Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 103, NWS Kansas City, MO

June 11, 20154 counties in Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 11, 2015, 9:22 PM CDT for 4 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 38 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 11, 2015, 9:22 PM CDT (02:22 UTC)
Expired: Jun 11, 2015, 10:00 PM CDT
In force: 38 min
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Caldwell County, MO, Daviess County, MO, Grundy County, MO, Livingston County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:25 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 11, 5:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 00:00Z, 2.4 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 938 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -66 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1811 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 219 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 314 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.2
Supercell composite: 10.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

455 
WUUS53 KEAX 120222
SVREAX
MOC025-061-079-117-120300-
/O.NEW.KEAX.SV.W.0103.150612T0222Z-150612T0300Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
922 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN CALDWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  SOUTHEASTERN DAVIESS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  SOUTHERN GRUNDY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT

* AT 920 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  BRECKENRIDGE...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
           ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CHILLICOTHE...BRECKENRIDGE...UTICA...WHEELING...LOCK SPRINGS...
  MOORESVILLE...SPRING HILL...CHULA AND LAREDO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3970 9336 3970 9335 3969 9393 3990 9395
      4008 9337
TIME...MOT...LOC 0222Z 254DEG 31KT 3981 9384

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

LAFLIN

1 follow-up statement

059 
WWUS53 KEAX 120256
SVSEAX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
956 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

MOC025-061-079-117-120306-
/O.EXP.KEAX.SV.W.0103.000000T0000Z-150612T0300Z/
CALDWELL MO-DAVIESS MO-GRUNDY MO-LIVINGSTON MO-
956 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR LIVINGSTON...SOUTHERN
GRUNDY...SOUTHEASTERN DAVIESS AND NORTHEASTERN CALDWELL COUNTIES WILL
EXPIRE AT 1000 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA. HOWEVER...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR 
EXTREME SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF LIVINGSTON COUNTY.

LAT...LON 3970 9336 3970 9335 3969 9393 3990 9395
      4008 9337
TIME...MOT...LOC 0256Z 254DEG 31KT 3989 9347

$$

LAFLIN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 11, 6:26 PM CDT, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 11, 6:26 PM CDT, 2 hours 56 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
626 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 203 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

An active afternoon and evening is starting to shape up for strong
to severe thunderstorms that should affect most of the area. At this
time we have a tornado watch out until 02z where supercells are
expected to develop ahead of a surface low and along a warm front
across our far northwestern counties. Shear and instability
parameters favor very large hail and a possible tornado or two. The
surface low should track across southern IA this evening with an
attended cold front moving into the CWA from the northwest.
Additional storms are anticipated to develop along the cold front and
those too are expected to be strong to severe. Would not be surprised
to see a severe watch issued to handle those storms. Latest NPW,
especially the HRRR, bring the line of storms into the KC Metro area
between 6 to 9 pm. Large hail, strong wind gusts, and locally heavy
rain will be the concerns with the line. Also, we have many of our
northern counties under a flash flood watch through 12z tomorrow
given the saturated soils and the expected convection. Lastly a
portion of a MCS may work in from the southwest very late tonight
along and north of the cold front. At this time, if the MCS develops,
our southeast counties would get brushed by it.

The rest of the forecast period will remain unsettled and on the wet
side of things as multiple disturbances track across the region.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Friday Evening)
Issued at 617 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

VFR conditions at the terminals will give way to MVFR and possibly
IFR conditions this evening as a modest front and associated
thunderstorms moves through. Latest TEMPO groups in the TAFs
highlight the best timing for the storms, though vicinity activity
might bubble up ahead of and behind the timed front. Gusty surface
winds will veer to the southwest and finally the northwest behind the
front late tonight as they bring in MVFR clouds. Confidence in the
height of the cloud deck and how long it will hang around though is
low. Otherwise, threat of storms Friday afternoon is sufficiently
scattered enough that we have left any mention out of the terminals
for now.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Friday morning FOR KSZ102.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH through Friday morning FOR MOZ001>008-011>017.

