Gale Warning 779, NWS Anchorage, AK

284 
FZAK52 PAFC 161810 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

UPDATED ZONE 155

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-170415-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 999 MB LOW NEAR 75 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES
SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. A COMPLEX NORTHWEST-SOUTHEAST
ORIENTED WEATHER FRONT WITH EMBEDDED LOWS ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN
BERING MON NIGHT AND BECOMES A WEST-EAST ORIENTED FRONT ACROSS THE
CENTRAL BERING TUE NIGHT. A STRENGTHENING 981 MB LOW MOVES
NORTHEAST TO 330 NM WEST OF ATTU TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-170415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ155-170415-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...N WIND 20 KT
INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ160-170415-
BRISTOL BAY-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-170415-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY
FROM PORT MOLLER EAST. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ170-170415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ171-170415-
UNALASKA BAY-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-170415-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-170415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-170415-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-170415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-170415-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ177-170415-
ADAK TO KISKA-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO SW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ178-170415-
KISKA TO ATTU-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-170415-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-170415-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-170415-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-170415-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
910 AM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO
30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...W WIND 25 KT.
SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

738 
FZAK52 PAFC 170054
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-171330-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A 990 MB LOW 320 NM
NORTH OF SHEMYA TUE WILL MOVE TO 30 NM NORTH OF MEKORYUK AT 996
MB WED AFTERNOON. ANOTHER LOW WILL DEVELOP SOUTHEAST OF THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TUE AND TRACK TO 80 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA AT 979
MB WED AFTERNOON. THESE LOWS WILL PUSH A SERIES OF WEATHER FRONTS
ACROSS THE BERING AND THE ALEUTIANS MON NIGHT THROUGH WED.

$$

PKZ150-171330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-171330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND
20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ160-171330-
BRISTOL BAY-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY....MAINLY ALONG THE COAST.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-171330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY...MAINLY E OF PORT MOLLER.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT.
SNOW IN THE MORNING BECOMING RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY...E OF PORT
MOLLER IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-171330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ171-171330-
UNALASKA BAY-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-171330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-171330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-171330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-171330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-171330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ177-171330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ178-171330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-171330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-171330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT DEVELOPING. SEAS 7 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-171330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-171330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
354 PM AKST MON NOV 16 2015

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...NORTH
OF ST MATTHEW.
.TUE...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE
AFTERNOON. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
449 PM AKST SUN NOV 15 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE SURFACE LOW OFF THE NORTH GULF COAST IS CONTINUING TO SLIDE TO
THE EAST. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE INTERIOR IS DROPPING SOUTH
AS THE ASSOCIATED UPPER TROUGH SWINGS TO THE EAST. THIS UPPER LOW
WILL MOVE OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST MONDAY NIGHT AND HELP TO
AMPLIFY THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE COAST. THIS WILL ALSO
USHER IN ANOTHER ROUND OF COLD ADVECTION THAT WILL RESULT IN
INCREASING THE WIND THROUGH THE COASTAL MOUNTAIN GAPS AGAIN MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

