Flash Flood Warning 117, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

148 
WGUS74 KEWX 142001
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
301 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

TXC013-029-091-187-209-255-493-142200-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.W.0117.000000T0000Z-150614T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE TX-COMAL TX-HAYS TX-ATASCOSA TX-BEXAR TX-KARNES TX-
WILSON TX-
301 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR
GUADALUPE...COMAL...SOUTH CENTRAL HAYS...SOUTHEASTERN ATASCOSA...
EASTERN BEXAR...KARNES AND WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 258 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN FROM FLORESVILLE TO CHINA GROVE AND FROM MCQUEENEY TO NEW 
BRAUNFELS TO SAN MARCOS. DOPPLER RADAR AND RAIN GAUGES INDICATE UP 
TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING WILL 
CONTINUE. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...SAN MARCOS...SEGUIN...UNIVERSAL CITY...
FLORESVILLE...KENEDY...KARNES CITY...POTH...STOCKDALE...KOSCIUSKO...
CANYON LAKE DAM...SCHERTZ...CIBOLO...LIVE OAK...SELMA...CANYON
LAKE...BULVERDE...GARDEN RIDGE AND ST. HEDWIG.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA. THESE RAIN ARE FALLING OVER AREAS THAT RECEIVED UP TO 9 
INCHES OF RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING. RUNOFF WILL BE MORE RAPID. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

DO NOT ENTER OR CROSS FLOWING WATER OR WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. 

STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME
UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE.

&&

LAT...LON 2993 9839 2986 9789 2968 9775 2964 9764
      2935 9786 2932 9782 2912 9775 2868 9779
      2868 9784 2872 9792 2869 9801 2879 9810
      2865 9829

$$

CP

765 
WGUS74 KEWX 142101
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
401 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

TXC013-142108-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FF.W.0117.000000T0000Z-150614T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ATASCOSA TX-
401 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN ATASCOSA COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE
A THREAT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ALL ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 2993 9839 2986 9789 2968 9775 2964 9764
      2935 9786 2931 9782 2924 9779 2912 9775
      2900 9776 2889 9819 2902 9831

$$

TXC029-091-187-209-255-493-142200-
/O.CON.KEWX.FF.W.0117.000000T0000Z-150614T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE TX-COMAL TX-HAYS TX-BEXAR TX-KARNES TX-WILSON TX-
401 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR
GUADALUPE...COMAL...SOUTH CENTRAL HAYS...EASTERN BEXAR...NORTHWESTERN
KARNES AND WILSON COUNTIES...

AT 358 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING 
HEAVY RAIN SAN MARCOS TO GERONIMO TO NEW BERLIN AND FROM SUTHERLAND 
SPRINGS TO NEAR GILLETT. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY 
FALLEN. FLASH FLOODING WILL CONTINUE.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
SAN ANTONIO...NEW BRAUNFELS...SAN MARCOS...SEGUIN...UNIVERSAL CITY...
FLORESVILLE...POTH...STOCKDALE...KOSCIUSKO...CANYON LAKE DAM...
SCHERTZ...CIBOLO...LIVE OAK...SELMA...CANYON LAKE...BULVERDE...GARDEN
RIDGE...ST. HEDWIG...ELMENDORF AND CHINA GROVE.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA. THIS WILL CAUSE MORE RAPID RUNOFF DUE TO HEAVY RAINS 
EARLIER TODAY...ESPECIALLY IN GUADALUPE COUNTY AND ALONG GERONIMO 
CREEK AND THE GUADALUPE RIVER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

DO NOT ENTER OR CROSS FLOWING WATER OR WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. 

STAY AWAY OR BE SWEPT AWAY. RIVER BANKS AND CULVERTS CAN BECOME
UNSTABLE AND UNSAFE.

&&

LAT...LON 2993 9839 2986 9789 2968 9775 2964 9764
      2935 9786 2931 9782 2924 9779 2912 9775
      2900 9776 2889 9819 2902 9831

$$

CP

545 
WGUS74 KEWX 142203
FFSEWX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
503 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

TXC029-091-187-209-255-493-142212-
/O.EXP.KEWX.FF.W.0117.000000T0000Z-150614T2200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GUADALUPE TX-COMAL TX-HAYS TX-BEXAR TX-KARNES TX-WILSON TX-
503 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR GUADALUPE...COMAL...SOUTH CENTRAL
HAYS...EASTERN BEXAR...NORTHWESTERN KARNES AND WILSON COUNTIES HAS
EXPIRED...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED 
TO POSE A THREAT. HOWEVER...SOME SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS WERE OUT 
OF BANKS OR IN FLOOD DUE TO EARLIER HEAVY RAINS. AN URBAN AND SMALL 
STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM CDT. 

