Storm Warning 193, NWS Anchorage, AK

466 
FZAK51 PAFC 170009
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-171330-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 973 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK ISLAND MOVES TO 90 NM
SOUTHWEST OF HAIDA GWAII AT 987 MB FRI AFTERNOON. A STRONG WEATHER
FRONT MOVES TO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA FRI.

$$

PKZ119-171330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
26 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-171330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 55 KT...THEN DIMINISHING TO 45 KT
TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
25 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-171330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHER SEAS S
OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-171330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND
PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-171330-
PORT VALDEZ-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-171330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-171330-
VALDEZ ARM-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-171330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-171330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 60 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-171330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 28 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
26 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-171330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-171330-
CHINIAK BAY-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-171330-
MARMOT BAY-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-171330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...N WIND 45 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-171330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT
SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-171330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-171330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
309 PM AKST WED DEC 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

332 
FZAK51 PAFC 171255
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180200-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 968 MB LOW 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK EXITS TO THE EASTERN
GULF FRI MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
DISSIPATES TONIGHT. THE NEXT WEATHER FRONT MOVES TO THE WESTERN
GULF OF ALASKA FRI MORNING. A 976 MB LOW DEVELOPS ALONG THIS FRONT
50 NM NORTH OF KODIAK CITY LATE FRIDAY AND MOVES TO 80 NM SOUTH OF
SEWARD SAT MORNING AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH.

$$

PKZ119-180200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-180200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-180200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON...HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-180200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. STRONGER GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK
ENTRANCE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-180200-
PORT VALDEZ-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-180200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-180200-
VALDEZ ARM-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-180200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-180200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-180200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-180200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-180200-
CHINIAK BAY-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-180200-
MARMOT BAY-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-180200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-180200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-180200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO
6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 1 FOOT BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-180200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
355 AM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

