Gale Warning 878, NWS Anchorage, AK

379 
FZAK52 PAFC 090046
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091330-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 968 MB LOW 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR BECOMES ABSORBED BY
A 957 MB LOW 150 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY BY WED MORNING. AN
ASSOCIATED FRONT DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL BERING WED MORNING
DRIFTS THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING BY THU MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-091330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ155-091330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT NE 25 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ160-091330-
BRISTOL BAY-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY NEAR
THE ICE EDGE.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ165-091330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ170-091330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT.

$$

PKZ171-091330-
UNALASKA BAY-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-091330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT.

$$

PKZ173-091330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 32 FT.

$$

PKZ174-091330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 36 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 40 FT.

$$

PKZ175-091330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 33 FT.

$$

PKZ176-091330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 46 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 41 FT.

$$

PKZ177-091330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 48 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 36 FT.

$$

PKZ178-091330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...BERING SIDE...NE WIND 20 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...BERING SIDE...NE WIND 20 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...NW WIND
25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 36 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 34 FT.

$$

PKZ179-091330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 30 FT.

$$

PKZ180-091330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 25 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT 20 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 15 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ181-091330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ185-091330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
346 PM AKST TUE DEC 8 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 33 FT.

$$

030 
FZAK52 PAFC 091244
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-100130-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1000 MB LOW 150 NM WEST OF SHEMYA DISSIPATES 130 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SHEMYA WED AFTERNOON. A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL BERING DRIFTS
THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING BY THU MORNING. A 989 MB LOW DEVELOPS
160 NM WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM THU MORNING AND MOVES TO 90 NM
NORTHWEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM AT 988 MB FRI MORNING. 

$$

PKZ150-100130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ155-100130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.

$$

PKZ160-100130-
BRISTOL BAY-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ165-100130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SW 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 8 FT.
SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ170-100130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT.

$$

PKZ171-100130-
UNALASKA BAY-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ172-100130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 35 FT.

$$

PKZ173-100130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 60 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT.

$$

PKZ174-100130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 60 KT. SEAS 33 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 41 FT.

$$

PKZ175-100130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 60 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT.

$$

PKZ176-100130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 65 KT. SEAS 45 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 41 FT.

$$

PKZ177-100130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 40 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT.

$$

PKZ178-100130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 60 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT.

$$

PKZ179-100130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 31 FT.

$$

PKZ180-100130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ181-100130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ185-100130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
344 AM AKST WED DEC 9 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
455 PM AKST MON DEC 7 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE BERING AND NORTH PACIFIC
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER FOR MUCH OF THE STATE...WHILE
KEEPING THE JET STREAM WELL SOUTH OF THE AOR. UNDER THIS UPPER
LEVEL LOW A DEVELOPING LOW CENTERED SOUTH OF THE GULF IS BRINGING
A FRONT NORTHWARD INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE
DEVELOPING AND MOVING INTO THE GULF TONIGHT AND BE THE FOCUS FOR
THE WEATHER THROUGHOUT THE GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL THIS WEEK. AHEAD
OF THIS LOW...RIDGING CONTINUES TO HOLD OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND THAT RESULTED IN WIDESPREAD FOG AND STRATUS OVER INLAND
LOCATIONS OVERNIGHT. THIS FOG HOWEVER QUICKLY DIMINISHED SOON
AFTER SUNRISE AS NORTHERLY WINDS DEVELOPED AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING GULF LOW. OVER THE BERING A WEAKENING FRONT
STRETCHING FROM THE AKPEN TO THE PRIBILOFS IS BRINGING RAIN AND
SNOW TO THE AREA. OVER A WESTERN BERING A SHORTWAVE MOVING TO THE
SOUTH IS BRINGING SNOW AND GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS...WHICH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE AREA THROUGH LATE
TONIGHT.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE FROM THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE WITH PLACEMENT
OF THE DEEPENING LOW IN THE GULF TUE-WED. THE EC HAS BEEN THE MOST
CONSISTENT OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS BY KEEPING THE LOW CENTER OVER
THE WESTERN-CENTRAL GULF...WHILE THE REST HAD TRENDED TOWARDS THE
PANHANDLE. NOW WITH THIS MORNINGS MODEL RUNS THEY ALL BRING THE
LOW INTO THE WESTERN OR CENTRAL GULF...HOWEVER THE 12Z EC HAS
TRENDED MUCH FURTHER WEST THAN ANY OTHER SOLUTION. THIS WILL BE
TREATED AS AN OUTLIER AND THE OLD 00Z EC AND NEW 12Z GFS WERE USED
TO UPDATE THE FORECAST TODAY. THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED IN
LATER RUNS HOWEVER...AS A FURTHER WEST TRACK OF THIS LOW WOULD
RESULT IN THE A LARGE CHANGE TO THE WESTERN GULF
FORECAST...ESPECIALLY AROUND KODIAK ISLAND AND SOUTHERN COOK
INLET.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS LOOK TO CONTINUE FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE
SOUTHCENTRAL WITH RIDGING OVER THE AREA. HOWEVER...THE RIDGING IS
PUSHING OFF TO THE EAST WHILE A NEW LOW IS MOVING INTO THE GULF
TUESDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WITH THIS LOW WILL BRING SNOW TO
COASTAL LOCATIONS ON WEDNESDAY BUT ACTIVITY SHOULD STAY ON THE
GULF SIDE OF THE COASTAL RANGES.

THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR TONIGHT IS FOR FOG AND STRATUS
FORMATION AROUND COOK INLET AND THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. WITH THE
RIDGING MOVING OFF TO THE EAST AND A CHANGE IN LOW LEVEL FLOW AS
THE RIDGE AXIS HAS MOVED EAST OF THE COOK INLET AREA FOG FORMATION
IS LESS LIKELY THAN IT HAS BEEN THE LAST COUPLE NIGHTS. THERE IS
STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR FOG TO FORM AROUND COOK INLET BUT
CONFIDENCE IS LOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A WEAK DISTURBANCE PASSING THROUGH THE EASTERN BERING WILL BRING A
FEW SNOW SHOWERS TO THE WESTERN CAPES AND COASTAL AREAS OF THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA THROUGH TONIGHT. OTHERWISE...GRADUALLY CLEARING
SKIES AND SEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL ACROSS THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVERHEAD AND MAINTAINS STRONG OFFSHORE FLOW. GUSTY
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL ALLOW WIND CHILLS TO DIP AS LOW AS 20
DEGREES BELOW ZERO ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE WORST BLOWING SNOW CONDITIONS SHOULD PEAK LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING ACROSS THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS
BEFORE BOTH WINDS AND PRECIPITATION BEGIN DIMINISH IN INTENSITY AS
AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE PUSHES SOUTH OF SHEMYA. THEREFORE LEFT THE
BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH 9PM THIS EVENING.
ELSEWHERE...MUCH OF THE BERING WILL CONTINUE TO BE DOMINATED BY A
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WITH AN EMBEDDED LOW CENTER REMAINING IN
THE VICINITY OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. THE
MOST INTENSE PRECIPITATION WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER WAVE
ROTATING AROUND THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF THIS LOW...BRINGING A
MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW TO THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING. MEANWHILE...SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE WESTERN
HALF OF THE BERING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK IN COLD
NORTHERLY FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE TROUGH.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE BERING...WHICH HAS BEEN A SEMI-
PERMANENT FEATURE LATELY...WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND AND WESTERN GULF BY THE END OF THE WEEK. BRIEF
RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE MAINLAND BEHIND THE TROUGH SATURDAY...
BUT IS QUICKLY REPLACED BY ANOTHER LONGWAVE TROUGH SETTING UP
OVER MUCH OF THE BERING THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

AT THE SURFACE...A GALE FORCE FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF
WEDNESDAY WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...BEFORE
EVENTUALLY TRACKING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE PANHANDLE BY THE
WEEKEND. THIS WILL KEEP MUCH OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER CONFINED TO THE
GULF AND EASTERN BERING THROUGH SATURDAY. GENERAL OFFSHORE FLOW
AND SLIGHTLY DRIER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE
SOUTHCENTRAL INTERIOR DURING THIS TIME PERIOD...WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE AREAS SURROUNDING THE GULF COAST. AREAS AROUND
THE GULF COAST WILL EXPERIENCE A SERIES OF FRONTS ROTATING AROUND
THE LOW...BRINGING SOME GUSTY WINDS AND PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. WHILE OVER THE BERING...BROAD NORTHERLY
GALE FORCE WINDS WILL BRING COLD AIR ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS TO THE
AREA. BY THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEKEND...MODELS CONTINUE TO
STRUGGLE WITH THE SPECIFICS OF A STRONG NORTH PACIFIC LOW AND ITS
ASSOCIATED FRONT TRACKING THROUGH THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN AND BERING
SEA. THIS SYSTEM HOLDS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING STRONG WINDS AND
ROUGH SEAS TO THE AREA AS IT TRAVERSES THROUGH THE BERING AND INTO
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST BY THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...
GIVEN THE MAJOR MODEL DIFFERENCES DURING THIS TIME FRAME...FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS
SYSTEM.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...160 180 181 185
 		GALE...119 120 127 130 131 132 136 138 139 150 174 175 177 178
		179 180 181 185 .

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...DK
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...TP