LAT...LON 2993 9839 2986 9789 2968 9775 2964 9764
      2935 9786 2931 9782 2924 9779 2912 9775
      2900 9776 2889 9819 2902 9831

$$

CP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1240 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

.AVIATION...
WHILE THE MORNING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE PUSHED OFF TO THE
EAST AND WEAKENED MORE SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS
THE COASTAL PLAINS AND AROUND BEXAR COUNTY.

FOR AUS...MVFR CONDITIONS NOW WILL RISE TO VFR BY MID AFTERNOON.
SOME OF THE ACTIVITY AROUND SAN ANTONIO WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD SO
HAVE INCLUDED VCTS AT AUS FROM 21Z TO 00Z WHEN HIGH RESOLUTION
MODELS SUGGEST ACTIVITY SHOULD START TO PUSH EASTWARD. OVERNIGHT
CIGS/VISBY DETERIORATES TO MVFR AGAIN BY 05Z AND DOWN TO IFR FOR
THE MORNING HOURS BEGINNING AT 09Z. MORE ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST FOR TOMORROW SO HAVE COVERED THIS WITH
A VCSH/VCTS FOR THE DAY ON MONDAY.

FOR SAT/SSF...THUNDERSTORMS ARE ON GOING IN AND AROUND THE
TERMINALS CURRENTLY (1730Z). THESE WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON HOURS SO HAVE INCLUDED BOTH VCTS WITH TEMPO TSRA AT BOTH
TERMINALS. ACTIVITY SHOULD START TO PUSH EASTWARD AND WEAKEN
BETWEEN 21Z AND 00Z WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR. SAT/SSF WILL
SEE SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO AUS TONIGHT...DROPPING DOWN TO IFR BY
MORNING WITH MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON.

AT DRT...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
WITH A DRY FORECAST. INTERMITTENT MVFR IS POSSIBLE...AS WE HAVE
SEEN THIS MORNING BUT THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD BE VERY BRIEF.
MORE PERSISTENT MVFR CIGS WILL DEVELOP BY 10Z AND LAST THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS MONDAY. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN BY 17Z MONDAY
WITH A CONTINUED DRY WEATHER EXPECTED.

TAFS WILL BE UPDATED AS NEEDED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BASED ON THE
DEVELOPMENT AND MOVEMENT OF THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
IN THIS MOIST AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1045 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015/

UPDATE...DEEP MOISTURE FLUX CONVERGENCE ACROSS THE EASTERN
CWA EARLIER THIS MORNING LED TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF BANDS OF HEAVY
STREAMER SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST OF I-35/I-37.
TRENDS OVER THE PAST HOUR OR TWO IN THE CONVECTION NORTH OF I-10
IN THIS AREA HAVE BEEN DOWN AS CONVERGENCE WEAKENS AND FORCING
LIFTS NORTHEAST. BETWEEN 4-9 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN ACROSS
CENTRAL GUADALUPE COUNTY...WITH ONGOING FLASH FLOOD ISSUES ALONG
GERONIMO CREEK FEEDING INTO THE GUADALUPE RIVER.

TRENDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON ARE GOING TO FAVOR RE-DEVELOPMENT OF SCATTERED TO
POSSIBLY NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE SOUTH AND WEST OF THIS
EARLY MORNING RAINFALL...AS BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER ALLOW FOR
DE-STABILIZATION OF A VERY MOIST AIRMASS. 12Z CRP SOUNDING
INDICATED AN UNSTABLE PROFILE ALONG WITH PWATS NOW NEAR 2 INCHES.
ALREADY SEEING EVIDENCE OF RE-DEVELOPMENT THIS OCCURRING NEAR A
SAN ANTONIO/BANDERA TO BEEVILLE LINE. 14Z RUN OF HRRR INITIALIZED
CLOSER THAN MANY OF THE OTHER HI RESOLUTION MODELS...AND SHOULD
THIS VERIFY THE ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT SOUTH AND WEST COULD MOVE
BACK OVER AREAS TO THE NORTHEAST THAT RECEIVED HEAVY RAINFALL
THIS MORNING. FOR THIS REASON...AND OUT OF ABUNDANCE OF
CAUTION...WILL MAINTAIN THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONFIGURATION AS IS
FOR NOW AND RE-EVALUATE ADDITION OR REMOVAL OF COUNTIES IN THE
AFTERNOON PACKAGE AS TRENDS DEVELOP.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 717 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015/

AVIATION.../12Z TAF CYCLE/

MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS ONGOING ALONG WITH SHRA AND SCT TSRA FOR KAUS
WITH VCSH FOR KSAT/KSSF. AN AIRPORT WEATHER WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
KAUS THROUGH 815AM LOCAL TIME FOR LIGHTNING IN THE VICINITY.
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY IS LIKELY NEAR KSAT/KSSF THROUGH THE MORNING
HOURS. A LULL IN ACTIVITY SHOULD OCCUR THROUGH THE LATE MORNING
HOURS BUT NEW DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND WAS
HANDLED WITH A TEMPO GROUP IN ALL TAFS EXCEPT FOR KDRT. TSRA/SHRA
COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES AND MAY REDUCE VISIBILITY QUICKLY. MOST
ACTIVITY WILL DISSIPATE THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. A NEW ROUND OF
SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY EARLY MONDAY MORNING APPROACHING KAUS FROM THE
EAST. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH AROUND 10-15 KT WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 20 KT
AT TIMES.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 415 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

MAIN HIGHLIGHTS ARE THE ONGOING CONVECTION THIS MORNING THAT HAS
LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND EXPECTED ADDITIONAL
SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON.

A SEMI-ORGANIZED TSTORM LINE CURRENTLY EXTENTS FROM KERR ARCING BACK
SOUTHWEST INTO MAVERICK COUNTY ALONG WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN AREAS. THE SOUTHERN FLANK OF THIS LINE IS
ORIENTED MORE EAST TO WEST AND HAS A SLOWER FORWARD MOTION ALLOWING
FOR HIGHER RAINFALL RATES LEADING TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.
HOURLY RAINFALL RATES NEAR 1-2" ARE OCCURRING OVER UVALDE...ZAVALA
AND MAVERICK THAT WILL CONTINUE TO COMPOUND ANY LOCAL FLOODING
ISSUES. THIS LINE SHOULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH 5-6AM
WITH OVERALL RAINFALL RATES DECREASING. THE SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG
AND EAST OF US HWY 281 WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT AND INTO
THE MORNING HOURS AS THE LOW-LVL JET OF 35-40 KT CONTINUES PER KEWX
VAD WIND PROFILE.

BY 6-9AM...FEEL THE LINE OUT WEST WILL HAVE MOSTLY DISSIPATED BUT
WILL LEAVE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY TO BE A LATER FOCUSING TRIGGER FOR
MORE ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON. ALSO AT THIS TIME...THE SCT ACTIVITY
THAT IS NOW ON GOING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AND REGENERATE INTO THE
AFTERNOON AS HEATING TAKES PLACE. WITH LITTLE TO NO CIN...SHALLOW
SHOWERS SHOULD BE QUITE NUMEROUS THIS AFTN. ONCE OUTFLOWS BEGIN TO
PROPAGATE LIKE YESTERDAY...FEEL THESE COLLISIONS AND THE POSSIBLE
LARGER OUTFLOW FROM THE MAIN LINE COULD AID IN PULSE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS. MOST SHOULD STAY SUB-SEVERE WITH PROGGED 2000 J/KG AND
WEAK SHEAR /20KT 0-6 KM/ BUT SOME WIND GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH AND SMALL
HAIL COULD BE POSSIBLE. LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED FOR ALSO AND WILL BE MENTIONED IN THE HWO. ANOTHER MORE
POTENT ROUND OF TSTORMS SHOULD AGAIN FIRE OVER THE BIG BEND AND WEST
TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AND WILL NEED TO MONITOR IF
THE SOUTHERN FRINGE MAKES IT INTO VAL VERDE BUT ACTIVITY SHOULD BE
MORE LIMITED THAN CURRENT CONDITIONS THIS TIME TOMORROW.

