Severe Thunderstorm Warning 79, NWS Bismarck, ND

174 
WWUS53 KBIS 010123
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
823 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NDC007-025-053-010215-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-150701T0215Z/
MCKENZIE ND-DUNN ND-BILLINGS ND-
823 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM
CDT/815 PM MDT/ FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MCKENZIE...NORTHWESTERN DUNN AND
NORTHEASTERN BILLINGS COUNTIES...

AT 823 PM CDT /723 PM MDT/...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10
MILES EAST OF THEODORE ROOSEVELT NATIONAL PARK NORTH UNIT...OR 18
MILES NORTHWEST OF KILLDEER...MOVING SOUTH AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KILLDEER AND OAKDALE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM CDT/100 AM MDT/ FOR
WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4757 10323 4767 10291 4731 10264 4723 10315
TIME...MOT...LOC 0123Z 344DEG 26KT 4756 10305 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JONES

673 
WWUS53 KBIS 010138
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
738 PM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NDC007-025-053-010215-
/O.CON.KBIS.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-150701T0215Z/
MCKENZIE ND-DUNN ND-BILLINGS ND-
738 PM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN MCKENZIE...WEST CENTRAL DUNN AND NORTHEASTERN
BILLINGS COUNTIES...

AT 738 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES EAST OF
GRASSY BUTTE...OR 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF KILLDEER...MOVING SOUTH AT 30
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KILLDEER AND OAKDALE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH A TORNADO IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF ONE IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A
PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR
SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM MDT FOR WESTERN NORTH
DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4745 10316 4757 10283 4731 10264 4723 10315
TIME...MOT...LOC 0138Z 344DEG 26KT 4745 10300 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JONES

966 
WWUS53 KBIS 010204
SVSBIS

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
804 PM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NDC007-025-053-010214-
/O.CAN.KBIS.SV.W.0079.000000T0000Z-150701T0215Z/
MCKENZIE ND-DUNN ND-BILLINGS ND-
804 PM MDT TUE JUN 30 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MCKENZIE...WEST
CENTRAL DUNN AND NORTHEASTERN BILLINGS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM MDT FOR WESTERN NORTH
DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4745 10316 4757 10283 4731 10264 4723 10315
TIME...MOT...LOC 0202Z 344DEG 26KT 4727 10292 

$$

JONES

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
730 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 719 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

FOCUSED ON THE SOUTHWEST AND NORTHWEST FOR THIS UPDATE. SEVERAL
STRONG SUPER CELLS WERE MOVING ALONG A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ACROSS SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA. MEANWHILE AN EAST WEST AREA OF NON
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED MOVING SOUTH ALONG LAKE SAKAKAWEA.
RAP MODEL MAKES A CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST. FOR NOW WILL KEEP THE HIGHEST POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
INTO THE CENTRAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS INCLUDE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEST THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING (POSSIBLY SEVERE)...SMOKE FROM CANADIAN
WILDFIRES IN THE NORTHWEST...AND CONTINUED CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS INTO WEDNESDAY.

REDUCED VISIBILITIES FROM SMOKE CONTINUED TO PLAGUE A PORTION OF
NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...MAINLY FROM WATFORD CITY NORTH TO THE
CANADIAN BORDER AND AS FAR EAST AS AROUND MINOT. VISIBILITIES HAD
IMPROVED TO 2-6 MILES...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO IMPROVE WITH
INCREASED CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AND ASSOCIATED MIXING
OF THE ATMOSPHERE.

CURRENTLY...SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH EXTENDED FROM SOUTHWESTERN
SASKATCHEWAN SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS EASTERN MONTANA INTO THE BORDER OF
MT/SD/WY. EAST TO SOUTHEAST WIND FLOW OVER NORTH DAKOTA WAS KEEPING
DEWPOINTS IN THE 60S ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. LATEST
MESOANALYSIS FROM STORM PREDICTION CENTER INDICATED SURFACE BASED
AND MIXED LAYER CAPES SUFFICIENT FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...AND
HAVE SEEN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER PARTS OF
WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA DESPITE THE MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVER THAT REMAINS.
FARTHER WEST IN MONTANA SKIES WERE MOSTLY CLEAR AND WOULD EXPECT
SURFACE BASED STORMS TO DEVELOP THERE AS WELL - AND WATCHING FOR
DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME. THE FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS THAT THE MID-
LEVEL LAPSE RATES AT 5.5-6.5 C/KM ARE NOT IDEAL FOR WIDESPREAD
SUSTAINED STORMS - AT LEAST NOT APPROACHING SEVERE LEVELS. THIS MAY
CHANGE WITH TIME HOWEVER.

AT UPPER LEVELS...THE ANTICIPATED UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WAS OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL SASKATCHEWAN AND INTO NORTHWESTERN NORTH DAKOTA. THIS
WAS LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY
MOVING EAST/SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE STATE.
THIS SHORTWAVE IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE
STATE TONIGHT...LINGERING INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING.

WILL SEE HOW THE CONVECTION PLAYS OUT...BUT KEPT HIGH CHANCES OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST FOR TONIGHT WITH POSSIBLE SEVERE
MENTION UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT.

