level will rise above flood stage by Tuesday afternoon and
  continue rising to crest around 21.1 feet by Tuesday evening.The creek level will
  fall below flood stage by early Wednesday morning and continue falling.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding from the headwaters southeast 
  of Seguin to the Guadalupe River confluence near Cuero cuts off and 
  potentially drowns livestock. The approaches to the Farm to Market 240 bridge 
  three miles northeast of Westhoff flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Westhoff           12   21   17.3   Mon 08 AM  20.3  20.7  16.6  10.1   6.8


&&

LAT...LON 2923 9749 2923 9742 2918 9734 2911 9733
      2909 9737 2914 9739             

$$

TXC123-190742-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0020.150519T1404Z-150522T0730Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1404Z.150520T1200Z.150521T1930Z.NO/
842 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* from Tuesday morning to late Thursday night...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Monday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise above flood stage by late morning on
  Tuesday and continue rising to crest around 28.9 feet by Wednesday morning.
  The river level is then expected to fall below flood stage by Thursday early
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and 
  bridges very dangerous to auto traffic..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Cuero              19   24   16.0   Mon 08 AM  23.1  28.9  25.9  19.3  12.8


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
16 follow-up statements
203 
WGUS84 KEWX 182046
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
346 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-191446-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.150519T1634Z-150522T0400Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1634Z.150520T1200Z.150521T1600Z.NO/
346 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  3:30 PM Monday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to 
  rise to near 27.4 feet by Wednesday morning. The river will fall below flood 
  stage by late Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Lowland flooding extends into the left flood plain 
  above Cuero threatening livestock..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Cuero              19   24   17.9   Mon  3 PM  22.4  27.4  24.8  19.1  13.1


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
205 
WGUS84 KEWX 190126
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
826 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-191926-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.150519T1509Z-150522T0600Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1509Z.150520T1200Z.150521T1800Z.NO/
826 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  8:01 PM Monday the stage was 19.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to 
  rise to near 27.5 feet by Wednesday morning. The river will then fall below flood 
  stage by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Lowland flooding extends into the left flood plain 
  above Cuero threatening livestock..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
 Cuero              19   24   19.6   Mon  8 PM  23.0  27.5  25.1  19.9  13.6


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
842 
WGUS84 KEWX 190816
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
316 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River at Gonzales AFFECTING Gonzales County
  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC177-200216-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-150520T1317Z/
/GNLT2.1.ER.150518T1425Z.150519T1800Z.150520T0117Z.NO/
316 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River at Gonzales.
* At 2:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 32.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 33.7 feet by this afternoon.
  The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 34.0 feet...Pastureland northwest of Gonzales between the 
  Guadalupe and San Marcos Rivers is flooded. Lowest areas of the city park 
  flood.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
  Gonzales          17   31   32.9   Tue  3 AM  33.2  25.6  16.1  13.7  13.3


&&

LAT...LON 2944 9746 2952 9746 2942 9727 2912 9729
      2909 9737 2939 9736             

$$

TXC123-200216-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.150519T1412Z-150522T0627Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1412Z.150520T1200Z.150521T1827Z.NO/
316 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At 3:00 AM Tuesday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage by late this morning and
  continue to rise to near 27.7 feet by Wednesday morning. The riverwill fall
  below flood stage by Thursday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Lowland flooding extends into the left flood plain 
  above Cuero threatening livestock..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat
  Cuero             19   24   21.9   Tue  3 AM  23.3  27.7  25.2  20.0  14.3


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
506 
WGUS84 KEWX 191410
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
910 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River at Gonzales AFFECTING Gonzales County
  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC177-200616-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-150520T0616Z/
/GNLT2.1.ER.150518T1425Z.150519T0745Z.150519T1816Z.NO/
910 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River at Gonzales.
* At  8:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 32.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to fall to below flood 
  stage by this afternoon.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding begins to enter the Gonzales 
  City Park..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Gonzales           17   31   32.0   Tue 09 AM  23.2  14.5  13.3  13.0  12.5


