Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
939 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INCREASE IN
INTENSITY AND COVERAGE ALONG AND N OF A STATIONARY
FRONT DRAPED ACROSS NE OK/NW AR. HAVE BUMPED
UP POPS SOME THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING IN THIS
REGION.

HRRR CONSISTENT IN BRINGING ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM
COMPLEX INTO ERN OK AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH ACTIVITY
REACHING WRN AR AFTER 4 AM.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   72  85  71  86 /  60  60  50  60
FSM   71  85  70  91 /  50  60  30  40
MLC   73  88  72  90 /  60  40  30  30
BVO   69  83  69  84 /  60  60  60  60
FYV   67  81  67  84 /  50  60  50  50
BYV   67  81  67  82 /  50  60  50  60
MKO   71  85  71  88 /  60  60  40  50
MIO   68  82  68  83 /  60  60  60  60
F10   72  87  72  89 /  60  50  40  40
HHW   73  90  72  90 /  50  30  20  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....99

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
505 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-061000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
505 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
        ONSET...AFTER 9 PM...BEST CHANCES AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
AN UNSTABLE BUT CAPPED ATMOSPHERE REMAINS ACROSS THE REGION IN THE
WAKE OF THE EARLIER THUNDERSTORMS. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR SOME
REDEVELOPMENT OF STORMS DURING THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS FAR
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...AND THESE STORMS
WOULD HAVE A LIMITED THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER.

BETTER CHANCES OF WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS AND SEVERE WEATHER WILL
BE AFTER MIDNIGHT AS ANOTHER COMPLEX OF STORMS IS FORECAST TO ROLL
INTO THE AREA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH
RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER.  DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL
BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER CONCERNS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN
POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN
POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ACROSS THE REGION.  EACH COMPLEX WILL
CONTAIN A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FLOODING WILL BECOME AN INCREASING CONCERN AS REPEATED ROUNDS
OF HEAVY RAIN EFFECT THE REGION.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1009 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0956 PM     HAIL             2 W NOWATA              36.70N 95.67W
06/05/2014  E1.00 INCH       NOWATA             OK   PUBLIC

&&

PBS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1038 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     HAIL             1 S TALALA              36.52N 95.70W
06/05/2014  E1.25 INCH       ROGERS             OK   PUBLIC

&&

PBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1055 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

OKZ055-060-061-060445-
ROGERS OK-TULSA OK-WASHINGTON OK-
1055 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1145 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN ROGERS...NORTHERN TULSA AND SOUTHERN WASHINGTON

AT 1055 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 2 MILES NORTH OF
VERA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...OOLOGAH...COLLINSVILLE...VERA AND
RAMONA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3654 9575 3633 9563 3638 9600 3639 9600
      3655 9594
TIME...MOT...LOC 0355Z 302DEG 20KT 3647 9588

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1111 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     HAIL             6 NW PAWNEE             36.40N 96.88W
06/05/2014  E1.25 INCH       PAWNEE             OK   STORM CHASER

            ESTIMATED WIND TO 55 MPH, FUNNEL CLOUD SPOTTED

&&

PBS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1116 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

OKZ060>062-060500-
MAYES OK-ROGERS OK-TULSA OK-
1116 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN MAYES...CENTRAL ROGERS AND NORTHEASTERN TULSA

AT 1116 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM BUSHYHEAD TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF CLAREMORE TO
COLLINSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
INCLUDE...CLAREMORE...CATOOSA...VERDIGRIS...TIAWAH...FOYIL...BUSHYH
EAD...COLLINSVILLE...PRYOR AND THE ROCKLAHOMA VENUE.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3632 9519 3615 9544 3617 9577 3636 9589
      3643 9574 3652 9545
TIME...MOT...LOC 0416Z 314DEG 19KT 3646 9548 3637 9568
          3634 9585

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1130 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

OKZ054-059-064-060515-
CREEK OK-OSAGE OK-PAWNEE OK-
1130 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1215 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN CREEK...SOUTHWESTERN OSAGE AND PAWNEE

AT 1130 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF PAWNEE TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF
HALLETT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...OSAGE...PAWNEE...JENNINGS...
TERLTON...HALLETT...MARAMEC...BLACKBURN...SKEDEE...CLEVELAND...
WESTPORT...OILTON...SILVER CITY...QUAY AND WALNUT CREEK STATE PARK.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3629 9622 3600 9662 3615 9663 3615 9682
      3616 9683 3624 9682 3624 9692 3633 9693
      3633 9704 3650 9704
TIME...MOT...LOC 0430Z 311DEG 23KT 3641 9694 3624 9660