Small Craft Advisory 749, NWS Anchorage, AK

134 
FZAK51 PAFC 261149
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-270030-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK
INLET...

A FRONT WILL ENTER THE NORTHWESTERN GULF THIS AFTERNOON AND TRACK
TO THE EASTERN GULF SUN. ANOTHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF SUN MORNING AND TRACK TO THE NORTHERN GULF SUN
NIGHT...AND THEN TO THE EASTERN GULF MON.

$$

PKZ119-270030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-270030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-270030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-270030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-270030-
PORT VALDEZ-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-270030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-270030-
VALDEZ ARM-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-270030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-270030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-270030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-270030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-270030-
CHINIAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-270030-
MARMOT BAY-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-270030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-270030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-270030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-270030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
349 AM AKDT SAT SEP 26 2015

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
519 AM AKDT FRI SEP 25 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A PATTERN CHANGE IS IMMINENT ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING AS A
POTENT ARCTIC TROUGH SWINGS OVER THE NORTHERN MAINLAND FROM THE
CHUKCHI SEA AND FLATTENS OUT THE RIDGE OVER THE BERING SEA...
YIELDING MOIST ZONAL FLOW FROM THE CENTRAL BERING INTO THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND. LIGHT RAIN IS SPREADING OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA
ALONG AN EAST TO WEST ORIENTED FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM
THE NORTHERN BERING INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. A NARROW UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE IS PROMOTING ONE MORE MORNING OF MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BEFORE CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION BEGIN TO
SPREAD INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST LATER TODAY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
GUIDANCE IS IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH RESPECT TO THE
SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT CONTINUES TO DIFFER ON
SOME OF THE SMALLER SCALE DETAILS AS VARIOUS DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED
IN THE BROAD WESTERLY FLOW MOVE OVERHEAD THROUGH SATURDAY. MAINLY
UTILIZED THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS FOR ENHANCED DETAIL EARLY ON
BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO GLOBAL MODELS TOWARDS THE MID TERM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A FLATTENED UPPER RIDGE WILL MAKE ITS WAY INTO SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA...BRINGING WARM AND MOIST AIR WITH IT. MEANWHILE...A STRONG
UPPER JET WILL DRIVE A DEEP UPPER LOW EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN
ALASKA...WITH A SHORT-WAVE DIGGING INTO INTERIOR ALASKA FOLLOWED
CLOSELY BY A SURFACE COLD FRONT. ONE OF THE PRIMARY FORECAST
CHALLENGES TODAY IS PRECIPITATION-TYPE. DEEP WESTERLY FLOW ACROSS
THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES WILL LEAD TO A LEE SIDE TROUGH
WHICH WILL CAUSE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL USHER WARMER AIR NORTHWARD. HOWEVER...THE AIR
MASS IN PLACE OVER INLAND PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL IS CURRENTLY
COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW (AS INDICATED BY THE WET-BULB ZERO OF NEAR
SEA LEVEL ON THE 12Z ANCHORAGE SOUNDING). THE WARM AIR WILL TAKE A
WHILE TO MAKE ITS WAY NORTHWARD. THEREFORE...IT IS LOOKING LIKE
PRECIPITATION WILL START AS SNOW BY LATE THIS MORNING ACROSS
NEARLY ALL OF THE MAT-SU. STILL EXPECT A FAIRLY QUICK TURNOVER TO
RAIN...BUT HAVE INTRODUCED SOME VERY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS IN THESE
AREAS. MEANWHILE...IT NOW LOOKS LIKE THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY
AS WELL AS ALONG THE NORTHERN TO EASTERN COPPER BASIN WILL STAY
MOSTLY SNOW FOR THIS EVENT...SO HAVE TRENDED UPWARD WITH SNOW
AMOUNTS.

