River Flood Advisory 6, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1232 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM.
MAIN COLD FRONT LOCATED NEAR INTERSTATE 44 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
WITH OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING INTO EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA/WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS. AREAS OF RAIN WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT TAF SITES...PRIMARILY SOUTH OF I-44 AS
COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH INTO THE ARKLATX BY LATE TONIGHT. IFR
CONDITIONS LIKELY BEHIND FRONT WITH LOW CEILINGS/PATCHY FOG INTO
SATURDAY MORNING.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM FRIDAY FOR OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-
     OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 4 PM FRIDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011.

&&

AVIATION...12

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1250 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-102230-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1250 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...THIS AFTERNOON.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE ACROSS
EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED NEAR THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. BREAKS IN
THE CLOUD COVER...SOUTH OF THE FRONT...HAVE ALLOWED THE ATMOSPHERE
TO BECOME MODESTLY UNSTABLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. A FEW STORMS
COULD APPROACH SEVERE LIMITS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THIS
AFTERNOON OR EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER
STORMS WHICH COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING...MAINLY IN AREAS THAT
HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED SIGNIFICANT RAINS. GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT BEHIND THE COLD FRONT ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL...HEAVY
	 RAIN POTENTIAL.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
THURSDAY...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE ONGOING ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS SATURDAY MORNING...WITH THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL REMAINING OVER SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL
ARKANSAS. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST LATE
SATURDAY AS THE FRONT AND ASSOCIATED UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM EXITS THE REGION.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES QUICKLY RETURN SUNDAY AND INCREASE SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT ARE FORECAST TO DIVE SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. INCREASING MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INTERACTING
WITH THE FRONT WILL ALLOW FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE WEATHER
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL WITH AN ADDITIONAL FLASH
FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE AS THIS NEXT SYSTEM MOVES
THROUGH...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS. STAY TUNED TO LATER UPDATES AS THIS TIME NEARS. PLEASANT
FALL WEATHER WILL RETURN BY TUESDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1043 AM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SILOAM SPRINGS          36.19N 94.54W
10/10/2014                   BENTON             AR   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A FEW ROADS WERE CLOSED AND BARRICADED OFF DUE TO HIGH
            WATER. THE WATER HAS SINCE RECEDED.

&&

MEP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1231 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MIAMI                   36.87N 94.88W
10/10/2014                   OTTAWA             OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL CITY AND COUNTY ROADS CLOSED. WATER ENTERED A
            COUPLE OF BUSINESSES IN MIAMI.

&&

BAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1233 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     FLASH FLOOD      VINITA                  36.64N 95.15W
10/10/2014                   CRAIG              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THROUGHOUT CRAIG COUNTY...NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES AND
            CREEKS OVER BANKS. SEVERAL MEASURED RAIN TOTALS OVER 8
            INCHES NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER.

&&

BAS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
133 PM CDT FRI OCT 10 2014

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0101 AM     TORNADO          5 W SPIRO               35.24N 94.71W
10/06/2014                   LE FLORE           OK   NWS STORM SURVEY

            A TORNADO TORE PORTIONS OF THE ROOFS AND WALLS FROM TWO
            CHICKEN HOUSES...UPROOTED SEVERAL HARDWOOD TREES...AND
            SNAPPED A NUMBER OF LARGE TREE LIMBS. THE TORNADO WAS
            RATED EF-1 BASED ON THIS DAMAGE.

&&

EJC