Severe Thunderstorm Warning 106, NWS Tulsa, OK

831 
WWUS54 KTSA 061401
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
901 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

OKC037-107-111-061430-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0106.000000T0000Z-140606T1430Z/
CREEK OK-OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-
901 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
OKMULGEE...EASTERN OKFUSKEE AND SOUTH CENTRAL CREEK COUNTIES UNTIL
930 AM CDT...

AT 900 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF OKMULGEE STATE PARK TO WILSON TO
WELEETKA...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...BRYANT...OKMULGEE STATE
  PARK...WILSON...HENRYETTA...SCHULTER...PRESTON...DEWAR...
  OKMULGEE...GRAYSON...HOFFMAN...MORRIS AND BALD HILL

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 218 AND 243.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3574 9581 3547 9582 3546 9588 3538 9588
      3537 9589 3537 9598 3529 9599 3528 9628
      3532 9631 3545 9634 3570 9645
TIME...MOT...LOC 1401Z 267DEG 28KT 3568 9611 3552 9606
          3532 9609

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

LACY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
559 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.

MAIN CONCERN IS TIMING THUNDERSTORM CHANCES AT THE TERMINALS.
FIRST ROUND WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT THE E OK TERMINALS EARLY IN THE
TAF PERIOD...LIKELY BY 13-14Z...WITH IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS PROBABLE
IN THE STRONGEST CORES. SHIFTING WINDS AND SOME HAIL COULD ALSO
OCCUR. THESE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO W AR MID TO LATE MORNING...WITH
FSM MOST LIKELY TO SEE REDUCED FLIGHT CATEGORIES.
ISOLATED/SCATTERED REDEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE ALONG RESIDUAL OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES/EXISTING STATIONARY BOUNDARY. CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH
ENOUGH AT ANY ONE TERMINAL TO INCLUDE ATTM...BUT NOTE THAT CHANCE
EXISTS ESPECIALLY AT THE NE OK TERMINALS. YET ANOTHER STORM
COMPLEX IS LIKELY TO AFFECT THE NE OK TERMINALS EARLY TOMORROW
MORNING...AND THE NW AR TERMINALS AFTER THE VALID TAF PERIOD ENDS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 307 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014/

DISCUSSION...
ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS A
SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL WAVES TRAVERSE THE REGION UNDER ZONAL FLOW
ALOFT. FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE REMAINS RELATIVELY LOW ACROSS MUCH
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WITH THE
RECENT PRECIPITATION. GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL...WILL GO AHEAD AND ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH
SUNDAY. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXPANDED BOTH IN AREA
AND TIME AS TIMING OF MCS ACTIVITY BECOMES MORE CERTAIN.

MOIST/UNSTABLE AIR-MASS REMAINS OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING. SHOWERS/
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS MORNING
WITH THE CONTINUED THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. ANOTHER CONVECTIVE
COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THIS
EVENING...LIKELY IMPACTING THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING.
DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE IN
THE STRONGER STORMS. COULD ALSO SEE ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE
WEATHER/HEAVY RAINFALL SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS YET ANOTHER
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX AFFECTS THE AREA.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY
AS A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES. LINGERING PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIODS AS THE UPPER LOW SLOWLY SHIFTS EAST.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-
     OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-
     OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM SUNDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011.

&&

AVIATION...22

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
448 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-071000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
448 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...HEAVY RAIN AND SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL CONTINUES INTO THE WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
        AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...THIS MORNING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS MORNING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS MORNING.

DISCUSSION...
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE BOTH TODAY AND
TONIGHT ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING
WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND FLASH FLOODING. WHILE TORNADOES WILL NOT
BE THE PRIMARY THREAT TODAY...ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...ESPECIALLY IN PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA DURING THE
AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AFTER SUNRISE AS WIDESPREAD
THUNDERSTORMS CURRENTLY IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND THE TEXAS
PANHANDLE PUSH TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA. THIS
INITIAL ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY AFFECT EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

MUCH LIKE YESTERDAY...ADDITIONAL AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE ALONG A STATIONARY FRONT AND
ANY LINGERING OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES. IN ADDITION...ANOTHER
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN WESTERN KANSAS THIS
EVENING...AND PUSH TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST INTO PARTS OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT.

THE FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL WILL EXIST WITH
ALL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX...WITH CONTINUED FLASH FLOODING AND SEVERE
WEATHER POTENTIAL...WILL LIKELY BE ONGOING SATURDAY MORNING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS...PRIMARILY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. ADDITIONAL COMPLEXES
ARE LIKELY SUNDAY AND PERHAPS ALSO INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES THROUGH THE REGION. HEAVY
RAIN...FLASH FLOODING...AND SOME SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL ALL
CONTINUE TO BE CONCERNS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES WILL TAPER SOME INTO THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT
WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
754 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

OKZ064-065-061400-
CREEK OK-OKFUSKEE OK-
754 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 900 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN CREEK

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     OKFUSKEE

AT 754 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES WEST OF MILFAY TO 39 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
BEARDEN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED
BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...OKEMAH...BEARDEN...CASTLE...PADEN...
BOLEY...MASON...OKFUSKEE...WELTY...BRISTOW...MILFAY...SLICK AND
DEPEW.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3589 9662 3588 9618 3528 9621 3528 9643
      3529 9645 3545 9645 3545 9648 3543 9649
      3545 9655 3543 9655 3540 9653 3539 9654
      3540 9658 3540 9663
TIME...MOT...LOC 1254Z 269DEG 20KT 3580 9677 3496 9687

LACY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
756 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

OKZ054-059-064-061400-
CREEK OK-OSAGE OK-PAWNEE OK-
756 AM CDT FRI JUN 6 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 900 AM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN CREEK...SOUTHWESTERN OSAGE AND PAWNEE

AT 756 AM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 32 MILES NORTHWEST OF PAWNEE TO 14 MILES WEST OF
DRUMRIGHT...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...OSAGE...FAIRFAX...BURBANK...
PAWNEE...JENNINGS...TERLTON...HALLETT...MARAMEC...BLACKBURN...
SKEDEE...CLEVELAND...RALSTON...SHAMROCK...DRUMRIGHT...OILTON...SILVER
CITY...MANNFORD...KELLYVILLE AND QUAY.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT
IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3670 9706 3669 9695 3672 9692 3673 9659
      3612 9629 3608 9630 3607 9627 3587 9617
      3585 9662 3615 9663 3615 9682 3624 9682
      3624 9692 3633 9693 3633 9704 3651 9704
      3656 9691 3658 9690 3659 9705 3668 9707
TIME...MOT...LOC 1256Z 267DEG 33KT 3655 9728 3592 9680

LACY