THE DEEP WESTERLY FLOW WILL WORK AGAINST PRECIP ON THE EAST SIDES
OF THE MOUNTAINS DUE TO DOWNSLOPE DRYING. THUS MOST OF THE PRECIP
WILL FALL IN UPSLOPE AREAS ON THE WEST SIDE OF MOUNTAIN RANGES.
MOST PLACES WILL QUICKLY DRY OUT TONIGHT AS THE UPPER WAVE EXITS
TO THE EAST AND THE SURFACE COLD FRONT DROPS SOUTHWARD ACROSS
INTERIOR SOUTHCENTRAL. THIS WILL BE A SHORT-LIVED BREAK AS THE
UPPER RIDGE SLIDES EASTWARD OPENING THE WAY FOR WARM TROPICAL AIR
TO STREAM NORTHWARD FROM THE PACIFIC TOWARD MAINLAND ALASKA.
RAIN WILL INITIALLY BE SPOTTY SATURDAY...BUT EXPECT WIDESPREAD
RAIN ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL BY EARLY SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE ARCTIC LOW OVER THE NORTHWEST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A
FRONTAL SYSTEM DRAPED OVER THE NORTHERN BERING INTO THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND. THIS WILL BRING CONTINUED ONSHORE FLOW AND WIDESPREAD
RAIN TO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. AHEAD OF
THIS RAINFALL...AREAS OF FOG ARE PRESENT THIS MORNING IN LOW
LYING AREAS...HOWEVER WITH THE RAIN BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA THIS SHOULD BEGIN TO MIX OUT BY MID MORNING. THE MODELS HAVE
TRENDED SLIGHTLY WARMER ALOFT OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND LOWER
VALLEY TONIGHT...AND WITH DEEP WARM AIR ADVECTION THE MENTION OF
SNOW FOR THE NORTHERN KUSKOKWIM DELTA WAS REMOVED. THERE IS AN
OUTSIDE CHANCE THAT ENOUGH COLD AIR WILL REMAIN OVER THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY TONIGHT TO ALLOW RAIN TO MIX OR BRIEFLY SWITCH OVER TO
SNOW. TEMPERATURES HOWEVER WILL BE ABOVE FREEZING SO ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE MINIMAL.

THE FORECAST WILL THEN REMAIN WET IN MOST AREAS INTO THIS WEEKEND
AS THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING. THIS SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE
DEEP AND MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW THROUGHOUT THE AREA...CAUSING
FREEZING LEVELS TO RISE HIGH ENOUGH TO KEEP ALL PRECIPITATION IN
THE FORM OF RAIN. THIS LOW WILL THEN SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE
WESTERN INTERIOR...KEEPING WIDESPREAD RAIN IN THE AREA THROUGH
SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER THE
NORTHERN BERING WILL BRING RAIN TO THE REGION INTO THIS WEEKEND.
OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA...WESTERLY WINDS WILL QUICKLY BECOME
SOUTHERLY TODAY...HOWEVER WITH GOOD WARM AIR ADVECTION EXPECTED
WIND GUSTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE OVERLY STRONG. THIS SYSTEM WILL
THEN SPREAD INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING ON
SATURDAY...SPREADING RAIN INTO THE SOUTHWEST COAST. ON THE WESTERN
SIDE OF THIS LOW...NORTHERLY GALE FORCE WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER
THE WESTERN BERING AS COLD AIR ADVECTION DEVELOPS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS SIMILAR AMONGST THE VARIOUS
MODELS WITH A DISTURBANCE TRACKING FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC AND
INTO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS/BERING SATURDAY. THEN AN ARCTIC TROUGH
DIGS DOWN OVER THE BERING WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW FORMING OVER THE
NORTHERN BERING OVERNIGHT SUNDAY. THIS LOW WILL THEN TRACK OVER
MAINLAND ALASKA EARLY NEXT WEEK USHERING IN COLD AIR FROM THE
NORTH. HOWEVER...THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE TIMING
AND PLACEMENT OF THE MAJOR FEATURES AS THE TROUGH SETS UP OVER THE
MAINLAND. THIS RESULTS IN SEVERAL PROBLEMS WITH THE FORECAST...WITH
THE FIRST BEING RAIN FOR THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND THIS WEEKEND AND
INTO THE EARLY PART OF NEXT WEEK. THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT
IT WILL RAIN THIS WEEKEND...BUT LOW CONFIDENCE FOR WHEN THE
HEAVIEST AMOUNTS WILL MOVE THROUGH.

CURRENTLY WE ARE EXPECTING THE HEAVIER RAIN TO MAKE IT INTO THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND DURING THE DAY ON SATURDAY...AND THEN PUSHING
INTO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. MODELS CONTINUE TO
STRUGGLE FROM THIS POINT ON...BUT HAVE RECENTLY COME INTO SLIGHTLY
BETTER AGREEMENT AS THE TROUGH TRACKS EASTWARD OVER THE GULF AND
RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE BERING DURING THE LATER PART OF THE WEEK.
EVEN THOUGHT THERE IS STILL SOME MODEL DISCREPANCY AS TO WHEN THE
RAIN WILL LET UP AND COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL USHER IN OVER THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND...MODELS ARE NOW IN FAIR ENOUGH AGREEMENT WHERE
WE CAN SAY THAT THE RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND WILL TAPER OFF
BETWEEN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY MORNING. AT THIS POINT
THERE IS STILL LOW CONFIDENCE THAT PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN LONG
ENOUGH TO INTERACT WITH THE COLDER AIR MOVING IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST...RESULTING IN LOW CONFIDENCE FOR MEASURABLE SNOW TO
MAKE IT INTO SOUTHCENTRAL.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...138.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SEB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...TP/DK