Severe Thunderstorm Warning 218, NWS Dodge City, KS

126 
WWUS53 KDDC 200139
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
839 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

KSC055-093-171-200230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0218.000000T0000Z-150720T0230Z/
FINNEY KS-KEARNY KS-SCOTT KS-
839 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN FINNEY...NORTHERN KEARNY AND SOUTHERN SCOTT
COUNTIES...

AT 839 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LYDIA...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOLCOMB...DEERFIELD...FRIEND AND SHALLOW WATER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3826 10143 3827 10112 3846 10113 3843 10069
      3791 10105 3816 10147
TIME...MOT...LOC 0139Z 308DEG 24KT 3827 10124 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH

$$

UMSCHEID

051 
WWUS53 KDDC 200201
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
901 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

KSC055-093-171-200230-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0218.000000T0000Z-150720T0230Z/
FINNEY KS-KEARNY KS-SCOTT KS-
901 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN FINNEY...NORTHEASTERN KEARNY AND SOUTHERN SCOTT
COUNTIES...

AT 901 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF SHALLOW WATER TO 5 MILES NORTH OF
DEERFIELD...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOLCOMB...FRIEND AND SHALLOW WATER. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3827 10112 3845 10109 3843 10069 3791 10105
      3814 10120
TIME...MOT...LOC 0201Z 284DEG 28KT 3840 10096 3806 10115 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

UMSCHEID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
651 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION...

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

A SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS TRAVERSING THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON. A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT WAS SITUATED ACROSS WESTERN
KANSAS, WITH RICH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IN PLACE, PARTICULARLY TO THE
NORTH OF THE FRONT FROM HAYS TO SCOTT CITY. A SURFACE TROUGH WAS
LOCATED ALONG THE OKLAHOMA BORDER THAT SEPARATED SOUTH WINDS AND
WARMER TEMPERATURES FROM SOUTHEAST WINDS AND SLIGHT COOLER
TEMPERATURES AS A RESULT OF UPSLOPE FLOW. THUNDERSTORMS COULD
DEVELOP NEAR NEAR THE SURFACE TROUGH IN THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE
AND PROPAGATE TO THE EAST OR NORTHEAST PER HRRR. OTHER MUCH LARGER
BATCHES OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ON THE MAJOR
TERRAIN FEATURES OF EASTERN COLORADO INCLUDING THE PALMER DIVIDE
AND RATON MESA, AND THEN PROGRESS INTO WESTERN KANSAS THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. GIVEN THAT VERY HIGH DEWPOINTS FROM 68-74F
WERE IN PLACE ALONG THE INTERSTATE 70 CORRIDOR(AFTER CORRECTING
FOR THE CONTINUING SUSPICIOUS DATA FROM KHYS), THESE STORMS WILL
REMAIN STRONG AND PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. THEREFORE, A FLASH
FLOOD WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR ELLIS AND TREGO COUNTIES WHERE 3 TO 4
INCHES OF RAIN HAD FALLEN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS.

ON SUNDAY, THE EFFECTIVE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL HAVE PUSHED INTO
NORTHERN OKLAHOMA, WITH CONTINUED HUMID CONDITIONS ACROSS WESTERN
KANSAS. THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ALONG THE
OKLAHOMA STATE LINE. HIGHS SHOULD BE ONLY IN THE 80S TO MID 90S.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 333 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE HIGH MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES CONTINUE TO PROGRESS ACROSS THE PLAINS ON
THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGING. IN ADDITION,
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BE RICH ON THE COOL SIDE OF THE SURFACE
FRONT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE, WITH THE BEST CHANCES BEING
IN THE EVENING, OVERNIGHT AND EARLY MORNING PER CLIMATOLOGY. THE
CLOUDS AND CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW WILL KEEP HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM
RISING MUCH ABOVE THE 80S TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. UPPER LEVEL
RIDGING WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS BY LATE THIS WEEK
AND PERSIST INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO
THE 90S AGAIN BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AND THEN COME CLOSE TO 100F
BY THE WEEKEND. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL DIMINISH AS WELL, WITH
ONLY ISOLATED ACTIVITY EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 646 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

EASTERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OFF HOURS AS THE
TAF SITES REMAIN EAST OF A STALLED OUT FRONT. WINDS BECOME LIGHT
AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AS THIS FRONT SHIFTS FARTHER EAST. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH A PART OF THIS EVENING. HOWEVER,
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE IN AFTER 02-03Z
BRINGING MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  68  91  68  84 /  40  20  50  50
GCK  67  89  67  84 /  50  20  40  50
EHA  67  89  66  85 /  40  30  40  50
LBL  68  91  68  84 /  30  30  50  50
HYS  68  91  66  84 /  70  50  20  40
P28  73  94  71  87 /  40  30  40  50

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING FOR KSZ030-031.

&&

SHORT TERM...FINCH
LONG TERM...FINCH
AVIATION...HOVORKA_42

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
417 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-200930-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
417 AM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL KANSAS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL, DAMAGING
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH, AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. AN ISOLATED
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THE PRIMARY THREAT FOR STORMS MONDAY IS EXPECTED TO BE DAMAGING WINDS
AND UP TO QUARTER SIZE HAIL. ALTHOUGH THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER
IS UNCERTAIN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY, THE CHANCE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL EXISTS
WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS, POTENTIALLY CAUSING LOCALIZED FLOODING.

HAZARDS WEATHER RISK...

  MONDAY...
  LIMITED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  TUESDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  LIMITED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  WEDNESDAY...
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  THURSDAY...
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  FRIDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

  SATURDAY...
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING...MAINLY WEST OF A HAYS TO MEADE LINE.

&&

FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT OUR WEBPAGE HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC/EHWO

32

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
819 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

KSZ063-076-077-200215-
HASKELL KS-GRAY KS-FINNEY KS-
819 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR HASKELL...SOUTHWESTERN FINNEY AND
SOUTHERN GRAY COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

AT 819 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5
MILES NORTH OF SUBLETTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CIMARRON...SUBLETTE...SATANTA...PIERCEVILLE...COPELAND...INGALLS...
CHARLESTON...PLYMELL AND TICE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3743 10108 3798 10097 3777 10021 3741 10079
TIME...MOT...LOC 0119Z 216DEG 33KT 3755 10086

UMSCHEID

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
821 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

KSZ074-084-200200-
MORTON KS-STANTON KS-
821 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN STANTON AND MORTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 820 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES SOUTH OF THE
SAUNDERS ELEVATOR TO 4 MILES WEST OF ELKHART...AND MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELKHART...ROLLA...MANTER...RICHFIELD...WILBURTON AND THE SAUNDERS
ELEVATOR.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3750 10204 3758 10159 3700 10156 3699 10203
      3705 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0120Z 263DEG 28KT 3742 10206 3701 10197

UMSCHEID