Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015

Gale Warning 581, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 26, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 26, 2015, 3:22 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 26, 2015, 3:22 PM AKDT (23:22 UTC)
Expired
Sep 27, 2015, 3:16 PM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

797 
FZAK52 PAFC 262322
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-271215-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 994 MB LOW 300NM WEST OF SAINT PAUL WILL DEEPEN TO 989 MB 200 NM
WEST OF BETHEL SUN MORNING THEN MOVE INLAND SUN NIGHT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILD FROM THE WESTERN BERING SEA SUN NIGHT TO THE
EASTERN BERING SEA MON.

$$

PKZ150-271215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ155-271215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ160-271215-
BRISTOL BAY-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-271215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-271215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ171-271215-
UNALASKA BAY-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS
OF FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-271215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ173-271215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ174-271215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ175-271215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-271215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-271215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-271215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ179-271215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ180-271215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ181-271215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ185-271215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
322 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$
2 follow-up statements
176 
FZAK52 PAFC 271130
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-280000-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 991 MB LOW 90 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL MOVES INLAND NEAR NUNIVAK
ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE WESTERN BERING
SUN NIGHT TO THE EASTERN BERING MON.

$$

PKZ150-280000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-280000-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ160-280000-
BRISTOL BAY-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ165-280000-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-280000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ171-280000-
UNALASKA BAY-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY MORNING FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-280000-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ173-280000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ174-280000-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ175-280000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. PATCHY MORNING FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-280000-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
PATCHY MORNING FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ177-280000-
ADAK TO KISKA-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-280000-
KISKA TO ATTU-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-280000-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ180-280000-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ181-280000-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ185-280000-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
330 AM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$
880 
FZAK52 PAFC 272316
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-281230-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A WEATHER FRONT MOVES OVER THE EASTERN BERING MOVES INTO THE GULF
LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE WESTERN BERING TONIGHT
TO THE EASTERN BERING MON.

$$

PKZ150-281230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
12 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-281230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ160-281230-
BRISTOL BAY-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ165-281230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-281230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ171-281230-
UNALASKA BAY-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT... S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-281230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT WEST OF UNALASKA. GUSTS
TO 45 KT THROUGH UNIMAK PASS. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-281230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ174-281230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ175-281230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-281230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-281230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-281230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-281230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-281230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-281230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ185-281230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
316 PM AKDT SUN SEP 27 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 26, 5:13 AM AKDT, 10 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 26, 5:13 AM AKDT, 10 hours 9 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
513 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE REGION HAS TRANSITIONED TO A MUCH WETTER PATTERN THIS MORNING
AS ABUNDANT MOISTURE STREAMS OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND IN FAST
ZONAL FLOW BENEATH A 120 KT UPPER LEVEL JET TO THE SOUTH OF AN
ARCTIC TROUGH PUSHING ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. THE
MOST WIDESPREAD RAIN IS FOCUSED ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM THE CENTRAL BERING SEA INTO THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...WITH MORE SHOWERY CONDITIONS PREVALENT OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
RESPECT TO THE SYNOPTIC DETAILS AS THE REGION REMAINS IN A RAINY
PATTERN WITH BROAD WESTERLY FLOW BECOMING MORE SOUTHWESTERLY BY
SUNDAY AS A BROAD SURFACE LOW TRACKS FROM THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AHEAD OF A SHARP TROUGH SWINGING INTO THE
NORTHERN BERING OUT OF EASTERN RUSSIA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTWARD IT WILL BRING THE
MAIN AREA OF MOISTURE AND LIFT OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THIS WILL
GET ENHANCED SUNDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW FURTHER BACKS TO THE
SOUTHWEST. THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP ABUNDANT RAINFALL OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO MONDAY. HEAVIEST
RAIN WILL BE OVER THE UPSLOPE AREAS OF THE MOUNTAINS. ON SUNDAY A
SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE INTO COOK INLET AND INCREASE THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM. THIS WILL BRING IN THE ONE
POTENTIAL PITFALL FOR THE ANCHORAGE, MATANUSKA VALLEY, AND WESTERN
KENAI PENINSULA. IF THERE IS ENOUGH SOUTHEAST FLOW IT COULD CUT
OFF THE RAINFALL BUT THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND ABUNDANT
MOISTURE SHOULD BE MORE THAN ENOUGH TO KEEP THE RAINFALL GOING
ONCE IT BEGINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE REMNANTS OF A WEAK TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL MOVE
EAST AS IT DISSIPATES TODAY...BRINGING CONTINUED RAIN TO THE
SOUTHWEST INTO THIS EVENING. MOST AREAS MAY SEE A SLIGHT BREAK IN
THE RAIN LATE THIS EVENING AS THE TROUGH DISSIPATES AHEAD OF THE
MUCH STRONGER LOW CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. DEEP AND
MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL ACCOMPANY THIS NEXT SYSTEM....PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD AND PERSISTENT WETTING RAINS THROUGHOUT THE REGION INTO
MONDAY. THIS SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL ALSO BRING UPSLOPE CONDITIONS TO
SOUTHERN FACES OF THE THE MOUNTAINS IN NORTHERN BRISTOL
BAY...WHICH MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT AND INTO
SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN LOW AN ITS ASSOCIATED TROUGH STRETCHING INTO
THE EASTERN BERING WILL KEEP RAINY CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE AREA
THIS WEEKEND. AS PRESSURE FALLS DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE
ADVANCING LOW...GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR FROM THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS INTO AKPEN BEFORE DIMINISHING ON SUNDAY MORNING. BEHIND
THIS LOW...GALE FORCE NORTHERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
WESTERN BERING WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION. THESE WINDS WILL
THEN SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL BERING ON SUNDAY AS THE LOW BEGINS TO
MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN ARCTIC TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN BERING DROPS DOWN INTO THE
CENTRAL BERING OVERNIGHT SUNDAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED FRONT AT THE
SURFACE MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND BY MONDAY
MORNING. MODELS ARE BEGINNING TO HANDLE THESE FEATURES SLIGHTLY
BETTER...GIVING A SLIGHT BOOST TO FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING
THE TIMING OF PRECIPITATION AND THE ONSET OF THE COLDER
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND FROM
MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH MIDWEEK. RIDGING OVER THE BERING ON WEDNESDAY
WILL TRACK FURTHER EASTWARD INTO THE GULF BY THURSDAY...BRINGING
IN WARMER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE AREA ALONG WITH MORE
PRECIPITATION OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. FURTHER WEST...A RAPIDLY
INTENSIFYING NORTH PACIFIC LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL TRACK
INTO THE WESTERN BERING WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY AS IT TRACKS TO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA...BRINGING
WIDESPREAD SOUTHWESTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS AND RAIN THROUGH THE
WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING/ALEUTIANS THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM
WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD OVER THE EASTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS
BY THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN EVENTUALLY MOVE INLAND OVER THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND Y FRIDAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE TIMING AND
STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM AS IT MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE BERING SEA
AND INTO THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...KEEPING FORECAST CONFIDENCE LOW
IN THIS FEATURE.

THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE THE INTERIOR WILL KEEP WARM AND MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THROUGH MONDAY...BEFORE
DROPPING SOUTHWARD OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BY TUESDAY MORNING.
PRECIPITATION OVER SOUTHCENTRAL WILL FALL AS RAIN THROUGH TUESDAY
EVENING...WHEN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN CHANGES AND BEGINS TO BRING IN
COLDER NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. DURING THIS TIME-FRAME THERE WILL BE
LIMITED MOISTURE IN THE REGION BUT STILL A CHANCE FOR SOME
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...EXCEPT FOR HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ALONG
THE WRANGELL MOUNTAINS IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...TP/PD

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 26, 2:40 PM AKDT, 42 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

AKZ101-111-121-145-280300-
ANCHORAGE-MATANUSKA VALLEY-WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON...KENAI...
SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
240 PM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...UNSEASONABLY STRONG COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO BRING THE THREAT FOR
ACCUMULATING SNOW TO PARTS OF SOUTHCENTRAL TUESDAY...

AN UNUSUALLY COLD AIR MASS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR ORIGINATING FROM
SIBERIA WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL.

THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY IN COMBINATION WITH THE COLD AIR MASS WILL
RESULT IN TEMPERATURES THAT FALL THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. THERE
IS MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF SNOW DOWN TO
SEA LEVEL FROM THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY SOUTHWARD TO THE KENAI
PENINSULA. HOWEVER...THERE IS LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE ON THE
TIMING AND AMOUNT OF ACCUMULATING SNOW GIVEN DIFFERENCES IN THE
TRACK AND INTENSITY OF MODEL SOLUTIONS.

REGARDLESS...EVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR SUCH AN EARLY SEASON
ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL IS SOMEWHAT RARE. FOR HISTORICAL
CONTEXT...THE EARLIEST RECORDED MEASURABLE SNOWFALL AT THE
ANCHORAGE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (GREATER THAN A TRACE) WAS THE
21ST OF SEPTEMBER 1996 (A TENTH OF AN INCH OF SNOW FELL THAT DAY).

DETAILS FOR TUESDAY WILL BECOME MORE CERTAIN BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND...SO STAY TUNED FOR CONTINUED FORECAST UPDATES.

AHSENMACHER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 26, 3:41 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC35 hr
Sep 26, 3:41 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Sep 26, 3:17 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC37 hr
Sep 26, 3:17 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.