Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 95, NWS Kansas City, MO

June 11, 2015Buchanan County, Missouri; Atchison County, Kansas

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 11, 2015, 7:24 PM CDT for Buchanan County, Missouri; Atchison County, Kansas. It was in force for 36 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 11, 2015, 7:24 PM CDT (00:24 UTC)
Expired: Jun 11, 2015, 8:00 PM CDT
In force: 36 min
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Atchison County, KS, Buchanan County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 11, 7:38 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	4 S Lancaster, KS	TWO BARNS HEAVILY DAMAGED ALONG 260TH ROAD.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 14 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 11, 5:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 81 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 938 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -66 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1811 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 219 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 314 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 10.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

455 
WUUS53 KEAX 120024
SVREAX
KSC005-MOC021-120100-
/O.NEW.KEAX.SV.W.0095.150612T0024Z-150612T0100Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
724 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN ATCHISON COUNTY IN NORTHEAST KANSAS...
  SOUTHWESTERN BUCHANAN COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT

* AT 721 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR EFFINGHAM...
  AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
           ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ATCHISON...LANCASTER...RUSHVILLE...CUMMINGS...LEWIS AND CLARK VI
  AND DE KALB.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3954 9541 3965 9512 3962 9510 3962 9506
      3967 9503 3968 9498 3971 9497 3971 9495
      3955 9484 3953 9492 3953 9510 3950 9505
      3941 9535
TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 242DEG 36KT 3951 9530

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

MJ

2 follow-up statements

275 
WWUS53 KEAX 120045
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
745 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

KSC005-MOC021-120100-
/O.CON.KEAX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-150612T0100Z/
ATCHISON KS-BUCHANAN MO-
745 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN
BUCHANAN AND EASTERN ATCHISON COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 742 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR ATCHISON...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. A SECOND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS NOTED 
JUST NORTH OF NORTONVILLE AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RUSHVILLE...LEWIS AND CLARK VI AND DE KALB.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING
KILLS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3954 9541 3965 9512 3962 9510 3962 9506
      3967 9503 3968 9498 3971 9497 3971 9495
      3955 9484 3953 9492 3953 9510 3950 9505
      3941 9535
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 246DEG 30KT 3959 9509

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

MJ

500 
WWUS53 KEAX 120058
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
758 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

KSC005-MOC021-120108-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0095.000000T0000Z-150612T0100Z/
ATCHISON KS-BUCHANAN MO-
758 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN BUCHANAN AND
EASTERN ATCHISON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 800 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
HOWEVER...SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE 
WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

IN ADDITION...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

LAT...LON 3954 9541 3965 9512 3962 9510 3962 9506
      3967 9503 3968 9498 3971 9497 3971 9495
      3955 9484 3953 9492 3953 9510 3950 9505
      3941 9535
TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 246DEG 30KT 3964 9495

$$

MJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 11, 6:26 PM CDT, 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 11, 6:26 PM CDT, 58 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
626 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 203 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

An active afternoon and evening is starting to shape up for strong
to severe thunderstorms that should affect most of the area. At this
time we have a tornado watch out until 02z where supercells are
expected to develop ahead of a surface low and along a warm front
across our far northwestern counties. Shear and instability
parameters favor very large hail and a possible tornado or two. The
surface low should track across southern IA this evening with an
attended cold front moving into the CWA from the northwest.
Additional storms are anticipated to develop along the cold front and
those too are expected to be strong to severe. Would not be surprised
to see a severe watch issued to handle those storms. Latest NPW,
especially the HRRR, bring the line of storms into the KC Metro area
between 6 to 9 pm. Large hail, strong wind gusts, and locally heavy
rain will be the concerns with the line. Also, we have many of our
northern counties under a flash flood watch through 12z tomorrow
given the saturated soils and the expected convection. Lastly a
portion of a MCS may work in from the southwest very late tonight
along and north of the cold front. At this time, if the MCS develops,
our southeast counties would get brushed by it.

The rest of the forecast period will remain unsettled and on the wet
side of things as multiple disturbances track across the region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening)
Issued at 617 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

VFR conditions at the terminals will give way to MVFR and possibly
IFR conditions this evening as a modest front and associated
thunderstorms moves through. Latest TEMPO groups in the TAFs
highlight the best timing for the storms, though vicinity activity
might bubble up ahead of and behind the timed front. Gusty surface
winds will veer to the southwest and finally the northwest behind the
front late tonight as they bring in MVFR clouds. Confidence in the
height of the cloud deck and how long it will hang around though is
low. Otherwise, threat of storms Friday afternoon is sufficiently
scattered enough that we have left any mention out of the terminals
for now.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Friday morning FOR KSZ102.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Friday morning FOR MOZ001>008-011>017.

