Gale Warning 676, NWS Anchorage, AK

822 
FZAK52 PAFC 251324
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

UPDATED 177 178

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-260315-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A NORTH PACIFIC FRONT
NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA SLOWLY DRIFTS
NORTHEAST AND WEAKENS THROUGH MON. A 965 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHWEST
OF ADAK SUN NIGHT MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK AT 969 MB MON
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-260315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-260315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-260315-
BRISTOL BAY-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-260315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ170-260315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ171-260315-
UNALASKA BAY-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-260315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 23 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-260315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ174-260315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ175-260315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ176-260315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ177-260315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT BERING SIDE...26 FT PAC SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-260315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO
16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PAC SIDE...SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT BERING SIDE...33 FT PAC SIDE.
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-260315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-260315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT EARLY BECOMING E WIND 25 KT. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-260315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-260315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
524 AM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

007 
FZAK52 PAFC 252228 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

UPDATED ZONE 171

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-260330-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...A NORTH PACIFIC FRONT
NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA SLOWLY DRIFTS
NORTHEAST AND WEAKENS THROUGH MON. A 965 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHWEST
OF ADAK SUN NIGHT MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK AT 969 MB MON
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-260330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ155-260330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 25 FT.
RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.  
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-260330-
BRISTOL BAY-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-260330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 8 FT.
RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.  
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ170-260330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.  
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ171-260330-
UNALASKA BAY-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 25 KT. 
GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-260330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 23 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.  
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-260330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 11 FT.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ174-260330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING 18 FT.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ175-260330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ176-260330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ177-260330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.MON...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT BERING SIDE...26 FT PAC SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-260330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO
16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PAC SIDE...SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.  
.MON...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT BERING SIDE...33 FT PAC SIDE.
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-260330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.  
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-260330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND TO 15 KT EARLY BECOMING E WIND 25 KT. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-260330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-260330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
228 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

971 
FZAK52 PAFC 252333 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-261245-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A NORTH PACIFIC FRONT NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA
PENINSULA SLOWLY DRIFTS NORTHEAST AND WEAKENS THROUGH MON. A 969 MB
LOW 460 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK SUN NIGHT MOVES TO 340 NM EAST OF
ADAK AT 978 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-261245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ155-261245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-261245-
BRISTOL BAY-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ165-261245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ170-261245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ171-261245-
UNALASKA BAY-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 25 KT. GUSTS
TO 55 KT IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-261245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-261245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-261245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ175-261245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-261245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-261245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT BERING SIDE...20 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ178-261245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 17
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
27 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ179-261245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-261245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-261245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-261245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
333 PM AKDT SUN OCT 25 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
448 PM AKDT SAT OCT 24 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THERE IS A NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF OF ALASKA. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT IS AHEAD OF THE TROUGH (TO
THE NORTHEAST) AND CURRENTLY MOVING ONSHORE. THIS TROUGH IS
ATTACHED TO AN UPPER LOW OVER CENTERED OVER BERING SEA. ANOTHER
TROUGH OFF OF THIS LOW STRETCHES SOUTH INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. A
CYCLONE TO THE EAST OF THIS TROUGH IS RAPIDLY DEEPENING ABOUT 400
MILES SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR. THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
BUILDING AHEAD OF THIS LOW AND BEHIND THE GULF TROUGH. ANOTHER
TROUGH WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW IS JUST NORTH OF THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS AND MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST. THERE IS AN UPPER LEVEL
LOW CENTERED JUST SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WHICH IS
PICKING UP THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TYPHOON CHAMPI.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT. THE MAIN ARE OF
FORECAST CHALLENGE DEALS WITH THE REMNANTS OF FORMER TYPHOON
CHAMPI AS THIS LOW WORKS ITS WAY TOWARD THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS LATER SUNDAY AND MONDAY. THE GLOBAL MODELS NOW AGREE
THAT THIS LOW WILL NOT CURVE BACK TOWARDS THE MAIN LOW (SOUTHWEST
OF THE ALEUTIANS DURING THIS TIME PERIOD) WHILE THE HIGH
RESOLUTION MODELS (NAM AND CANADIAN REGIONAL) CONTINUE THAT IDEA.
THE GLOBAL MODELS BRING THE LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS ALONG
LONGITUDE 180 BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THEY STILL DISAGREE ON THE
STRENGTH...WITH THE GFS THE WEAKEST AT 985 MB COMPARED TO 965 FOR
THE ECMWF AND CANADIAN...AND A BIT WITH THE LOCATION (THE GFS A
LITTLE SOUTHEAST OF THE OTHER TWO). THE AFTERNOON FORECAST PACKAGE
WILL BEGIN TRENDING TOWARD THE GLOBAL MODEL SOLUTION. FORECAST
CONFIDENCE WITH THIS FEATURE IS LOW DUE TO POOR RUN-TO-RUN
CONSISTENCY AND CONTINUED MODEL DISAGREEMENT. FORECAST CONFIDENCE
ELSEWHERE IS ABOVE NORMAL DUE TO THE STABILITY OF THE MAIN
FEATURES AND BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A FRONT ALONG THE COAST OF THE GULF OF ALASKA CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN. GUSTY GAP WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH THIS
EVENING...WHILE RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO LINGER ALONG
THE ALASKA RANGE AND WRANGELL MOUNTAINS OVERNIGHT. RELATIVELY
QUIET WEATHER IS EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ON SUNDAY AS HIGH
PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN. A NEW FRONT WILL BRING RAIN AND GUSTY
WINDS TO KODIAK ISLAND BY MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA THIS EVENING
AS THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW NEAR NUNIVAK ISLAND
CONTINUES TO ROTATE NORTHWARD INTO THE YUKON DELTA. TEMPERATURES
ALOFT WILL BE COLD ENOUGH OVERNIGHT FOR SOME SNOW TO MIX IN WITH
RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA. AS THE FRONT ROTATES INTO A POSITION ALONG THE
Y-K DELTA AND STALLS ON SUNDAY...PRECIPITATION WILL MOSTLY BE
LIMITED TO SHOWERS ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND PORTIONS OF THE
BRISTOL BAY COAST. THE LOW SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR APPROACHING THE
REGION SUNDAY NIGHT WILL REINFORCE THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY...INCREASING RAIN CHANCES AGAIN OVER THE REGION AS
SHORTWAVES ROTATE AROUND THE LOW. WINDS WILL INCREASE WITH THE
APPROACH OF THIS LOW...HOWEVER THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL STAY SOUTH
OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WITH GUSTY WINDS BEING LIMITED TO TERRAIN
GAPS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A VERY STORMY PATTERN IS IN MOTION FOR THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AS THE LOW SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR
RAPIDLY DEEPENS AND APPROACHES THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION LATE
TONIGHT. THE APPROACHING OCCLUDED FRONT WILL BRING WIDE SWATHS OF
GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIAN
COASTAL WATERS. AS THE LOW WILL BE REMAINING SOUTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA...THE STRONGEST WINDS AND HIGHEST WAVE HEIGHTS WILL GENERALLY
BE ON THE PACIFIC SIDE WITH SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS IN THE 20 TO
25 FOOT RANGE ON SUNDAY. WINDS AND SEAS WILL STAY ELEVATED AS THE
LOW MOVES EASTWARD WITH WINDS FALLING BELOW GALE FORCE OVER THE
AREA TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

