Flash Flood Warning 85, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

315 
WGUS74 KCRP 171118
FFSCRP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
618 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

TXC469-171245-
/O.CON.KCRP.FF.W.0085.000000T0000Z-150617T1245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VICTORIA TX-
618 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 AM CDT FOR
EAST CENTRAL VICTORIA COUNTY...

AT 615 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE HEAVY RAIN ACROSS 
THE WARNED AREA HAS ENDED. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED OVER 4 INCHES OF 
RAIN NEAR THE VICTORIA-JACKSON COUNTY BORDER. AT 615 AM VICTORIA 
COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED STREET FLOODING ON STATE HIGHWAY 185 
BETWEEN 5TH AND 7TH STREETS...SOME OF THIS FLOODING MAY BE DUE TO 
THE FLOODING ON THE GUADALUPE RIVER. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
DACOSTA...WOOD HI AND PLACEDO. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 2889 9673 2887 9673 2885 9670 2884 9672
      2882 9672 2879 9669 2877 9670 2876 9667
      2874 9666 2874 9667 2871 9665 2867 9673
      2863 9686 2879 9693 2888 9676 2890 9677
      2890 9676

$$

GW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
357 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES BEGIN TO
THE EAST TODAY THEN SHIFT TO THE WEST THURSDAY...AS BETTER MOISTURE
MOVES WEST AND DRIER AIR COMES IN FROM THE EAST. WEAK UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT TONIGHT IN A JET STREAK WILL HELP IN STORMS CONTINUING
OVERNIGHT. HEAVY RAIN CONCERN WILL CONTINUE MAINLY OVER THE
NORTHEASTERN COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS TODAY...THEN
DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH RAIN THESE AREAS GET...COULD HAVE ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL TONIGHT WHICH COULD KEEP THE FLOOD CONCERN GOING. AS A
RESULT...DID EXTEND THE FFA FOR THE NORTHERN COASTAL BEND AND
VICTORIA AREA THROUGH MIDNIGHT. DAY SHIFT CAN ADJUST...OR CANCEL IF
NEED BE. WILL KEEP THE FLOOD WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN COASTAL COUNTIES
TODAY...ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS GETTING A BIT MORE TENUOUS FOR LACK
OF A BETTER WAY OF PUTTING IT. FOR TEMPERATURES...GENERALLY USING A
BLEND OF GUIDANCE BUT GOING ON THE LOW SIDE FOR HIGHS TO THE EAST
TODAY AND HIGHER WEST TODAY...THEN GOING ON THE COOLER SIDE FOR
THURSDAY AS STILL SHOULD BE RAIN AND CLOUDS AROUND. LOWS ON THE WARM
SIDE.

CONCERNING COASTAL FLOODING...WILL ISSUE A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY AS
TIDE LEVELS ARE ANYWHERE FROM 1 TO OVER 2 FEET ABOVE PREDICTED
LEVELS. THIS WILL GO INTO EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.MARINE (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...WITH TROPICAL STORM WARNING
OVER...WILL GO WITH SCA FOR THE GULF WATERS THROUGH MOST OF TONIGHT.
FIRST THE WINDS AND SEAS WILL KEEP SCA GOING...THEN IT WILL BE SEAS
TONIGHT. WILL BE CLOSE TO ENDING BY 12Z THURSDAY. NUMEROUS
CONVECTION THIS MORNING WILL BE TAPERING OFF BY TONIGHT WITH THE
DRIER AIR MOVING IN. FOR NOW NOT A GOOD TIME FOR BOATING WITH RADAR
SHOWING WATERSPOUT SIGNATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...LINGERING MOISTURE
(PWATS BETWEEN 1.8 AND 2.1 INCHES) AND A MID LVL SHEAR AXIS
PERSISTING FROM NORTHERN MEXICO INTO NORTH TX WL MAINTAIN ISOLATED
TO SCATTERED CONVECTION THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  THE BEST CHANCES FOR
CONVECTION WL BE DURING THE WEEKEND AS THE EFFECT FROM THE MID LVL
SHEAR AXIS ACROSS OUR CWA WL BE AT ITS PEAK.  BY MONDAY AND
TUESDAY...THE MID LVL SHEAR AXIS RETROGRADES WWD AS RIDGING ALOFT
INCREASES FROM THE NORTHEAST.  AS A RESULT...A BIT MORE SUBSIDENCE
AND A DEVELOPING CAP WL TEND TO LIMIT RAIN CHANCES ON MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.  OVERALL TEMPS WL CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
GIVEN THE PERSISTENT RAIN CHANCES AND WET SOILS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CORPUS CHRISTI    88  79  90  78  91  /  80  40  40  20  20
VICTORIA          83  75  89  75  90  /  90  50  40  20  20
LAREDO            95  78  93  77  93  /  60  50  40  30  20
ALICE             93  78  93  76  93  /  80  40  40  20  20
ROCKPORT          84  82  89  80  90  /  90  40  30  20  20
COTULLA           94  75  92  75  93  /  70  60  50  30  20
KINGSVILLE        92  79  92  78  91  /  80  40  40  20  20
NAVY CORPUS       87  81  89  80  88  /  90  40  30  20  20

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MIDNIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     ARANSAS...BEE...CALHOUN...GOLIAD...REFUGIO...VICTORIA.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT TONIGHT FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: ARANSAS...CALHOUN...KLEBERG...NUECES...
     REFUGIO...SAN PATRICIO.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES:
     KLEBERG...NUECES...SAN PATRICIO.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CDT THURSDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT
     20 NM...COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP
     CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS
     FROM 20 TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM CDT THIS MORNING FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES: BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO
     PORT O'CONNOR.

&&

GW/86...SHORT TERM
MB/80...LONG TERM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1026 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015

GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-180330-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS-
BAYS AND WATERWAYS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO PORT O'CONNOR-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
20 NM-WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT ARANSAS TO MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL FROM 20 TO
60 NM-LA SALLE-MCMULLEN-LIVE OAK-BEE-GOLIAD-VICTORIA-WEBB-DUVAL-
JIM WELLS-KLEBERG-NUECES-SAN PATRICIO-ARANSAS-REFUGIO-CALHOUN-
1026 PM CDT TUE JUN 16 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS AND THE MIDDLE
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BEE...KLEBERG...NUECES AND
SAN PATRICIO COUNTIES DUE TO THE POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN CAUSING
FLOODING.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE BAYS
AND COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT OCONNOR AND EXTENDING
OUT 60 NAUTICAL MILES FOR STRONG WINDS AND LARGE SEAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOME WITH HEAVY
RAIN ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY. AS A RESULT...THE
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING ACROSS
THE COASTAL COUNTIES. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA...WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS
THE COASTAL WATERS. THESE LINGERING HIGH SEAS AND STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS MAY REINTRODUCE A HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ON WEDNESDAY.
MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
154 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

TXZ241>243-170800-
NUECES-KLEBERG-JIM WELLS-
154 AM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN NUECES...
SOUTHWESTERN JIM WELLS AND NORTHWESTERN KLEBERG COUNTIES...

AT 154 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF
RIOS...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF PREMONT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KINGSVILLE...PREMONT...DRISCOLL...BISHOP AND KINGSVILLE NAVAL AIR
STATION.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 2735 9818 2743 9823 2753 9823 2777 9777
      2752 9764
TIME...MOT...LOC 0654Z 245DEG 20KT 2747 9815

TE