Gale Warning 912, NWS Anchorage, AK

979 
FZAK51 PAFC 200013
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-201315-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 969 MB LOW 130 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES OVER SITKA AND
WEAKENS TO 981 MB MON AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT SWEEPS 
FROM THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA TO THE SOUTHEAST ALASKA COAST
BEFORE DISSIPATING.

$$

PKZ119-201315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ120-201315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-201315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-201315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-201315-
PORT VALDEZ-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-201315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ128-201315-
VALDEZ ARM-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ129-201315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ130-201315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-201315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-201315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ136-201315-
CHINIAK BAY-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-201315-
MARMOT BAY-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-201315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT 
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ139-201315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ140-201315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN 
ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 1 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ141-201315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
313 PM AKST SAT DEC 19 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
503 PM AKST FRI DEC 18 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE MAIN FEATURE TODAY IS THE BERING SEA LOW AND THE ASSOCIATED
FRONT THAT IS NOW ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST. THE TRIPLE POINT LOW
IS EVIDENT IN THE SATELLITE IMAGERY FORMING SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND. THE BERING SEA LOW IS VERTICALLY STACKED PROGRESSING TO
THE EAST. A SECONDARY TROUGH EXTENDS FROM THE LOW CENTER SOUTHEAST
TO THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS. AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE OF THIS LOW IS
SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE AIR AS INDICATED BY THE SHOWERS IN THE
SATELLITE IMAGERY. STRONG WEST FLOW PERSISTS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
BERING SEA.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

THE MODELS ARE STRUGGLING TO CONVERGE ON A SOLUTION WITH RESPECT
TO THE TRIPLE POINT LOW FORMING SOUTH OF KODIAK AND MOVING IT TO
THE NORTH GULF COAST. WHILE THE DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS ARE NOT MAJOR
THE DISPLACED LOCATION OF THE LOW IN EITHER SOUTHERN COOK INLET OR
SOUTH OF SEWARD RESULTS IN VERY DIFFERENT WEATHER. AT THIS POINT
WE ARE GOING WITH THE NAM FOR THE POSITION OF THIS LOW SOUTH OF
SEWARD. THIS RESULTS IN MOISTURE BEING BROUGHT INTO THE NORTH GULF
COAST AND DOWNSLOPING AROUND COOK INLET.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO HOLD THE STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE
ALEUTIANS ISLANDS THROUGH SATURDAY. ANOTHER STORM IS ON TAP TO
MOVE INTO THE ALEUTIANS SUNDAY. THE MODELS HAVE NOT CONVERGED ON A
SOLUTION AS OF YET. WE WILL BE OPTING TO A BLEND OF THE GFS WITH
THE WPC GUIDANCE TO HANDLE THIS SYSTEM FOR NOW UNTIL THE MODELS
CAN COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A GALE FORCE FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH KODIAK ISLAND WILL BE
THE FOCAL POINT FOR WEATHER THROUGHOUT THE AREA AS IT PROGRESSES
TOWARDS THE NORTH GULF COAST TOMORROW. THIS FRONT WILL BRING
PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW TO THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND...INCLUDING THE TURNAGAIN PASS AREA. COASTAL AREAS
ON THE OTHER HAND WILL EXPERIENCE GUSTY WINDS WITH A RAIN/SNOW
MIX...WHICH ALONG WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING WILL KEEP
BLOWING SNOW CONCERNS TO A MINIMUM. SOUTHCENTRAL ON THE OTHER HAND
WILL SEE MOSTLY DOWNSLOPING CONDITIONS FROM THE CHUGACH
MOUNTAINS...WITH LITTLE PRECIPITATION AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG
HIGHER ELEVATIONS AND TERRAIN GAPS EXPECTED. AS THE FRONT
DISSIPATES SATURDAY EVENING A SHORTWAVE APPROACHING THE KENAI
PENINSULA WILL BRING A BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW FROM THE KENAI
PENINSULA NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHCENTRAL. THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL
LIKELY OCCUR ALONG THE HOMER BLUFF DUE TO MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW FROM
COOK INLET. THERE IS A POTENTIAL THAT THIS SNOW COULD EVEN REACH
ADVISORY LEVEL...HOWEVER AS IT IS ONLY EXPECTED TO SNOW AT THIS
RATE FOR 3-6 HOURS...THE CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ACCUMULATIONS
SHOULD REMAIN JUST UNDER CRITERIA. SNOW WILL THEN MOVE NORTHWARD
TOWARDS THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND MATANUSKA VALLEY SATURDAY
EVENING...BRINGING A FEW INCHES OF NEW SNOW TO THE AREA THAT WILL
PERSIST INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL RAPIDLY TRANSITION TO A SHOWERY
REGIME THIS EVENING AS THE FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH INLAND AND
WEAKEN. THE EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF
BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY...WHERE MORE STRATIFORM SNOW
WILL LINGER THROUGH TONIGHT AS A TRIPLE POINT LOW DEVELOPING
ALONG THE FRONT IN THE VICINITY OF KODIAK ISLAND PASSES JUST TO
THE EAST. THIS WILL YIELD SEVERAL ADDITIONAL INCHES OF
ACCUMULATION NEAR AND ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING BEFORE AN UPPER TROUGH PUSHES THROUGH FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
OTHERWISE...SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
SUNDAY IN ONSHORE FLOW AS THE BERING LOW SLOWLY MOVES TOWARDS THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE MAIN FORECAST CONCERN IN THE BERING CONTINUES TO BE THE LARGE
SWATH OF STORM FORCE WINDS BEING DRIVEN BY COLD ADVECTION IN
WESTERLY FLOW ON THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF THE LOW. THESE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EASTWARD TOWARDS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS
LATER TONIGHT AS THE LOW PASSES TO THE NORTH...WITH A HIGH WIND
WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING.
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH BELOW STORM FORCE BY SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE LOW SLOWLY WEAKENS...HOWEVER GALE FORCE WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT A LARGE PORTION OF THE EASTERN BERING
THROUGH SUNDAY. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER PAIR OF NORTH PACIFIC LOWS
WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BERING ON SATURDAY AS
A LOW MOVING TOWARDS THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA DRAGS A FRONT THROUGH
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. ANOTHER LOW WILL THEN FORM ALONG THIS FRONT
AND MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS ON SUNDAY...BRINGING
ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THOSE AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THERE WILL BE A WEAK LOW IN THE IN THE NORTHERN GULF ON SUNDAY
MORNING. WHILE AN UPSTREAM LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE BRISTOL BAY
AREA MOVES INTO THE GULF BY MONDAY MORNING AND PHASES WITH THE
REMNANTS OF LOW IN THE NORTHERN GULF. THESE TWO SYNOPTIC FEATURES
WILL TRANSITION INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE
NORTHERN GULF BEFORE GRADUALLY MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST BY TUESDAY.
THE MAJORITY OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR ALONG THE NORTHERN
GULF COASTAL COMMUNITIES IN THE FORM OF SNOW. THE BARREN ISLAND
REGION WILL HAVE RAIN AND SNOW EXCEPT FOR ALL RAIN FOR KODIAK
ISLAND WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S. THE
SOUTHCENTRAL REGION WILL HAVE COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRIER
CONDITIONS WITH OFFSHORE NORTHERLY WINDS BY MONDAY THROUGH THE
MIDWEEK.