FOR MONDAY...SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING IN THE MORNING
FOR EASTERN AREAS AS THE FIRST OUTER BANDS OF A TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE INFLUENCE THE REGION. EXPECT ADDITIONAL SCATTERED
SHOWERS TO MOVE INLAND WITH GREATEST SHOWER FOCUS WEST OF US HWY 83
AND ESPECIALLY ALONG AND EAST OF I-35. OVERALL TOTALS THROUGH MONDAY
SHOULD REMAIN BETWEEN 1-2 INCHES IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITH SOME AREAS
RECEIVING LESS.

LONG TERM (TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...

POTENTIALLY MODERATE TO HIGH IMPACTS FROM FLASH AND RIVER FLOODING
COULD BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST
OF I-35...ESPECIALLY FOR EASTERN COUNTIES AS A POSSIBLE TROPICAL
DISTURBANCE PASSES CLOSE TO THE REGION. RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD RANGE
FROM 2-4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 5-6 INCHES DURING THIS
TIME FRAME. THIS WILL BE HIGHLIGHTED IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.

GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MODELS ALL AGREE ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF A WEAK
TROPICAL SYSTEM TRACKING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GULF AND TOWARDS THE
TEXAS COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK. AT THIS POINT...IT IS NOT EXPECTED THAT
A STRONG CYCLONE GIVEN THE INTENSITY GUIDANCE ENVELOPE AND OVERALL
SHEAR SET-UP. THERE IS MUCH UNCERTAINTY IN THE EVOLUTION BUT THE
OVERALL HAZARDS WILL BE DISCUSSED GIVEN THE MOST LIKELY POSSIBILITY.
THE OP GFS IS MORE WEST TOWARDS BAFFIN BAY WITH EC TOWARDS MATAGORDA
BAY AND NAM FARTHER WEST TOWARDS HOUSTON. GFS ENSEMBLE TRACKS FAVOR
MORE OF AN EC SOLUTION AND FEEL THIS IS THE BEST CONCENSUS AS IT
TRACKS INLAND OVER FAR EASTERN ZONES. THIS POSSIBLE TRACK WOULD
FAVOR HIGHER RAINFALL AMOUNTS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTER OF
CIRCULATION. MOST GUIDANCE AGREES THAT HIGHEST TOTALS WILL LIKELY
FALL EAST OF LAVACA/FAYETTE COUNTIES TOWARDS HOUSTON. HOWEVER, FAR
EAST ZONES WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST RISK FOR MULTIPLE PERIODS OF HEAVY
RAIN. WITH THE SURFACE LOW COMING ASHORE NEAR MID-DAY TUESDAY...THIS
WILL BE THE BEGINNING WINDOW FOR THESE HEAVY RAIN PERIODS TO OCCUR.
OVERNIGHT TUESDAY AND THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE TIME FRAME WITH
HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD OF IMPACT WEATHER FOR EASTERN ZONES AS HEAVY RAIN
COULD SET UP OVER THIS AREA. WIDESPREAD 2-4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED 6
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. THESE VALUES WILL GREATLY DEPEND ON THE
SURFACE LOW TRACK AND ANY DEVIATION LEFT/WEST COULD RESULT IN MORE
RAINFALL. GLOBAL MODELS DO INDICATE SUBSTANTIAL (HIGHER THAN AMOUNTS
MENTIONED ABOVE) AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL JUST EAST OF OUR AREA AND
TRENDS WILL NEED TO MONITORED CLOSELY.

