Storm Warning 208, NWS Anchorage, AK

514 
FZAK51 PAFC 250034
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-251315-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 973 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL INTENSIFY TO 952
MB 100 NM NORTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR FRI AFTERNOON AND THEN WEAKEN
TO 978 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR SITKINAK SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-251315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ120-251315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-251315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-251315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-251315-
PORT VALDEZ-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-251315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-251315-
VALDEZ ARM-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-251315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
EVENING...THEN BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-251315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-251315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-251315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ136-251315-
CHINIAK BAY-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-251315-
MARMOT BAY-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-251315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-251315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF ANCHOR POINT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-251315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-251315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
334 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

073 
FZAK51 PAFC 250740 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

UPDATED ZONES 126 127 130 131

PKZ197-252015-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 973 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL INTENSIFY TO 952
MB 100 NM NORTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR FRI AFTERNOON AND THEN WEAKEN
TO 978 MB AS IT MOVES TO NEAR SITKINAK SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-252015-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ120-252015-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-252015-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-252015-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-252015-
PORT VALDEZ-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-252015-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-252015-
VALDEZ ARM-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-252015-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE
EVENING...THEN BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-252015-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-252015-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-252015-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT...SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT.
RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ136-252015-
CHINIAK BAY-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-252015-
MARMOT BAY-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-252015-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-252015-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF ANCHOR POINT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-252015-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT BUILDING TO
9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-252015-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1040 PM AKST THU DEC 24 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

910 
FZAK51 PAFC 251236
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-260115-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A STRONG FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHERN
TO EASTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE AS IT PUSHES ONSHORE
EARLY SAT MORNING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF 
SAT NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-260115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARD 
MORNING. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ120-260115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-260115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT THEN BECOMING VARIABLE 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND 
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER WINDS AND 
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-260115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-260115-
PORT VALDEZ-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-260115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-260115-
VALDEZ ARM-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-260115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-260115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT INCREASING TO E 60 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT AND SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-260115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO E 60 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS 18 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-260115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 60 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ136-260115-
CHINIAK BAY-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-260115-
MARMOT BAY-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ138-260115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-260115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-260115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-260115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
336 AM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO E 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

137 
FZAK51 PAFC 260022
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-261345-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT EXTENDS SOUTHEAST FROM THE KENAI PENINSULA INTO
THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS FRONT WILL REACH THE NORTHEAST GULF COAST
TONIGHT AND DISSIPATE SAT MORNING. THE NEXT FRONT ENTERS THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF ON SUN.

$$

PKZ119-261345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR
THE COAST...E WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ120-261345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ121-261345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 10 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-261345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-261345-
PORT VALDEZ-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT WITH GUSTS TO 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-261345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-261345-
VALDEZ ARM-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-261345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-261345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-261345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ132-261345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.

$$

PKZ136-261345-
CHINIAK BAY-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-261345-
MARMOT BAY-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-261345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-261345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-261345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-261345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
322 PM AKST FRI DEC 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
507 PM AKST WED DEC 23 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

UPPER LEVELS...A BUILDING UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS OVER THE
EASTERN BERING IS MOVING NORTH AND EASTWARD TOWARDS MAINLAND
SOUTHERN ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS RIDGE IS BUILDING DUE TO A
STRONG STORM MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A DIGGING TROUGH
IS SWINGING ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND NORTH PACIFIC. THE COLD
AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE TROUGH IS MOVING EASTWARD AND
STRENGTHENING THE GRADIENT WITH THE WARMER AIR MOVING UP FROM THE
SOUTH IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE STORM. THIS STRENGTHENED
TEMPERATURE GRADIENT IS HELPING TO CAUSE THE STORMS RAPID
DEEPENING.

