Small Craft Advisory 482, NWS Anchorage, AK

187 
FZAK52 PAFC 081156
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-090100-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 988 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 50 NM WEST OF COLD
BAY AT 990 MB MON NIGHT...THEN TO 60 NM NORTHWEST OF SITKINAK AT
1000 MB TUE NIGHT. A 990 MB LOW OVER EASTERN RUSSIA MON NIGHT WILL
TRACK TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF GAMBELL AT 997 MB TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-090100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 9 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-090100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ160-090100-
BRISTOL BAY-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OR LESS IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-090100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-090100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT W OF
UNALASKA IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-090100-
UNALASKA BAY-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-090100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ173-090100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-090100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ175-090100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ176-090100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ177-090100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ178-090100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-090100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF DENSE FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-090100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-090100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF DENSE FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-090100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
356 AM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 20 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF DENSE FOG E OF SAINT MATTHEW.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW 15 KT EAST OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG EAST OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

609 
FZAK52 PAFC 082305
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091145-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 988 MB LOW 140 NM EAST OF ADAK WILL MOVE NEAR PORT HEIDEN AT
992 MB TUE AFTERNOON AND THEN TO 75 NM EAST OF KODIAK AT 1005 MB
WED AFTERNOON. A 990 MB LOW OVER EASTERN RUSSIA MON NIGHT WILL
TRACK TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF GAMBELL AT 997 MB TUE NIGHT AND THEN
DISSIPATE WED.

$$

PKZ150-091145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING 
TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ155-091145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT....S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO
15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ160-091145-
BRISTOL BAY-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-091145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-091145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-091145-
UNALASKA BAY-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-091145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-091145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-091145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ175-091145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-091145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ177-091145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-091145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ179-091145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-091145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-091145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-091145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
305 PM AKDT MON JUN 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
357 AM AKDT SUN JUN 7 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE UPPER AIR PATTERN OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC IS IN A RAPID
TRANSITION MODE FROM HIGHLY AMPLIFIED TO PROGRESSIVE AS THE
LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC OCEAN CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN AND DEAMPLIFY. A WEAK LOW ALONG THE PACIFIC JET CAN BE SEEN
ON WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY TRACKING TOWARD THE ALCAN AND
SPREADING MOISTURE TOWARD THE GULF COAST. MIDDLETON RADAR IS IS
PICKING THIS UP AS A BROAD REGION OF RAINFALL OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF. OTHERWISE...THE MAIN FEATURE OF SIGNIFICANCE CONTINUES TO BE
A CLOSED UPPER LOW...NOW RETROGRADING INTO FAR EASTERN SIBERIA
FROM ITS PREVIOUS LOCATION NEAR THE BERING STRAIT YESTERDAY. NEAR
THE ARCTIC CIRCLE...AN "ANCHORING" POLAR LOW WILL MERGE WITH THE
AFOREMENTIONED CLOSED LOW OVER EASTERN SIBERIA TODAY AND MONDAY.
FINALLY...A ZONAL MOVING SUBTROPICAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING
EAST OFF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL PHASE WITH THE SIBERIAN
LOW...EFFECTIVELY RESULTING IN A CLOSED LOW/CLOSED LOW/WAVE MERGER
ALOFT. THIS TRIPLE MERGER IS...TO SAY THE LEAST... RELATIVELY
IMPRESSIVE...AND WILL BRING A RETURN TO CLOUDIER AND COOLER ACROSS
MUCH OF SOUTHERN ALASKA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK AFTER A SHORT REPRIEVE
TODAY. THE BEST CHANCES FOR WET WEATHER IN THIS PATTERN WILL OCCUR
ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN...ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AND ACROSS
COASTAL LOCATIONS FROM KODIAK TO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. INTERIOR
LOCATIONS WILL TEND TO REMAIN DRIER ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL OWING TO A
FAVORABLE DOWNSLOPE DRYING PATTERN...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN. WITH A BUILDING COASTAL RIDGE AXIS ALONG THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST AHEAD OF THE FRONT...SOME PORTIONS OF THE COPPER BASIN
MAY SEE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS BY MONDAY EVEN IN
THE PRESENCE OF HIGH CLOUDS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE STILL IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
LARGE SCALE PATTERN ALL THE WAY THROUGH LATE WEEK BEFORE THEY
DIVERGE OVER THE WEEKEND. WITH SMALLER SCALE DETAILS...THERE ARE
SOME SLIGHT BUT IMPORTANT DIFFERENCES WITH THE WAY THE NUMERICAL
MODELS SIMULATE THE PHASING OF THE NPAC SHORTWAVE TROUGH WITH THE
SIBERIAN LOW. THIS THEN RESULTS IN SLIGHT TRACK DIFFERENCES OF THE
SURFACE LOW AS IT MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA...AND THE
ASSOCIATED INLAND PRECIPITATION PATTERN. FOR NOW...A GENERAL
APPROACH FAVORING THE ECMWF AND NAM WAS FAVORED AS THEY DEPICT A
SIMILAR LOW TRACK. THE NAM WIND FIELDS WERE FAVORED...ALTHOUGH THE
NAM PRECIP FIELDS MAY BE OVERLY DRY EVEN IN THE MIDST OF A
FAVORABLE DOWNSLOPE FLOW PATTERN. WITH THAT SAID...MOST INLAND
LOCATIONS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL WERE TRENDED TOWARD SLIGHTLY LESS
FAVORABLE PRECIPITATION CHANCES IN THE FORECAST...ESPECIALLY FROM
ANCHORAGE NORTH AND ACROSS THE COPPER BASIN.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2...SUN AND
MON)...GENERALLY BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW ACROSS THE REGION WILL
SUPPORT SHOWER ACTIVITY TODAY WHICH SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE
NIGHT IN MANY PLACES AS AN UPPER WAVE MOVES NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
REGION TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
IS STILL POSSIBLE OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND ALONG THE
TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS AS THE THERMAL TROUGH AND UNSTABLE CONDITIONS
CONTINUES ACROSS THESE AREAS. CONDITIONS WILL BECOME SOMEWHAT
MORE STABLE ON MON AS COOLER AIR COMING IN FROM THE GULF PUSHES
THE THERMAL TROUGH FURTHER NORTH. WIND PATTERNS WILL TREND MORE
TOWARD SEA BREEZES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THOUGH SOME WEAK
GAP FLOWS WILL STILL HOLD OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN.

