Gale Warning 588, NWS Anchorage, AK

978 
FZAK51 PAFC 291505 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

UPDATED ZONES 121 125 130 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300315-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD DRIFTS TO 75 NM SOUTH OF
CORDOVA AT 986 MB LATE TUE NIGHT...THEN MOVES TO 75 NM SOUTHWEST
OF YAKUTAT AT 1015 MB LATE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-300315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-300315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SW 30 KT DURING THE
MORNING. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-300315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-300315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EASTERN SOUND. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-300315-
PORT VALDEZ-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-300315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-300315-
VALDEZ ARM-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-300315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-300315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-300315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT.
RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-300315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-300315-
CHINIAK BAY-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-300315-
MARMOT BAY-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-300315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-300315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-300315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-300315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
705 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

588 
FZAK51 PAFC 291944 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

UPDATED ZONE 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-300330-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 978 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTH OF SEWARD DRIFTS TO 75 NM SOUTH OF
CORDOVA AT 986 MB LATE TUE NIGHT...THEN MOVES TO 75 NM SOUTHWEST
OF YAKUTAT AT 1015 MB LATE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-300330-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.  
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-300330-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SW 30 KT DURING THE
MORNING. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.  
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-300330-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-300330-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EASTERN SOUND. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.  
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-300330-
PORT VALDEZ-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-300330-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-300330-
VALDEZ ARM-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-300330-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-300330-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 70 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-300330-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT.
RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ132-300330-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT.  
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-300330-
CHINIAK BAY-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.  
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-300330-
MARMOT BAY-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.  
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-300330-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-300330-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-300330-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.THU THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-300330-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1144 AM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

336 
FZAK51 PAFC 292357
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-301245-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 978 MB LOW NEAR SEWARD DRIFTS TO 245 NM EAST OF
SEWARD AT 1010 MB LATE WED NIGHT...THEN MOVES INLAND NEAR SITKA
THU AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-301245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT IN THE EVENING BUILDING TO 22
FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-301245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-301245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT THROUGH THE EVENING. SEAS
6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-301245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 35 KT
THROUGH THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
THROUGH THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-301245-
PORT VALDEZ-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN WITH SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-301245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-301245-
VALDEZ ARM-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-301245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4
FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-301245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ131-301245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-301245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 55 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-301245-
CHINIAK BAY-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-301245-
MARMOT BAY-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-301245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-301245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-301245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-301245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
357 PM AKDT TUE SEP 29 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT DEVELOPING...MAINLY OVER
OUTER BAY. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT IN THE INNER
BAY. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

465 
FZAK51 PAFC 301109
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010030-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 985 MB LOW NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WILL MOVE NEAR CAPE
SUCKLING WHILE WEAKENING TO 996 MB THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING
INLAND THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE WESTERN
GULF THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD TO THE EASTERN GULF BY THU MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-010030-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-010030-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-010030-
RESURRECTION BAY-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-010030-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO NW WIND 30 KT DURING THE
MORNING. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-010030-
PORT VALDEZ-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-010030-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-010030-
VALDEZ ARM-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-010030-
PASSAGE CANAL-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE
EVENING. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-010030-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ131-010030-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-010030-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-010030-
CHINIAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-010030-
MARMOT BAY-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-010030-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-010030-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-010030-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-010030-
KACHEMAK BAY-
309 AM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

497 
FZAK51 PAFC 302359
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011245-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1007 MB LOW NEAR CAPE SUCKLING WILL MOVE TO NEAR GUSTAVUS THU
AFTERNOON AND WEAKEN TO 1022 MB THEN DISSIPATE THU NIGHT. A
WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF THU NIGHT THEN
TOWARD THE CENTRAL GULF BY FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-011245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-011245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-011245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-011245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-011245-
PORT VALDEZ-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS BUILDING
TO 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT SUBSIDING.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-011245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-011245-
VALDEZ ARM-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-011245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT THROUGH THE LATE EVENING
NEAR WHITTER. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-011245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ131-011245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ132-011245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE IN
THE EVENING. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-011245-
CHINIAK BAY-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT SUBSIDING.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-011245-
MARMOT BAY-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-011245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-011245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-011245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-011245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
359 PM AKDT WED SEP 30 2015

