Severe Thunderstorm Warning 6, NWS Tucson, AZ

808 
WWUS55 KTWC 052326
SVSTWC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
426 PM MST SAT JUL 5 2014

AZC019-060000-
/O.CON.KTWC.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140706T0000Z/
PIMA AZ-
426 PM MST SAT JUL 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM MST
FOR EAST CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY...

AT 420 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A CLUSTER OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE 
STORMS ARE LOCATED FROM VAIL AND CORONA DE TUCSON NORTHWARD INTO 
RITA RANCH AND SAGUARO NATIONAL PARK EAST. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO 
PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH TOTALS IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH IN 
SOME AREAS. THESE STORMS ARE MOVING MOVING NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH.

LAT...LON 3223 11096 3235 11066 3191 11055 3187 11078
      3208 11116
TIME...MOT...LOC 2323Z 130DEG 18KT 3207 11080

$$

GL

822 
WWUS55 KTWC 052346
SVSTWC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
446 PM MST SAT JUL 5 2014

AZC019-060000-
/O.CON.KTWC.SV.W.0006.000000T0000Z-140706T0000Z/
PIMA AZ-
446 PM MST SAT JUL 5 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM MST
FOR EAST CENTRAL PIMA COUNTY...

AT 436 PM MST...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
 THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SAGUARO NATIONAL PARK EAST...OR 12 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF TUCSON...MOVING WEST AT 10 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER INDOORS. EXPECT DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...
LARGE HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAIN WITH THIS STORM.

&&

LAT...LON 3223 11096 3235 11066 3191 11055 3187 11078
      3208 11116
TIME...MOT...LOC 2346Z 110DEG 6KT 3216 11079

$$

GL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
226 PM MST SAT JUL 5 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND. A WEAK
DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO HELP ENHANCE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND
TUESDAY BEFORE SOME DRYING LEADS TO A DOWNWARD TREND THE SECOND HALF
OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP MAINLY
IN THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE AID OF DAYTIME HEATING AND
A WEAK IMPULSE MOVING NORTH OUT OF SONORA MEXICO. THE AIR MASS
REMAINED VERY MOIST AND THE STEERING FLOW WAS LIGHT AND VARIABLE
SO THE MAIN CONCERN THROUGH THIS EVENING WILL BE LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL. CANNOT RULE OUT SOME STRONG WINDS WITH THE HEAVIER
DOWNPOURS. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD PRETTY MUCH DIMINISH AFTER SUNDOWN
AND AS THE IMPULSE MOVES OVER CENTRAL ARIZONA. SIMILAR COVERAGE
EXPECTED TOMORROW...BUT THE MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUED TO
ADVERTISE A STRONG IMPULSE ROTATING THROUGH SOUTHEAST ARIZONA ON
MONDAY. THIS FEATURE COULD RESULT IN MORE ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH LINGERING AREAS OF RAIN
MONDAY NIGHT. THAT SAID...WILL KEEP THE TREND OF INCREASING POP
VALUES FOR MONDAY COMPARED TO TODAY AND SUNDAY. THEREAFTER...THE
LARGE SCALE PATTERN BECOMES LESS FAVORABLE FOR A DECENT COVERAGE IN
STORMS AS THE IMPULSE ROTATES OVER SOUTHERN ARIZONA AND TAKES A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH THROUGH SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA. BY NEXT WEEKEND
THOUGH...MODELS HINT AT THE FLOW PATTERN BECOMING MORE FAVORABLE FOR
WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY STARTING SATURDAY INTO THE
FOLLOWING WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID THROUGH 07/00Z.  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THRU
06/04Z WITH FOCUS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND WESTERN PIMA COUNTY.  DUE
TO LIGHT WINDS ALOFT SLOW AND ERRATIC STORM MOTION EXCEPT WHERE
DRIVEN BY STRONG OUTFLOWS.  OTHERWISE FEW-SCT080 SCT-BKN120.  WIDELY
SCT THUNDERSTORMS REDEVELOPING AFT 06/19Z...AGAIN MAINLY OVER
MOUNTAINS.  WINDS VARIABLE TO 10 KTS EXCEPT VCNTY THUNDERSTORMS.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.  CERNIGLIA

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING.  WITH
SLOW MOVEMENT...THE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAINFALL.  EXPECTING
SOME WIDELY SCATTERED STORMS AGAIN SUNDAY...PRIMARILY OVER THE
MOUNTAINS.  MONDAY AND TUESDAY EXPECT AN INCREASE IN THE AMOUNT OF
CONVECTION ACROSS THE AREA...THEN CHANCES DIMINISHING SOME WEDNESDAY
ONWARD.  HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN
DIMINISH A BIT THEREAFTER.  WINDS THROUGH NEXT WEEK WILL BE
GENERALLY LESS THAN 15 MPH WITH THE EXCEPTION OF STRONG GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS UNDER AND AROUND ANY THUNDERSTORMS.  CERNIGLIA

&&

.TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

VISIT US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...YOUTUBE...AND AT WEATHER.GOV/TUCSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TUCSON AZ
355 PM MST SAT JUL 5 2014

AZZ503-504-507-513-514-052330-
DRAGOON/MULE/HUACHUCA AND SANTA RITA MOUNTAINS INCLUDING
BISBEE/CANELO HILLS/MADERA CANYON AZ-SANTA CATALINA AND RINCON
MOUNTAINS INCLUDING MOUNT LEMMON/SUMMERHAVEN AZ-TUCSON METRO AREA
INCLUDING TUCSON/GREEN VALLEY/MARANA/VAIL AZ-UPPER SAN PEDRO RIVER
VALLEY INCLUDING SIERRA VISTA/BENSON AZ-UPPER SANTA CRUZ RIVER AND
ALTAR VALLEYS INCLUDING NOGALES AZ-
355 PM MST SAT JUL 5 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN PIMA COUNTY UNTIL 430 PM
MST...

AT 344 PM MST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 18 MILES WEST OF BENSON...OR 25 MILES EAST OF
GREEN VALLEY.  THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY WITH A STRONG
OUTFLOW MOVING TOWARD THE TUCSON AREA.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM ACROSS THE
METRO AREA. HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE SOUTH AND EAST OF
VAIL.

AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...TUCSON...VAIL...RITA RANCH...
SAGUARO NATIONAL PARK EAST...DAVIS-MONTHAN AIR FORCE BASE...TUCSON
INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT...SAN XAVIER MISSION...SOUTH TUCSON...SEVEN
FALLS...SABINO CANYON AND CATALINA FOOTHILLS.

LAT...LON 3185 11071 3193 11116 3243 11086 3213 11047
      3213 11045 3185 11047
TIME...MOT...LOC 2254Z 180DEG 0KT 3198 11062

CERNIGLIA