Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015

Gale Warning 627, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 6, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 6, 2015, 3:40 AM AKDT. It was in force for 11 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 6, 2015, 3:40 AM AKDT (11:40 UTC)
Expired
Oct 6, 2015, 3:02 PM AKDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

327 
FZAK51 PAFC 061140
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070030-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A DECAYING FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST TODAY AND
THEN BECOME STATIONARY. A 996 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 
310 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND THU MORNING AT 971 MB.


$$

PKZ119-070030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-070030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-070030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-070030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-070030-
PORT VALDEZ-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-070030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-070030-
VALDEZ ARM-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-070030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-070030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT THIS MORNING. SEAS BUILDING
TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-070030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-070030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-070030-
CHINIAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-070030-
MARMOT BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-070030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-070030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY MORNING FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-070030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-070030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
340 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
1 follow-up statement
629 
FZAK51 PAFC 062302
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071200-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 998 MB LOW 810 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MOVES TO 230 NM SOUTH OF
KODIAK AND INTENSIFIES TO 966 MB THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-071200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-071200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-071200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-071200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-071200-
PORT VALDEZ-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-071200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-071200-
VALDEZ ARM-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-071200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-071200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-071200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ132-071200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-071200-
CHINIAK BAY-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-071200-
MARMOT BAY-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-071200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...STORM WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-071200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-071200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-071200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 5, 4:31 PM AKDT, 11 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 5, 4:31 PM AKDT, 11 hours 9 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
431 PM AKDT MON OCT 5 2015

CORRECTED

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS BEGINNING TO CHANGE FROM THE ZONAL FLOW
WE SAW YESTERDAY INTO A MORE AMPLIFIED PATTERN. THE WEAK RIDGE
OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA IS BUILDING AND MOVING EASTWARD AS THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA WILL DIG
SOUTHEASTWARD AND BECOME THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL LOW BY WEDNESDAY.
THE JET STREAM IS CURRENTLY RUNNING JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS
FROM DUE WEST TO EAST AT AROUND 125 TO 135 KT BUT IT WILL
STRENGTHEN AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW DEVELOPS AND TURNS MORE TO THE
NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST.
GALE FORCE WINDS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING NEAR THE SURFACE LOW AND
FRONT IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA. THE LOW WILL NOT MOVE MUCH
FARTHER TO THE EAST BUT WILL MAINTAIN STRENGTH FOR THE NEXT DAY AS
IT DRIFTS TO THE NORTHWEST. THIS IS LARGELY DUE TO THE BUILDING
RIDGE OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE STATE. THIS RIDGE HAS TRAPPED
LARGE AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE UNDERNEATH IT PRODUCING WIDESPREAD
STRATUS AND FOG FROM KODIAK NORTHWARD THROUGH COOK INLET AND THE
ENTIRE SUSITNA VALLEY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN ONCE AGAIN.
THE BIGGEST ITEM TO NOTE IS THEY AS A COLLECTIVE THEY ARE SLOWLY
INCREASING THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW MOVING INTO THE GULF LATER IN
THE WEEK. WHILE THE TIMING OF THE LOW REMAIN LARGELY UNCHANGED
STRONGER WINDS WILL LIKELY BEGIN TO IMPACT THE GULF AND GULF COAST
FASTER THAN IT LOOKED EARLIER. THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE SHORT TERM FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BE THE ONSET OF A
WET AND WINDY PATTERN ALONG THE GULF AND SURROUNDING COAST...WITH
A PERSISTENT PATTERN INLAND OF CLOUDS AND FOG IMPROVING DURING THE
AFTERNOONS. THIS EVENING A FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF AND
THEN HEADS SLOWLY NORTH THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS SYSTEM SPREADS RAIN
FROM THE SOUTHERN GULF INTO THE KENAI AND NORTHERN GULF BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
WITH SMALL CRAFT TO GALE STRENGTH WINDS NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS.
WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS THE TURNAGAIN ARM AND
PORTAGE VALLEY EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND THEN CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WITH THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REINFORCED BY THE NEXT FRONT
MOVING FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS NEXT FRONT WILL ADDITIONALLY
BRING GUSTIER WINDS ACROSS THE COOK INLET...NORTHERN AND WESTERN
GULF. FOG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN TONIGHT WITH
ADEQUATE SURFACE MOISTURE AND CALM WINDS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE BERING SEA LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND TONIGHT...BECOMING STATIONARY ON TUESDAY
AND BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE TUESDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED OVER THE REGION AS THERE IS A STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH
THIS FRONT...ADVECTING DECENT AMOUNT OF NORTH PACIFIC MOISTURE
ALONG THE BOUNDARY. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE BRISTOL BAY REGION OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...MAINLY ALONG THE
AHKLUN MOUNTAINS. AS THE FRONT STALLS OUT TUESDAY EVENING...STEADY
RAIN WILL TRANSITION A MORE SHOWERY REGIME.

