Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2015
Small Craft Advisory 8, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 3, 2015, 3:24 AM AKST. It was in force for 11 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 3, 2015, 3:24 AM AKST (12:24 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 3, 2015, 2:49 PM AKST
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
824 FZAK51 PAFC 031224 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-040115- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A BROAD AND WEAK 1020 MB LOW OVER THE WEST-CENTRAL GULF DISSIPATES THIS MORNING OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF. A 1020 MB LOW FORMS 20 NM SOUTHEAST OF GORE POINT BY SUN EVENING...AND REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH THROUGH SUN NIGHT. $$ PKZ119-040115- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ120-040115- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ121-040115- RESURRECTION BAY- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ125-040115- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 15 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ126-040115- PORT VALDEZ- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY... .TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ127-040115- VALDEZ NARROWS- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ128-040115- VALDEZ ARM- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ129-040115- PASSAGE CANAL- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-040115- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. $$ PKZ131-040115- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. $$ PKZ132-040115- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ136-040115- CHINIAK BAY- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ137-040115- MARMOT BAY- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ138-040115- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ139-040115- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ140-040115- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ141-040115- KACHEMAK BAY- 324 AM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
138 FZAK51 PAFC 032349 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-041245- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ119-041245- CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ120-041245- CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ121-041245- RESURRECTION BAY- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ125-041245- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT OUT OF NORTHERN BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ126-041245- PORT VALDEZ- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ127-041245- VALDEZ NARROWS- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ128-041245- VALDEZ ARM- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ129-041245- PASSAGE CANAL- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER DEVELOPING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-041245- WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY DURING THE MORNING. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ131-041245- BARREN ISLANDS EAST- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ132-041245- MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT N 15 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 9 FT. .MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ136-041245- CHINIAK BAY- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ137-041245- MARMOT BAY- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ138-041245- SHELIKOF STRAIT- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ139-041245- COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ140-041245- COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ141-041245- KACHEMAK BAY- 249 PM AKST SAT JAN 3 2015 .TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 2, 4:23 PM AKST, 11 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 2, 4:23 PM AKST, 11 hours 1 minute before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
423 PM AKST FRI JAN 2 2015
.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A LARGE STORM IS OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA WITH AN ASSOCIATED
STORM FORCE FRONT EXTENDING IN AN ARC THROUGH AMCHITKA AND A
SURFACE LOW FORMING ALONG THIS FRONT JUST SOUTH OF THE CHAIN. AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDS FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC INTO THE EASTERN
BERING SEA IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS
ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST WITH AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE EXTENDING
FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA INTO THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS FROM THE YUKON TERRITORY INTO INTERIOR
ALASKA AS LOW PRESSURE CENTERED IN SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA HAS A
TROUGH EXTENDING TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND.
&&
.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SUN BOTH AT THE SURFACE
AND ALOFT.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTHERN YUKON TERRITORY INTO THE INTERIOR
COUPLED WITH THE LOW PRESSURE FROM SOUTHERN SOUTHEAST ALASKA TO
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE COLD AIR ALOFT SUPPORT THE GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS THROUGH THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE IS
MOVING ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST FROM THE EAST. THIS IS RESULTING
IN SHOWERS ALONG THE COAST. WE EXPECT THESE TO REMAIN ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST AND BY THE TIME IT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN KENAI
PENINSULA THE LOWER LEVELS WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY DRY THIS EVENING
TO KEEP THIS TO ONLY CLOUDS FOR A BRIEF PERIOD. WE EXPECT THE
CLOUD COVER TO MOVE OFF TO THE WEST SOUTHWEST THROUGH SATURDAY.
COLD AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND SOUTH CENTRAL
ALASKA THROUGH THE WEEKEND RESULTING IN MORE SEASONABLE TO
SLIGHTLY BELOW SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. TWO MAIN FORECAST
CHALLENGES FOR THIS WEEKEND REMAIN OUTFLOW WIND AND THE
TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION. THE CLOUD COVER WILL HEAVILY
INFLUENCE THE TEMPERATURES AS WILL THE NORTHERLY SURFACE WIND.
WHILE THE WIND IS TRENDING DOWNWARD ANY LOCATIONS THAT CONTINUE TO
HAVE WIND WILL SEE HIGHER TEMPERATURES DUE TO THE MIXING OF THE
LOWER ATMOSPHERE. OVERALL THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION IS GOING INTO A
COOLER MORE CLOUD FREE PATTERN. THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA IS NOW
ENTERING A COLD AND MOSTLY SUNNY WEATHER PATTERN INTO THE EARLY
PART OF NEXT WEEK.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY)...THE LAST RESIDUAL LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS CLIPPING THE
ALASKA PENINSULA AND ALEUTIAN RANGE ON ITS WAY INTO THE GULF. THIS
IS ALLOWING A SHORT WAVE RIDGE TO BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA
TONIGHT. THIS RIDGE IS SYNCING UP WITH THE CLOSED HIGH CURRENTLY
OVER THE NORTH SLOPE AND WILL FORM A DOMINANT AREA OF HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE AREA. FOR TONIGHT...EXPECT MUCH LESS FOG TO
DEVELOP THAN THE PREVIOUS COUPLE OF MORNINGS AS THERE IS SOME
LINGERING INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW MOVING INTO THE
GULF AND DRIER AIR MOVING IN. SATURDAY MORNING WILL START CLEAR
AND COLD WITH MOST LOCATIONS REACHING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OR
COLDER. SUNSHINE IS ON THE DOCKET FOR JUST ABOUT ALL LOCATIONS.