A WEATHER FRONT STARTS ROLLING NORTH ACROSS THE GULF ON MON
AFTERNOON/NIGHT. IT SHOULD BRING GALES TO THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN
GULF. THE COASTAL RIDGE WILL BUILD WITH THE APPROACH OF THE FRONT
AND COMBINED WITH THE THERMAL TROUGH IN THE INTERIOR PRODUCE BRISK
GAP FLOWS IN THE FAVORED AREAS (TURNAGAIN ARM/PORTAGE VALLEY/KNIK
ARM/COPPER RIVER) BEGINNING MON AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WITH
THIS SYSTEM WILL GENERALLY FALL MAINLY ALONG THE COAST WITH
TYPICAL DOWNSLOPE CONDITIONS TO THE LEE OF THE CHUGACH AND KENAI
MOUNTAINS. AS SUCH...THE COPPER RIVER BASIN OVERALL WILL SEE
GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS AND COMBINED WITH STRONG GUSTY SOUTH
WINDS COULD BE CLOSE TO RED FLAG THRESHOLDS FOR A BRIEF PERIOD
MON AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE MAINLAND TODAY AS
A WEAK DISTURBANCE IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT PUSHES ONSHORE. A
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLED OUT OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THAT AREA. MOST OF THE RAIN SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE KUSKOKWIM
MOUNTAINS AND ALASKA RANGE. SOME AREAS OF INTERIOR BRISTOL BAY
COULD SEE LIGHT SHOWERS AS WELL AS THE ALEUTIAN RANGE/ALASKA
PENINSULA. A FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE ALEUTIANS
MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY WILL INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR
WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE MAINLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE ALOFT AND DECAYING FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
CONTINUE TO SKIRT THE CHAIN TODAY FROM THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
THROUGH THE ALASKA PENINSULA BRINGING A QUICK SHOT OF RAIN FROM
WEST TO EAST. CLOSE BEHIND...A STRONGER FRONT AND LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL SPREAD A BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN OVER MUCH OF THE
ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN BERING SEA...PROGRESSING EASTWARD THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A LONGWAVE TROUGH COVERING MUCH OF THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS EARLY
IN THE WEEK WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD AND BECOME MORE
NEGATIVELY TILTED OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND BY MID WEEK. A RIDGE
OVER THE GULF WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD EASTWARD INTO EASTERN
ALASKA/NORTHWEST CANADA THROUGH MID WEEK...AS A SERIES OF WEAK
WAVES ROTATE AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH AND PUSH THE RIDGE
FURTHER EASTWARD. WEAK RIDGING THEN TRIES TO BUILD BACK OVER THE
BERING/ALEUTIANS FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC BY THE END OF THE
WEEK...BUT IS HALTED BY A POLAR TROUGH STRETCHING DOWN OVER THE
CENTRAL BERING FRIDAY. THIS TROUGH THEN REDEVELOPS OVER THE
WESTERN BERING AS IT COMBINES WITH AN UPPER LOW TRACKING IN FROM
THE NORTH PACIFIC...PUSHING THE WEAK BERING RIDGE BACK OVER THE
GULF/SOUTHEAST ALASKA. THIS PATTERN IS VERY SIMILAR TO THE ONE
THAT WILL SET UP OVER THE AREA EARLIER IN THE WEEK.

