Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2015

Small Craft Advisory 751, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 26, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 26, 2015, 3:17 PM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Sep 26, 2015, 3:17 PM AKDT (23:17 UTC)
Expired: Sep 28, 2015, 3:34 AM AKDT
In force: 36 hr
Issued by: NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

859 
FZAK51 PAFC 262317
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-271215-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF OF ALASKA TO PUSH TO THE PANHANDLE
SUNDAY. ANOTHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE GULF SUN MORNING AND TRACK
TO THE NORTHERN GULF SUN NIGHT...AND THEN TO THE EASTERN GULF
MON. A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE MON
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-271215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT SE 15 KT NEAR THE COAST.
SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING
SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT SE 25 KT NEAR THE COAST.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-271215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT NE 10 KT NEAR THE COAST.
SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT NE 15 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 7
FT...EXCEPT 4 FT NEAR THE COAST. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT NE 10 KT NEAR THE THE COAST.
SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 4 FT NEAR THE COAST. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-271215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-271215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-271215-
PORT VALDEZ-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-271215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-271215-
VALDEZ ARM-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-271215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 30 KT DURING THE EVENING NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-271215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT BY LATE MORNING.
SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-271215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-271215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-271215-
CHINIAK BAY-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS BUILDING
TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-271215-
MARMOT BAY-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-271215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-271215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT SE 10 KT S OF ANCHOR
POINT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT...EXCEPT SE 15 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-271215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 20 KT OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM...GUSTS TO 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. OUT OF TURNAGAIN ARM...GUSTS TO 35 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-271215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
317 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

4 follow-up statements

168 
FZAK51 PAFC 271141
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280045-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA
LATE SUN MORNING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST GULF SUN
MORNING AND TRACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF SUN NIGHT...AND THEN TO THE
EASTERN GULF MON. A 981 MB LOW DEVELOPS IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
EARLY TUE.

$$

PKZ119-280045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-280045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-280045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-280045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-280045-
PORT VALDEZ-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-280045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-280045-
VALDEZ ARM-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-280045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-280045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-280045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-280045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-280045-
CHINIAK BAY-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-280045-
MARMOT BAY-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-280045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-280045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-280045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-280045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
341 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

572 
FZAK51 PAFC 271727 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

UPDATED ZONES 139 AND 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP
TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280315-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHEAST ALASKA
LATE SUN MORNING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST GULF SUN
MORNING AND TRACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF SUN NIGHT...AND THEN TO THE
EASTERN GULF MON. A 981 MB LOW DEVELOPS IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
EARLY TUE.

$$

PKZ119-280315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-280315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-280315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-280315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-280315-
PORT VALDEZ-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-280315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-280315-
VALDEZ ARM-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-280315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-280315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-280315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-280315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-280315-
CHINIAK BAY-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-280315-
MARMOT BAY-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-280315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-280315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT...BECOMING SE 20 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT...BUILDING TO 5 FT S OF ANCHOR POINT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-280315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-280315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
927 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

500 
FZAK51 PAFC 272354
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281315-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF PUSHES INLAND TONIGHT. A
SECOND FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF MON EVENING. A 989 MB LOW
DEVELOPS 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MON EVENING THEN
STRENGTHENS TO 976 MB 35 NM EAST OF WHITTIER TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-281315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT E 35 KT ALONG THE COAST IN THE
EVENING. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-281315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT NE 10 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT SE 10 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-281315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-281315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-281315-
PORT VALDEZ-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-281315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-281315-
VALDEZ ARM-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-281315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING
TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-281315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-281315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...STORM WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-281315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-281315-
CHINIAK BAY-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-281315-
MARMOT BAY-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-281315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BUILDING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-281315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. N OF ANCHOR POINT...SW
WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-281315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT OUT
OF TURNAGAIN ARM. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-281315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
354 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

784 
FZAK51 PAFC 281134
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-290045-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 993 MB LOW 275 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK MON AFTERNOON WILL MOVE
NEAR MONTAGUE ISLAND AT 974 MB TUE MORNING. IT WILL THEN REMAIN
NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH TUE NIGHT AND WEAKEN TO 990 MB.

$$

PKZ119-290045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO S 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-290045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-290045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO S 15 KT BY AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-290045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-290045-
PORT VALDEZ-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-290045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-290045-
VALDEZ ARM-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-290045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO W WIND 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-290045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-290045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-290045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-290045-
CHINIAK BAY-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-290045-
MARMOT BAY-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-290045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-290045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-290045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-290045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
334 AM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 26, 5:13 AM AKDT, 10 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 26, 5:13 AM AKDT, 10 hours 4 minutes before