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT SUBSIDING.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 2 FT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
453 PM AKDT MON SEP 28 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A POTENT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS POISED JUST TO THE WEST OF MAINLAND
ALASKA... AND STRETCHES FROM NORTHEAST ALASKA INTO THE SOUTHERN
BERING. TO THE EAST...A QUITE BROAD RIDGE COVERS MAINLAND ALASKA
AND STRETCHES INTO NORTHWEST CANADA. A SECOND RIDGE COVERS THE
WESTERN BERING. AT THE SURFACE...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS
PROGRESSING INTO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA. A POTENT COLD FRONT
CURRENTLY STRETCHES ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS AND JUST NORTH OF
THE ALASKA RANGE. A STEADY STREAM OF MOISTURE IS SURGING NORTHWARD
TOWARDS ALASKA FROM THE TROPICS...AND WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL ACROSS CENTRAL ALASKA OVER THE SHORT TERM.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
IN THE SHORT TERM...THERE IS SOME INCONSISTENCY WITH MODELS...WITH
THE NAM BRINGING IN COLDER AIR MUCH FASTER THAN ANY OTHER
MODEL...AND INDICATING WIDESPREAD SNOW ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL.
HOWEVER...THE NAM IS CURRENTLY AN OUTLIER...AND THE MORE
CONSISTENT AND REALISTIC GFS MODEL WAS CHOSEN.  MEANWHILE...TO
THE WEST OF THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE
TO BUILD ACROSS THE BERING AND AKPEN. THE CONTRAST BETWEEN THESE
TWO POTENT FEATURES IS LIKELY TO SUPPORT PARTICULARLY GUSTY
WINDS...ACROSS THE AKPEN AND KODIAK ISLAND...TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS ARE LIKELY IN SEWARD WEDNESDAY
MORNING INTO AFTERNOON.&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
ALL ATTENTION IS FOCUSED ON DEVELOPMENT OF A MAJOR STORM AND THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE FIRST SNOWFALL OF THE WINTER SEASON FOR THE
POPULATION CENTERS OF SOUTHCENTRAL. THERE ARE STILL SOME SMALL BUT
VERY SIGNIFICANT MODEL DIFFERENCES IN TRACK OF SURFACE LOW AND IN
SYSTEM STRUCTURE WHICH WILL GREATLY AFFECT PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST
PRECIPITATION AND ARRIVAL TIME OF COLD AIR (TO CHANGE PRECIP OVER
TO SNOW). THUS...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN WHETHER SNOW WILL
ACCUMULATE NEAR SEA LEVEL REMAINS LOW.

BASED ON THE LATEST GUIDANCE THE LATEST FORECAST WILL TREND TOWARD
A WARMER SOLUTION...WITH LESS PROBABILITY OF ACCUMULATING SNOW IN
THE LOW LANDS OF SOUTHCENTRAL. WITH A LOW ALREADY UNDERGOING
DEEPENING OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT THIS WILL
DEVELOP INTO A STRONG SURFACE LOW AS IT INTERACTS WITH UPPER
TROUGH AND COLD AIR CURRENTLY DROPPING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
BERING SEA. AS THIS LOW TRACKS INTO THE WESTERN GULF THE BERING
TROUGH WILL DIG UNDERNEATH THE LOW AND PULL ITS TRACK BACK
WESTWARD... ULTIMATELY TRACKING TO THE EASTERN KENAI PENINSULA.
WARM AIR WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW CENTER WILL ADVECT WESTWARD
ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA. THIS LOW TRACK ALSO MEANS THE
DEFORMATION BAND ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW WILL SET UP WEST OF
ANCHORAGE FROM THE WESTERN KENAI/COOK INLET NORTHWARD TO THE
SUSITNA VALLEY. THIS WILL DELAY THE BEST LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION
UNTIL THE STORM SYSTEM BEGINS TO EXIT TO THE EAST TUESDAY NIGHT.
NOT ALL MODELS DEPICT THIS...BUT CONCEPTUAL MODELS AND EXPERIENCE
SUPPORT THIS IDEA.