136 
FZAK51 PAFC 180010
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181315-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 972 MB LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA MOVES TO 100 NM
SOUTHWEST OF QUEEN CHARLOTTE ISLAND FRI NIGHT AS A 993 MB LOW AND
DISSIPATES SAT MORNING. A 973 MB LOW FORMS IN THE NORTHERN
SHELIKOF STRAIT FRI NIGHT AND MOVES TO SOUTHERN PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND SAT AFTERNOON AS A 975 MB LOW. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT EXTENDS
SOUTHWARD INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA AND GLIDES ACROSS TO
THE SOUTHEAST PANHANDLE COAST BY SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-181315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT 30 KT NEAR THE COAST IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-181315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-181315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD IN THE EVENING. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-181315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 12 FT S OF SEAL ISLAND IN THE EVENING. RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-181315-
PORT VALDEZ-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-181315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-181315-
VALDEZ ARM-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-181315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-181315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-181315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-181315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-181315-
CHINIAK BAY-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-181315-
MARMOT BAY-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-181315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-181315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-181315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-181315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
310 PM AKST THU DEC 17 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
309 PM AKST TUE DEC 15 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE STATE REMAINS VERY
PROGRESSIVE AND ACTIVE. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE ASSOCIATED WITH
A LOW DEPARTING THE NORTHER BERING SEA CONTINUES TO BRING SNOW AND
RAIN TO MUCH OF THE SOUTH MAINLAND EAST OF THE ALASKA RANGE. UNDER
THIS SHORTWAVE...A SMALL MESOSCALE LOW THAT HAS DEVELOPED IN COOK
INLET CAN BE SEEN ON THE KENAI RADAR BRINGING SNOW TO MANY AREAS
OF SOUTHCENTRAL. THIS LOW IS ALSO BRINGING STRONG WINDS TO
TURNAGAIN ARM AS IT INCREASES THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE
CHUGACH MOUNTAINS. THESE WINDS ARE BEGINNING TO DIMINISH HOWEVER
AS THE LOW MAKES LANDFALL AND WEAKENS OVER THE LOWER SUSITNA
VALLEY. THE NEXT SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE GULF CAN BE SEEN DEVELOPING
WELL SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS...BUT IS RAPIDLY MOVING
NORTHWARD AS IT INTENSIFIES UNDER A 100 KT JET STREAK. OVER THE
WESTERN BERING...BROAD NORTHERLY FLOW AND COLD AIR ADVECTION IS
READILY APPARENT FROM AN EXTENSIVE AREA OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
THESE SHOWERS ARE SLOWLY DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO EAST HOWEVER AS
WEAK RIDGING FROM THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC MOVES INTO THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GENERALLY GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT BUT THERE
REMAINS A SMALL AMOUNT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE LOW
POSITION/INTENSITY OF THE DEVELOPING GULF LOW FOR WEDNESDAY. THIS
SHOULD HOWEVER HAVE FAIRLY SMALL IMPACTS TO OVERALL FORECAST
CONFIDENCE FOR THE GULF COAST...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS LIKE
SHELIKOF STRAIT AND THE BARREN ISLANDS THAT WERE INCREASED TO
STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THIS EVENT WITH GOOD CONFIDENCE. THIS
GENERAL GOOD AGREEMENT CONTINUES INTO LATE THIS WEEK AND EVEN INTO
THIS WEEKEND AS THERE IS SURPRISINGLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
TRACK/INTENSITY OF ANOTHER RAPIDLY DEVELOPING LOW MOVING INTO THE
BERING. WITH THIS GOOD AGREEMENT THERE IS NOW GOOD CONFIDENCE THAT
YET ANOTHER ROUND OF STORM TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP
OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BUT THEN
REMAIN MOSTLY NORTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN AS THE LOW MOVES INTO
THE NORTHERN BERING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THERE IS A WEAK LOW AT THE SURFACE THAT HAS TRACKED TO THE
NORTHERN MATANUSKA VALLEY WITH AN ACCOMPANIED TROUGH EXTENDING
THROUGH THE ANCHORAGE BOWL. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK
NORTHWARD AND DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL BE ALONG
THE NORTHERN MATANUSKA VALLEY AND THROUGH HATCHER PASS THIS
EVENING. THE ANCHORAGE BOWL WILL HAVE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS (OR
LESS) TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY BRIEFLY THIS EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN. THE
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM IN THE GULF AND COASTAL
COMMUNITIES AS A NORTH PACIFIC LOW TRACKS JUST SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. LOOK FOR THE NORTHERN GULF...THE
BARREN ISLANDS...THE SOUTHERN COOK INLET AND SHELIKOF STRAIT TO
RECEIVE STORM FORCE NORTHEASTERLY WINDS BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN TO THE SOUTHWESTERN AND NORTHERN
GULF HEADING INTO THE MIDWEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE REMNANTS OF THE LARGE BERING SEA LOW REMAINS IN THE BERING
STRAIT REGION AND CONTINUES TO CIRCULATE SHOWERS ACROSS THE BERING
SEA TO THE BERING SEA COAST. A LOW THAT FORMED SOUTH OF THIS LOW
IN BRISTOL BAY IS MOVING NORTHEAST ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST INTERIOR.
THIS LOW IS PUSHING SNOW ACROSS THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY WITH
SHOWERY WEATHER FOLLOWING BEHIND THIS LOW IN THE BRISTOL BAY
REGION. A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND KODIAK ISLAND. THIS LOW
WILL SEE SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION AS IT MOVES TO SOUTH OF
KODIAK ISLAND WEDNESDAY EVENING. THE MAIN IMPACT OF THIS STORM
WILL BE STRONG NORTHEAST AND NORTH WIND ACROSS THE ALASKA
PENINSULA. THE EASTERN ALASKA PENINSULA WILL LIKELY SEE STORM
FORCE GUSTS WEDNESDAY NIGHT ESPECIALLY OUT OF WIDE BAY AND
CHANNELED TERRAIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WHILE THE LOW SPINS UP SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND ANOTHER STRONG STORM
WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND WESTERN BERING SEA WEDNESDAY
EVENING. THE FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS BY THURSDAY
MORNING. WE EXPECT STORM FORCE WIND IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT. THIS WILL
BRING WARMER AIR FROM THE SOUTH ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS BRING TEMPERATURES
UP ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT WITH THE MODELS MOVING A STRONG STORM-
FORCE LOW INTO THE WESTERN BERING THURSDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR HURRICANE-FORCE GUSTS WITHIN THE STING JET ON THE SOUTH SIDE
OF THE LOW...POTENTIALLY NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF SHEMYA IN THE
SOUTHWEST BERING SEA EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE EC IS A LITTLE BIT
FASTER THAN THE OTHER MODELS BUT FROM AN IMPACTS STANDPOINT THEY
ALL HAVE THE FRONT FROM THIS SYSTEM MAKING IT TO THE WEST COAST
FRIDAY BEFORE FALLING APART AT THE SURFACE...WITH A WEAKENING
FRONT ALOFT MOVING INLAND. THE PRIMARY IMPACT FROM THIS STORM WILL
BE WIDESPREAD STRONG WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BERING
SEA AND THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN...ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST FROM
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

FOR SOUTHCENTRAL...THE UPPER TROUGH WITH THE ELEVATED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BRING AN OPPORTUNITY FOR SNOW FOR SOUTHCENTRAL
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY...ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND EAST FACING
SLOPES. ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LIGHT SINCE THIS SYSTEM WILL BE A
FAIRLY QUICK MOVER. A TRIPLE POINT LOW FORMS ALONG THIS FRONT OVER
THE NORTHWEST GULF AND MOVES QUICKLY EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF
ALLOWING FOR COLD AIR ADVECTION INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TO
COMMENCE FROM THE NORTH AND WEST FOR SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. BY LATE
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...AN APPROACHING SYSTEM FROM THE WEST MAY PUSH
MOISTURE UP THE INLET AND ALLOW FOR THE FIRST SIGNIFICANT SNOW
EVENT (MORE THAN THE DUSTING TO 2 INCH TYPE EVENTS EXPERIENCED IN
ANCHORAGE) IN A FEW WEEKS. CONFIDENCE IS STILL LOW AT THIS TIME
BUT INCREASING SLIGHTLY WITH EACH SUCCESSIVE SET OF MODEL RUNS.

LOOKING AHEAD EVEN FURTHER...THERE IS INCREASING CONFIDENCE THAT
A SIGNIFICANT COLD AND DRY PERIOD WILL SETTLE OVER SOUTHCENTRAL
AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF CHRISTMAS WEEK AND
PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST CHRISTMAS WEEKEND.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 119 120 130 131 138 139.
 GALE WARNING 121 132 136 137 141 150 155 172 174 177 178.
 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...SA
LONG TERM...CC