SURFACE...WITH REGARDS TO THE BERING STORM...ITS MOVEMENT WEST OF AMCHITKA
IS KEEPING THE STRONGEST WINDS ON THE WARM SIDE OF THE STORM
LARGELY WEST OF ADAK AND ATKA...BOTH OF WHOM HAVE ONLY SEEN GUSTS
UP TO 60 MPH THUS FAR. HOWEVER...THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD EXTENDS
WELL AWAY FROM THE STORM...WITH DUTCH HARBOR GETTING RAIN AND
SHEMYA GETTING SNOW.

THE WARM AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THE SOUTHERLY WINDS EAST OF
THE BERING STORM IS MOVING OVER THE COLD AIR NEAR THE SURFACE.
THE STRONG INVERSION IS CAPPING ANY MIXING FROM
OCCURRING...KEEPING MOIST AIR TRAPPED. THIS HAS RESULTED IN
WIDESPREAD FOG...WITH LOCALLY DENSE AREAS TO PERSIST OVER NEARLY
ALL OF THE BRISTOL BAY AREA. THE 12Z KING SALMON SOUNDING AFFIRMS
THIS SCENARIO...WITH A SATURATED STRONG NEAR-SURFACE INVERSION
NOTED. THE FOG/MIST IS ALSO WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
AREA...THOUGH IT IS NOT AS DENSE DUE TO MUCH DRIER AIR BEING
PRESENT ABOVE THE INVERSION...AS NOTED ON THE 12Z BETHEL SOUNDING.

FOG HAS ALSO BEEN THE PRIMARY HAZARDOUS WEATHER FEATURE ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL FOR THE PAST COUPLE DAYS. WHILE ALL OF THE TREES ARE
FESTOONED WITH HOAR FROST FROM THE FREEZING FOG OF PREVIOUS
DAYS...IT HAS LARGELY DISSIPATED OVER SOUTHCENTRAL DUE TO A
WEAKENING INVERSION AND A BIT MORE WIND ABOVE THE INVERSION TO
PROMOTE MIXING. FOR THE FOURTH DAY IN A ROW...ANCHORAGES SOUNDING
CONTINUES TO SHOW LARGE SCALE COOLING OF THE LOWER HALF OF THE
ATMOSPHERE.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE NEAR-TERM...BOTH WITH THE
TRACK AND POSITION OF THE BERING STORM...AND TRACKING THE SMALLER
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL. SUBSTANTIAL
DISAGREEMENT BETWEEN THE MODELS OCCURS FOR THE DAY TOMORROW
REGARDING HOW THE BERING STORM INTERACTS WITH A SECONDARY LOW THAT
FORMS ALONG THE BERING STORMS COLD FRONT OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC.
WHILE THE SECONDARY LOW FORMS IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A JET
STREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL JET...THE JET STREAK QUICKLY LEAVES THE
SECONDARY LOW BEHIND AS IT TRANSLATES EASTWARD TOWARDS THE
SOUTHERN GULF BY CHRISTMAS MORNING. WHILE THE MODELS AGREE ON THAT
SCENARIO FOR THE UPPER LEVELS...THE DISAGREEMENT IS WHERE THE
TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW GOES ONCE THE JET STREAK HAS MOVED AWAY.
THE GFS WAS THE MODEL OF CHOICE...KEEPING THE SECONDARY LOW
FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST...CLOSER TO THE JET STREAK AND THE BEST
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE. CONFIDENCE IS BELOW AVERAGE GIVEN THE
LARGE MODEL SPREAD IN THE TRACK OF THE STORM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
ONE MORE DAY OF RELATIVELY QUIET CONDITIONS IS IN STORE FOR
SOUTHCENTRAL AK BEFORE MORE ACTIVE WEATHER RETURNS ON CHRISTMAS
DAY WITH THE ARRIVAL OF A STRONG FRONT OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA. IN
THE MEANTIME...OUTFLOW WINDS ALONG THE GULF COAST WILL PEAK IN
INTENSITY TONIGHT AS A 130 KT UPPER LEVEL JET STREAK MOVES
OVERHEAD IN ADVANCE OF A RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
WINDS WILL THEN GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY.
THE RIDGE MOVING OVERHEAD WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO SUPPORT PATCHY FOG
OVER THE UPPER COOK INLET REGION THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING AS SKIES
CLEAR AND WINDS REMAIN LIGHT AT THE SURFACE. A WEAKENING FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW OVER THE WESTERN BERING WILL BRING A ROUND
OF LIGHT RAIN AND SNOW TO KODIAK ISLAND THURSDAY MORNING AND THEN
POSSIBLY CLIP THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE KENAI PENINSULA WITH A FEW
SNOW SHOWERS BEFORE DISSIPATING IN THE AFTERNOON.

