Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2015
Gale Warning 600, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Oct 6, 2015, 3:02 PM AKDT. It was in force for 61 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 6, 2015, 3:02 PM AKDT (23:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 9, 2015, 3:49 AM AKDT
- In force
- 61 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
385 FZAK61 PAFC 062302 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-071345- 302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 998 MB LOW AT 48N 148W MOVES TO 55N 157W AND STRENGTHENS TO 966 MB THU AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ351-071345- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT BECOMING SE 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. $$ PKZ352-071345- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 302 PM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. .FRI THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$
5 follow-up statements
753 FZAK61 PAFC 071154 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 354 AM AKDT WED OCT 7 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-080145- 354 AM AKDT WED OCT 7 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 986 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN TO 969 MB AS IT MOVES TO 53N 151W EARLY THU MORNING AND THEN MOVE TO 55N 157W AT NEAR THE SAME INTENSITY BY EARLY FRI MORNING. $$ PKZ351-080145- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 354 AM AKDT WED OCT 7 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT BUILDING TO 8 TO 13 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT BECOMING SE 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. $$ PKZ352-080145- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 354 AM AKDT WED OCT 7 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$
598 FZAK61 PAFC 072300 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 300 PM AKDT WED OCT 7 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-081445- 300 PM AKDT WED OCT 7 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 975 MB LOW NEAR 51N 151W WILL STRENGTHEN TO 968 MB AS IT MOVES TO 55N 154W THU AFTERNOON. THIS LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 972 MB AS IT MOVES TO 55N 159W FRI AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ351-081445- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 300 PM AKDT WED OCT 7 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT BECOMING SE 20 TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ352-081445- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 300 PM AKDT WED OCT 7 2015 ...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. .FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. $$
536 FZAK61 PAFC 081158 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 358 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-090115- 358 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 968 MB LOW NEAR 53N 151W WILL TRACK TO 56N 158W AT 970 MB TONIGHT ...THEN TO 55N 157W AT 975 MB FRI NIGHT. A 986 MB PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO 52N 137W AT 967 MB TONIGHT...THEN MOVE INLAND NEAR 59N 140W AT 972 MB FRI NIGHT. $$ PKZ351-090115- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 358 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ352-090115- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 358 AM AKDT THU OCT 8 2015 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. .FRI...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...W WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. $$
063 FZAK61 PAFC 082304 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 304 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-091430- 304 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 968 MB LOW NEAR 53N 151W MOVES TO 55N 156W AND WEAKENS TO 977 MB BY SAT AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ351-091430- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 304 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ352-091430- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 304 PM AKDT THU OCT 8 2015 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. .FRI...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. $$