&&

DISCUSSION...Pietrycha
AVIATION...Cutter

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 11, 5:35 AM CDT, 15 hours 47 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
535 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-121045-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
535 AM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP WITH STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS POSSIBLE. THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THE STRONGEST
STORMS WILL BE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL...CAUSING LOCALIZED
FLOODING CONCERNS...GUSTY TO DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...DANGEROUS
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING...AND A SLIGHT RISK FOR TORNADO
DEVELOPMENT.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

 MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
NEXT WEEK WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL VERY POSSIBLE OVER THE
WEEKEND.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 11, 8:50 PM CDT, 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
850 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 PM     TSTM WND GST     KIRKSVILLE              40.19N 92.58W
06/11/2015  E60 MPH          ADAIR              MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            55 MPH SUSTAINED, FEW GUSTS TO 60 MPH WITH 2 - 4 LIMBS
            DOWN.

&&

AEP

Local storm report, Jun 11, 8:55 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
855 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0852 PM     TSTM WND DMG     KIRKSVILLE              40.19N 92.58W
06/11/2015                   ADAIR              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN BLOCKING STREET IN TOWN...LOCATION UNKNOWN.
            NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS BROKEN.

&&

PMURRAY

Local storm report, Jun 11, 9:08 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
908 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0600 PM     FLASH FLOOD      GRANT CITY              40.49N 94.41W
06/11/2015                   WORTH              MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WATER OVERFLOWING DRAINAGES ACROSS GRANT
            CITY...ALLENDALE...WORTH. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

PMURRAY

Local storm report, Jun 11, 9:10 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
910 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     HEAVY RAIN       LANCASTER               39.57N 95.30W
06/11/2015  M1.45 INCH       ATCHISON           KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            FELL IN 45 MINUTES.

&&

PMURRAY

Local storm report, Jun 11, 9:15 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
915 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 PM     FLASH FLOOD      9 NW TRENTON            40.17N 93.74W
06/11/2015                   GRUNDY             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING ON ROUTE A NORTHWEST OF TRENTON.

&&

PMURRAY

Local storm report, Jun 11, 9:18 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
918 PM CDT THU JUN 11 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0857 PM     TSTM WND GST     GOWER                   39.61N 94.59W
06/11/2015  M60.00 MPH       CLINTON            MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

LAFLIN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 11, 7:11 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb and 2 more	6 hr
Jun 11, 7:14 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EAX	Adair, Grundy, Harrison, Mercer, Putnam, Schuyler and 1 more	6 hr
Jun 11, 7:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan, DeKalb	43 min
Jun 11, 7:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Buchanan	36 min
Jun 11, 7:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Putnam, Sullivan	43 min
Jun 11, 7:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Caldwell, Daviess, DeKalb, Grundy, Livingston	48 min
Jun 11, 7:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Adair, Putnam, Schuyler, Sullivan	51 min
Jun 11, 8:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Grundy, Linn, Livingston, Sullivan	38 min
Jun 11, 8:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Buchanan	41 min
Jun 11, 8:40 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Buchanan, Platte	4 hr
Jun 11, 8:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Adair, Macon, Schuyler	50 min
Jun 11, 8:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Buchanan, Clinton, DeKalb, Platte	41 min
Jun 11, 9:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess, DeKalb	29 min
Jun 11, 9:34 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Daviess, Gentry	55 hr
Jun 11, 9:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Caldwell, Carroll, Livingston	38 min
Jun 11, 9:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Linn, Livingston, Sullivan	14 min
Jun 11, 10:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Carroll, Chariton, Linn, Livingston, Macon	40 min
Jun 11, 10:28 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EAX	Andrew, Holt	3 hr
Jun 11, 10:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Chariton, Macon, Randolph	30 min
Jun 11, 10:51 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	EAX	Atchison, Holt, Nodaway	7 hr
Jun 11, 11:29 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	EAX	Adair, Caldwell, Chariton, Daviess, Grundy, Linn and 3 more	6 hr
Jun 12, 12:42 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	EAX	Andrew, Atchison, Holt, Nodaway	10 hr
Jun 12, 1:09 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Sullivan	36 min
Jun 12, 8:36 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Daviess, Livingston	56 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.