&&

LAT...LON 2944 9746 2952 9746 2942 9727 2912 9729
      2909 9737 2939 9736             

$$

TXC123-200810-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.150519T1730Z-150521T2136Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1730Z.150520T1200Z.150521T0936Z.NO/
910 AM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  8:30 AM Tuesday the stage was 23.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Will rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise to 
  and crest near 26.2 feet by tomorrow early afternoon. The river will fall below 
  flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Lowland flooding extends into the left flood plain 
  above Cuero threatening livestock..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Cuero              19   24   23.2   Tue 08 AM  26.2  23.6  18.1  12.0  10.8


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
424 
WGUS84 KEWX 192010
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
310 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-201410-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150522T1541Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150521T0000Z.150522T0341Z.NO/
310 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  2:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 28.4 feet by tomorrow 
  evening. The river will then fall below flood stage Thursday before midnight.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and 
  bridges very dangerous to auto traffic..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Cuero              19   24   24.1   Tue  2 PM  27.5  27.5  22.2  16.9  12.3


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
104 
WGUS84 KEWX 200146
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
846 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-201946-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150522T1840Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150521T0000Z.150522T0640Z.NO/
846 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  8:30 PM Tuesday the stage was 24.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 28.1 feet by tomorrow 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and 
  bridges very dangerous to auto traffic..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
 Cuero              19   24   24.8   Tue  8 PM  26.6  27.7  22.4  14.8  11.4


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
447 
WGUS84 KEWX 200722
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
222 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-210122-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150522T1907Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150521T0000Z.150522T0707Z.NO/
222 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At 1:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will crest near 27.1 feet this evening...then begin a slow
  fall. The river will fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Lowland flooding extends into the left flood plain 
  above Cuero threatening livestock..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Wed   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun
  Cuero             19   24   25.2   Wed  2 AM  26.1  26.7  22.7  14.8  11.4


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
878 
WGUS84 KEWX 201425
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
925 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Sandies Creek Near Westhoff AFFECTING De Witt County
  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-210712-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-150521T0712Z/
/WHOT2.1.ER.150520T0650Z.150520T1100Z.150520T1912Z.NO/
925 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Sandies Creek Near Westhoff.
* At  9:15 AM Wednesday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The creek has crest near 21 feet and has begun to fall. It will 
  continue to fall to below flood stage by this afternoon.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding from the headwaters southeast 
  of Seguin to the Guadalupe River confluence near Cuero cuts off and 
  potentially drowns livestock. The approaches to the Farm to Market 240 bridge 
  three miles northeast of Westhoff flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Westhoff           12   21   21.1   Wed 09 AM  18.2  11.8   7.0   5.2   4.3


&&

LAT...LON 2923 9749 2923 9742 2918 9734 2911 9733
      2909 9737 2914 9739             

$$

TXC123-210825-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150523T1200Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150521T1200Z.150523T0000Z.NO/
925 AM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  9:00 AM Wednesday the stage was 26.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.2 feet by tomorrow 
  morning due to inflow from Peach Creek. After the crest the river will begin
  to fall until it is below flood stage Friday evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and 
  bridges very dangerous to auto traffic..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Cuero              19   24   26.0   Wed 09 AM  29.2  26.6  20.2  15.5  11.9


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
332 
WGUS84 KEWX 201955
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
255 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Sandies Creek Near Westhoff AFFECTING De Witt County
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-202025-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-150521T0712Z/
/WHOT2.1.ER.150520T0650Z.150520T1100Z.150520T1700Z.NO/
255 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Sandies Creek Near Westhoff.
* At  2:15 PM Wednesday the stage was 20.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is below Flood stage abd will continue to fall to 
  18.0 feet by tomorrow morning. The creek should remain above Bankfull stage
  until Friday Morning. 
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding from the headwaters southeast 
  of Seguin to the Guadalupe River confluence near Cuero cuts off and 
  potentially drowns livestock. The approaches to the Farm to Market 240 bridge 
  three miles northeast of Westhoff flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Westhoff           12   21   20.8   Wed 02 PM  18.0  11.2   6.9   5.2   4.3


