Gale Warning 259, NWS Anchorage, AK

293 
FZAK51 PAFC 142303
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151215-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 997 MB LOW NEAR CAPE SUCKLING WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT SAT
EVENING. A FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF SUN
MORNING...MOVE INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF BY SUN NIGHT...AND
PERSIST THROUGH MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-151215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 8 BUILDING
TO 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-151215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-151215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-151215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-151215-
PORT VALDEZ-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-151215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-151215-
VALDEZ ARM-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-151215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING NEAR WHITTIER.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-151215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST IN THE EVENING.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-151215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-151215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND
20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. S OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...S WIND 20 KT.  SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-151215-
CHINIAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-151215-
MARMOT BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-151215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-151215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 19 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-151215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-151215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

173 
FZAK51 PAFC 151125
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-160000-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT ENTERING THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF THIS MORNING WILL REACH
THE NORTHERN GULF BY MON MORNING THEN LIFT INLAND MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-160000-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...STORM WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE
COAST...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-160000-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-160000-
RESURRECTION BAY-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-160000-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-160000-
PORT VALDEZ-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-160000-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-160000-
VALDEZ ARM-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-160000-
PASSAGE CANAL-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-160000-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-160000-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-160000-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 30 KT
BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ136-160000-
CHINIAK BAY-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-160000-
MARMOT BAY-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-160000-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-160000-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-160000-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-160000-
KACHEMAK BAY-
325 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
538 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

LONGWAVE TROUGHING CONTINUES TO RESIDE ACROSS THE ALASKA MAINLAND
THIS MORNING...WHICH HAS CONTINUED TO SUPPLY COLD AIR FROM THE
ARCTIC TO MUCH OF ALASKA. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA ONCE AGAIN DROPPED INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
TO THE NEGATIVE TEENS. IT LOOKS LIKE A PATTERN SHIFT IS BEGINNING
TO TAKE PLACE OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AS A QUICKLY EVOLVING
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS AND ITS ASSOCIATED
UPPER LEVEL LOW HAVE SHIFTED EASTWARD OVERNIGHT. THE 500 MB
HEIGHTS HAVE BEEN ON THE RISE ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AS A
RESULT OF THE DEEPENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. THIS DEVELOPING
RIDGE HAS BEGUN TO PUT PRESSURE ON THE TROUGH OVER ALASKA AND IS
EXPECTED TO SHIFT THE TROUGH EASTWARD IN THE COMING DAYS. BACK TO
THE PRESENT...GALE FORCE WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW HAVE BEEN SEEN
ACROSS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS OVERNIGHT AS A FRONT PIVOTS OVER THE
PRIBILOFS. SOME WARMER AIR IS BEING ADVECTED NORTHWARD IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC WHICH HAS TRANSITIONED
THE PRECIPITATION TYPE OVER DUTCH HARBOR TO RAIN AND BUMPED UP THE
TEMPERATURES OVER THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS TO NEAR FREEZING.

TOWARD THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA...A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
JUST TO THE SOUTH OF PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND CONTINUES TO SPARK SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST WITH OCCASIONAL SNOW
SHOWERS PUSHING ACROSS CORDOVA...VALDEZ AND GULKANA. WITH THE
PROXIMITY OF THE LOW NEAR PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...THE GRADIENT
CONTINUES TO BE FAVORABLE TO PUSH SOME GUSTY WINDS THROUGH
TURNAGAIN ARM AND PORTAGE VALLEY. AS THE LOW CONTINUES TO SHIFT
EASTWARD DURING THE MORNING HOURS...THE GRADIENT SHOULD WEAKEN AND
BECOME LESS FAVORABLY ORIENTED FOR STRONGER WINDS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

MODELS INITIALIZED WELL FOR THE MOST PART FOR THE 00Z SYNOPTIC
RUNS...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE LOW SOUTH OF PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND. SCATTEROMETER DATA FROM 05Z SHOWED THE LOW ABOUT 25 NM
WEST OF WHERE THE MODELS INITIALIZED THE LOW CENTER. OVERALL
IMPACTS FROM THIS WILL BE MINIMAL WITH SHOWERS POSSIBLY PERSISTING
A FEW HOURS LONGER AS WELL AS THE GUSTY WINDS THROUGH TURNAGAIN
ARM AND PORTAGE VALLEY. THE GFS SEEMS TO HAVE THE BEST GRASP ON
THE WARMER AIR BEING ADVECTED FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC NEAR DUTCH
HARBOR. WHILE THE NAM/ECMWF ARE HINTING AT A RAIN/SNOW MIX...THE
GFS HAS THEIR PRECIPITATION TYPE AS RAIN AND AS OF 04Z THE PRECIPITATION
TYPE TRANSITIONED TO RAIN. THE HIGHER RESOLUTION NAM WAS UTILIZED
THROUGH THE FIRST 36 HOURS OF THE FORECAST FOR HELP WITH GAP WINDS
OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND ALONG THE TERRAIN OF THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS. THE GFS WAS UTILIZED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE SHORT-
TERM.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE SURFACE LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL RAPIDLY MOVE EAST
TODAY. THIS WILL RELAX THE GRADIENTS AND THUS THE OFFSHORE WINDS
WILL DIMINISH TODAY. THE PATTERN WILL UNDERGO AN ABRUPT CHANGE
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT. THE UPPER LOW THAT HAS BEEN ANCHORED OVER
SOUTHERN ALASKA WILL BE SHUNTED NORTH AS A LOW SOUTH OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA SENDS A FRONTAL SYSTEM NORTHWARD ACROSS THE
GULF. THE WARM FRONT WILL REACH KODIAK EARLY SUNDAY AND THEN TO
THE GULF COAST LATER IN THE DAY. MOISTURE AND WARM AIR WILL SURGE
NORTHWARD. SOME BLOWING SNOW IS POSSIBLY WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE
WARM FRONT AT KODIAK...BUT SHOULD END QUICKLY. THE SAME STORY
GOES FOR PORTAGE VALLEY AND EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM...THOUGH IT MAY
TAKE A LITTLE LONGER FOR THE AIR TO WARM. NORTHERLY SURFACE WINDS
AND SOUTH/SOUTHEAST FLOW ALOFT WILL KEEP PRECIPITATION AT A
MINIMUM NEAR ANCHORAGE...WITH THE PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION
FINALLY HITTING "LIKELY" (MORE THAN 50 PERCENT) LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

