Severe Thunderstorm Warning 19, NWS Tulsa, OK

892 
WWUS54 KTSA 032056
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
356 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

OKC035-032106-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-140403T2115Z/
CRAIG OK-
356 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CRAIG COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3651 9501 3652 9485 3641 9474 3617 9503
      3616 9525 3619 9529
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 233DEG 36KT 3644 9493 3631 9497
          3620 9517

$$

OKC041-097-032115-
/O.CON.KTSA.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-140403T2115Z/
DELAWARE OK-MAYES OK-
356 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
MAYES AND WEST CENTRAL DELAWARE COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

AT 354 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM CHLOETA TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF ROSE TO LOCUST
GROVE...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH INCLUDE...ZENA AND JAY

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. TORNADOES CAN
DEVELOP QUICKLY FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. ALTHOUGH ONE IS NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...IF A TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE
TO A PLACE OF SAFETY INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT
OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3651 9501 3652 9485 3641 9474 3617 9503
      3616 9525 3619 9529
TIME...MOT...LOC 2056Z 233DEG 36KT 3644 9493 3631 9497
          3620 9517

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
253 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

.DISCUSSION...
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER/MID 80S HAS ERODED ANY CAP THAT
EXISTED...WITH CONVECTION CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ALONG ADVANCING COLD
FRONT ACROSS NE OK. SBCAPES RUNNING AROUND 3000-4000 J/KG AND
EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR OF 40-50KTS ARE HIGHLY SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND PERHAPS A
TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE. LOCAL MODELS BRING THIS ACTIVITY INTO NW
AROUND 22-23Z...BUT WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE ON POSSIBLE WARM
SECTOR STORMS ACROSS SE OK AS WELL DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE COLD FRONT
EARLY THIS EVENING AS IT ENTERS SE OK. SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL
COME TO AN END BY LATE EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT FINALLY SURGES
THROUGH THE REGION.

DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER FOR FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY AS A RIDGE OF SFC
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVERHEAD. A LIGHT FREEZE IS POSSIBLE SATURDAY
MORNING IN PARTS OF NW AR...WITH LOW TEMPS FALLING JUST BELOW 32F.

NEXT UPPER SYSTEM IS PROGGED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION LATE IN THE
WEEKEND...WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES INCREASING LATER SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT. HAVE INCREASED POPS SOME...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SRN
HALF OF THE AREA. WILL MAINTAIN THE MENTION OF ISOLATED STORMS FOR
SE OK/WCNTRL AR...ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN WILL BE
MARGINAL GIVEN THE LINGERING RIDGING CONDITIONS ALONG THE GULF.
PERSISTENT NWLY UPPER FLOW WILL KEEP THE COOL WEATHER GOING INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH WARMER WEATHER RETURNING BY WEDNESDAY AS
SOUTH WINDS KICK BACK IN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   39  61  38  65 /  10   0   0  10
FSM   46  64  38  66 /  80   0   0  10
MLC   44  61  37  66 /  50   0   0  10
BVO   38  61  32  65 /  10   0   0  10
FYV   43  56  31  61 /  80   0   0  10
BYV   44  57  33  61 /  80   0   0  10
MKO   42  60  37  65 /  50   0   0  10
MIO   40  57  34  64 /  60   0   0  10
F10   42  60  37  65 /  10   0   0  10
HHW   47  67  39  66 /  70   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 7 PM THURSDAY FOR OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-
     OKZ071-OKZ073.

AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....18

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
128 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-041000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
130 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.
	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...WEST OF HIGHWAY 75 IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...MID TO LATE AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
A DRY LINE AND COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL
IGNITE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. MOIST AIR AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO INSTABILITY IN EXCESS OF
2000 JOULES/PER KG. STRONG WIND FIELDS WILL CONTRIBUTE TO
SIGNIFICANT SHEAR AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF ROTATING STORM CELLS
AND THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES. THE HIGHEST LIKELIHOOD WILL
BE FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

THUNDERSTORMS RISK WILL DIMINISH BY LATE EVENING.

WINDY CONDITIONS AND VERY DRY AIR BEHIND THE DRY LINE WILL
YIELD AN ELEVATED FIRE THREAT PRIMARILY WEST OF HIGHWAY 75
IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY...VERY HIGH FIRE WEATHER POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE BEHIND THE COLD FRONT INTO FRIDAY
WITH COOLER CONDITIONS. ANOTHER STRONG UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
MOVE OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS ON
SUNDAY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS ON TUESDAY...BEHIND THE DEPARTING
SYSTEM...WILL AGAIN CREATE AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER THREAT.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AS DETAILS AND POTENTIAL IMPACTS
CONTINUE TO BE REFINED THROUGHOUT THE DAY. A REVIEW OF SEVERE
WEATHER SAFETY AND ACTION PLANS IS RECOMMENDED.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
254 PM CDT THU APR 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0246 PM     HAIL             3 SE BROKEN ARROW       36.02N 95.75W
04/03/2014  E0.88 INCH       WAGONER            OK   STORM CHASER

            ALSO ESTIMATED WIND GUST TO 70 MPH JUST EAST OF CREEK
            TURNPIKE AND NSU-BA CAMPUS. CORRECTED FOR HAIL SIZE.

&&

JDS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
255 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

OKZ057-058-063-032045-
CRAIG OK-DELAWARE OK-OTTAWA OK-
255 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     EASTERN CRAIG...NORTHWESTERN DELAWARE AND OTTAWA

AT 255 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES WEST OF MIAMI TO BIG CABIN...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 40 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE
THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3699 9461 3690 9461 3651 9479 3652 9531
      3701 9502 3700 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 1955Z 240DEG 35KT 3688 9497 3653 9522

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
302 PM CDT THU APR 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     HAIL             1 NW TIAWAH             36.27N 95.57W
04/03/2014  E1.50 INCH       ROGERS             OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

&&

MEP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
309 PM CDT THU APR 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     HAIL             INOLA                   36.15N 95.51W
04/03/2014  E0.88 INCH       ROGERS             OK   STORM CHASER

            DIME AND NICKEL HAIL ON NORTH SIDE OF INOLA.

&&

JDS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
322 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

OKZ065-066-070-071-032045-
MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-
322 PM CDT THU APR 3 2014

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN MCINTOSH

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN MUSKOGEE AND EASTERN OKFUSKEE

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN OKMULGEE

AT 322 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF OKMULGEE TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
CLEARVIEW...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 50 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN
CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3569 9553 3530 9583 3529 9640 3567 9612
TIME...MOT...LOC 2022Z 251DEG 29KT 3566 9595 3535 9623

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
325 PM CDT THU APR 03 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0311 PM     HAIL             7 W STRANG              36.41N 95.26W
04/03/2014  E1.00 INCH       MAYES              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

BAS