Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015
Storm Warning 52, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 11, 2015, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 11, 2015, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 12, 2015, 4:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
620 FZAK52 PAJK 111248 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-120100- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A SECOND AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD EAST OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF DURING THURSDAY. $$ PKZ041-120100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 33 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 36 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 32 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-120100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT BUILDING TO 34 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 36 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-120100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 75 KT DECREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ051-120100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 40 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 26 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-120100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE LATE. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...E GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
5 follow-up statements
177 FZAK52 PAJK 112014 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1112 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-121415- 1112 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A SECOND AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD EAST OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF DURING THURSDAY. $$ PKZ041-121415- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1112 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 33 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 36 FT. SW SWELL. SHOWERS. .FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 32 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-121415- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1112 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT BUILDING TO 34 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 36 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ043-121415- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1112 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 75 KT DECREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...S GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ051-121415- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1112 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 40 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 26 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ052-121415- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1112 AM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE LATE. GUSTS TO 75 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...E GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
526 FZAK52 PAJK 120030 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-121400- 400 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE E ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND PANHANDLE WED NIGHT. A 962 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY THU AFTERNOON AS AN AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS S OF THE LOW SPREADS E OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF. $$ PKZ041-121400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. SHOWERS LATE. .THU...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 31 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 35 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-121400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 40 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 36 FT SUBSIDING TO 34 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ043-121400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE EVENING. SW SWELL. RAIN IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 26 FT BUILDING TO 30 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT SUBSIDING TO 30 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ051-121400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING... THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 25 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...NW WIND 20 BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ052-121400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
800 FZAK52 PAJK 120603 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 903 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-130015- 903 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE E ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND PANHANDLE WED NIGHT. A 962 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY THU AFTERNOON AS AN AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS S OF THE LOW SPREADS E OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF. $$ PKZ041-130015- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 903 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .THU...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 31 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 35 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-130015- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 903 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 40 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 36 FT SUBSIDING TO 34 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ043-130015- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 903 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 26 FT BUILDING TO 30 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT SUBSIDING TO 30 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ051-130015- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 903 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 25 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...NW WIND 20 BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ052-130015- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 903 PM AKST WED NOV 11 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT...DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN...THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE. .THU...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
357 FZAK52 PAJK 120925 AAB CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1225 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-130330- 1225 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STORM FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE E ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND PANHANDLE WED NIGHT. A 962 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY THU AFTERNOON AS AN AREA OF STORM FORCE WINDS S OF THE LOW SPREADS E OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF. $$ PKZ041-130330- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1225 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .EARLY THIS MORNING...SW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .THU...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT BUILDING TO 31 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 35 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-130330- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1225 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .EARLY THIS MORNING...SW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .THU...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE TO 40 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 36 FT SUBSIDING TO 34 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ043-130330- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1225 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .EARLY THIS MORNING...S WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .THU...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 26 FT BUILDING TO 30 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT SUBSIDING TO 30 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$ PKZ051-130330- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1225 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .EARLY THIS MORNING...E WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .THU...S WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 27 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 25 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...NW WIND 20 BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ052-130330- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1225 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING EARLY TODAY... .EARLY THIS MORNING...E WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. .THU...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT LATE. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$
991 FZAK52 PAJK 121302 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-130100- 400 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS SE ALASKA EARLY THU MORNING. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE E INTO THE CENTRAL GULF BY THU AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN OVER THE NE GULF THU NIGHT AND FRI. $$ PKZ041-130100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 32 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 36 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...SW GALE TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO GALE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 30 FT SUBSIDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ042-130100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 19 FT BUILDING TO 33 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 36 FT. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 29 FT SUBSIDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ043-130100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 31 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW LATE. SEAS 31 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$ PKZ051-130100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT LATE. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ052-130100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST THU NOV 12 2015 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT LATE. SW SWELL. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. .FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 10, 3:49 PM AKST, 12 hours 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 10, 3:49 PM AKST, 12 hours 11 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
349 PM AKST TUE NOV 10 2015
.SHORT TERM...THE FRONT THAT BROUGHT THE HEAVY RAIN (AND SNOW TO
HYDER) THIS MORNING MOVED INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA AROUND MIDDAY.
THE HYDER AREA ENDED UP GETTING COLD ENOUGH LAST NIGHT (VIA SNOW
MELT COOLING) THAT THE HEAVY PRECIP TURNED INTO 13 INCHES OF SNOW
BY 11 AM THIS MORNING. WITH A COOL AIR MASS COMING IN FROM THE
GULF, PRECIP HAS CHANGED TO CONVECTIVE IN NATURE WITH SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SHOWING UP ALONG THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON.
INTO TONIGHT AND TOMORROW, SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AS THE COOL AIR
MASS OVER THE WARM GULF WATERS CREATES A VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE.
SHOWERS WILL BE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS IN NATURE. PLUS WITH HOW
UNSTABLE THE ATMOSPHERE IS (CAPE VALUES 300 TO 500 J/KG AND LIFTED
INDEX VALUES AROUND -3) SOME OF THESE SHOWERS COULD BE HEAVY WITH
SOME SMALL ICE PELLETS OR SMALL HAIL AND SOME LIGHTNING. THESE
HEAVIER SHOWERS WILL MAINLY BE FOR THE GULF AND OUTER COAST AREAS.
THE SHOWERS DIMINISH TOMORROW AFTERNOON AS WARM AIR ADVECTION
AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE AREA.
ELSEWHERE THE COOL AIR MASS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH THAT 850 MB TEMPS
DROP INTO THE -4 TO -7 C RANGE OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH
THAT THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS COULD SEE SOME OF THESE RAIN
SHOWERS MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO SNOW TONIGHT AND EARLY TOMORROW.