AT THE SURFACE...MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND
WILL KEEP SHOWERY CONDITIONS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH MUCH OF THE
LONG TERM. THE BULK OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE CONFINED TO THE
NORTHERN AND WESTERN GULF COAST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY...AS A
DECAYING LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT TRACK INTO THE THE WESTERN GULF.
DURING THIS TIME...SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW OVER THE CHUGACH AND
ALEUTIAN RANGE WILL KEEP AREAS JUST WEST OF THE RANGES DOWNSLOPED
FROM MUCH OF THE PRECIPITATION. GAP WINDS ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST AND COPPER RIVER WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP AS RIDGING BUILDS
INTO THE GULF EARLY IN THE WEEK. WINDS THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM ARE
EXPECTED TO BEND DOWN INLET AND STAY OUT OF THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL...AS THERE WILL BE A LIMITED AMOUNT OF BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER
(DIURNAL HEATING) OVER ANCHORAGE OR THE LOWER SUSITNA VALLEY AT
THIS TIME. OUT WEST...A LOW OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL WEAKEN
AND TRACK EASTWARD OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY MID WEEK...KEEPING
SHOWERY CONDITIONS OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE ALEUTIANS AND
BERING THROUGH MID WEEK. WEAK RIDGING BUILDS BACK OVER THE
BERING/ALEUTIANS MID WEEK...TAPERING OFF MOST OF THE SHOWERY
CONDITIONS OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. RAINY AND
WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PICK BACK UP OVER THE WESTERN/CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY...AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHES
FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC.

THE MODELS WERE IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT TODAY WITH THE OVERALL
SYNOPTIC PATTERN MENTIONED ABOVE. THE GFS HAS STARTED TO COME
INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE OTHER MODELS...WHICH HELPED RAISE
FORECAST CONFIDENCE HIGHER THROUGH MUCH OF THE LONG TERM.
HOWEVER...THERE ARE STILL SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS WITH THE
TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH FROM MIDWEEK INTO THE WEEKEND...KEEPING OVERALL FORECAST
CONFIDENCE SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JRA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MTL
LONG TERM...TP