&&

LAT...LON 2923 9749 2923 9742 2918 9734 2911 9733
      2909 9737 2914 9739             

$$

TXC123-211355-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150522T2245Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150521T1200Z.150522T1045Z.NO/
255 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  2:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 26.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.1 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and 
  bridges very dangerous to auto traffic..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Cuero              19   24   26.6   Wed 02 PM  29.1  23.5  15.1  11.8  10.7


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
250 
WGUS84 KEWX 210108
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
808 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-211908-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150523T0000Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150521T1200Z.150522T1200Z.NO/
808 PM CDT WED MAY 20 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 27.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue rising to near 28.7 feet by tomorrow 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and 
  bridges very dangerous to auto traffic..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
 Cuero              19   24   27.3   Wed  7 PM  28.7  24.0  15.3  11.8  10.7


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
008 
WGUS84 KEWX 210726
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
226 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-220126-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150522T2342Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150521T1200Z.150522T1142Z.NO/
226 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At 2:01 AM Thursday the stage was 28.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.4 feet by this morning. 
  The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and 
  bridges very dangerous to auto traffic..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Thu   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon
  Cuero             19   24   28.0   Thu  2 AM  28.4  23.9  16.3  13.2  11.9


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
926 
WGUS84 KEWX 211420
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
920 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-220820-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150524T0534Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150522T0000Z.150523T1734Z.NO/
920 AM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 28.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 29.2 feet by this evening. 
  The river will fall below flood stage Saturday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and 
  bridges very dangerous to auto traffic..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Cuero              19   24   28.6   Thu 09 AM  29.2  25.3  20.3  17.5  16.2


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
317 
WGUS84 KEWX 211957
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
257 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-221357-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150523T1855Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150521T1845Z.150523T0655Z.NO/
257 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  2:30 PM Thursday the stage was 28.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and 
  bridges very dangerous to auto traffic..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Cuero              19   24   28.7   Thu 02 PM  27.6  22.9  18.4  16.1  15.2


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
620 
WGUS84 KEWX 220156
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
856 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-221956-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150523T1446Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150521T1845Z.150523T0246Z.NO/
856 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

 The flood warning continues for the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday the stage was 28.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level crested at 28.70 feet early Thursday afternoon.
  The river level will continue falling to below flood stage by late Friday
  evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding makes secondary roads and 
  bridges very dangerous to auto traffic..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
 Cuero              19   24   28.5   Thu 08 PM  27.2  21.8  17.1  13.7  11.4


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
116 
WGUS84 KEWX 220643
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
143 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-230043-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150523T0918Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150521T1845Z.150522T2118Z.NO/
143 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

 The flood warning continues for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  1:30 AM Friday the stage was 27.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Lowland flooding extends into the left flood plain 
  above Cuero threatening livestock..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 6AM 
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Fri   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue
  Cuero             19   24   27.9   Fri 01 AM  27.1  17.2  12.4  10.8  10.0


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$
328 
WGUS84 KEWX 221455
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
955 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...

  Guadalupe River Near Cuero AFFECTING De Witt County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC123-221525-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-150523T0918Z/
/CUET2.1.ER.150519T1845Z.150521T1845Z.150522T1413Z.NO/
955 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2015

The flood warning is cancelled for
  the Guadalupe River Near Cuero.
* At  9:30 AM Friday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has dropped below flood stage and will continue to 
  fall to 14.6 feet by tomorrow morning which is below Bankfull Stage.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Lowland flooding extends into the left flood plain 
  above Cuero threatening livestock..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Sat   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed
 Cuero              19   24   23.8   Fri 09 AM  14.6  12.9  13.1  12.2  12.1


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9737 2912 9729 2906 9718 2899 9714
      2894 9720 2901 9724             

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 18, 5:50 AM CDT, 2 hours 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 18, 5:50 AM CDT, 2 hours 52 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
550 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