BASED ON THIS PREFERRED SOLUTION WILL DELAY THE WIDESPREAD
CHANGEOVER IN PRECIP FROM RAIN TO SNOW UNTIL TOMORROW NIGHT FOR
LOWER ELEVATIONS OF ANCHORAGE...THE WESTERN KENAI...AND MUCH OF
THE MAT-SU. HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL BE A DIFFERENT STORY WITH SNOW
LEVELS DROPPING TOMORROW AFTERNOON DUE BOTH TO ADVECTION AND THE
PROCESS OF MELTING SNOW (WHICH REMOVES HEAT FROM THE ENVIRONMENT).
THUS THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL THAT HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE
ANCHORAGE AREA WILL SEE SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION BEGINNING TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. BY THE TIME CONDITIONS COOL ENOUGH FOR SNOWFALL AT
LOWER ELEVATIONS THE STRONG DYNAMICAL LIFT WILL BE COMING TO AN
END. LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE PROCESSES WILL START UP ON THE WEST SIDE OF
THE MOUNTAINS WHICH WILL GENERATE SOME PRECIP. THE BIG QUESTION IS
WHETHER THERE IS ENOUGH PRECIP TO ACCUMULATE MUCH IF ANY SNOW.
WILL HAVE TO CONTINUE TO WORK OUT THE DETAILS AS NEW GUIDANCE
COMES IN BEFORE BEING ABLE TO ANSWER THIS QUESTION WITH ANY
CONFIDENCE.

MEANWHILE...THIS WILL BE AN IMPRESSIVE WIND EVENT ACROSS THE
WESTERN GULF AND KODIAK ISLAND. THE CURRENT FORECAST ALREADY
INDICATES HIGH END GALES TO STORM FORCE WINDS FOR THIS AREA BASED
ON INITIAL COLD ADVECTION FOLLOWED BY STRONG DOWNWARD MOTION (AND
MIXING DOWN OF STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT) WITH PASSAGE OF THE
UPPER TROUGH. WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE IN A DEEPER SURFACE LOW (AND
TIGHTER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS) WILL UP WINDS EVEN MORE...WITH
HURRICANE FORECAST GUSTS NOW LIKELY IN THE KAMISHAK BAY AREA (AND
POSSIBLY OTHER GAPS ALONG THE ALASKA PENINSULA).

AS THE STORM SYSTEM EXITS ON WEDNESDAY GENERALLY EXPECT IMPROVING
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION. AS COLD AIR CONTINUES TO ADVECT
EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL DO EXPECT THE USUAL GAP WINDS ALONG
THE COAST. AS WINDS DIE DOWN WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT ACROSS
MUCH OF THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL EXPECT SOME VERY CHILLY TEMPERATURES.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
PASSAGE OF A LOW LEVEL COLD FRONT HAS RESULTED IN DEVELOPMENT OF
GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA. MUCH
STRONGER WINDS ARE IN STORE LATER TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE
UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH...RESULTING IN STRONG DOWNWARD MOMENTUM
IN THE ATMOSPHERE WHICH WILL MIX DOWN STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT.
IN ADDITION A STRONG STORM TRACKING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL
TIGHTEN PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS THE REGION. WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE
HAVE STRENGTHENED WINDS AREA-WIDE IN THE LATEST FORECASTS. SOME OF
THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE THROUGH GAPS OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
DUE TO A VERY FAVORABLE ORIENTATION OF LOW LEVEL FLOW AS WELL AS
TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF. WINDS WILL
GRADUALLY DIMINISH TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY AS THE STORM SYSTEM
IN THE GULF EXITS TO THE EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE
CENTRAL BERING TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