&&

DISCUSSION...Pietrycha
AVIATION...Cutter

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 11, 5:35 AM CDT, 13 hours 49 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
535 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-121045-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
535 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP WITH STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...CAUSING LOCALIZED
FLOODING CONCERNS...GUSTY TO DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING...AND A SLIGHT RISK FOR TORNADO
DEVELOPMENT.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

 MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
NEXT WEEK WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL VERY POSSIBLE OVER THE
WEEKEND.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 11, 6:02 PM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
602 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W SHERIDAN            40.52N 94.62W
06/11/2015                   WORTH              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER FLOWING OVER HWY 246 JUST WEST OF SHERIDAN.

&&

PMURRAY

Local storm report, Jun 11, 6:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
603 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     TSTM WND DMG     GRANT CITY              40.49N 94.41W
06/11/2015                   WORTH              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            MULTIPLE TREE LIMBS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES IN DIAMETER DOWN
            ACROSS CITY. POWER OUT ACROSS PORTIONS OF CITY.

&&

PMURRAY

Local storm report, Jun 11, 6:16 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
616 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0607 PM     TSTM WND GST     HATFIELD                40.53N 94.15W
06/11/2015  E60 MPH          HARRISON           MO   PUBLIC

&&

LAFLIN

Local storm report, Jun 11, 6:37 PM CDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
637 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0614 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 ENE OREGON            40.00N 95.06W
06/11/2015                   HOLT               MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            NUMEROUS ACCIDENTS AND OVERTURNED TRACTOR TRAILER ALONG
            INTERSTATE 29. TIME AND LOCATION ESTIMATED.

&&

PMURRAY

Local storm report, Jun 11, 6:45 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
645 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0619 PM     HAIL             FILLMORE                40.03N 94.97W
06/11/2015  E0.75 INCH       ANDREW             MO   911 CALL CENTER

            TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

&&

PMURRAY

Local storm report, Jun 11, 7:19 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
719 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     HAIL             MERCER                  40.51N 93.53W
06/11/2015  E0.88 INCH       MERCER             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

0705 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 S PRINCETON           40.35N 93.59W
06/11/2015                   MERCER             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER OUTAGES

&&

LAFLIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 11, 7:11 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb and 2 more	6 hr
Jun 11, 7:14 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EAX	Adair, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer, Putnam, Schuyler and 1 more	6 hr
Jun 11, 7:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan, DeKalb	43 min
Jun 11, 7:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Putnam, Sullivan	43 min
Jun 11, 7:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Caldwell, Daviess, DeKalb, Grundy, Livingston	48 min
Jun 11, 7:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Adair, Putnam, Schuyler, Sullivan	51 min
Jun 11, 8:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Grundy, Linn, Livingston, Sullivan	38 min
Jun 11, 8:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Buchanan	41 min
Jun 11, 8:40 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Buchanan, Platte	4 hr
Jun 11, 8:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Adair, Macon, Schuyler	50 min
Jun 11, 8:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Buchanan, Clinton, DeKalb, Platte	41 min
Jun 11, 9:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Caldwell, Daviess, Grundy, Livingston	38 min
Jun 11, 9:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb	29 min
Jun 11, 9:34 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Daviess, Gentry	55 hr
Jun 11, 9:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Caldwell, Carroll, Livingston	38 min
Jun 11, 9:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Linn, Livingston, Sullivan	14 min
Jun 11, 10:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Carroll, Chariton, Linn, Livingston, Macon	40 min
Jun 11, 10:28 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EAX	Andrew, Holt	3 hr
Jun 11, 10:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Chariton, Macon, Randolph	30 min
Jun 11, 10:51 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	EAX	Atchison, Holt, Nodaway	7 hr
Jun 11, 11:29 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	EAX	Adair, Caldwell, Chariton, Daviess, Grundy, Linn and 3 more	6 hr
Jun 12, 12:42 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	EAX	Andrew, Atchison, Holt, Nodaway	10 hr
Jun 12, 1:09 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Sullivan	36 min
Jun 12, 8:36 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Daviess, Livingston	56 hr
Jun 12, 1:50 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Atchison, Leavenworth	48 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2015 Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.