Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2015

Storm Warning 42, NWS Anchorage, AK

March 14, 2015

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Mar 14, 2015, 3:36 AM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 14, 2015, 3:36 AM AKDT (11:36 UTC)
Expired
Mar 15, 2015, 3:41 AM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

956 
FZAK52 PAFC 141136
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150100-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 980 MB LOW 230 NM SOUTH OF NIKOLSKI WILL MOVE TO 160 NM SOUTHEAST
OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 967 NM LATE TONIGHT BEFORE MOVING TO NEAR COLD
BAY LATE SUN AT 973 MB. A 985 MB LOW 210 NM NORTHWEST OF ADAK WILL
REMAIN STATIONARY AND DISSIPATE THIS EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT WILL
PUSH ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA TODAY.

$$

PKZ150-150100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ155-150100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT SE 45 KT E OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-150100-
BRISTOL BAY-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-150100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT SE 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E IN THE
MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY FROM PORT MOLLER E
IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-150100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT BY THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ171-150100-
UNALASKA BAY-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-150100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-150100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ174-150100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ175-150100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ176-150100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ177-150100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ178-150100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-150100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-150100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-150100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 30 KT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ185-150100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
336 AM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$
2 follow-up statements
268 
FZAK52 PAFC 142302
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151230-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 970 MB LOW 135 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MAINTAIN
STRENGTH AND MOVE TO 65 NM SOUTH OF FALSE PASS SUN AFTERNOON...
THEN MOVE TO 90 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 977 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-151230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-151230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 20 KT FROM COLD BAY W. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT EXCEPT S 20 KT FROM COLD BAY W. SEAS 18
FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-151230-
BRISTOL BAY-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-151230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-151230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-151230-
UNALASKA BAY-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-151230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-151230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-151230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-151230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-151230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-151230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-151230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ179-151230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-151230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 35 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 35 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 11 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.  RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ181-151230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ185-151230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
302 PM AKDT SAT MAR 14 2015

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$
821 
FZAK52 PAFC 151141
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-160100-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 970 MB LOW 130 NM SOUTHEAST OF DUTCH HARBOR WILL MOVE OVER DUTCH
HARBOR AT 974 MB SUN NIGHT THEN TO 175 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR
MON NIGHT. A STRENGTHENING NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL SWING NORTHEAST
FROM 650 NM SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 990 MB SUN EVENING
TO 100 NM NORTH OF COLD BAY AT 982 MB MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-160100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-160100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-160100-
BRISTOL BAY-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-160100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-160100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT E 20 KT E OF DUTCH HARBOR. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-160100-
UNALASKA BAY-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-160100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT S 20 KT E OF DUTCH HARBOR. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ173-160100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-160100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-160100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-160100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-160100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-160100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ179-160100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-160100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
CAPE NEWENHAM...NE WIND 35 KT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ181-160100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT.

$$

PKZ185-160100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
341 AM AKDT SUN MAR 15 2015

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT W OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Mar 13, 4:39 PM AKDT, 10 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 13, 4:39 PM AKDT, 10 hours 57 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
439 PM AKDT FRI MAR 13 2015

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE TROUGH OVER THE GULF IS LIFTING NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN AND INTO THE YUKON...BRINGING AN END
TO STEADY STRATIFORM SNOW IN THE REGION. CYCLONIC FLOW PERSISTS
BEHIND THIS WAVE AROUND AN ELONGATED LOW CENTER FROM THE KENAI
PENINSULA NORTHWARD TO INTERIOR ALASKA. MORE IMPORTANTLY VERY COLD
AIR ALOFT IS PRODUCING UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE NORTHERN
GULF/EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND/EASTERN COPPER RIVER BASIN...WHICH
IS LEADING TO SNOW SHOWERS. RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS
ARE FORMING OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM WATERS OF THE GULF AND ROTATING
AROUND THE EAST SIDE OF A SURFACE LOW INTO EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND. STRONG GAP WINDS...SNOW SHOWERS...AND HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
CONTINUE OVER THE WESTERN GULF/ALASKA PENINSULA. COLD ADVECTION IS
COMING TO AN END AND PRESSURE GRADIENTS ARE BEGINNING TO SLACKEN
SO EXPECT WINDS TO BEGIN TO SLOWLY DIMINISH.