FURTHER TO THE WEST...A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A LOW NEAR THE
SOUTHERN TIP OF KAMCHATKA WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ON SUNDAY WHILE THE REMNANTS OF TYPHOON CHAMPI
WILL APPROACH THE REGION AND INTERACT WITH THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
THE MODEL SOLUTIONS HAVE STRUGGLED WITH THE LOCATION AND THE
DEGREE OF INTERACTION BETWEEN THE TWO. AS A RESULT...THE FORECAST
OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS HAS CHANGED FAIRLY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM
THE PREVIOUS PACKAGE. WITH THE MODELS NOW SHOWING A SEPARATE LOW
CENTER MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...WINDS ON SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY HAVE BEEN REDUCED OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS TO GALE
FORCE FROM THE HIGH-END STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST. CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST REMAINS ON THE LOWER THAN
NORMAL DUE TO THE PERFORMANCE OF THE MODELS IN HANDLING THIS
SYSTEM.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A LARGE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW LOCATED WELL SOUTH OF THE WESTERN
GULF MONDAY WILL GRADUALLY FILL AS IT DRIFTS EASTWARD THROUGH
TUESDAY. AN ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTH THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN GULF ON MONDAY...BRINGING EAST TO SOUTHEASTERLY GALES AND
RAINY CONDITIONS WITH IT. THE FRONT WILL WEAKEN AS IT LIFTS SLOWLY
NORTHWARD INTO THE NORTHERN GULF TUESDAY...WITH THE CHANCE OF A
SMALL CIRCULATION DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF ON TUESDAY. THIS
DEVELOPING CIRCULATION COULD ACT TO REINFORCE AND PROLONG THE
WINDY AND RAINY CONDITIONS OVER THE NORTH AND WESTERN GULF COAST
THROUGH MID WEEK. HOWEVER...MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH BOTH
THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THESE SYSTEMS. THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT
NORTHERLY OFFSHORE FLOW AND AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE INLAND SHOULD
HELP KEEP PRECIPITATION CONFINED TO THE COASTAL AREAS. AN ACTIVE
NORTH PACIFIC JET STREAM WILL SPIN ADDITIONAL...PROGRESSIVELY
STRENGTHENING FRONTAL SYSTEMS INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK...KEEPING WINDY CONDITIONS IN THE FORECAST AND
EVENTUALLY SPREADING PRECIPITATION FURTHER INLAND.

FURTHER WEST...A STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS MONDAY BRINGING WIDESPREAD GALES AND PRECIPITATION TO
THE AREA. HOWEVER...THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE
CURRENT MODELS REGARDING THE STRENGTH AND TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. AS
A RESULT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING THE TIMING AND STRENGTH
OF THE WINDS OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS REMAINS BELOW
AVERAGE. AS THESE SYSTEMS WEAKEN OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC
TUESDAY...THEY WILL PHASE INTO AN ELONGATED WEST TO EAST UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH RUNNING ALL THE WAY FROM 160E TO 130W. SMALLER SCALE
CIRCULATIONS SPINNING AROUND IN THE BROADER TROUGH WILL KEEP
CONDITIONS UNSETTLED WITH AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWER COVERAGE
ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS...ALASKA PENINSULA AND MUCH OF THE BERING AND
SOUTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH MIDWEEK. A STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER
THE WESTERN BERING WEDNESDAY WILL MOVE EASTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL
BERING BY THURSDAY...WHILE A FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS
SOUTHWARD OVER MAINLAND ALASKA. THIS WILL RESULT IN A BLAST OF
COLD AIR FROM THE ARCTIC AND DRIER CONDITIONS OVER MUCH OF THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND OVERNIGHT FRIDAY AND INTO SATURDAY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 172
         GALE 125 132 150 155 170 171 173 174 177 178.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...RLF
LONG TERM...TP