.AVIATION...
SHRA/TSRA ALL AREAS TODAY WILL SHIFT TO THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS AND
EDWARDS TONIGHT...THEN EDWARDS PLATEAU...HILL COUNTRY AND AUSTIN
AREA TUESDAY. ISOLD SHRA/TSRA ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. FOR NOW...
HAVE LEFT MENTION OUT OF TAFS AS PROBS ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION.
IFR/MVFR CIGS LIFT TO VFR MIDDAY INTO AFTERNOON. MVFR CIGS RETURN
THIS EVENING...THEN IFR OVERNIGHT AND BACK TO MVFR TUESDAY. PATCHY
IFR/MVFR VSBYS IN BR ARE EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING AND OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT AS WELL IN SHRA/TSRA. S TO SE WINDS 5 TO 15 KTS PREVAIL
WITH GUSTS TO 25 KTS POSSIBLE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 353 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...WEAK MID LEVEL FORCING AND
STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET ARE CONTRIBUTING TO SCATTERED SHOWER
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EARLY THIS MORNING. COVERAGE
SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID MORNING
HOURS...EVENTUALLY FOCUSING MORE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
CWA...NORTHEAST OF A SAN MARCOS TO HALLETTSVILLE LINE...AS MID
LEVEL FLOW VEERS MORE SOUTHWEST AND SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR WORKS INTO
THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES.

CONVECTION SHOULD ALSO FIRE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF MEXICO AND ACROSS THE BIG BEND AND WEST TEXAS
NEAR THE DRY LINE. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD REACH WESTERN AREAS
OF THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. A STRONGER STORM OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THIS
REGION.

TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT THE UPPER LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY OVER
CALIFORNIA WILL SHEAR NORTHEAST THROUGH THE ROCKIES. A LEAD MID
AND UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL PASS THROUGH WEST TEXAS AND THE
PANHANDLE...AND INTO NORTH TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA. THE MAIN FORCING
WILL PASS PRIMARILY NORTH OF THE CWA...BUT CLOSE ENOUGH FOR
SCATTERED POPS NORTH OF A DEL RIO TO AUSTIN LINE ON TUESDAY.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)...ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL
LOW WILL DEVELOP OFF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
INITIALLY SHOULD SEE A REDUCTION IN POPS ON WEDNESDAY WITH
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR IN PLACE...STRENGTHENING CAP...AND LACK OF
FORCING.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE DECREASES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY...
DEPENDENT ON SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION OF A COLD FRONT. BOTH THE
NAM12 AND ECMWF ARE STRONGER AND FARTHER SOUTH THAN THE GFS WITH A
COLD FRONT THAT DROPS SOUTH BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED DEPARTING
SHORTWAVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TUESDAY NIGHT. BOTH HAVE THE
FRONT ENTERING THE HILL COUNTRY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BISECTING THE
CWA BY 12Z THURSDAY. ORGANIZED CONVECTION AND ASSOCIATED OUTFLOW
TO THE NORTH ON WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY PLAY A ROLE ON HOW FAR SOUTH
FRONT MAKES IT WEDNESDAY NIGHT. FOR NOW HAVE FOLLOWED SLIGHTLY
CLOSER TO THE NAM12/ECMWF SOLUTIONS OVER THE GFS...SHOWING THE
FRONT WILL BE CLOSE OR INTO THE CWA WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY.
BACKED FLOW...MOISTURE POOLING...WEAKENING CAP AND THE FRONT SHOULD
RESULT IN AN INCREASE IN POPS...ESPECIALLY NORTHERN AND WESTERN
AREAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND SOUTHERN AND WESTERN AREAS THURSDAY.

CONFIDENCE IS EVEN LOWER THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY ON WHERE FRONT
STALLS AND WHEN IT EVENTUALLY LIFTS BACK NORTH. AGAIN...CONVECTIVE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES WILL LIKELY PLAY A ROLE IN THIS. TIMING OF ANY
DISTURBANCES ALSO IN THE APPROACHING ACTIVE SUB-TROPICAL BRANCH
OF THE JET STREAM ARE VERY DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT THIS FAR OUT.
BUT GENERALLY CONTINUED SCATTERED POPS IN THE FORECAST THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES ALSO TRICKY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...
AND MAY HAVE TO BE LOWERED IN FUTURE PACKAGES ACROSS NORTHERN
AREAS FOR THURSDAY IF FRONT IS FARTHER SOUTH.