DUE TO THE STORM TRACKING INTO THE GULF THE FORWARD PROGRESSION
OF THE LOW LEVEL COLD FRONT AND THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL STALL
OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA OVER NIGHT TONIGHT (WITH THE COLD FRONT
ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AND THE UPPER TROUGH FARTHER WEST).
CONTINUED LIFT OUT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH (WITH SOME LIFT ALSO COMING
IN FROM THE EAST AHEAD OF THE GULF STORM) WILL COMBINE WITH LOW
LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW ALONG THE ALASKA AND ALEUTIAN RANGES TO PRODUCE
STEADY RAIN THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...CHANGING TO STEADY SNOW
AS COLD AIR MOVES IN THROUGH THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS
WILL RESULT IN SOME MINOR SNOW ACCUMULATION WEST OF THE MOUNTAIN
RANGES WITH MUCH HIGHER SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AS YOU RISE UP THE
WESTERN SLOPES. ELSEWHERE...A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
MORE NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AS COLD AIR
MOVES OVER MUCH WARMER WATERS OF THE SOUTHWEST COAST AND BRISTOL
BAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL COINCIDE WITH THE STRONGEST
WINDS AT THE SURFACE AS STRONGER WINDS FROM ALOFT MIX DOWN. THE
CONSTANT MOVEMENT OF COLD AIR ACROSS MUCH WARMER WATERS WILL
GENERATE A STEADY STREAM OF SHOWERS. THE WARM WATERS WILL HELP
MAINTAIN A FAIRLY SHALLOW LAYER OF ABOVE FREEZING AIR NEAR THE
SURFACE WHICH MEANS PRECIP-TYPE WILL REMAIN MAINLY RAIN DESPITE
THE FAIRLY COLD AIR ABOVE THIS BOUNDARY LAYER. TEMPERATURE
ADVECTION WILL BECOME NEUTRAL TO POSITIVE TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST WHICH WILL LEAD TO DIMINISHING WINDS AND
SHOWERS. IT DOES LOOK LIKE A WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL MOVE OVER TOP
OF THE RIDGE BRINGING SOME LIGHT RAIN TO THE PRIBILOFS AND EASTERN
BERING. OTHERWISE ATTENTION WILL QUICKLY SHIFT TO A COMPLEX LOW
OVER THE NORTHWEST BERING. THIS REMAINS ON TRACK TO PUSH A STORM
FORCE FRONT EASTWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND WESTERN
BERING. IT WILL BE A FAIRLY NARROW AREA OF VERY STRONG WINDS AND
WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THANKS TO A STRONG
SOUTHERLY JET STREAK MOVING UP FROM THE PACIFIC.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

BEGINNING THE EXTENDED PERIOD ON WEDNESDAY EVENING...THE LEFTOVERS
OF AN ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL BE OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA AS THE BROADER
SCALE TROUGH MOVES EAST. LINGERING SNOW OVER THE COPPER BASIN WILL
END OVERNIGHT...WITH MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL CLEARING OUT AT LEAST
PARTIALLY...ALLOWING FOR SOME UNSEASONABLY COLD TEMPERATURES TO
DEVELOP BY THURSDAY MORNING. WEAK AND FAST MOVING SHORTWAVE
RIDGING OVER THE BERING SEA WILL MOVE EAST THURSDAY...ALLOWING
FOR A REPRIEVE FROM RAIN AND CLOUDS BEFORE A STRONG STORM FORCE FRONT
OVER THE BERING MAKES EASTWARD PROGRESS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.
BESIDES RAIN AND CLOUDS...THIS FRONT WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR A RETURN
TO NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. THE FRONT WILL RAPIDLY WEAKEN BY
SUNDAY...WITH THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMING MORE ZONAL AND
DISCONNECTED FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC MOISTURE. ANOTHER WESTERN
BERING FRONT WILL MOVE EAST AND BEGIN IMPACTING SOUTHWEST ALASKA
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WITH DRIER WEATHER OVER SOUTHCENTRAL.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM 130 131 132 138 150 351 352. GALE 119 120 155 160
165 170 172 178 179 180 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SB
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...SB
LONG TERM...JA