HAINES AND SKAGWAY AREAS SHOW THE BEST CHANCE OF SEEING SNOW
TONIGHT WITH GUSTAVUS, JUNEAU, AND YAKUTAT MAYBE SEEING A MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW LATE TONIGHT. LITTLE ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED.
AS FOR WIND, WESTERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 30 KT WILL CONTINUE FOR MOST
OF THE NIGHT IN THE GULF DUE TO THE INTERACTION BETWEEN WHAT IS
LEFT OF LAST NIGHT'S FRONT AND THE WEAK RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN
GULF. OUTER COASTAL AREAS FROM CAPE FAIRWEATHER SOUTHWARD WILL
LIKELY SEE SOME OF THOSE WINDS THROUGH THE NIGHT AS WELL. GUSTS
MAY REACH 30 MPH IN SOME OF THESE LOCATIONS. WINDS IN THE GULF
DIMINISH TOMORROW MORNING BUT THEN PICK RIGHT BACK UP TOMORROW
AFTERNOON, THIS TIME FROM THE S AS THEN NEXT FRONT STARTS TO
APPROACH. THE OFFSHORE ZONE WILL START TO SEE GALE FORCE WINDS BY
TOMORROW AFTERNOON.
SHORT RANGE MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE PERIOD. FEW
CHANGES WERE MADE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. GENERALLY USED THE
GFS FOR GUIDANCE.
.LONG TERM...SIGNIFICANT FRONT TO IMPACT SOUTHEAST ALASKA
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY MORNING WITH STRONG WINDS...HEAVY
RAIN...DANGEROUS SEAS...AND SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ALONG THE
KLONDIKE AND HAINES HIGHWAYS.
STRONG OCCLUDED FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF
AND OVER THE PANHANDLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY. THE
PARENT LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ALASKA
PENINSULA AND INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF ON THURSDAY. THE LOW WILL
BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY IN THE NORTHEAST GULF AND GRADUALLY
WEAKEN THROUGH SATURDAY. AFTER THE WEEKEND MODEL GUIDANCE BEGINS
TO DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY LEADING TO VERY LOW FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE.
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY OVER THE GULF WITH WINDS
INCREASING TO STORM FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND SEAS BUILDING TO 30
TO 40 FEET THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE GULF. BEHIND THE FRONT WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
WESTERLY AND REACH GALE TO STORM FORCE ON THURSDAY. STRONG WINDS
AND HEAVY RAIN WILL SPREAD OVER THE PANHANDLE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
AND EARLY THURSDAY. EXPECT TO SEE STRONG WIND GUSTS TO AT LEAST 40
MPH ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE PANHANDLE. WHILE WE DO EXPECT
SOME HEAVY RAINFALL ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE DO NOT
FORSEE ANY FLOODING ISSUES WITH THIS SYSTEM. STRONG WESTERLIES
WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS
TIGHT OVER THE PANHANDLE THROUGH THAT TIMEFRAME. SO EXPECT WINDS
TO REMAIN ON THE GUSTY SIDE THROUGH SATURDAY.
ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ALONG THE
HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS. THINK ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL GET INTO
THE AREA TO PRODUCE AROUND 6-8 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION. HOWEVER AS
MENTIONED BY THE PREVIOUS SHIFT ONE ISSUE WITH GENERATING WARNING
CRITERIA SNOWFALL WILL BE THE FACT THAT THE SYSTEM IS SUCH A QUICK
MOVER. SHIFT ACCUMULATING SNOW IS ALSO NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION FOR
AREAS AT SEA LEVEL NEAR HAINES AND SKAGWAY. THINK ENOUGH LOW LEVEL
COLD AIR MAY REMAIN IN THE AREA COMBINED WITH LIGHT FLOW AS A
PARALLEL PRESSURE GRADIENT RESIDES OVER THE FAR NORTHERN INNER
CHANNELS. HOWEVER...HIGHEST SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE AT THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. THE OTHER LOCATION OF CONCERN IS HYDER WHERE A LIGHT
EASTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE FRONT HAS A POTENTIAL TO LEAD TO
ACCUMULATING SNOW. HAVE INCLUDED A MIX IN THE FORECAST FOR NOW
WITH A COUPLE INCHES OF ACCUMULATION BUT LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO
INCREASE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS.
ONSHORE FLOW AND SHOWERS WILL THEN DOMINATE THE WEATHER FOR
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FROM LATER THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. CAA
THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND WILL INCREASE SNOW CHANCES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE. GFS REMAINS THE COLDEST MODEL AND INDICATES
THE POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL BY LATE WEEKEND. AS HAS
BEEN THE CASE THE ECMWF REMAINS THE WARMER OF THE TWO. THIS WILL
BE SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.
USED THE 12Z GFS FOR UPDATES TO THE INHERITED FORECAST. CHANGES TO
THE FORECAST WERE MINIMAL AND LIMITED TO LOCAL EFFECT EDITS.
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE ON A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
EVENT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. CONFIDENCE IN PTYPE AS WE
HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK IS BELOW AVERAGE.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING FOR AKZ018-019.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ013-022-033-034-036-041>043-051.
&&
EAL/TPS
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 3:33 PM AKST | Winter Storm Watch | AJK | 13 hr | |
| Nov 10, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 60 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:52 AM AKST | Winter Storm Warning | AJK | 40 hr | |
| Nov 11, 4:52 AM AKST | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 29 hr | |
| Nov 11, 5:01 AM AKST | High Wind Warning | AJK | 25 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.