THE SURFACE AND UPPER LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BERING SEA WILL CONTINUE
TO MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST CROSSING THE ALASKA PENINSULA TONIGHT.
THE WEAK FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW HAS STALLED JUST OFF THE
BERING SEA COAST AND IS DISSIPATING. COLD AIR WRAPPING INTO THIS
LOW IS RESULTING IN WIDESPREAD SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH IT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE BERING SEA AND ALONG THE ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM WITH
RESPECT TO THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. THE BROAD TROUGH OVER THE
INTERIOR WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE PRIMARY DRIVER OF THE SOUTHERN
MAINLAND WEATHER FOR THE NEXT COUPE OF DAYS. THE JET STREAM
REMAINS SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND THE GULF OF ALASKA. THIS WILL
KEEP THE MAIN STORM TRACK SOUTH OF THE MAINLAND FOR THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THE LONGER RANGE WEATHER AND
HAVE EXHIBITED POOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY FOR THE LATER PART OF
THIS WEEK AND THIS COMING WEEKEND. WHAT THIS MEANS IS WE ARE
RELATIVELY CERTAIN THE PATTERN WILL CHANGE BUT FORECAST CONFIDENCE
WILL BE LOW FOR THE MID TO EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
ANOTHER NIGHT OF COLD TEMPERATURES ARE IN STORE OVER INLAND
AREAS. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE GULF COAST IS RELAXING THIS
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL BRING A BRIEF LULL IN STRONGER OUTFLOW
WINDS...HOWEVER THE GRADIENT TIGHTENS BACK UP IN THE MORNING AND
WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID-WEEK. THERE IS NOT A WHOLE LOT OF UPPER
SUPPORT WITH THESE WINDS...ONLY LOW-LEVEL COLD ADVECTION...BUT
THAT SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO REACH STRONG WIND LEVELS IN MOST
LOCATIONS. SOME PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT ALONG KNIK ARM AND
IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...HOWEVER...THE AIR MASS IS MOSTLY DRY
SO NOTHING WIDESPREAD IS EXPECTED. EXPECT MAINLY CLEAR CONDITIONS
WITH CONTINUED COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THE COLD OUTFLOW
PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH LATE TUESDAY BEFORE A CHANGE IN PATTERN
ROLLS OVERHEAD.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AS A COLD AIR MASS
LIES OVER THE AREA ALONG WITH NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. ON
TUESDAY THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE WESTERLY AS THE UPPER LOW THAT
HAS BEEN OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA MOVES EAST. THIS WILL ALLOW SOME
MOISTURE TO BEGIN PUSHING INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE LOW CENTERED BETWEEN THE PRIBILOFS AND UNALASKA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON WILL CROSS THE TIP OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND
MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF ON MONDAY. ON MONDAY WESTERLY FLOW WILL
DEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE BERING SEA AS THE PATTERN BECOMES MUCH
MORE PROGRESSIVE. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL TRANSIT THE NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL BERING LATE MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT THEN BREAK APART
ALONG THE WEST COAST OF MAINLAND ALASKA. A STRONG SYSTEM WILL PUSH
INTO THE WESTERN BERING/ALEUTIANS LATE MONDAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
THIS SYSTEM WITH THEN PUSH INTO THE CENTRAL BERING/ALEUTIANS
MONDAY NIGHT AND THEN EASTERN BERING TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL
USHER IN A MUCH WARMER AND SOMEWHAT WETTER PATTERN.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK WILL FEATURE A TRANSITION FROM THE CURRENT
PATTERN DOMINATED BY COLD TEMPERATURES AND OUTFLOW WINDS TO MORE
MODERATE TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION.
HOWEVER ASIDE FROM THESE BASIC DETAILS...OVERALL FORECAST
CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW AS MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO OFFER VASTLY
DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS WITH RESPECT TO THE EVOLUTION OF THE PATTERN
DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. THESE DIFFERENCES WILL HAVE A
LARGE IMPACT ON THE DEGREE OF WARMING AND ALSO PRECIPITATION
TYPE. THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF SYSTEMS POISED TO TRAVERSE THE
BERING SEA DURING THE UPCOMING WEEK LOOKS TO BEGIN IMPACTING THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND LATE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY WITH PRECIPITATION
THEN SPREADING TO SOUTHCENTRAL AK IN THE WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY
TIME FRAME. THE ECMWF CONTINUES TO DEPICT A SLOWER AND COLDER
SOLUTION WHICH WOULD LIKELY KEEP PRECIPITATION AS MAINLY
SNOW...WHEREAS THE FASTER AND WARMER GFS SOLUTION WOULD SUGGEST
A TRANSITION TO RAIN. THIS WARMER SOLUTION WOULD ALSO LEAD TO
FREEZING RAIN CONCERNS IF THE COLDER AIR MASS REMAINS IN PLACE
NEAR THE SURFACE. WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR MODEL TRENDS OVER THE
COMING DAYS TO NARROW DOWN THE SPECIFIC DETAILS OF THE FORECAST.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...130 139 180
		 GALE...130 131 132 136 137 138 150 170 172 173 174 175 176 177
 				178 179

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ML
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BL
LONG TERM...CB