CONDITIONS WILL THEN RAPIDLY DETERIORATE BEGINNING THURSDAY NIGHT
AS A MUCH STRONGER FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF ACCOMPANIED
BY GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS AND HEAVY PRECIPITATION. LOCATIONS IN
THE VICINITY OF THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA/WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND WILL LIKELY BEAR THE BRUNT OF THE IMPACTS FROM THIS SYSTEM
AS THE FRONT ARRIVES ALONG THE GULF COAST ON FRIDAY...WITH THE
MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES REVOLVING AROUND HOW QUICKLY THESE
LOCATIONS WARM TO NEAR OR ABOVE FREEZING. THIS WILL HAVE LARGE
IMPLICATIONS ON POTENTIAL SNOW AMOUNTS AND ALSO THE POTENTIAL FOR
BLOWING SNOW OVER THE PORTAGE VALLEY AND EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM. IT
APPEARS AT THIS TIME AS THOUGH MOST INLAND LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN
COLD ENOUGH FOR ALL SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING WITH RAIN
BEGINNING TO MIX IN ALONG THE COAST BY LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...WITH THE HIGHEST SNOW AMOUNTS OVER INLAND LOCATIONS.
POTENTIAL ACCUMULATIONS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE
CLOSELY MONITORED OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. INLAND LOCATIONS
INCLUDING THE ANCHORAGE BOWL WILL INITIALLY REMAIN DOWNSLOPED AS
STRONG CROSS BARRIER FLOW DEVELOPS WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE FRONT.
&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A POTENT WARM FRONT ATTACHED TO THE STRONG LOW IN THE WESTERN
BERING SEA WILL PUSH INLAND ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA THURSDAY
MORNING. WITH AN OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT (EAST TO NORTHEAST
WINDS)...TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLOW TO RESPOND TO THE IMPENDING
WARM AIR ADVECTION (NOT TO MENTION THE FRONTAL OCCLUSION). THE
WARM FRONT WILL ADVECT A MOISTURE RICH AIR MASS NORTHWARD WHICH
WILL BRING SNOW TO MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE STRONGEST
PRESSURE GRADIENT AND POTENTIAL FOR HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE ACROSS
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL SUPPORT PERIODIC BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST
FROM KIPNUK NORTHWARD...WITH REGIONS OF BLOWING SNOW INLAND AS
WELL...ALTHOUGH NOT AS SEVERE. SNOW ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY AREA
WILL BE SHORT-LIVED AS TEMPERATURES QUICKLY WARM ABOVE FREEZING
LEADING TO A TRANSITION TO RAIN. THE FRONT WILL LIFT NORTH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...WITH MOST AREAS ACROSS SOUTHWEST DRYING OUT
AND WARMING UP BEFORE ANOTHER FRONT MOVES IN THURSDAY NIGHT AND
EARLY FRIDAY.

