Gale Warning 257, NWS Anchorage, AK

127 
FZAK51 PAFC 141908 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

UPDATED ZONE 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-150315-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 997 MB LOW NEAR CAPE SUCKLING WILL SHIFT EASTWARD AND MOVE
INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT SAT EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF SUN MORNING AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
BY SUN EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-150315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ120-150315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-150315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-150315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND
PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-150315-
PORT VALDEZ-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING NEAR THE PORT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-150315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-150315-
VALDEZ ARM-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-150315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-150315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ131-150315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-150315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...NW WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE
10 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ136-150315-
CHINIAK BAY-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-150315-
MARMOT BAY-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-150315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-150315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ140-150315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT.

$$

PKZ141-150315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1108 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE
MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

293 
FZAK51 PAFC 142303
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-151215-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 997 MB LOW NEAR CAPE SUCKLING WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT SAT
EVENING. A FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF SUN
MORNING...MOVE INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF BY SUN NIGHT...AND
PERSIST THROUGH MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-151215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 8 BUILDING
TO 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ120-151215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ121-151215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-151215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-151215-
PORT VALDEZ-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-151215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-151215-
VALDEZ ARM-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-151215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING NEAR WHITTIER.
SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-151215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY NEAR THE COAST IN THE EVENING.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-151215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 8 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-151215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND
20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
S OF DANGEROUS CAPE...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. S OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...S WIND 20 KT.  SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ136-151215-
CHINIAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-151215-
MARMOT BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-151215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-151215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 19 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-151215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT.

$$

PKZ141-151215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
439 PM AKDT FRI MAR 13 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE GULF IS LIFTING NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND INTO THE YUKON...BRINGING AN END
TO STEADY STRATIFORM SNOW IN THE REGION. CYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTS
BEHIND THIS WAVE AROUND AN ELONGATED LOW CENTER FROM THE KENAI
PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO INTERIOR ALASKA. MORE IMPORTANTLY VERY COLD
AIR ALOFT IS PRODUCING UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF/EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND/EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN...WHICH
IS LEADING TO SNOW SHOWERS. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS
ARE FORMING OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE GULF AND ROTATING
AROUND THE EAST SIDE OF A SURFACE LOW INTO EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND. STRONG GAP WINDS...SNOW SHOWERS...AND HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
CONTINUE OVER THE WESTERN GULF/ALASKA PENINSULA. COLD ADVECTION IS
COMING TO AN END AND PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE BEGINNING TO SLACKEN
SO EXPECT WINDS TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH.

