Alert archive / Missouri / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 270, NWS Kansas City, MO

July 29, 2015Andrew County, Holt County, Nodaway County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this river flood warning at Jul 29, 2015, 1:40 AM CDT for Andrew County, Holt County, Nodaway County, Missouri. It took effect at Jul 29, 2015, 6:26 AM CDT. It was in force for 45 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 29, 2015, 1:40 AM CDT (06:40 UTC)
In effect from: Jul 29, 2015, 6:26 AM CDT
Expired: Jul 31, 2015, 3:24 AM CDT
In force: 45 hr
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: Minor

Counties Andrew County, MO, Holt County, MO, Nodaway County, MO

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 148 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Nodaway River near Burlington Junction (BRLM7).

Action stage: 18 ft
Minor stage: 23 ft
Moderate stage: 28 ft
Major stage: 35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 06817500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

627 
WGUS43 KEAX 290640
FLWEAX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED          
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
140 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015
  

...The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a 
flood warning for the following rivers in Missouri...

  Nodaway River near Burlington Junction affecting Andrew...Holt and 
  Nodaway Counties.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flowing water. Nearly half of all flood 
fatalities are vehicle related. As little as 6 inches of water may 
cause you to lose control of your vehicle. Two feet of water will 
carry most vehicles away.This product along with additional weather 
and stream information is available at www.weather.gov/kc/.

&&

MOC003-087-147-300640-
/O.NEW.KEAX.FL.W.0270.150729T1126Z-150731T0824Z/
/BRLM7.1.ER.150729T1126Z.150729T1800Z.150730T0824Z.UU/
140 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

The National Weather Service in Pleasant Hill Mo has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Nodaway River near Burlington Junction.
* from this morning to late Thursday night.
* At 12:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage early this morning and continue to 
  rise to near 25.2 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below
  flood stage by Thursday morning.
* At 25.0 feet...Fifty-thousand acres of farmland are flooded.
* At 24.4 feet...Twenty-three thousand acres of farmland are flooded.
* At 23.0 feet...The river begins to flood farm fields.

&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Nodaway River
  Burlington Jun  23    8.9   Wed 01 AM   25.2 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4058 9507 4058 9500 4018 9503 4018 9512 4044 9512

  

$$

1 follow-up statement

314 
WGUS83 KEAX 291624
FLSEAX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 
1124 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015
   

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Missouri...

  Nodaway River near Burlington Junction affecting Andrew...Holt and 
  Nodaway Counties.

&&

MOC003-087-147-291654-
/O.CAN.KEAX.FL.W.0270.000000T0000Z-150729T1624Z/
/BRLM7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
1124 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Nodaway River near Burlington Junction.
* At 10:45 AM Wednesday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 20.9 feet. The 
  river will continue to fall to 14.6 feet by Thursday morning.


&& 
                       Latest                   
Location          FS   Stage  Day/Time    Forecast

Nodaway River
  Burlington Jun  23   20.2   Wed 11 AM   20.6 this afternoon
     
&&
  
LAT...LON 4058 9507 4058 9500 4018 9503 4018 9512 4044 9512

  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 28, 11:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 28, 11:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 10 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1130 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 349 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

A frontal boundary extending from central Minnesota southwest into
central Kansas is poised to move into forecast area tonight. In
advance of this boundary another hot day was noted across the area
with air temperatures well into the 90s and heat index values in
excess of 105 at most locations.

An strong upper level low over the northern Plains should translate east
northeast into southern Canada tonight and tomorrow pushing a cold
front through the forecast area. On-going convection in Iowa
together with new development along the boundary should sag into
northern Missouri later this evening. Given high precipitable water
values (at or above 2 inches) and the antecedent soil conditions over
north central and northeast Missouri feel flash flood watch is
warranted. Models do seem fairly progressive with the boundary once
it begins to move south so greatest threat for heavy rain should be
confined to the late evening/overnight hours. Some severe storms are
also possible over northern Missouri as boundary provides focusing
mechanism for decent instability already in place. Further south and
west the threat for organized convection looks lower as better upper
dynamics pull into the Great Lakes region.

Frontal boundary should push through the area by tomorrow morning
providing for drier conditions and cooler temperatures. Afternoon
temperatures should be about 10 degrees cooler tomorrow than today
as surface high pressure settles into the region.