THE H5 PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO FEATURE A TROUGH WEAKNESS CENTERED
BETWEEN THE SUBTROPICAL HIGHS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK THAT WILL
ALLOW FOR DIURNAL ACTIVITY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. BY THE
WEEKEND...SLIGHTLY STRONGER RIDGING SHOULD SHIFT OVER THE REGION AND
REDUCE RAIN CHANCE TO ONLY 20-30% DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              73  88  73  86  73 /  20  60  40  60  50
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  72  87  72  86  73 /  20  60  40  60  50
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73  89  73  88  73 /  20  60  40  60  50
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            72  87  71  85  72 /  20  50  30  60  40
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           75  92  75  93  75 /  30  20  20  20  20
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        73  87  72  85  72 /  20  60  40  60  50
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             74  90  74  90  74 /  20  40  20  40  40
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        72  88  73  86  72 /  20  60  40  60  50
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   74  88  74  85  74 /  30  70  40  80  70
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       74  89  75  88  75 /  20  50  30  50  40
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           74  90  75  90  74 /  20  50  30  50  40

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:
ATASCOSA...BASTROP...BEXAR...BLANCO...BURNET...CALDWELL...COMAL...
DE WITT...FAYETTE...GONZALES...GUADALUPE...HAYS...KARNES...
KENDALL...LAVACA...LEE...TRAVIS...WILLIAMSON...WILSON.

&&

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...TREADWAY
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...76
PUBLIC SERVICE/DATA COLLECTION...30

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
429 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-150930-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
429 AM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF HEAVY DOWNPOURS
WILL BE LIKELY THROUGHOUT THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON HOURS. THESE
HEAVY DOWNPOURS COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. SOME STORMS
THIS AFTERNOON COULD BECOME STRONG WITH LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS OF 40
TO 50 MPH AND SMALL HAIL. SOME STRONGER STORMS WILL ALSO DEVELOP
ACROSS WEST TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THESE COULD MOVE INTO
VAL VERDE COUNTY DURING THE EARLY TO MID EVENING HOURS. STORM
STRENGTH WILL WANE BY LATE EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GULF MOISTURE WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AND
THROUGH MID WEEK AS A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO MOVES NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE MID OR UPPER TEXAS
COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE PRIOR TO MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE MID OR UPPER TEXAS
COAST EARLY TO MID-DAY TUESDAY. REGARDLESS...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THE GREATEST
THREAT WILL BE ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF HIGHWAY 183 OR A LINE FROM
NORTHWEST OF AUSTIN TO CUERO. WIDESPREAD 2-4 INCHES WITH LOCALIZED
6 INCHES COULD BE POSSIBLE IN THE GREATEST THREAT AREA. STAY TUNED
TO FUTURE FORECASTS AS THIS THREAT AREA MAY SHIFT AS DETAILS ON
THIS SYSTEM BECOME MORE CLEAR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

ALLEN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
109 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1245 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NE SMILEY             29.29N  97.62W
06/14/2015                   GONZALES           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROAD CLOSED ON FM108 AT SANDIES CREEK DUE WATER OVER
            THE ROADWAY

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500645

SBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
119 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0104 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SE LEON VALLEY        29.47N  98.59W
06/14/2015  M2.25 INCH       BEXAR              TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            RAIN FELL BETWEEN 1145AM AND 100PM

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500646

SBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
127 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NNE SEA WORLD         29.49N  98.69W
06/14/2015                   BEXAR              TX   PUBLIC

            FLOODED INTERSECTION AT LES HARRISON DRIVE AND HIDDEN
            FIELD...ALSO THERE ARE OTHER NUMEROUS ROADS IN THIS AREA
            BETWEEN 1604 AND 410 THAT ARE FLOODED

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500647

SBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
147 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S SAN ANTONIO         29.40N  98.49W
06/14/2015                   BEXAR              TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            WATER RESCUE AT S. ST. MARYS STREET AND JACOBS
            STREET...THERE ARE ALSO SEVERAL OTEHR WATER RESCUES
            ONGOING ACROSS THE SAN ANTONIO METRO AREA

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500648

SBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
149 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0108 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 S SAN ANTONIO         29.40N  98.49W
06/14/2015                   BEXAR              TX   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            WATER RESCUE AT S. ST. MARYS STREET AND JACOBS
            STREET...THERE ARE ALSO SEVERAL OTHER WATER RESCUES
            ONGOING ACROSS THE SAN ANTONIO METRO AREA

&&

CORRECTED REMARKS

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500648

SBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
203 PM CDT SUN JUN 14 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     HEAVY RAIN       BALCONES HEIGHTS        29.49N  98.55W
06/14/2015  M4.00 INCH       BEXAR              TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            FOUR INCHES OF RAIN FELL BETWEEN 1030AM AND 1PM

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1500649

SBS