THE LONE EXCEPTION TO THIS IS RIGHT ALONG THE SPINE OF THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE AS SOME MOISTURE TRIES TO WRAP IN FROM A DECAYING
SYSTEM CLIPPING THE BARREN ISLANDS.
DRY OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING
ANOTHER CLEAR DAY WITH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL.
&&
.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2...SATURDAY
AND SUNDAY)...THE MOST ACTIVE WEATHER IN THE STATE IS OUT OVER THE
ALEUTIANS. A WAVE IS PROPAGATING LONG AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND
IS TAPPING INTO SOME COLDER AIR COMING OFF THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA. THIS HAS ALLOWED THAT WAVE TO STRENGTHEN PRETTY QUICKLY
THIS EVENING. WE HAVE INCREASED WINDS FOR THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
WITH THIS PACKAGE AND INCREASED SEVERAL COASTAL AND OFFSHORE
MARINE ZONES TO STORM WARNINGS. IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THIS FRONT
WILL BE ABLE TO MAKE MUCH MORE PROGRESS TO THE EAST AS THE AFORE
MENTIONED RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FRONT OF IT. ONCE THIS FRONT
PULLS OFF TO THE BERING STRAIT ON SATURDAY...IT WILL LEAVE MOST OF
THE BERING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE
WEST COAST. THIS WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRIER WEATHER AND
CALMER WINDS. ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
BY SUNDAY MORNING BRINGING MORE RAIN/SNOW AND GALE FORCE WINDS
FROM ATKA TO SHEMYA.
&&
.LONG TERM FORECAST (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
NUMERICAL GUIDANCE IS CONVERGING ON LOCATION OF A HIGH LATITUDE
BLOCK...WITH RIDGE OVER MAINLAND ALASKA ON SUNDAY WEAKENING AS A
NEW RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE BERING SEA AND BECOMES CENTERED OVER FAR
EASTERN SIBERIA/BERING STRAIT BY MONDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL ALLOW AN
ARCTIC TROUGH TO DROP SOUTHWARD ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA BRINGING A
REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR TO SOUTHCENTRAL MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. AS THE TROUGH REACHES THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL EXTEND EASTWARD INTO NORTHERN ALASKA...WHICH WILL
THEN ALLOW THE THE TROUGH TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE...BRINGING
MARGINALLY WEAKER COLD ADVECTION ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND INTO
THE EASTERN BERING SEA MID WEEK. BASED ON INCREASED CONFIDENCE IN
THE DESCRIBED EVOLUTION OF THE PATTERN HAVE TRENDED TOWARD NOTABLY
COLDER TEMPERATURES. WITH THE ARRIVAL OF ARCTIC AIR AND TIGHTENING
OF PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA HAVE ALSO STARTED
TO INDICATE RE-DEVELOPMENT OF SOME STRONGER GAP WINDS ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST/PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THE HEADLINE FOR THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK IS DRY AND (SEASONABLY)
COLD. THE AIR MASS SETTLING IN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL TUESDAY WILL BE
THE COLDEST OF THE WINTER THUS FAR. WIND SHELTERED AREAS SHOULD
ACTUALLY SEE TEMPERATURES DROP BELOW NORMAL.
MEANWHILE ONE MORE STORM FORCE LOW WILL TRACK INTO THE FAR WESTERN
BERING SUNDAY...THOUGH THE BUILDING RIDGE OVER THE BERING WILL
CONFINE THE EFFECTS TO THE ALEUTIANS. IN FACT BY MID WEEK THE
UPPER RIDGE WILL DOMINATE NEARLY THE ENTIRE BERING SEA LEADING
TO MUCH QUIETER CONDITIONS.
AS WE HEAD TO THE END OF NEXT WEEK MODEL SPREAD GROWS LARGE WITH
HANDLING OF SYSTEMS OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC. THE TROUGH WHICH
MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND EARLIER IN THE WEEK WILL OPEN
THE WAY FOR ENERGY FROM THE PACIFIC TO ROTATE UP INTO THE GULF
AND TOWARD SOUTHCENTRAL. EVEN WITH THE LARGE MODEL SPREAD THERE
IS ENOUGH AGREEMENT AND SIMILAR TRENDS TOWARD BRINGING PRECIP TO
THE GULF COASTAL REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...SO
HAVE UPPED POPS TO LIKELY. IT IS MUCH MORE DIFFICULT TO SAY WHETHER
PRECIP WILL MAKE IT INLAND OR WHETHER IT WILL CONTINUE WESTWARD
INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA OR THE BERING SEA. WITH AT LEAST AN INCREASE
IN CLOUDS AND SOME WARM AIR ADVECTION...EXPECT MODERATING TEMPERATURES
LATE IN THE WEEK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND.
&&
.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 175 176 177
GALE 173 174 178 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MSO
LONG TERM...SEBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 3:03 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Jan 2, 3:20 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 5 days | |
| Jan 2, 3:20 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jan 2, 3:20 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 36 hr | |
| Jan 2, 3:20 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jan 2, 3:20 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jan 3, 3:05 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jan 3, 3:05 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 11 days | |
| Jan 3, 2:49 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 37 hr | |
| Jan 3, 2:49 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 3 days |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2015Every small craft advisory in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.