For the remainder of the week, the combination of building upper
level northwest flow and surface high pressure should provide for
seasonal temperatures and generally dry conditions.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 349 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

For the extended periods...Saturday through Tuesday... the region
will lie under deep layer northwest flow as the ridge continues its
hold over the western CONUS. As a result temperatures through the
period will be close to normal. At this time precip chances exist
nearly each day but POPs appear low as only low amplitude waves are
expected to move by in the northwest flow.

END

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1126 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

Convection across northern Missouri is not making southern progress
as quickly as anticipated, so have bumped back the timing of arrival
into the terminals. That being said, the chances for the KC terminals
to see thunderstorm activity is are a bit lower than considered
earlier. Same goes for KSTJ, where storms are a bit more likely to
affect the terminals. Due to low confidence of T-storm development at
the terminals, went with VCTS and TEMPO to cover that concern. By or
shortly after sunrise expect T-storms to end with mid level clouds
remaining through the afternoon and evening.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 7 AM CDT Wednesday for MOZ003>008-
     015>017.

&&

SHORT TERM...Mitchell
LONG TERM...Pietrycha
AVIATION...Leighton

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 28, 5:20 AM CDT, 20 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
520 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-291030-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
520 AM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 HAZARDOUS HEAT THIS AFTERNOON WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 105 TO 110.

 A FEW STORMS TONIGHT MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS...HAIL AND LOCALLY
 HEAVY RAINFALL.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

 NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 28, 10:15 PM CDT, 3 hours 25 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1015 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

MOZ007-008-290400-
PUTNAM MO-SCHUYLER MO-
1015 PM CDT TUE JUL 28 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SCHUYLER AND EASTERN PUTNAM
COUNTIES UNTIL 1100 PM CDT...

AT 1015 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES EAST OF LAKE
SUNDOWN TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CENTERVILLE TO 11 MILES NORTH OF
UNIONVILLE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...QUEEN CITY...GREENTOP...DOWNING...
GLENWOOD...WORTHINGTON AND LIVONIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4035 9235 4034 9285 4038 9286 4039 9291
      4058 9314 4060 9235
TIME...MOT...LOC 0315Z 311DEG 27KT 4080 9258 4066 9274 4064 9305

CDB

Special weather statement, Jul 29, 12:38 AM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1238 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

MOZ007-008-016-290630-
PUTNAM MO-SULLIVAN MO-SCHUYLER MO-
1238 AM CDT WED JUL 29 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN SULLIVAN...SCHUYLER
AND EASTERN PUTNAM COUNTIES UNTIL 130 AM CDT...

AT 1237 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES EAST OF UNIONVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
UNIONVILLE...LANCASTER...QUEEN CITY...GREENTOP...DOWNING...
GLENWOOD...WORTHINGTON AND LIVONIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 4035 9235 4034 9298 4055 9300 4059 9235
TIME...MOT...LOC 0537Z 266DEG 32KT 4044 9287

CDB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 28, 9:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Mercer, Putnam	36 min
Jul 28, 10:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Putnam, Schuyler	45 min
Jul 28, 11:11 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EAX	Nodaway, Worth	6 hr
Jul 28, 11:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Mercer, Putnam, Sullivan	53 min
Jul 29, 12:38 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Schuyler	52 min
Jul 29, 1:21 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EAX	Daviess, Grundy, Linn, Livingston, Mercer, Putnam and 1 more	6 hr
Jul 29, 1:28 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EAX	Andrew, Daviess, DeKalb, Gentry, Harrison	6 hr
Jul 29, 2:36 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Andrew, Nodaway	57 hr
Jul 29, 2:36 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Buchanan	4 days
Jul 29, 2:46 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Daviess, Gentry	57 hr
Jul 29, 2:46 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Linn, Livingston	4 days
Jul 29, 2:46 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Carroll, Chariton, Linn, Livingston	6 days
Jul 29, 2:55 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Atchison, Holt	49 hr
Jul 29, 3:09 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Caldwell, Daviess, Linn, Livingston	6 hr
Jul 29, 5:25 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Daviess, Livingston	3 days
Jul 29, 5:25 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Carroll, Chariton	6 days
Jul 29, 5:25 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Grundy, Livingston	44 hr
Jul 29, 5:46 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Adair, Macon, Putnam, Schuyler	37 hr
Jul 29, 5:46 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Chariton, Macon	3 days
Jul 29, 10:48 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan	62 hr
Jul 29, 10:56 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Platte	6 days
Jul 29, 10:56 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Platte	7 days

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Missouri, 2015 Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.