ONE MORE DAY OF CLEAR AND COLD WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND TODAY. BY THIS EVENING...A NORTH PACIFIC LOW
MOVING TOWARDS THE EASTERN BERING WILL BRING INCREASING WINDS AND
CLOUD COVER TO COASTAL AREAS THAT WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. WITH
THE COLD AIR MASS CURRENTLY IN PLACE OVER THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA...WIND CHILLS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO
APPROACH...BUT NOT QUITE REACH ADVISORY CRITERIA AS THE OFFSHORE
FLOW INCREASES. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO SPREAD UP BRISTOL BAY FROM
THE SOUTH BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT...WITH STRONG WINDS EXPECTED
THROUGHOUT BRISTOL BAY BY SUNDAY MORNING. THESE WINDS WILL CREATE
DOWNSLOPING CONDITIONS AND KEEP MUCH OF THE AREA DRY THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING. AS THESE WINDS DIMINISH BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER BRISTOL
BAY...AND LIKELY CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE LOW CURRENTLY APPROACHING THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL BE THE
FOCAL POINT OF FOR THE WEATHER THROUGHOUT THE REGION THIS
WEEKEND. THE LARGEST AREA OF CONCERN WITH THIS SYSTEM CENTERS
AROUND A RETURN TO BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS.
ANOTHER ROUND OF ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA WITH
STORM FORCE WINDS BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND WITH THE ROUGHLY 2
INCHES OF FRESH SNOW RECEIVED YESTERDAY...THIS IS EXPECTED TO
CREATE NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS THAT SHOULD CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY
MORNING. AS A RESULT A BLIZZARD WARNING WAS ISSUED WITH THE
MORNING PACKAGE. BLOWING SNOW WILL LIKELY CONTINUE OVER THE AREA
THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT WITH SNOW SHOWERS AND WINDS DIMINISHING THIS
IS NOT EXPECTED TO BRING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AFTER SUNDAY
MORNING. TO THE SOUTH...WARM AIR ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM HAS
ALREADY CAUSE SNOW OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO TURN TO
RAIN...AND THIS WARMING WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EASTWARD INTO THE
THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY THIS AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS OVER THE
ALEUTIANS WILL ALSO IMPROVE THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SUNDAY AS THE
LOW CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DISSIPATE AND WINDS DIMINISH.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND A LARGE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE STRETCHING FROM
WESTERN CANADA INTO INTERIOR ALASKA WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE
NEXT WEEK. THE POSITION OF THESE TWO FEATURES WILL STEER A SERIES
OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS UP INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA AND BRISTOL
BAY...BRINGING WARMER AND MOISTURE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW TO
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.

THE FIRST OF MANY FRONTS WILL BE STRETCHED ACROSS THE KENAI
PENINSULA AND NORTHERN GULF COAST MONDAY MORNING WITH A SURFACE
LOW AROUND THE BARREN ISLANDS. THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTH
AND INLAND THROUGH THE DAY WHILE ANOTHER DEEPENING LOW APPROACHES
THE ALASKA PENINSULA FROM THE SOUTH. THIS SECOND LOW WILL CROSS
THE PENINSULA MONDAY NIGHT TRACKING INTO BRISTOL BAY AND SIGNIFICANTLY
INCREASING EASTERLY WINDS ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA. SEVERAL
ADDITIONAL LOWS WILL ALSO FOLLOW SIMILAR TRACKS THROUGH THE
WEEK...WHILE A SERIES OF LOWS FORMING AND SWINGING THROUGH THE
EASTERN GULF WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS FROM 4 PM THIS
         AFTERNOON TO 10 AM SUNDAY.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 119 120 131 132 139 150 155 160 165 170 172
                      173 174 175 180 351 352 411 412 413.
         STORM WARNING 130 138 179 414.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING 121 126 127 128 129
               130 131 139 160 179 180 185 412 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...MC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...JER