Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 224, NWS Dodge City, KS

July 19, 2015Lane County, Ness County, Trego County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 19, 2015, 9:59 PM CDT for Lane County, Ness County, Trego County, Kansas. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 19, 2015, 9:59 PM CDT (02:59 UTC)
Expired: Jul 19, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
In force: 61 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Lane County, KS, Ness County, KS, Trego County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 19, 3:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 3.0 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1093 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2581 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 63 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

721 
WUUS53 KDDC 200259
SVRDDC
KSC101-135-195-200400-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0224.150720T0259Z-150720T0400Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
959 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN TREGO COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NESS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...
  EASTERN LANE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1100 PM CDT

* AT 959 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
  EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF UTICA TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF
  BEELER...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  NESS CITY...BAZINE...RANSOM...UTICA...ALAMOTA...BROWNELL...
  BEELER...PENDENNIS...CEDAR BLUFF...ARNOLD AND RIGA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3827 9960 3827 10041 3870 10039 3870 10016
      3882 10015 3894 9963
TIME...MOT...LOC 0259Z 265DEG 28KT 3869 10023 3830 10021 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

UMSCHEID

1 follow-up statement

793 
WWUS53 KDDC 200400
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1100 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

KSC101-135-195-200409-
/O.EXP.KDDC.SV.W.0224.000000T0000Z-150720T0400Z/
TREGO KS-NESS KS-LANE KS-
1100 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN TREGO...NESS AND
EASTERN LANE COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 1100 PM CDT...
            
THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY. THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER
GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 3827 9960 3827 10041 3870 10039 3870 10016
      3882 10015 3894 9963
TIME...MOT...LOC 0357Z 265DEG 28KT 3869 10023 3830 10021 

$$

RUSSELL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 19, 9:47 PM CDT, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 9:47 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
947 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...UPDATE TO SYNOPSIS...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 945 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

WV IMAGERY AND 00Z UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATE A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SITUATED ACROSS THE ARK-LA-TEX REGION WHILE
A WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT PREVAILS ACROSS THE WESTERN
HIGH PLAINS. MEANWHILE, AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS
TRACKING SOUTHEAST OUT OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES INTO THE HIGH
PLAINS OF WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA AND WESTERN NEBRASKA.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS TRAVERSING THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WAS SITUATED ACROSS WESTERN
KANSAS, WITH RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE, PARTICULARLY TO THE
NORTH OF THE FRONT FROM HAYS TO SCOTT CITY. A SURFACE TROUGH WAS
LOCATED ALONG THE OKLAHOMA BORDER THAT SEPARATED SOUTH WINDS AND
WARMER TEMPERATURES FROM SOUTHEAST WINDS AND SLIGHT COOLER
TEMPERATURES AS A RESULT OF UPSLOPE FLOW. THUNDERSTORMS COULD
DEVELOP NEAR NEAR THE SURFACE TROUGH IN THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
AND PROPAGATE TO THE EAST OR NORTHEAST PER HRRR. OTHER MUCH LARGER
BATCHES OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE MAJOR
TERRAIN FEATURES OF EASTERN COLORADO INCLUDING THE PALMER DIVIDE
AND RATON MESA, AND THEN PROGRESS INTO WESTERN KANSAS THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. GIVEN THAT VERY HIGH DEWPOINTS FROM 68-74F
WERE IN PLACE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR(AFTER CORRECTING
FOR THE CONTINUING SUSPICIOUS DATA FROM KHYS), THESE STORMS WILL
REMAIN STRONG AND PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. THEREFORE, A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR ELLIS AND TREGO COUNTIES WHERE 3 TO 4
INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS.

ON SUNDAY, THE EFFECTIVE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL HAVE PUSHED INTO
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA, WITH CONTINUED HUMID CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN
KANSAS. THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ALONG THE
OKLAHOMA STATE LINE. HIGHS SHOULD BE ONLY IN THE 80S TO MID 90S.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE HIGH MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES CONTINUE TO PROGRESS ACROSS THE PLAINS ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING. IN ADDITION,
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE RICH ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE SURFACE
FRONT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE, WITH THE BEST CHANCES BEING
IN THE EVENING, OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING PER CLIMATOLOGY. THE
CLOUDS AND CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW WILL KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM
RISING MUCH ABOVE THE 80S TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY LATE THIS WEEK
AND PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO
THE 90S AGAIN BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND THEN COME CLOSE TO 100F
BY THE WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DIMINISH AS WELL, WITH
ONLY ISOLATED ACTIVITY EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 646 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OFF HOURS AS THE
TAF SITES REMAIN EAST OF A STALLED OUT FRONT. WINDS BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AS THIS FRONT SHIFTS FARTHER EAST. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH A PART OF THIS EVENING. HOWEVER,
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE IN AFTER 02-03Z
BRINGING MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  68  91  68  84 /  60  20  50  50
GCK  67  89  67  84 /  70  20  40  50
EHA  67  89  66  85 /  80  30  40  50
LBL  68  91  68  84 /  70  30  50  50
HYS  68  91  66  84 /  80  50  20  40
P28  73  94  71  87 /  50  30  40  50

