Flash Flood Warning 89, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1059 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

.DISCUSSION...LOOKING AT STORM TOTAL PRECIPITATION ACCUMULATIONS
FROM DUAL-POL...COASTAL BEND FORTUNATELY DODGED A SIGNIFICANT
RAIN EVENT. RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 18 INCHES IN A 20 MILE
WIDE AND OVER 100 MILE LONG BAND...WITH MAXIMUM RAIN AMOUNTS TO
AROUND 25 INCHES...OCCURRED FROM 15 TO 35 MILES OFFSHORE.

12Z CRP SOUNDING SHOWED WEST WINDS THROUGH A DEEP LAYER BUT
TROPICAL MOISTURE HOLDING IN PLACE WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
NEAR 2.4 INCHES. ALTHOUGH WE HAVE NOT SEEN HEAVY RAIN AMOUNTS
IN THE COASTAL BEND...WITH THAT KIND OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE...AM
RELUCTANT TO REMOVE AREA FROM THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH. WILL REDUCE
POPS TO LIKELY FOR THE COASTAL BEND. HEAVY RAIN THREAT HIGHER
FOR THE VICTORIA CROSSROADS AND WILL CONTINUE FLASH FLOOD WATCH
FOR THIS AREA THROUGH THE EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...MODERATE TO STRONG ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
GULF WATERS THROUGH TONIGHT...WILL CONTINUE SCA. NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WATERS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY DECREASE
IN COVERAGE AS DRIER AIR PUSHES IN FROM THE EAST BY TONIGHT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    88  79  90  78  91  /  70  40  40  20  20
VICTORIA          83  75  89  75  90  /  90  50  40  20  20
LAREDO            95  78  93  77  93  /  60  50  40  30  20
ALICE             93  78  93  76  93  /  70  40  40  20  20
ROCKPORT          84  82  89  80  90  /  90  40  30  20  20
COTULLA           94  75  92  75  93  /  70  60  50  30  20
KINGSVILLE        92  79  92  78  91  /  70  40  40  20  20
NAVY CORPUS       87  81  89  80  88  /  80  40  30  20  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...GOLIAD...REFUGIO...VICTORIA.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ARANSAS...CALHOUN...KLEBERG...NUECES...
     REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN PATRICIO.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT
     20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
     PORT O'CONNOR.

&&

TMT/89...SHORT TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
532 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

TXZ229>234-239>247-181100-
LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
532 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE
COUNTIES ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...GOLIAD...REFUGIO AND VICTORIA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE
COUNTIES OF SAN PATRICIO...NUECES AND KLEBERG.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL LOCATIONS
THROUGH MIDNIGHT...INCLUDING THE COUNTIES OF KLEBERG...NUECES...
SAN PATRICIO...ARANSAS...REFUGIO AND CALHOUN FOR TIDE LEVELS
RUNNING 2 TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL DURING HIGH TIDE.

THERE IS A MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG GULF FACING
BEACHES TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ISOLATED BRIEF HEAT INDEX READING AROUND 106 DEGREES WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER INLAND PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL BEND THIS AFTERNOON.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLE FLOODING
MAINLY IN THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREAS. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED ALTHOUGH A BRIEF FUNNEL CLOUD TOUCHDOWN IS POSSIBLE
MAINLY OVER VICTORIA AND CALHOUN COUNTIES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG GULF-FACING BEACHES
THURSDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY.  ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER...ANY INLAND OR
COASTAL FLOODING REPORTS...ALONG WITH FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTS SHOULD
BE RELAYED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI.

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-181100-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
532 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF WATERS THROUGH
TONIGHT...AND FOR THE BAYS AND WATERWAYS PORT ARANSAS TO PORT
O'CONNOR THROUGH LATE MORNING.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE BAYS AND GULF WATERS TODAY.
ALONG WITH WIND GUSTS AT TIMES IN EXCESS OF 30 KNOTS AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE WATERSPOUTS THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED ON
THURSDAY.  ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY
INTO THE WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER...ANY MARINE
REPORTS CONCERNING WATERSPOUTS OR STRONG WIND GUSTS RELAYED TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI WILL BE APPRECIATED.

GW/MB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1014 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

TXZ233-246-171545-
GOLIAD-REFUGIO-
1014 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN GOLIAD AND NORTH
CENTRAL REFUGIO COUNTIES...

AT 1013 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 9 MILES NORTH OF
REFUGIO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM COULD PRODUCE A WEAK FUNNEL ALONG WITH WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 30 MPH.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHEASTERN GOLIAD
AND NORTH CENTRAL REFUGIO COUNTIES.

LAT...LON 2862 9718 2861 9718 2858 9717 2857 9715
      2855 9716 2855 9712 2843 9701 2832 9724
      2846 9737 2864 9720
TIME...MOT...LOC 1513Z 231DEG 7KT 2844 9725

TMT