A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE FAR WESTERN BERING
SEA. A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES ARE DROPPING DOWN THE BACK SIDE AND
THEN BEING DRIVEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS/SOUTHERN BERING
BY A ZONAL 180KT SUBTROPICAL JET OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. THE
STRONGEST OF THE CURRENT SHORT-WAVES IS MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL
BERING SEA HELPING TO REINFORCE A FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE REGION.
THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW ALONG THE ALEUTIANS IS DRIVING
THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FRONT EASTWARD...WHILE THE PORTION OVER
THE BERING SEA IS PROGRESSING NORTH AND EASTWARD MUCH MORE SLOWLY.
THUS...THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO ELONGATE AND WEAKEN WITH TIME.
A DEEP COLD AIR MASS IN PLACE OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS PRODUCING
MAINLY SNOW...BUT WARMER AIR BEHIND IT WILL LEAD TO A MIX OF RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. WITH PRIMARILY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT THE
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE AROUND FREEZING WHICH WILL PRECLUDE ANY
MAJOR BLOWING SNOW ISSUES.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MAJOR FEATURES EARLY ON.
DIFFERENCES ARISE WITH DEVELOPMENT OF A LARGE STORM SYSTEM SOUTH
OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS/SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA SATURDAY AND
PROGRESSION TOWARD THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. SOLUTIONS ARE MUCH CLOSER WITH INITIAL POSITION AND TRACK
OF LOW. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES ARISE WITH NORTHWARD
PROGRESSION OF THE LOW CENTER AND FRONTAL SYSTEM ALONG WITH
HANDLING OF SHORT-WAVES EJECTING OUT OF THE TROUGH INTO THE GULF
OF ALASKA. INITIALLY PREFER THE ECMWF SOLUTION...BUT ON SUNDAY IT
BECOMES AN OUTLIER WITH LOW AND FRONTAL POSITIONS...SO THEN PREFER
NAM/GFS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH TOMORROW BUT
QUICKLY DROPS TO BELOW AVERAGE SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY WITH THE
DETAILS OF WIND AND PRECIP OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD. THIS WILL
RESULT IN THE SURFACE LOW NEAR CORDOVA TO MOVE INLAND AND
DISSIPATE THIS EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THE GULF
THIS EVENING BY CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING HOURS OVER THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN IS
IN THE SOUTHERN AREA EXTENDING INTO THE YUKON TERRITORY. THE REST
OF SOUTHCENTRAL WILL CONTINUE WITH COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH
STRONG GAP WINDS FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS NORTHWARD INTO PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND. THE GAP WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY SATURDAY WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXITING THE REGION AND COINCIDING WITH THE
WEAKENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS. BY SUNDAY MORNING A WEATHER
FRONT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF REGION. THIS WILL
BRING STORM FORCE WINDS INTO THE SHELIKOF STRAIT...BARREN ISLANDS
AND THE SOUTHERN COOK INLET REGION. THIS WILL BRING A LARGE SWATH
OF MOISTURE TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA REGION. THIS IS SETTING UP
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO THE EASTERN KENAI
PENINSULA...ESPECIALLY THE INLAND AREAS. THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND
THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA WILL DOWN SLOPE OUT WITH SOME MOISTURE
MAKING INTO THE AREA BY SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE FLOW IN THE LOWER
LEVELS STARTING TO BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
CLEAR AND COLD CONDITIONS WILL LINGER THROUGH SATURDAY AS THE
UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE MAINLAND. THE PATTERN WILL THEN
BEGIN TO CHANGE ON SATURDAY NIGHT AS SNOW MOVES INTO THE BRISTOL
BAY REGION WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE BERING FRONT ALONG THE COAST.
SNOW WILL THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
VALLEY ON SUNDAY. SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY LIGHT WITH
ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS...BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR BLOWING SNOW
WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR PORTIONS OF BRISTOL BAY AS WINDS
BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONT OVER THE BERING WILL BRING SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TO THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING AS IT PIVOTS NORTHWARD
AND STRETCHES OUT. DESPITE TEMPERATURES HOVERING NEAR FREEZING
AND A RELATIVE LACK OF TRANSPORTABLE SNOW...VISIBILITIES ARE
STILL EXPECTED TO BE REDUCED TO A HALF MILE AT TIMES AS SNOW
BECOMES HEAVIER OVERNIGHT WITH STRONG EASTERLY WINDS REMAINING IN
PLACE. THEREFORE...A BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE...A SURFACE LOW WILL RAPIDLY
INTENSIFY LATE TONIGHT SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AND MOVE SLOWLY
TOWARDS THE ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH SUNDAY...KEEPING GUSTY WINDS
AND A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BERING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. SHOWERY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL
AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN BENEATH BROAD CYCLONIC
FLOW OVER THE BERING SEA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL PUSH A FRONT THROUGH THE
GULF AND INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL ON SUNDAY. THE MAJORITY OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL ALONG THE GULF COAST AND IN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND. WITH OVERALL SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW MANY OF THE AREAS
ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL SEE DOWNSLOPING.
HOWEVER...THE CORE OF THE WINDS WILL BE ABOVE MOUNTAIN TOP SO SOME
SPILL OVER IS EXPECTED. THE PRECIPITATION WILL PRIMARILY START AS
SNOW BUT WILL TRANSITION TO RAIN FROM THE SOUTH AS MORE WARM AIR
IS BROUGHT IN. WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE AFTER THE FIRST
SYSTEM AND BY MID WEEK ANOTHER LOW WILL APPROACH BRINGING MORE
WARM CONDITIONS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW 195.
MARINE...GALES 120 121 127 129 130 131 138 139 150 155 160 165 170
172 179 180 185 351 352 411 412 413 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...DK