274 FZAK61 PAFC 091149 OFFAER OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 349 AM AKDT FRI OCT 9 2015 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ399-100100- 349 AM AKDT FRI OCT 9 2015 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA... A 971 MB LOW NEAR 55N 157W WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN TO 980 MB AS IT DRIFTS TO 54N 154W EARLY SUN MORNING. A 973 MB NORTHEAST PACIFIC LOW WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN TO 961 MB AS IT MOVES TO 57N 138W 90 THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INLAND NEAR 59N 139W AT 969 MB LATE THIS EVENING. ANOTHER NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 52N 142W AT 967 MB EARLY SUN MORNING. $$ PKZ351-100100- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W- 349 AM AKDT FRI OCT 9 2015 .TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND UP TO 20 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. .SAT...S TO E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. .SUN...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ352-100100- GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF 144W- 349 AM AKDT FRI OCT 9 2015 .TODAY...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE UP TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO 15 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. .MON THROUGH TUE...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Oct 6, 4:55 AM AKDT, 10 hours 7 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 4:55 AM AKDT, 10 hours 7 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 455 AM AKDT TUE OCT 6 2015 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... THE MAIN FEATURE ACROSS THE AREA REMAINS A VERTICALLY STACKED BERING SEA LOW THAT IS SLOWLY DRIFTING NORTHWARD INTO THE NORTHERN BERING SEA. THE NORTHWARD MOVING LOW HAS STARTED TO LOSE ITS SUPPORT FROM A STRENGTHENING UPPER-LEVEL JET STREAK...AS THE JET STREAK PIVOTS INTO A MORE ZONAL ORIENTATION SOUTH OF THE BERING SEA. THIS TAKES THE LOW OUT OF THE FAVORABLE LEFT EXIT REGION OF THE JET...WHICH AIDED IN THE RECENT CYCLONE INTENSIFICATION. A DECAYING OCCLUDED FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW IS BRINGING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS IN A SOUTHEASTERLY ONSHORE FLOW REGIME TO SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA...WITH DOWNSLOPING WINDS KEEPING AREAS IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS DRIER. ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT AT THE SURFACE...SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS ARE GUSTING TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FORCE. FURTHER EAST...RIDGING OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN MAINLAND IS SLOWLY MOVING EAST IN RESPONSE TO THE STRENGTHENING BERING LOW. AT THE SURFACE UNDER THE RIDGE...FOG AND LOW STRATUS CONTINUE TO PRESENT A FORECAST CHALLENGE OVERNIGHT WITH MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL UNDER CALM TO LIGHT WINDS. THE EXCEPTION IS AROUND PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...WHERE LIGHT OUTFLOW WINDS ARE ALLOWING ENOUGH MIXING TO PREVENT FOG DEVELOPMENT. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT SYNOPTICALLY IN THE SHORT TO MID TERM. SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES ARISE IN THE PLACEMENT OF THE APPROACHING GULF LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND THURSDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER THE IMPACTS OF THESE DIFFERENCES ARE MINIMAL. FOR THE PRECIPITATION APPROACHING SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA EARLY TOMORROW...THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS WERE USED OVER THE GLOBAL MODELS TO ACCOUNT FOR THE DOWNSLOPING EFFECTS OF TERRAIN WITH THE EASTERLY FLOW. WITH THE MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK..FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER THAN NORMAL. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)... THE SHORT TERM FORECAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL BRING THE ONSET OF A WINDY AND WET PATTERN ACROSS THE GULF...KENAI PEN...AND COOK INLET REGION. THIS WILL FOR NOW WILL BRING AN END TO THE PERSISTENT LOW CLOUDS AND FOG OVER THE MAINLAND AND COOK INLET. A WEAKENING FRONT SLOWLY HEADS NORTH TODAY AND WILL SPREAD RAIN ACROSS THE NORTH GULF AND KENAI PEN. THE ONSET OF SOUTHWESTERLY ALOFT WILL SPREAD THE RAIN NORTH TOWARD THE SUSITNA VALLEY TONIGHT. FREEZING LEVELS SHOULD BE HIGH ENOUGH FOR MOST AREAS TO BE RAIN EXCEPT FOR THE FAR NORTH SUSITNA VALLEY WHERE COLDER AIR IN PLACE SHOULD KEEP PRECIPITATION TILTED TOWARD SNOW. ON WED...THE BRUNT OF THE PRECIPITATION (RAIN) WILL SHIFT TOWARD THE GULF WITH THE APPROACH OF THE NEXT FRONT MOVING NORTH ACROSS THE GULF. TURNAGAIN ARM AND PORTAGE VALLEY WINDS ALONG WITH SMALL CRAFT TO GALE CONDITIONS ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS MORNING WITH A WEAK LOW MOVING TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND. THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN LATER TODAY AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS RELAX. A SECOND AND MUCH STRONGER ROUND OF WINDS ARE EXPECTED ON WED AND WED NIGHT WITH A NORTHWARD MOVING LOW AND ITS ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC. GALES ARE EXPECTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF AND WESTERN GULF WED AFTERNOON. WINDS LIKELY WILL INCREASE TO STORM FORCE ACROSS THE BARREN ISLANDS AND THROUGH SHELIKOF STRAIT WED EVENING. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)... THE FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN BUT CONTINUE TO BRING WET WEATHER AT IT REMAINS STRETCHED OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA TODAY. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL ROTATE INLAND TONIGHT REINVIGORATING SHOWERS OVER THE AREA. A LARGE LOW TRACKING INTO THE GULF FROM THE SOUTH WILL SPREAD RAIN AND BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS ACROSS THE ALASKA RANGE AND INTO SOUTHWEST ALASKA WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)... THE RATHER LARGE VERTICALLY STACKED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN THE NORTHERN BERING AS IT GRADUALLY FILLS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...DRIFTING TOWARDS THE GULF OF ANADYR. SEVERAL SHORTWAVE TROUGHS WILL ROTATE OUT OF RUSSIA AND ACROSS THE BERING SOUTH OF THE LARGE UPPER LOW KEEPING THE WEATHER COOL AND SHOWERY WITH WESTERLY WINDS IN THE 30 TO 35 KNOT RANGE. ON WEDNESDAY A DEEPER TROUGH WILL SWING OFF OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA AND DIG MORE TO THE SOUTHEAST AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THIS WILL BOTH ACT TO START PULLING THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND TO SHIFT THE WINDS IN THE WESTERN GULF MORE TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASE THEM UP TO GALES OVER A BROADER AREA. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)... THE MODELS CONTINUE TO TRACK THE RAPIDLY DEEPENING NORTH PACIFIC LOW JUST SOUTH OF THE LOWER WESTERN GULF BY WEDNESDAY. BY LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE LOW TRACKS CLOSER TO THE CHIRIKOF ISLAND REGION THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL STRENGTHEN RESULTING IN STRONG NORTHEASTERLY GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE NORTHERN GULF EXTENDING THROUGH THE BARREN ISLANDS...SHELIKOF STRAIT AND THE SOUTHERN COOK INLET THROUGH THURSDAY MIDDAY. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE AFOREMENTIONED REGION BRINGING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND STRATUS. THE ECMWF MODEL SEEMS TO BE THE OUTLIER WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT TRIES TO PUSH THIS SYSTEM FARTHER EAST THAN THE OTHER MODELS BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS IS HIGHLY UNLIKELY DUE TO AN UPPER LEVEL NEGATIVE TILTED RIDGE WILL BE POSITIONED ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF REGION AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. THE MODELS ARE DEPICTING THIS SYSTEM BECOMING STATIONARY JUST SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN PHASE IN WITH A ANOTHER NORTH PACIFIC LOW THAT IS TRACKING NORTHWARD INTO A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF BY SATURDAY. THE CONFIDENCE IS LOW WITH TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY WITH THE PHASING IN OF THESE TWO SYSTEMS DUE TO THE TIMING AND STRENGTH AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. MEANWHILE...ON THE BERING SIDE THERE IS A DECAYING LOW THAT WILL TRACK FROM THE NORTHERN TO CENTRAL BERING BY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE DISSIPATING BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME WITH THE WINDS SHIFTING TO A MORE NORTHERLY FLOW BY FRIDAY. THE NEXT SYNOPTIC FEATURE TO AFFECT THE BERING WILL BE A NORTH PACIFIC LOW TRACKING CLOSER TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS FROM THE PACIFIC SIDE HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL BRING ABUNDANT MOISTURE SPILLING OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA REGION AS THIS SYSTEM BECOMES ALMOST STATIONARY NEAR CHIRIKOF ISLANDS BY FRIDAY. THIS SYNOPTIC FEATURE WILL KEEP THE BERING AND THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN IN NORTHERLY FLOW SCATTERED SHOWERY WEATHER REGIME THROUGH THE WEEKEND. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...DENSE FOG ADVISORY 101 111. MARINE...GALE 130 131 185. FIRE WEATHER...NONE. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...RD SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RMC SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JER LONG TERM...PD
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 3:40 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 3 days | |
| Oct 6, 3:40 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Oct 6, 3:41 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days | |
| Oct 6, 4:43 AM AKDT | Dense Fog Advisory | AFC | 6 hr | |
| Oct 6, 3:02 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Oct 6, 3:02 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Oct 6, 3:02 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AFC | 61 hr | |
| Oct 6, 3:05 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Oct 6, 3:05 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 37 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.