EVENTUALLY THE SECOND UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER CALIFORNIA OPENS AND
MOVES EAST FRIDAY AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND TEXAS OVER THE
WEEKEND. BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS ARE INDICATE ANOTHER GOOD SHOT OF
PRECIP SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              86  72  85  71  86 /  50  20  30  10  20
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  85  72  85  71  86 /  50  20  30  10  20
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     86  72  86  71  85 /  40  20  20  10  20
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            84  71  83  70  83 /  40  20  40  10  20
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           88  72  88  72  88 /  40  40  30  20  20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        84  71  84  71  84 /  50  20  30  10  20
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             86  72  87  72  87 /  40  20  20  20  20
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        86  72  85  71  86 /  50  20  20  10  20
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   86  73  86  73  86 /  50  10  20  10  20
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       87  72  86  72  86 /  40  20  20  10  20
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           87  73  87  73  87 /  40  20  20  10  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...04
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...76
Hazardous weather outlook, May 18, 4:10 AM CDT, 4 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
410 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-191000-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
410 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY INTO TONIGHT. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT MOST AREAS. AN ISOLATED STRONG
STORM OR TWO IS POSSIBLE ACROSS THE EDWARDS PLATEAU AND RIO GRANDE
PLAINS THIS EVENING INTO OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MAINLY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND AGAIN SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 18, 5:27 AM CDT, 3 hours 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
527 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

TXZ223-181100-
GONZALES TX-
527 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN GONZALES COUNTY
UNTIL 600 AM CDT...

AT 526 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
GONZALES...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GONZALES...WAELDER...LITTLE NEW YORK...DILWORTH...NEWTONVILLE AND
NICKLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 2963 9714 2958 9721 2957 9720 2944 9737
      2959 9748 2976 9730 2964 9713
TIME...MOT...LOC 1026Z 229DEG 20KT 2954 9739

CP
Local storm report, May 18, 7:32 AM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
732 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 AM     FLASH FLOOD      FLATONIA                29.69N  97.11W
05/18/2015                   FAYETTE            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ROADS AT HWY 95 AND 609 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER AND A
            NUMBER OF LOW WATER CROSSING HAVE WATER FLOWING OVER THE
            ROADWAYS

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500406

SBS
Local storm report, May 18, 7:33 AM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
733 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0732 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 W LA GRANGE           29.91N  96.93W
05/18/2015                   FAYETTE            TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            AIRPORT ROAD AT HIGHWAY 71 IS CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500407

HAMPSHIRE
Local storm report, May 18, 7:39 AM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
739 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0715 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 N NEWTONVILLE         29.69N  97.20W
05/18/2015                   GONZALES           TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER THE ROADWAY AT INTERSTATE 10 AND THE
            GONZALES FAYETTE COUNTY LINE...EARLIER THERE WAS A SEMI
            THAT SLID OFF THE ROADWAY DUE TO HIGH WATER AND THERE
            WAS A HIGH WATER RESCUE IN GONZALES BUT SPECIFIC DETAILS
            ARE UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500408

SBS
Local storm report, May 18, 7:45 AM CDT, 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
745 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE MULDOON            29.84N  97.04W
05/18/2015  M4.98 INCH       FAYETTE            TX   MESONET

            LCRA GAUGE MEASURED 4.98 IN THE PAST SIX HOURS

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500409

SBS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 17, 7:53 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKarnes18 hr
May 18, 4:17 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXFayette, Gonzales3 hr
May 18, 4:48 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXFayette, Gonzales5 hr
May 18, 5:21 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBastrop, Caldwell, Fayette, Lee3 hr
May 18, 5:27 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXGonzales33 min
May 18, 6:21 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXFayette, Lavaca114 min
May 18, 6:58 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXFayette, Lavaca3 hr
May 18, 8:42 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXDeWitt54 hr
May 18, 9:41 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXFayette, Gonzales109 min
May 18, 6:32 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXLlano43 min
May 18, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXLlano58 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.