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
513 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE REGION HAS TRANSITIONED TO A MUCH WETTER PATTERN THIS MORNING
AS ABUNDANT MOISTURE STREAMS OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND IN FAST
ZONAL FLOW BENEATH A 120 KT UPPER LEVEL JET TO THE SOUTH OF AN
ARCTIC TROUGH PUSHING ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. THE
MOST WIDESPREAD RAIN IS FOCUSED ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BERING SEA INTO THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...WITH MORE SHOWERY CONDITIONS PREVALENT OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
RESPECT TO THE SYNOPTIC DETAILS AS THE REGION REMAINS IN A RAINY
PATTERN WITH BROAD WESTERLY FLOW BECOMING MORE SOUTHWESTERLY BY
SUNDAY AS A BROAD SURFACE LOW TRACKS FROM THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AHEAD OF A SHARP TROUGH SWINGING INTO THE
NORTHERN BERING OUT OF EASTERN RUSSIA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTWARD IT WILL BRING THE
MAIN AREA OF MOISTURE AND LIFT OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THIS WILL
GET ENHANCED SUNDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW FURTHER BACKS TO THE
SOUTHWEST. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP ABUNDANT RAINFALL OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY. HEAVIEST
RAIN WILL BE OVER THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE MOUNTAINS. ON SUNDAY A
SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE INTO COOK INLET AND INCREASE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM. THIS WILL BRING IN THE ONE
POTENTIAL PITFALL FOR THE ANCHORAGE, MATANUSKA VALLEY, AND WESTERN
KENAI PENINSULA. IF THERE IS ENOUGH SOUTHEAST FLOW IT COULD CUT
OFF THE RAINFALL BUT THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND ABUNDANT
MOISTURE SHOULD BE MORE THAN ENOUGH TO KEEP THE RAINFALL GOING
ONCE IT BEGINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE REMNANTS OF A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL MOVE
EAST AS IT DISSIPATES TODAY...BRINGING CONTINUED RAIN TO THE
SOUTHWEST INTO THIS EVENING. MOST AREAS MAY SEE A SLIGHT BREAK IN
THE RAIN LATE THIS EVENING AS THE TROUGH DISSIPATES AHEAD OF THE
MUCH STRONGER LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. DEEP AND
MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL ACCOMPANY THIS NEXT SYSTEM....PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD AND PERSISTENT WETTING RAINS THROUGHOUT THE REGION INTO
MONDAY. THIS SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL ALSO BRING UPSLOPE CONDITIONS TO
SOUTHERN FACES OF THE THE MOUNTAINS IN NORTHERN BRISTOL
BAY...WHICH MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT AND INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN LOW AN ITS ASSOCIATED TROUGH STRETCHING INTO
THE EASTERN BERING WILL KEEP RAINY CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND. AS PRESSURE FALLS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
ADVANCING LOW...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS INTO AKPEN BEFORE DIMINISHING ON SUNDAY MORNING. BEHIND
THIS LOW...GALE FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
WESTERN BERING WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION. THESE WINDS WILL
THEN SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL BERING ON SUNDAY AS THE LOW BEGINS TO
MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN ARCTIC TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN BERING DROPS DOWN INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING OVERNIGHT SUNDAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED FRONT AT THE
SURFACE MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND BY MONDAY
MORNING. MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO HANDLE THESE FEATURES SLIGHTLY
BETTER...GIVING A SLIGHT BOOST TO FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING
THE TIMING OF PRECIPITATION AND THE ONSET OF THE COLDER
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND FROM
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDWEEK. RIDGING OVER THE BERING ON WEDNESDAY
WILL TRACK FURTHER EASTWARD INTO THE GULF BY THURSDAY...BRINGING
IN WARMER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA ALONG WITH MORE
PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. FURTHER WEST...A RAPIDLY
INTENSIFYING NORTH PACIFIC LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL TRACK
INTO THE WESTERN BERING WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA...BRINGING
WIDESPREAD SOUTHWESTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS AND RAIN THROUGH THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING/ALEUTIANS THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD OVER THE EASTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS
BY THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN EVENTUALLY MOVE INLAND OVER THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND Y FRIDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE TIMING AND
STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE BERING SEA
AND INTO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...KEEPING FORECAST CONFIDENCE LOW
IN THIS FEATURE.

THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE THE INTERIOR WILL KEEP WARM AND MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THROUGH MONDAY...BEFORE
DROPPING SOUTHWARD OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BY TUESDAY MORNING.
PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHCENTRAL WILL FALL AS RAIN THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...WHEN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN CHANGES AND BEGINS TO BRING IN
COLDER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. DURING THIS TIME-FRAME THERE WILL BE
LIMITED MOISTURE IN THE REGION BUT STILL A CHANCE FOR SOME
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...EXCEPT FOR HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ALONG
THE WRANGELL MOUNTAINS IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...TP/PD

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 26, 2:40 PM AKDT, 37 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

AKZ101-111-121-145-280300-
ANCHORAGE-MATANUSKA VALLEY-WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON...KENAI...
SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...UNSEASONABLY STRONG COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO BRING THE THREAT FOR
ACCUMULATING SNOW TO PARTS OF SOUTHCENTRAL TUESDAY...

AN UNUSUALLY COLD AIR MASS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ORIGINATING FROM
SIBERIA WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.

THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY IN COMBINATION WITH THE COLD AIR MASS WILL
RESULT IN TEMPERATURES THAT FALL THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. THERE
IS MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW DOWN TO
SEA LEVEL FROM THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY SOUTHWARD TO THE KENAI
PENINSULA. HOWEVER...THERE IS LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE ON THE
TIMING AND AMOUNT OF ACCUMULATING SNOW GIVEN DIFFERENCES IN THE
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF MODEL SOLUTIONS.

REGARDLESS...EVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR SUCH AN EARLY SEASON
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS SOMEWHAT RARE. FOR HISTORICAL
CONTEXT...THE EARLIEST RECORDED MEASURABLE SNOWFALL AT THE
ANCHORAGE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (GREATER THAN A TRACE) WAS THE
21ST OF SEPTEMBER 1996 (A TENTH OF AN INCH OF SNOW FELL THAT DAY).

DETAILS FOR TUESDAY WILL BECOME MORE CERTAIN BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND...SO STAY TUNED FOR CONTINUED FORECAST UPDATES.

AHSENMACHER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Sep 26, 3:41 AM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFC	35 hr
Sep 26, 3:41 AM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	12 hr
Sep 26, 3:17 PM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFC	37 hr
Sep 26, 3:22 PM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFC	24 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2015 Every small craft advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.