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR KSZ030-031.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJOHNSON
SHORT TERM...FINCH
LONG TERM...FINCH
AVIATION...HOVORKA_42

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 19, 4:17 AM CDT, 17 hours 42 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
417 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-200930-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
417 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL, DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH, AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. AN ISOLATED
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE PRIMARY THREAT FOR STORMS MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE DAMAGING WINDS
AND UP TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL. ALTHOUGH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER
IS UNCERTAIN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, THE CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL EXISTS
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS, POTENTIALLY CAUSING LOCALIZED FLOODING.

HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  MONDAY...
  LIMITED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  TUESDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  LIMITED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  WEDNESDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  THURSDAY...
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  FRIDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  SATURDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING...MAINLY WEST OF A HAYS TO MEADE LINE.

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO

32

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 19, 9:28 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
928 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0916 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 NW CAVE               37.41N 101.20W
07/19/2015  E70 MPH          GRANT              KS   PUBLIC

&&

NWS DODGE CITY KS
IRIS SYSTEM

Local storm report, Jul 19, 9:33 PM CDT, 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
933 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0926 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 NW PIERCEVILLE        37.93N 100.72W
07/19/2015  M64 MPH          FINNEY             KS   ASOS

&&

NWS DODGE CITY KS
IRIS SYSTEM

Special weather statement, Jul 19, 9:39 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
939 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

KSZ076-086-087-200330-
SEWARD KS-HASKELL KS-MEADE KS-
939 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SEWARD...MEADE AND SOUTHEASTERN
HASKELL COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 938 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TICE
TO 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LIBERAL...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LIBERAL...MEADE...FOWLER...KISMET...MISSLER...MEADE STATE PARK...
HAYNE AND PLAINS.

LAT...LON 3738 10100 3746 10064 3746 10012 3700 10014
      3700 10105
TIME...MOT...LOC 0238Z 291DEG 40KT 3746 10067 3699 10090

UMSCHEID

Local storm report, Jul 19, 9:41 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
941 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 ENE RICHFIELD         37.29N 101.72W
07/19/2015  E60 MPH          MORTON             KS   PUBLIC

&&

NWS DODGE CITY KS
IRIS SYSTEM

Local storm report, Jul 19, 9:48 PM CDT, 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
948 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0947 PM     TSTM WND GST     7 E FRIEND              38.27N 100.79W
07/19/2015  E60 MPH          SCOTT              KS   PUBLIC

&&

NWS DODGE CITY KS
IRIS SYSTEM

Local storm report, Jul 19, 9:54 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
954 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     TSTM WND GST     15 E FRIEND             38.21N 100.65W
07/19/2015  E60 MPH          FINNEY             KS   PUBLIC

&&

NWS DODGE CITY KS
IRIS SYSTEM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 19, 7:42 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	34 min
Jul 19, 8:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Gray, Haskell	56 min
Jul 19, 8:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Morton	39 min
Jul 19, 8:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Kearny, Scott	64 min
Jul 19, 8:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Haskell	28 min
Jul 19, 8:42 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	DDC	Kearny, Scott	13 min
Jul 19, 8:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Morton, Stanton, Stevens	17 min
Jul 19, 9:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Grant, Haskell	39 min
Jul 19, 9:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Grant, Haskell, Kearny, Seward, Stevens	48 min
Jul 19, 9:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Lane, Scott	60 min
Jul 19, 9:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman	41 min
Jul 19, 9:35 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Stanton	3 hr
Jul 19, 9:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Meade, Seward	51 min
Jul 19, 10:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Hodgeman	61 min
Jul 19, 10:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Edwards, Ellis, Kiowa, Pawnee, Rush	48 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.