WINDS ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST WILL REMAIN STRONG THROUGH THIS
EVENING AS THE FRONT MOVES INLAND. EXPECT GALE FORCE WINDS TO
DIMINISH OVER THE AREA AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

WITH ONSHORE FLOW EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE COAST...PATCHY FOG IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
WINDS WILL REMAIN NEAR OR AT GALE FORCE THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION AS THE LOW MOVES NORTHWARD TO NEAR
GAMBELL ISLAND. AS THE LOW BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD ON TUESDAY
NIGHT...WINDS EAST OF 180 WILL GENERALLY TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND
DECREASE TO BELOW SMALL CRAFT LEVELS. WEST OF 180...WINDS TUESDAY
NIGHT WILL INCREASE TO NEAR-GALE OR GALE FORCE OVER THE WESTERN
BERING SEA AS A SHORTWAVE DIVES SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL LOW.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO TRACK THE RAPIDLY DEEPENING NORTH PACIFIC
LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE LOWER WESTERN GULF BY WEDNESDAY. BY LATE
WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE LOW TRACKS CLOSER TO THE CHIRIKOF ISLAND
REGION THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL STRENGTHEN RESULTING IN STRONG
NORTHEASTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE NORTHERN GULF EXTENDING
THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS...SHELIKOF STRAIT AND THE SOUTHERN COOK
INLET THROUGH THURSDAY MIDDAY. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL
BE MOVING THROUGH THE AFOREMENTIONED REGION BRINGING WIDESPREAD
RAIN AND STRATUS. THE ECMWF MODEL SEEMS TO BE THE OUTLIER WITH
THIS SYSTEM AS IT TRIES TO PUSH THIS SYSTEM FARTHER EAST THAN THE
OTHER MODELS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IS HIGHLY UNLIKELY DUE TO
AN UPPER LEVEL NEGATIVE TILTED RIDGE WILL BE POSITIONED ALONG THE
NORTHERN GULF REGION AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. THE MODELS ARE
DEPICTING THIS SYSTEM BECOMING STATIONARY JUST SOUTH OF THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN PHASE IN WITH A
ANOTHER NORTH PACIFIC LOW THAT IS TRACKING NORTHWARD INTO A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF BY SATURDAY. THE
CONFIDENCE IS LOW WITH TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY WITH THE PHASING IN
OF THESE TWO SYSTEMS DUE TO THE TIMING AND STRENGTH AS WE HEAD
INTO THE WEEKEND.

WHILE...ON THE BERING SIDE THERE IS A DECAYING LOW THAT WILL TRACK
FROM THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL BERING BY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE
DISSIPATING BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A
SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME WITH THE WINDS SHIFTING TO A MORE
NORTHERLY FLOW BY FRIDAY. THE NEXT SYNOPTIC FEATURE TO AFFECT THE
BERING WILL BE A NORTH PACIFIC LOW TRACKING CLOSER TO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS FROM THE PACIFIC SIDE HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL BRING ABUNDANT MOISTURE SPILLING OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA
INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA REGION AS THIS
SYSTEM BECOMES ALMOST STATIONARY NEAR CHIRIKOF ISLANDS BY FRIDAY.
THIS SYNOPTIC FEATURE WILL KEEP THE BERING AND THE ALUETIAN CHAIN
IN NORTHERLY FLOW SCATTERED SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 131 180 181 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...KH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...RF
LONG TERM...PD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 6, 3:40 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC3 days
Oct 6, 3:41 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Oct 6, 4:43 AM AKDTDense Fog AdvisoryAFC6 hr
Oct 6, 3:02 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC61 hr
Oct 6, 3:02 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC61 hr
Oct 6, 3:02 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC61 hr
Oct 6, 3:02 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC61 hr
Oct 6, 3:05 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Oct 6, 3:05 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC37 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every gale warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.