YET ANOTHER APPROACHING SHORTWAVE FROM THE NORTHWEST APPROACHES THE
STATES WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...KEEPING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. THE STRONG NATURE OF THE SHORTWAVE
MAY PROVIDE ENOUGH BULK SHEAR AND CAPE FOR STRONG STORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. LATER SHIFTS WILL HAVE TO REVISIT
THIS TO DETERMINE WHETHER SEVERE MENTION IS WARRANTED.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

THE LONG TERM CAN BEST BE CATEGORIZED AS A ROLLER COASTER.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY REMAIN ACROSS MOST OF NORTH DAKOTA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AS THE SURFACE TROUGH SLOWLY
EXITS THE REGION. THERE'S A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT THUNDERSTORMS
WEDNESDAY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING COULD BE SEVERE AS
CAPE...SHEAR AND FORCING REMAIN ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA ALONG THE SURFACE TROUGH. HOWEVER...EARLY MORNING SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY INHIBIT AFTERNOON HEATING AND INSTABILITY.

A WEAK FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THIS COULD BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. FRIDAY LOOKS MAINLY DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE
AREA. A POTENT UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE TROUGH...COLD FRONT AND
SURFACE LOW WILL LIKELY BE APPROACHING NORTH DAKOTA SATURDAY.
DEPENDING ON THE EXACT TIMING AND PROGRESSION OF THIS SYSTEM...4TH
OF JULY ACTIVITIES COULD BE IMPACTED. AT THIS TIME MOST OF THE
MODELS KEEP PRECIPITATION OUT OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY AND EVENING OF THE 4TH.

TEMPERATURES WILL SWING FROM THE 70S AND LOW 80S LATE THIS
WEEK...TO AROUND 90 SATURDAY...AND THEN BACK DOWN INTO THE 70S SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 719 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

MAIN HAZARD TO AVIATION WILL BE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT. MAINLY
IMPACTING KDIK-KBIS THROUGH MIDNIGHT THEN KJMS AFTER MID.
OTHERWISE THE UNCERTAINTY WILL BE THE SMOKE LAYER. SMOKE REMAINS
ACROSS SOUTHERN SASKATCHEWAN AND WILL LIKELY IMPACT KISN-KMOT
WITH 3-5 MILES FU AGAIN LATER TONIGHT. OTHERWISE MAINLY VFR.

&&

.BIS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

UPDATE...WAA
SHORT TERM...JV
LONG TERM...AJ
AVIATION...WAA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
555 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

NDZ001-009-017>020-031>034-040>045-012300-
DIVIDE-WILLIAMS-MCKENZIE-DUNN-MERCER-OLIVER-GOLDEN VALLEY-
BILLINGS-STARK-MORTON-SLOPE-HETTINGER-GRANT-BOWMAN-ADAMS-SIOUX-
555 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST NORTH
DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA AND SOUTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS WESTERN THROUGH SOUTH
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A
COUPLE TORNADOS ARE THE MAIN THREATS. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR THIS AREA. SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BIS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AND
AGAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED. SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE BISMARCK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-800-247-0212...OR POST REPORTS TO FACEBOOK OR TWITTER.

NDZ002>005-010>013-021>023-025-035>037-046>048-050-051-012300-
BURKE-RENVILLE-BOTTINEAU-ROLETTE-MOUNTRAIL-WARD-MCHENRY-PIERCE-
MCLEAN-SHERIDAN-WELLS-FOSTER-BURLEIGH-KIDDER-STUTSMAN-EMMONS-
LOGAN-LA MOURE-MCINTOSH-DICKEY-
555 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TONIGHT.
SMALL HAIL...GUSTY WINDS...AND LIGHTNING ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...AND
AGAIN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
ACROSS WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED. SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE BISMARCK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AT
1-800-247-0212...OR POST REPORTS TO FACEBOOK OR TWITTER.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
743 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0708 PM     HAIL             16 W AMIDON             46.48N 103.66W
06/30/2015  E3.75 INCH       SLOPE              ND   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

BDD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
751 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0738 PM     HAIL             14 NNW BOWMAN           46.37N 103.51W
06/30/2015  E0.75 INCH       SLOPE              ND   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

BDD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
753 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     1 N GRIFFIN             46.23N 103.54W
06/30/2015                   BOWMAN             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            REPORTED BY OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE

&&

KROLAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
757 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0744 PM     HAIL             BEACH                   46.92N 104.00W
06/30/2015  E0.25 INCH       GOLDEN VALLEY      ND   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

BDD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
759 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0756 PM     HAIL             3 W BOWMAN              46.18N 103.46W
06/30/2015  E1.75 INCH       BOWMAN             ND   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL LASTED FOR ABOUT 1 MINUTE. SPOTTER DROVE THROUGH
            THE HAIL. AT ABOUT 754 CDT.

&&

KROLAK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
808 PM CDT TUE JUN 30 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0758 PM     HAIL             BOWMAN                  46.18N 103.39W
06/30/2015  E1.75 INCH       BOWMAN             ND   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

BDD