A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE FAR WESTERN BERING
SEA. A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES ARE DROPPING DOWN THE BACK SIDE AND
THEN BEING DRIVEN EASTWARD ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS/SOUTHERN BERING
BY A ZONAL 180KT SUBTROPICAL JET OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. THE
STRONGEST OF THE CURRENT SHORT-WAVES IS MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL
BERING SEA HELPING TO REINFORCE A FRONTAL SYSTEM OVER THE REGION.
THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL WESTERLY FLOW ALONG THE ALEUTIANS IS DRIVING
THE SOUTHERN END OF THE FRONT EASTWARD...WHILE THE PORTION OVER
THE BERING SEA IS PROGRESSING NORTH AND EASTWARD MUCH MORE SLOWLY.
THUS...THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO ELONGATE AND WEAKEN WITH TIME.
A DEEP COLD AIR MASS IN PLACE OUT AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS PRODUCING
MAINLY SNOW...BUT WARMER AIR BEHIND IT WILL LEAD TO A MIX OF RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. WITH PRIMARILY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AT THE
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE AROUND FREEZING WHICH WILL PRECLUDE ANY
MAJOR BLOWING SNOW ISSUES.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH MAJOR FEATURES EARLY ON.
DIFFERENCES ARISE WITH DEVELOPMENT OF A LARGE STORM SYSTEM SOUTH
OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS/SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA SATURDAY AND
PROGRESSION TOWARD THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. SOLUTIONS ARE MUCH CLOSER WITH INITIAL POSITION AND TRACK
OF LOW. HOWEVER...SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES ARISE WITH NORTHWARD
PROGRESSION OF THE LOW CENTER AND FRONTAL SYSTEM ALONG WITH
HANDLING OF SHORT-WAVES EJECTING OUT OF THE TROUGH INTO THE GULF
OF ALASKA. INITIALLY PREFER THE ECMWF SOLUTION...BUT ON SUNDAY IT
BECOMES AN OUTLIER WITH LOW AND FRONTAL POSITIONS...SO THEN PREFER
NAM/GFS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH TOMORROW BUT
QUICKLY DROPS TO BELOW AVERAGE SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY WITH THE
DETAILS OF WIND AND PRECIP OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD. THIS WILL
RESULT IN THE SURFACE LOW NEAR CORDOVA TO MOVE INLAND AND
DISSIPATE THIS EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THE GULF
THIS EVENING BY CONTINUE INTO THE MORNING HOURS OVER THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN. THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL IN THE COPPER RIVER BASIN IS
IN THE SOUTHERN AREA EXTENDING INTO THE YUKON TERRITORY. THE REST
OF SOUTHCENTRAL WILL CONTINUE WITH COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH
STRONG GAP WINDS FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS NORTHWARD INTO PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND. THE GAP WINDS WILL DIMINISH BY SATURDAY WITH THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH EXITING THE REGION AND COINCIDING WITH THE
WEAKENING OF THE PRESSURE GRADIENTS. BY SUNDAY MORNING A WEATHER
FRONT WILL BE MOVING INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF REGION. THIS WILL
BRING STORM FORCE WINDS INTO THE SHELIKOF STRAIT...BARREN ISLANDS
AND THE SOUTHERN COOK INLET REGION. THIS WILL BRING A LARGE SWATH
OF MOISTURE TO THE SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA REGION. THIS IS SETTING UP
FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO THE EASTERN KENAI
PENINSULA...ESPECIALLY THE INLAND AREAS. THE ANCHORAGE BOWL AND
THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA WILL DOWN SLOPE OUT WITH SOME MOISTURE
MAKING INTO THE AREA BY SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE FLOW IN THE LOWER
LEVELS STARTING TO BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
CLEAR AND COLD CONDITIONS WILL LINGER THROUGH SATURDAY AS THE
UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE MAINLAND. THE PATTERN WILL THEN
BEGIN TO CHANGE ON SATURDAY NIGHT AS SNOW MOVES INTO THE BRISTOL
BAY REGION WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE BERING FRONT ALONG THE COAST.
SNOW WILL THEN SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND
VALLEY ON SUNDAY. SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO BE RELATIVELY LIGHT WITH
ONLY MINOR ACCUMULATIONS...BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR BLOWING SNOW
WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED FOR PORTIONS OF BRISTOL BAY AS WINDS
BEGIN TO INCREASE AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
THE FRONT OVER THE BERING WILL BRING SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TO THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING AS IT PIVOTS NORTHWARD
AND STRETCHES OUT. DESPITE TEMPERATURES HOVERING NEAR FREEZING
AND A RELATIVE LACK OF TRANSPORTABLE SNOW...VISIBILITIES ARE
STILL EXPECTED TO BE REDUCED TO A HALF MILE AT TIMES AS SNOW
BECOMES HEAVIER OVERNIGHT WITH STRONG EASTERLY WINDS REMAINING IN
PLACE. THEREFORE...A BLOWING SNOW ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED THROUGH
EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. MEANWHILE...A SURFACE LOW WILL RAPIDLY
INTENSIFY LATE TONIGHT SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AND MOVE SLOWLY
TOWARDS THE ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH SUNDAY...KEEPING GUSTY WINDS
AND A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BERING THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. SHOWERY CONDITIONS WILL ALSO PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL
AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN BENEATH BROAD CYCLONIC
FLOW OVER THE BERING SEA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
A LOW SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL PUSH A FRONT THROUGH THE
GULF AND INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL ON SUNDAY. THE MAJORITY OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL ALONG THE GULF COAST AND IN PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND. WITH OVERALL SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW MANY OF THE AREAS
ON THE WESTERN SIDE OF THE KENAI PENINSULA WILL SEE DOWNSLOPING.
HOWEVER...THE CORE OF THE WINDS WILL BE ABOVE MOUNTAIN TOP SO SOME
SPILL OVER IS EXPECTED. THE PRECIPITATION WILL PRIMARILY START AS
SNOW BUT WILL TRANSITION TO RAIN FROM THE SOUTH AS MORE WARM AIR
IS BROUGHT IN. WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE AFTER THE FIRST
SYSTEM AND BY MID WEEK ANOTHER LOW WILL APPROACH BRINGING MORE
WARM CONDITIONS.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW 195.
MARINE...GALES 120 121 127 129 130 131 138 139 150 155 160 165 170
172 179 180 185 351 352 411 412 413 414.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...PD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...CB
LONG TERM...DK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 13, 4:01 PM AKDTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC9 hr
Mar 14, 3:26 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC36 hr
Mar 14, 3:30 AM AKDTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Mar 14, 3:30 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Mar 14, 3:30 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Mar 14, 3:30 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC48 hr
Mar 14, 3:36 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Mar 14, 3:36 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Mar 14, 4:08 AM AKDTBlizzard WarningAFC30 hr
Mar 14, 10:11 AM AKDTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC17 hr
Mar 14, 11:08 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC16 hr
Mar 14, 3:02 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Mar 14, 3:02 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC37 hr
Mar 14, 3:03 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC49 hr
Mar 14, 3:03 PM AKDTStorm WarningAFC49 hr
Mar 14, 3:42 PM AKDTWind Chill AdvisoryAFC13 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2015Every storm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.