A SECOND LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL RAPIDLY SPIN UP ON THURSDAY
AS IT QUICKLY PUSHES NORTHWARD TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA. MODEL
GUIDANCE HAS BEEN EXTREMELY POOR IN HANDLING THE EXACT TRACK OF
THIS LOW ON FRIDAY IN WHETHER IT PUSHES INTO THE BERING SEA OR
NOT. THE TRACK PLAYS IN IMPORTANT ROLE ON HOW STRONG THE WINDS
ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL BE ON FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME IT
APPEARS THE LOW WILL STAY JUST SOUTH OF THE PENINSULA AND THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL BE QUITE FAVORABLE FOR THE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT TO SCREAM THROUGH THE GAPS ALONG THE
PENINSULA. WIND GUSTS WILL LIKELY MAX OUT IN THE 65 TO 70 MPH
RANGE BUT A FEW ISOLATED STRONGER GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. AS THIS
FRONT SHIFTS ACROSS BRISTOL BAY FRIDAY EVENING...WINDS WILL BEGIN
TO INCREASE WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS COMING THROUGH LAKE CLARK PASS
ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE. THESE STRONGER WINDS WILL LIKELY PUSH ALL
THE WAY INTO THE DELTA WITH HEAVY PRECIPITATION POSSIBLE AT TIMES
IN THE BRISTOL BAY AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A STORM FORCE LOW CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE WESTERN BERING
SEA THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS EVIDENT FROM MULTIPLE SATELLITE IMAGES
AS WELL AS MULTIPLE SURFACE OBSERVATIONS THROUGHOUT THE WESTERN
AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. RAIN AND SNOW WILL QUICKLY TURN TO ALL
RAIN AS A STRONG WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. THE ONLY
LOCATION TO REMAIN COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE
ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS WHERE COLDER ARCTIC AIR WILL WRAP
AROUND THIS LOW. THIS LOW WILL SLOWLY MEANDER EASTWARD DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS REMAINING ON THE
WEST/NORTHWEST SECTORS OF THE LOW. THE STRONGEST CORE OF WINDS
WILL PASS JUST TO THE EAST OF SHEMYA TOMORROW MORNING AND
EVENTUALLY PUSH OVER ADAK AND ATKA FRIDAY MORNING. THIS LOW WILL
MERGE WITH ANOTHER STORM FORCE LOW MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC ON FRIDAY. THIS WILL KEEP RAIN (MIXED WITH SNOW OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE BERING SEA) IN THE FORECAST AND THE STRONGEST
WINDS AFTER THE MERGER WILL BE SEEN OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
ALEUTIANS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE STRONG LOW WHICH WILL BE OUT NEAR THE TIP OF THE ALASKA
PENINSULA FRIDAY EVENING WILL TRACK SLOWLY TO THE EAST AND INTO
THE WESTERN GULF FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
SYSTEM WHICH WILL BE STRETCHED ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA AND
NORTHERN GULF FRIDAY EVENING WILL LIFT NORTH AND INLAND SATURDAY
MORNING...HOWEVER SEVERAL ADDITIONAL TROUGHS ASSOCIATED WITH THE
SURFACE LOW WILL SWING ONSHORE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND KEEP
PRECIPITATION GOING ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST WITH MINIMAL BREAKS.
FURTHER INLAND PRECIPITATION WILL TAKE THE FORM OF ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH INCREASED COVERAGE ALONG THE
MOUNTAINS.

THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL TRACK INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
SATURDAY. A DEVELOPING FRONTAL WAVE WILL SPIN UP INTO A CLOSED
LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS THEN TRACK EAST ALONG 50N
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL REACH
THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH CENTRAL GULF SUNDAY NIGHT WITH A
SURFACE LOW ROTATING UP INTO THE GULF ON MONDAY. ADDITIONAL
SYSTEMS WILL TRACK INTO THE ALEUTIANS THROUGH MIDWEEK WITH TRIPLE
POINTS AND FRONTAL WAVES DEVELOPING INTO CLOSED LOWS THAT SWING IN
FROM THE SOUTHWEST TOWARDS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND THEN SPIN UP
ADDITIONAL SURFACE LOWS WHICH SUBSEQUENTLY ROTATE INTO THE GULF.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD 155.
MARINE...STORM 132 150 155 160 165 178 177 176 180 352 411 412.
         GALE 127 129 130 131 136 137 138 139 170 172 173 174
              175 179 181 185 413 414
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 180 181 185 &&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...JR