ON THE BERING SEA SIDE A STORM FORCE LOW DEVELOPS AND TRACKS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS NEAR ADAK BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL BRING GALE FORCE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM
WITH STORM FORCE WESTERLY WINDS SOUTH OF CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE A TRIPLE POINT LOW FORMING
NEAR THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS OUT AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM ON MONDAY.
THESES SYNOPTIC FEATURES WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK EASTWARD INTO THE
GULF BY MIDWEEK WITH A STRONG ZONAL JET STREAM SOUTH OF THE CHAIN.
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THIS SYSTEM AND THE ECMWF IS
THE OUTLIER WITH MOVING THIS SYSTEM FASTER TO THE EAST COMPARED TO
THE GFS WHICH WAS THE PREFERRED MODEL WITH A SLOWER STORM TRACK
WITH THIS SYSTEM. THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE AT BEST WITH
PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS. THE NEXT SYSTEM ENTERING THE AREA WILL BE A
NORTH PACIFIC LOW FORMING BY WEDNESDAY SOUTH OF THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS. THE ECMWF REMAINS AN OUTLIER IN MOVING THIS SYSTEM
RAPIDLY INTO THE NORTHERN BERING THROUGH THE MIDWEEK. THE GFS/WPC
GUIDANCES HAVE BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM
THAN THE ECMWF. BY WEDNESDAY EVENING THIS SYSTEM WILL BE OVER THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS AS THE JET STREAM WILL BE TRANSITIONING TO A
STRONG SOUTH TO NORTH MERIDIONAL FLOW. THIS WILL AID IN THE RAPID
INTENSIFICATION OF THIS NORTH PACIFIC LOW. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND STRATUS WITH GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE CHAIN AND
THE LOWER BERING SEA THROUGH THE MIDWEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING...195.
MARINE...STORMS...170 173 175 176 177
				  179 411 412 413 414
 		 GALES...119 120 125 127 130 131 132 141 150 155
 				 165 171 172 174 178 180 185 351 352

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DEK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...PD